Kellyville Ridge

Kellyville Ridge has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Kellyville Ridge statistical area (Lv2) is around 11,252. This reflects an increase of 362 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,890. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 11,181 residents in June 2024, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 42 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 4,152 persons per square kilometer, placing Kellyville Ridge (SA2) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2012 to 2022, Kellyville Ridge demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outperforming the metropolitan area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for Kellyville Ridge are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, lower quartile growth is anticipated for national areas, with Kellyville Ridge expected to expand by 114 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 1.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kellyville Ridge according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Kellyville Ridge has experienced around 15 dwellings receiving development approval each year. Approximately 78 homes have been approved over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with no approvals so far in FY-26. On average, each dwelling built attracts about 3 new residents per year over these years, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value of new homes is $377,000. This financial year has seen $1.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville Ridge records significantly lower building activity, at 94.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, which is also below national averages due to the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development comprises 43.0% detached houses and 57.0% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating a shift towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This trend contrasts with the existing housing stock, which is currently 85.0% houses, suggesting decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring more diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 2498 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market.

Future projections estimate Kellyville Ridge to grow by 129 residents through to 2041, with current construction levels expected to meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Kellyville Ridge has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects likely to affect the area. Notable projects include The Ponds High School Upgrade, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, The Ponds Shopping Centre, and The Ponds. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Kellyville Ridge places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Kellyville Ridge has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.5% and it experienced an estimated employment growth of 4.4% over the year ending September 2025.

By that date, 7,415 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.7 percentage points lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Kellyville Ridge is higher at 73.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. The area has a specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 7.6% compared to the regional average of 8.6%. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 4.4% while labour force increased by 4.3%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points in Kellyville Ridge. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a rise of 0.2 percentage points in its unemployment rate. As of 25-November-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kellyville Ridge's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Kellyville Ridge has high incomes nationally. The median income is $70,999 and the average is $86,116. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income is $60,817 and average is $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Kellyville Ridge are approximately $77,290 (median) and $93,746 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Kellyville Ridge rank highly nationally, between the 87th and 97th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. The predominant income bracket is $1,500 - $2,999, with 32.0% of locals (3,600 people) falling into this category. A significant 51.8% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 16.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville Ridge is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Kellyville Ridge, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.4% houses and 14.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville Ridge was at 16.2%, aligning with the Sydney metro figure. Dwellings were either mortgaged (58.5%) or rented (25.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kellyville Ridge was $2,600, below the Sydney metro average of $2,700. The median weekly rent was recorded at $580, compared to Sydney metro's $540. Nationally, Kellyville Ridge's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville Ridge features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.4% of all households, including 63.5% couples with children, 16.0% couples without children, and 9.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.6%, with lone person households at 8.9% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Educational achievement in Kellyville Ridge places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Kellyville Ridge's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 43.6% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.5% and certificates at 14.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.2% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.1% in primary, 10.6% in secondary, and 6.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville Ridge has 20 active public transport stops. These are served by a mix of bus routes, totaling 37 individual services. Together, these routes facilitate 1,926 weekly passenger trips.

The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents located an average of 205 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 275 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 96 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville Ridge's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Kellyville Ridge, with low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 61% of the total population of 6,853 residents have private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma, affecting 6.1% of residents, and mental health issues, impacting 4.5%. A significant majority, 80.4%, report being completely free of medical ailments, similar to the Greater Sydney average of 80.0%. As of 2021, 7.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (877 people). While health outcomes among seniors in Kellyville Ridge are above average, they require more attention than those in the broader population.

Kellyville Ridge is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville Ridge has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.8% of its population born overseas and 45.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kellyville Ridge, comprising 48.3% of the population. Hinduism is present but lower than the Greater Sydney average, making up 14.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.5%), Australian (16.5%), and English (13.8%). Notably, Indian (13.7%) and Filipino (4.6%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 16.9% and 6.2%, respectively.

Kellyville Ridge's population is younger than the national pattern

Kellyville Ridge has a median age of 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville Ridge has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (19.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.7%). This 45-54 concentration is significantly higher than the national average of 12.1%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, Kellyville Ridge's median age increased from 35 to 36 years. During this period, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 13.5% to 16.3%, while the 45 to 54 cohort rose from 16.5% to 19.1%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 age group decreased from 20.0% to 17.1%, and the 5 to 14 age group fell from 19.4% to 17.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Kellyville Ridge. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to increase by 320 people (34%), from 956 to 1,277. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 56% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, both the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.