Kellyville Ridge

Kellyville Ridge has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Kellyville Ridge is around 11,278. This figure reflects a growth of 388 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,890. AreaSearch's analysis of latest ERP data from ABS (June 2024) and additional validated addresses accounts for this increase. The population density is 4,161 persons per square kilometer, placing Kellyville Ridge in the top 10% nationally. Over the past decade, the suburb has shown a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outperforming metropolitan averages. Overseas migration contributed approximately 73.0% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for SA2 areas (released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year) and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for other areas (released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year). By 2041, Kellyville Ridge is projected to expand by 138 persons, reflecting a total increase of 1.1% over 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kellyville Ridge, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Kellyville Ridge shows approximately 17 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 86 homes were approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26. Each dwelling built over the past five financial years has resulted in an average of 2.7 new residents per year.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $377,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In FY-26, commercial approvals registered totalled $2.6 million, indicating limited commercial development focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville Ridge has significantly lower building activity, with 93.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New developments consist of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns which are currently 85.0% houses. The location has approximately 3212 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections estimate Kellyville Ridge to add 127 residents by 2041.

With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Kellyville Ridge has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include The Ponds High School Upgrade, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, The Ponds Shopping Centre, and The Ponds. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Kellyville Ridge places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Kellyville Ridge has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.5%, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.5% based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 7,572 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 2.7%, below Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation is high at 73.3%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

The area specializes in public administration & safety with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Construction employment is lower than regional levels at 7.6% compared to 8.6%. Over a 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 6.5%, matching labour force growth. Unemployment remained essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.6%, labour force expand by 2.9%, and unemployment rise slightly to 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest total employment in Kellyville Ridge could increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch reports that Kellyville Ridge had a median taxpayer income of $70,999 and an average income of $86,116 in financial year 2022. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. By September 2025, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $79,952 and an average of $96,975, based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census 2021 data shows that Kellyville Ridge's incomes rank highly nationally, between the 87th and 97th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket dominates in Kellyville Ridge, with 32.0% of residents (3,608 people), similar to the metropolitan region's 30.9%. Economic strength is evident with 51.8% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville Ridge is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Kellyville Ridge, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 85.4% houses and 14.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville Ridge was 16.2%, similar to Sydney metro, with the rest being mortgaged (58.5%) or rented (25.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,700. Median weekly rent in Kellyville Ridge was $580, higher than Sydney metro's figure of $540. Nationally, Kellyville Ridge's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville Ridge features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.4% of all households, including 63.5% that are couples with children, 16.0% that are couples without children, and 9.3% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.6%, consisting of lone person households at 8.9% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Educational achievement in Kellyville Ridge places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Kellyville Ridge is notably higher than national and state averages. 43.6% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.5% and certificates at 14.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.1% in primary, 10.6% in secondary, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education. Kellyville Ridge Public School serves the area, with an enrollment of 671 students as of a recent report. The school focuses on primary education only, with ICSEA score of 1100. Secondary options are available nearby. Local school capacity is limited at 6.0 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.2, leading many families to seek schooling in surrounding areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville Ridge has 20 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 38 different routes, together offering 1,480 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living 205 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 211 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 74 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville Ridge's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Kellyville Ridge, with low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (6,869 people), compared to 58.5% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.1 and 4.5% of residents respectively, while 80.4% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 80.0% across Greater Sydney.

As of the latest data (2021), approximately 7.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (879 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

Kellyville Ridge is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville Ridge has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.8% of its population born overseas and 45.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kellyville Ridge, accounting for 48.3% of the population. However, Hinduism is notably underrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up only 14.9% of Kellyville Ridge's population.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.5%), Australian (16.5%), and English (13.8%). There are variations in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Indian is overrepresented at 13.7%, Filipino is underrepresented at 4.6%, and Sri Lankan is roughly equal to regional averages at 1.0%.

Kellyville Ridge's population is younger than the national pattern

Kellyville Ridge has a median age of 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, which is slightly below Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville Ridge has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (19.1%), but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.7%). This 45-54 concentration is significantly above the national average of 12.1%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, demographic aging has been evident in Kellyville Ridge, with the median age increasing from 35 to 36 years. Key changes include an increase in the proportion of residents aged 15-24, from 13.5% to 16.3%, and a rise in the 45-54 cohort from 16.5% to 19.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has declined from 20.0% to 17.1%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 19.4% to 17.1%. Population forecasts for Kellyville Ridge in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes. The 55-64 age cohort is projected to increase by 321 people (34%), from 958 to 1,280 residents. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 57% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, both the 15-24 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.