Kellyville - East

Kellyville - East is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Kellyville - East's population was around 17,849 as of November 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents an increase of 140 people (0.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,709 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,679 in June 2024 and an additional 131 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,109 persons per square kilometer, placing Kellyville - East in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth for the area, contributing approximately 61.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate lower quartile growth of national statistical areas, with Kellyville - East expected to grow by 566 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 2.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kellyville - East, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Kellyville - East has recorded approximately 25 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25128 homes were approved, with a further 49 approved in FY-26 as of now. The area's population decline suggests new supply is meeting demand, offering buyers good choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $532,000, indicating developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $2.2 million in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - East has significantly less development activity, being 85.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, though building activity has accelerated recently. The area's established nature is evident in its level being under the national average, potentially due to planning limitations.

Recent construction comprises 95.0% standalone homes and 5.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Kellyville - East's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 454 people per dwelling approval, it shows a developed market. Future projections estimate Kellyville - East will add 396 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kellyville - East has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 26 projects that may affect this region. Notable projects include William Clarke College Bryson Building, Sienna Apartments Kellyville, Hills Showground Station Precinct, and Kellyville Station Precinct. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Kellyville - East shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Kellyville - East has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services, an unemployment rate of 3.3%, and relative employment stability over the past year. As of September 2025, 10,075 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 73.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%.

Census responses indicate that 51.9% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training, with notable concentration in the latter at 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. The area offers limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the ratio of working population to resident population.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.1%, labour force grew by 0.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. Comparatively, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kellyville - East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though these estimates are illustrative and do not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Kellyville - East SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $71,478 and an average level of $88,211. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the Greater Sydney levels of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $77,811 (median) and $96,026 (average). Census data shows household incomes rank at the 97th percentile with a weekly income of $3,051. Income distribution reveals that 33.4% of the population earns over $4,000 annually, contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 50.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kellyville - East's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 92.4% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville - East was 30.1%, similar to Sydney metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.3% and rented dwellings at 16.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,900, above Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Kellyville - East was $650, higher than Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Kellyville - East's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.6% of all households, including 60.3% couples with children, 20.4% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 9.4%, with lone person households at 8.3% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kellyville - East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 40.4% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 26.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 27.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 12.0% and certificates make up 15.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 10.6% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville - East has 94 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are served by 102 different routes, facilitating a total of 3,216 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing within 190 meters of the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 88%, while train usage accounts for 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 51.9% of residents work from home, which may be reflective of COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 459 trips per day, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville - East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kellyville - East shows excellent health outcomes according to AreaSearch's evaluation. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 65% of the total population (11,637 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 6.2% and 5.2% of residents respectively. 77.6% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. As of 14.0% of residents are aged 65 and over (2,504 people), lower than the 15.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Kellyville - East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville-East scores highly for cultural diversity, with 39.4% of its population born overseas and 37.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Kellyville-East, comprising 58.2%. Hinduism is overrepresented at 7.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (18.3%), English (17.8%), and Other (14.8%). Korean (1.7% vs regional 1.1%), South African (1.2% vs 0.5%), and Sri Lankan (1.0% vs 0.3%) ethnic groups are notably overrepresented in Kellyville-East.

Kellyville - East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kellyville - East is close to Greater Sydney's average at 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - East has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (7.6%). Between the Census dates of 2021 and 2026, the population aged 15 to 24 grew from 15.2% to 16.4%, while the population aged 5 to 14 declined from 16.0% to 14.6%. By 2041, Kellyville - East's age composition is projected to shift notably. The number of residents aged 75 to 84 is expected to grow by 95%, reaching 1,606 from 824. This growth will be led by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising 74% of projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the cohorts aged 55-64 and 0-4 years.