Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds

Population growth drivers in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The population of Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds, as per AreaSearch's analysis, stands at approximately 21,791 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 733 individuals, marking a 3.5% rise since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 21,058. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,655 in June 2024 and an additional 53 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,687 persons per square kilometer, placing Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, ending in June 2024, the area has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outpacing the metropolitan area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Examining future population trends, lower quartile growth is anticipated, with the area expected to expand by 661 persons to reach approximately 22,452 by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 2.4% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has seen approximately 23 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 118 homes. No approvals have been recorded so far in FY-26. On average, 3.5 new residents arrived per year for each dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. This supply lagging demand indicates heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, with new homes being built at an average cost of $255,000, below regional norms.

In FY-26, $2.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has significantly less development activity, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. Recent construction comprises 37.0% standalone homes and 63.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 82.0% houses. With around 3963 people per dwelling approval, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds is considered a highly mature market. Future projections estimate an addition of 525 residents by 2041, with current development patterns suggesting new housing supply will meet demand and potentially facilitate population growth beyond current projections.

Future projections show Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds adding 525 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects likely affecting this area. Notable ones include The Ponds High School Upgrade, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, The Ponds Shopping Centre, and The Ponds. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.3%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.4%. As of September 2025, there are 13,840 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.9% and workforce participation of 71.4%, both higher than Greater Sydney's rates. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. The area specializes in finance & insurance, employing 1.3 times the regional level, but has fewer construction jobs at 7.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 8.6%.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.4%, labour force grew by 4.3%, and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and a rise in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. As of 25-Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, employment is forecast to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds SA2 has high incomes. The median income is $72,004 and the average is $87,335. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $81,084 (median) and $98,348 (average). The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes rank highly in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds, between the 88th and 98th percentiles nationally. Income distribution differs from broader areas; 32.5% earn $4000+ compared to 30.9% earning $1,500 - $2,999 in wider regions. High earners (54.1% above $3,000/week) indicate strong economic capacity. Housing costs consume 16.8% of income but disposable income ranks at the 97th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds, as per the latest Census evaluation, 82.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 18.0% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is compared to Sydney metro's figures of 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds stood at 15.9%, similar to Sydney metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 61.0% and rented ones at 23.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,800, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,700. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney metro's $540. Nationally, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds' mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 90.0% of all households, consisting of 64.8% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 8.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.0%, with lone person households at 8.6% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds shows significant surpassing of broader benchmarks. As of the latest data, 45.6% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. This educational advantage is evident with bachelor degrees leading at 28.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.5%. Trade and technical skills are also prominent, with 25.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.2% and certificates at 13.8%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 14.5% in primary, 10.3% in secondary, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has 48 active public transport stops. These are served by buses only, with a total of 42 routes providing 2,383 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 212 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 340 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health outcomes data shows outstanding results for Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds. Common health conditions are seen at a fairly standard level across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high, with approximately 64% of the total population (13,902 people).

This compares to 58.5% across Greater Sydney, and the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, impacting 6.1 and 4.4% of residents respectively. 79.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 80.0% across Greater Sydney. The area has 9.6% of residents aged 65 and over (2,094 people), higher than the 7.8% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but require more attention than the broader population.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville Ridge-The Ponds has a high level of cultural diversity, with 46.5% of its population born overseas and 47.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kellyville Ridge-The Ponds, accounting for 46.9% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 17.2% of Kellyville Ridge-The Ponds' population versus 20.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other at 21.6%, Indian at 16.2%, and Australian at 15.6%. Some ethnic groups show notable differences in representation: Filipino is overrepresented at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 6.2%, Sri Lankan is represented at 1.0% (similar to the regional figure of 0.9%), and Maltese is also present at 1.7%, matching the regional percentage.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds's population is younger than the national pattern

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has a median age of 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years but slightly below Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.1%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, demographic aging has been evident with the median age increasing from 35 to 36 years. Key changes include the growth of the 45 to 54 age group from 15.1% to 17.9%, and the increase of the 15 to 24 cohort from 12.2% to 14.9%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 cohort has declined from 21.3% to 18.5%, and the 5 to 14 group has dropped from 19.9% to 17.8%. Population forecasts for Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to rise significantly, increasing by 643 people (an 85% rise) from 753 to 1,397. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 66% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, both the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.