Kellyville - East
Statistical Area - sa2

Kellyville - East is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Kellyville - East's population is around 17,871 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 162 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,709 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,683 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 131 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,113 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 61.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, lower quartile growth of national statistical areas is anticipated, with the area expected to grow by 566 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, resulting in an increase of 2.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kellyville - East, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Kellyville - East has received approximately 33 residential property approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports development approval data on a financial year basis, with 166 homes approved over the past five years from FY20 to FY25. As of FY26, 17 properties have been granted approval. Despite population decline in recent years, development activity has been sufficient relative to demand, maintaining an adequate housing supply and balanced market with diverse buyer options.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $665,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. This financial year has seen $2.2 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - East has significantly less development activity, with 85.0% below the regional per capita average. This scarcity of new dwellings typically enhances demand and prices for existing properties, although building activity has increased recently. This level is also below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations.

Recent construction comprises 95.0% standalone homes and 5.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 454 people per dwelling approval, Kellyville - East demonstrates a developed market. Future projections anticipate an addition of 374 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kellyville - East has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 24 projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones are Hills Showground Station Precinct, William Clarke College Bryson Building, Sienna Apartments Kellyville, and Kellyville Transport Oriented Development (TOD) Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market in Kellyville - East shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Kellyville - East has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.3%, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%.

Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 2.5%. As of June 2025, 10,409 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 0.9% below Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation is high at 68.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training, with a notable concentration in the latter (1.2 times the regional average).

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the Census working population count versus resident population. In the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, labour force by 3.1%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. Comparatively, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, favourable compared to the national rate of 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections for Kellyville - East indicate local growth of approximately 6.8%% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Kellyville - East had a median income among taxpayers of $67,357 and an average income of $84,713. These figures are high nationally compared to the Greater Sydney levels of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of March 2025 would be approximately $74,497 (median) and $93,693 (average). Census data reveals household incomes rank at the 97th percentile with a weekly income of $3,051. Income distribution shows 33.4% of the population falls within the $4000+ range, contrasting with the region's leading bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 at 30.9%. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 50.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 97th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Kellyville - East's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.4% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 78.2% houses and 21.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville - East was at 30.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.3% and rented ones at 16.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,900, below Sydney metro's $3,000. Median weekly rent was $650, compared to Sydney metro's $580. Nationally, Kellyville - East's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.6% of all households, including 60.3% couples with children, 20.4% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 9.4%, with lone person households at 8.3% and group households comprising 1%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Kellyville - East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 40.4% among residents aged 15+, which exceeds the Australian average of 30.4% and that of NSW at 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 26.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 27.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 12.0% and certificates make up 15.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.1% in primary, 10.6% in secondary, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education. There are seven schools operating within Kellyville - East educating approximately 4,980 students. The area has significant socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1106. The educational mix includes four primary, one secondary, and two K-12 schools. As an education hub, the area offers 27.9 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 17.6, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville - East has 72 active public transport stops operating within its area. All these stops are served by buses via 103 individual routes. These routes combined facilitate 2,776 weekly passenger trips in total.

The accessibility of public transport is rated as excellent; residents typically live only 191 meters away from the nearest stop. On average, there are 396 bus trips per day across all routes, which amounts to approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville - East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data for Kellyville - East shows excellent results across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is notably high at approximately 62% of the total population (11,151 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.2% and 5.2% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 77.6%, report being completely free of medical ailments, slightly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 75.9%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.0% (2,507 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 18.9%. Health outcomes among seniors in Kellyville - East align closely with those of the general population.

Kellyville - East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville-East has a high level of cultural diversity, with 39.4% of its population born overseas and 37.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kellyville-East, comprising 58.2% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 7.2% of Kellyville-East's population versus 8.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (18.3%), English (17.8%), and Other (14.8%). Korean (1.7%) South African (1.2%) and Sri Lankan (1.0%) ethnicities are notably overrepresented in Kellyville-East compared to regional figures of 2.3%, 0.8% and 1.0% respectively.

Kellyville - East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kellyville - East is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - East has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (7.6%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the 15-24 age group has increased from 15.2% to 16.4% of the population, while the 5-14 cohort has declined from 16.0% to 14.6%. By 2041, Kellyville - East is expected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 95%, reaching 1,606 people from 825. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 74% of the population growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 0-4 age groups.