Kings Park (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kings Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Kings Park (NSW) is around 3,481, reflecting an increase of 5 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 0.1% change from the previous population count of 3,476. The latest estimate by AreaSearch, following examination of ERP data released by the ABS in June 2024 and validation of new addresses, shows a resident population of 3,349. This results in a population density ratio of 1,333 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch's projections for Kings Park (NSW) are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is forecasted to grow by 1,382 persons, reflecting a gain of 45.5% in total over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kings Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kings Park has seen approximately 10 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 53 homes were approved, with one more approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 2 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years. However, this figure has intensified to 10 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $313,000. In FY-26, $1.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kings Park has roughly half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 39th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. This activity is also lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. Building activity shows 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% medium and high-density housing, offering affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a shift from the area's existing housing composition of 93.0% houses.

Kings Park has around 429 people per dwelling approval, indicating a developed market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 1,585 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Kings Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Two projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area: Blacktown and Mount Druitt Hospitals Expansion Stage 2, and Securing Our Water Supply - Quakers Hill to Prospect. Other notable initiatives include Marayong South Urban Renewal Precinct, and Securing Our Water Supply - Quakers Hill to Prospect (Purified Recycled Water Scheme).

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The exceptional employment performance in Kings Park places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Kings Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 0.9%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 5.3%.

As of September 2025, 2,259 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.3% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Kings Park is high at 86.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 41.5% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include education & training, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Education & training has a strong representation with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.6%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. There are 1.7 workers for every resident in Kings Park, indicating it functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 5.3% while labour force grew by 4.7%, resulting in a decrease of unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, with an increase in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kings Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Kings Park's median assessed income for financial year 2023 was $59,958, above the national average. The average income stood at $68,615. In Greater Sydney, median income was $60,817 and average income was $83,003. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $65,270 (median) and $74,694 (average), based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census 2021 data shows Kings Park's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 74th and 77th percentiles nationally. The $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket captures 39.9% of Kings Park residents (1,388 individuals), similar to the metropolitan region at 30.9%. Housing costs consume 16.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Kings Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The latest Census evaluation showed that in Kings Park, 92.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 7.2% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. In contrast, Sydney metropolitan area had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kings Park stood at 27.1%, compared to Sydney metro's higher rate. Mortgaged dwellings made up 50.2%, while rented dwellings accounted for 22.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Kings Park was $445, slightly below Sydney's $470. Nationally, Kings Park's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863, and rents were substantially above the Australian average of $375.

Kings Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.8% of all households, including 43.3% couples with children, 24.1% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households at 2.5%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kings Park demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 27.3%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 26.0%. Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.3% in primary, 6.4% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kings Park has 23 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six different routes, offering a total of 207 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located just 179 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuters travel outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 86%, while train usage stands at 9%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 41.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 29 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately nine weekly trips per individual stop.

Kings Park's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Kings Park residents, matching national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen across all age groups.

Private health cover is high at approximately 54% of the total population (~1881 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. The most common conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 8.1 and 7.2% respectively. Seventy-one percent declare themselves free from medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age population's health outcomes are typical. Fourteen point two percent of residents are aged 65 and over (494 people), lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. National rankings align with general population figures.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kings Park was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kings Park's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 30.3% born overseas and 27.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Kings Park, making up 56.9%. However, the 'Other' category comprised 3.5%, higher than Greater Sydney's 1.4%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (24.9%), English (20.5%), and Other (13.4%). Notably, Filipino (3.1%) and Maltese (1.5%) populations were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.0% and 1.0%, respectively.

Kings Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kings Park is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kings Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (17.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.8%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 45-54 has increased from 12.0% to 13.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has decreased from 18.8% to 17.4%. By 2041, Kings Park's age composition is expected to shift notably, with the 45-54 group projected to grow by 75%, reaching 793 people from 452.