Kellyville - East

Kellyville - East is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Kellyville - East's population is around 17,855 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 146 people (0.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,709 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,679 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 134 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,110 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 61.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, lower quartile growth of national statistical areas is anticipated, with the area expected to grow by 566 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 2.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kellyville - East, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Kellyville - East has recorded around 25 residential properties granted approval per year, with 128 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 55 so far in FY-26. As the area has experienced population decline, new supply has likely been keeping up with demand, offering good choice to buyers, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $532,000, showing that developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. Additionally, $2.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - East has significantly less development activity (85.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, though building activity has accelerated in recent years. This level is also below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 95.0% standalone homes and 5.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 454 people per dwelling approval, Kellyville - East shows a developed market.

Future projections show Kellyville - East adding 390 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kellyville - East has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 26 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include William Clarke College Bryson Building, Sienna Apartments Kellyville, Hills Showground Station Precinct, and Kellyville Station Precinct, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

While Kellyville - East retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.8%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Kellyville - East has a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation and an unemployment rate of only 3.8%. As of December 2025, 10,002 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.4% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (72.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 51.9% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in education & training, with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average. In contrast, transport, postal & warehousing employs just 3.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.3% combined with employment decreasing by 1.2%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.9 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Kellyville - East. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kellyville - East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Kellyville - East SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $71,478 with the average level standing at $88,211. This is extremely high nationally and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $77,811 (median) and $96,026 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household incomes rank exceptionally at the 97th percentile ($3,051 weekly). Distribution data shows 33.4% of the population (5,963 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 50.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 96th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Kellyville - East, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 92.4% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Kellyville - East was in line with that of Sydney metro, at 30.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (53.3%) or rented (16.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $2,900, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $650, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Kellyville - East's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 90.6% of all households, comprising 60.3% couples with children, 20.4% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 9.4%, with lone person households at 8.3% and group households comprising 1.0% of the total. The median household size of 3.3 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kellyville - East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (40.4% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and that of NSW (32.2%), reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 26.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 27.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (15.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 10.6% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 94 active transport stops operating within Kellyville - East, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 102 individual routes, collectively providing 3,216 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 190 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 88%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 51.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 459 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville - East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Kellyville - East, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 65% of the total population (11,641 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 6.2% and 5.2% of residents, respectively, while 77.6% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 14.6% of residents aged 65 and over (2,608 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Kellyville - East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville - East scores highly on cultural diversity, with 39.4% of its population born overseas and 37.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Kellyville - East is Christianity, which makes up 58.2% of the people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Hinduism, which comprises 7.2% of the population, compared to 5.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Kellyville - East are Australian, comprising 18.3% of the population, English, comprising 17.8% of the population, and Other, comprising 14.8% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Korean is notably overrepresented at 1.7% of Kellyville - East (vs 1.1% regionally), South Australian at 1.2% (vs 0.5%) and Sri Lankan at 1.0% (vs 0.3%).

Kellyville - East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Kellyville - East is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and similar to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - East has a higher concentration of 45 - 54 residents (16.0%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (7.4%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.7% to 5.0% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 15.2% to 16.3%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 16.0% to 14.3% and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 8.5% to 7.4%. By 2041, Kellyville - East is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 81% (718 people), reaching 1,606 from 887. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 71% of projected growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 55 to 64 and 0 to 4 cohorts.