Kellyville - East

Kellyville - East is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Kellyville - East's population was around 17,868 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 159 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,709. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,680 in June 2024 and an additional 131 validated new addresses since the Census date. This equates to a density ratio of 3,112 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 61.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate lower quartile growth, with the area expected to grow by 566 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 2.1% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Kellyville - East, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Kellyville - East has averaged around 25 residential properties approved annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25128 homes were approved, with a further 44 approved in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline, new supply appears to be meeting demand, offering buyers good choice.

The average construction value of new properties is $532,000, indicating focus on the premium market and high-end developments. This year, $2.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - East has significantly less development activity, at 85.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, though building activity has accelerated recently. The area's established nature is also evident in its level being under the national average, potentially due to planning limitations.

Recent construction comprises 95.0% standalone homes and 5.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Kellyville - East's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 454 people per dwelling approval, it shows a developed market. Future projections estimate an addition of 377 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kellyville - East has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 26 projects likely impacting the region. Notable ones include William Clarke College Bryson Building, Sienna Apartments Kellyville, Hills Showground Station Precinct, and Kellyville Station Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Kellyville - East shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Kellyville - East has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.3%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment stability has been maintained over the past year. As of September 2025, 10,075 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.3%, 0.9% below Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation is high at 68.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Notably, education & training employs 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.1%, labour force grew by 0.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kellyville - East's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022. Kellyville - East SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $67,357 and an average income of $84,713. These figures are high nationally compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $75,851 (median) and $95,395 (average). Census data shows household incomes rank at the 97th percentile with a weekly income of $3,051. Income distribution reveals that 33.4% of individuals earn over $4,000 annually, contrasting with the region's leading bracket of $1,500 - $2,999 at 30.9%. High earners make up a significant portion at 50.9%, indicating strong purchasing power. Housing costs consume 15.2% of income, but disposable income ranks at the 96th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Kellyville - East's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.4% houses and 7.6% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metro's composition of 78.2% houses and 21.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville - East stood at 30.1%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 53.3% and rented ones making up 16.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,900, lower than Sydney metro's average of $3,000. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure in Kellyville - East was $650, compared to Sydney metro's $580. Nationally, Kellyville - East's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $2,900 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville - East features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.6% of all households, including 60.3% couples with children, 20.4% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 9.4%, with lone person households at 8.3% and group households making up 1.0% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Kellyville - East shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 40.4% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 26.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 27.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas constitute 12.0% while certificates make up 15.4%.

Educational participation is notably high at 33.8%, including 11.1% in primary education, 10.6% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 72 active transport stops operating in Kellyville - East, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are serviced by 103 individual routes, collectively providing 2,776 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 191 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 396 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville - East's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kellyville - East demonstrates excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 62% (11,149 people) have private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 6.2% and 5.2% of residents respectively. 77.6% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 75.9%. The area has 14.0% (2,506 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 18.9%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Kellyville - East is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville-East has a high cultural diversity, with 39.4% of its population born overseas and 37.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kellyville-East, accounting for 58.2% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 7.2% versus 8.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (18.3%), English (17.8%), and Other (14.8%). Notably, Korean (1.7%) and South African (1.2%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional figures of 2.3% and 0.8%, respectively.

Kellyville - East's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kellyville - East is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - East has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (7.6%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 15.2% to 16.4%, while the population aged 5-14 has decreased from 16.0% to 14.6%. By 2041, Kellyville - East's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 95%, reaching 1,606 from 825. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 74% of the population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 55-64 and 0-4 years.