Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds' population is 21,791 as of Aug 2025. This is an increase of 733 people (3.5%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 21,058. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 21,655 in June 2024 and 53 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 3,687 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has shown resilient growth with a 1.5% compound annual growth rate, outperforming the metropolitan area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.6% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For uncovers areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth, with an expected expansion of 661 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, representing a total increase of 2.4% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has received approximately 23 dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), a total of 118 approvals were recorded, with none so far in FY-26. On average, 3.5 new residents arrive per year for each dwelling constructed during this period. This significant demand outpaces supply, putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers.

The average construction value of new dwellings is $377,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. In FY-26, $2.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has lower building activity, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. This level is also below the national average, suggesting an established market with potential planning limitations. Recent construction comprises 37.0% detached houses and 63.0% attached dwellings, providing more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles. With around 3963 people per dwelling approval, the area indicates a highly mature market.

Population forecasts predict an increase of 525 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include The Ponds High School Upgrade, Sydney Metro Extension St Marys to Tallawong, North Kellyville Precinct Development, and Tallawong Village. The following list details those most likely relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.4%, with an estimated employment growth of 6.5% over the past year.

There are 14,121 residents in work, and the unemployment rate is 2.8% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 71.4%, above Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. Finance & insurance has notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

However, construction is under-represented at 7.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 8.6%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 6.5%, labour force increased by 6.5%, and unemployment remained essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.8%% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds had a median taxpayer income of $72,004 and an average income of $87,335 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By March 2025, current estimates project these figures to be approximately $79,636 (median) and $96,593 (average), based on a Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022. Census figures from 2021 show that household, family, and personal incomes in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 98th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 32.5% of locals (7,082 people) fall into the $4000+ category, differing from the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. The locality demonstrates considerable affluence with 54.1% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income, though strong earnings place disposable income at the 97th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

As of the latest Census evaluation in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds, 82.1% of dwellings were houses while 18.0% consisted of semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds was at 15.9%, closely matching the Sydney metro average. Mortgaged properties accounted for 61.0% while rented dwellings made up 23.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,800, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $2,700. Weekly rent, at $600, also surpassed the Sydney metro figure of $540. Nationally, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds' mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 90.0% of all households, including 64.8% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 8.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.0%, with lone person households at 8.6% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds is notably high, with 45.6% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications. This compares to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% statewide in New South Wales (NSW). Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.5%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.0% of residents aged 15 years and over holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.2% and certificates for 13.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.5% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education. The area's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,751 students. Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has above-average socio-educational conditions, with an Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage (ICSEA) score of 1082. The educational mix includes two primary schools and one K-12 school. Local school capacity is limited at 8.0 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.3, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 48 active transport stops operating within Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 42 individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 2,383 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 212 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 340 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds, with typical levels of common health conditions seen across both young and elderly cohorts. Private health cover rate is notably high at approximately 64% of the total population (13,902 people), compared to 58.5% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 6.1 and 4.4% of residents respectively, while 79.9% report being completely free from medical ailments, similar to the 80.0% figure in Greater Sydney.

The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 9.6%, with 2,094 people, compared to 7.8% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but require more attention than the broader population.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has a high level of cultural diversity, with 47.5% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 46.5% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds, making up 46.9% of the population. However, Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 17.2% of the population versus 20.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other at 21.6%, Indian at 16.2%, and Australian at 15.6%. Notably, Filipino, Sri Lankan, and Maltese ethnic groups have similar representation in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds as in Greater Sydney.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds's population is younger than the national pattern

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has a median age of 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly below Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (17.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.1%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, demographic aging is apparent with the median age increasing from 35 to 36 years. Notable changes include the 45-54 age group growing from 15.1% to 17.9% of the population, and the 15-24 cohort increasing from 12.2% to 14.9%. Conversely, the 35-44 cohort has decreased from 21.3% to 18.5%, and the 5-14 group has dropped from 19.9% to 17.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts for Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially, increasing by 643 people (an 85% growth) from 753 to 1,397. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 66% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, both the 15-24 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.