Kellyville - East

Kellyville - East is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Kellyville - East's population was around 17,855 as of February 2026. This reflected an increase of 146 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,709. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,679 in June 2024 and an additional 134 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 3,110 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 61.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilised NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipated lower quartile growth, with the area expected to grow by 566 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 2.2% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kellyville - East, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Kellyville - East has recorded approximately 25 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 128 homes were approved. In the current financial year, FY-26, 49 properties have been approved so far.

The area has experienced population decline, indicating that new supply is likely meeting demand and providing good choices for buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $532,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $2.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to residential. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - East has significantly less development activity, 85.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Building activity has accelerated in recent years, with around 95.0% standalone homes and 5.0% medium to high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With approximately 454 people per dwelling approval, Kellyville - East shows a developed market. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, the area is projected to add 390 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kellyville - East has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 26 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include William Clarke College Bryson Building, Sienna Apartments Kellyville, Hills Showground Station Precinct, and Kellyville Station Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Kellyville - East shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Kellyville - East has a highly educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 3.3%. Employment stability has been relative over the past year.

As of September 2025, there are 10,075 residents in work. The unemployment rate is 0.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is at 73.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 51.9% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Notably, employment levels in education & training are at 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employs just 3.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.1%, labour force grew by 0.4%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kellyville - East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Kellyville - East SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $71,478. The average income stood at $88,211. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to the Greater Sydney levels of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for median income would be approximately $77,811 as of September 2025. Average income estimate by that date is around $96,026. Census data shows household incomes rank at the 97th percentile with a weekly figure of $3,051. Distribution data indicates 33.4% of the population (5,963 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 50.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 96th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kellyville - East's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.4% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville - East was recorded at 30.1%, similar to the Sydney metro average. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (53.3%) or rented (16.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,900, higher than Sydney metro's figure of $2,427. Weekly rent in Kellyville - East stood at $650, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Kellyville - East's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.6% of all households, including 60.3% couples with children, 20.4% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 9.4%, with lone person households at 8.3% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kellyville - East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 40.4% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 26.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 27.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 12.0% and certificates make up 15.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 10.6% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville - East has 94 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are used by 102 individual routes that facilitate 3,216 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living within 190 meters of the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 88%, while train use accounts for 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, specifically 51.9%, work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 459 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville - East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kellyville - East shows excellent health outcomes according to AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 65% of the total population (11,641 people) have private health cover, which is higher than Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.2 and 5.2% of residents respectively. A total of 77.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. The area has 14.6% of residents aged 65 and over (2,608 people). While health outcomes among seniors are strong, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Kellyville - East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville-East scores highly in cultural diversity, with 39.4% of its population born overseas and 37.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, comprising 58.2% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 7.2% of Kellyville-East's population.

Top ancestry groups include Australian (18.3%), English (17.8%), and Other (14.8%). Notably, Korean (1.7%) South African (1.2%) and Sri Lankan (1.0%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Kellyville - East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kellyville - East was close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years at 38 years as of a certain date. This is also equivalent to the Australian median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - East had a higher percentage of residents aged 45-54 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (7.4%). Between the 2021 Census and another specified date, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 3.7% to 5.0%, while the 15 to 24 age group increased from 15.2% to 16.3%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group declined from 16.0% to 14.3%, and the 25 to 34 age group dropped from 8.5% to 7.4%. By another specified date in the future, Kellyville - East is expected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 81%, adding 718 people and reaching a total of 1,606 from 887. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 71% of the population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 55 to 64 age group and the 0 to 4 age cohort.