Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds' population was 21,791 as of November 2025. This showed an increase of 733 people from the 2021 Census figure of 21,058. The change was inferred from ABS's June 2024 estimate of 21,655 and 53 new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density of 3,687 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds grew at a compound annual rate of 1.5%, outperforming metropolitan averages. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.6% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for SA2 areas released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for other areas released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Future growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to expand by 661 persons, representing a 2.4% increase over 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has seen approximately 23 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 118 homes. No approvals have been recorded so far in FY-26. On average, 3.5 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed annually between FY-21 and FY-25. This supply lagging demand suggests heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, with new homes being built at an average expected construction cost of $255,000.

Commercial approvals registered this financial year amount to $2.6 million, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has significantly less development activity, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. Recent construction comprises 37.0% standalone homes and 63.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles. With around 3963 people per dwelling approval, the area reflects a highly mature market. Future projections indicate Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds adding 525 residents by 2041, with current development patterns suggesting new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Future projections show Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds adding 525 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects that could impact the region. Notable ones include The Ponds High School Upgrade, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, The Ponds Shopping Centre, and The Ponds. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 6.5%.

As of June 2025, 14,121 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.8% lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 71.4%, above Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. Finance & insurance has a high employment share of 1.3 times the regional level, while construction employs only 7.2% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 8.6%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited due to Census working population vs resident population counts. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 6.5%, with labour force growth also at 6.5%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 1.4%. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a slight rise in unemployment to 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds. Over five years, national employment is projected to grow by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to the local employment mix indicates potential growth of approximately 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has one of the highest incomes in Australia. The median income is $72,004 and the average income is $87,335. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds would be approximately $81,084 (median) and $98,348 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 98th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. The earnings profile shows that 32.5% of the population (7,082 individuals) have incomes of $4000 or more, differing from the broader area where incomes between $1,500 and $2,999 are most common at 30.9%. A substantial proportion of high earners (54.1% above $3,000 per week) indicates strong economic capacity in the suburb. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 97th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds, as per the latest Census evaluation, 82.1% of dwellings were houses while 18.0% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Sydney metro's dwelling composition of 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds stood at 15.9%, similar to Sydney metro, with mortgaged properties at 61.0% and rented ones at 23.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,800, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,700. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure for Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $540. Nationally, mortgage repayments in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.0% of all households, including 64.8% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 8.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.0%, with lone person households at 8.6% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds is notably higher than national and state averages. As of 2021, 45.6% of residents aged 15 years and above have university qualifications, compared to the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.0% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (13.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 36.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 14.5% in primary, 10.3% in secondary, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education. As of the latest data, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has three schools with a combined enrollment of 1,751 students. These schools demonstrate above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1082). The educational mix includes two primary and one K-12 school. However, local school capacity is limited at 8.0 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.3, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 48 active stops in Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds. These stops offer bus services. There are 42 routes serving these stops, providing a total of 2,383 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is good with residents typically located 212 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 340 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds, with a typical range of common health conditions seen across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 64% of the total population (13,902 people) have private health cover, compared to 58.5% across Greater Sydney and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 6.1 and 4.4% of residents respectively, while 79.9% report being completely free from medical ailments, similar to the 80.0% in Greater Sydney.

The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 9.6% (2,094 people), compared to 7.8% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville Ridge-The Ponds has a high cultural diversity, with 47.5% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 46.5% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Kellyville Ridge-The Ponds, comprising 46.9% of people. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 17.2% of the population versus 20.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.6%), Indian (16.2%), and Australian (15.6%). Filipino ethnicity is notably overrepresented at 4.8%, while Sri Lankan and Maltese remain similar to regional figures, at 1.0% and 1.7% respectively.

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds's population is younger than the national pattern

Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has a median age of 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.1%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, demographic aging has occurred, with the median age increasing from 35 to 36 years. Notable changes include the growth of the 45 to 54 age group from 15.1% to 17.9%, and the increase of the 15 to 24 cohort from 12.2% to 14.9%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 cohort has decreased from 21.3% to 18.5%, and the 5 to 14 group has dropped from 19.9% to 17.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts for Kellyville Ridge - The Ponds. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to increase substantially, rising by 643 people (an 85% increase) from 753 to 1,397. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 66% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, both the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.