Kings Park (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kings Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Kings Park (NSW) is around 3,578 people. This figure reflects an increase of 102 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,476 people. The change can be inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 3,534 based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,370 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kings Park's growth rate of 2.9% since the census is within 1.2 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 4.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 78.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in the suburb.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. These projections are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Kings Park (NSW) is forecasted to experience significant population growth by 2041. The area is expected to gain an additional 1,400 persons, reflecting a total increase of 42.0% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kings Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kings Park has seen approximately 14 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 72 homes were approved, with an additional one approved so far in FY-26. On average, 1.5 people moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five years, indicating a balanced supply and demand. However, this ratio has intensified to 6.5 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $313,000, which is below regional levels, offering more affordable housing options. In FY-26, approximately $17.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kings Park has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 55th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered. The current new development composition is 27.0% standalone homes and 73.0% medium and high-density housing, marking a shift from the area's existing housing stock, which is currently 93.0% houses. This trend reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles that require more diverse and affordable housing options.

Kings Park has approximately 280 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. By 2041, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects an increase of 1,501 residents in the area. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Kings Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects likely affecting the region: Blacktown and Mount Druitt Hospitals Expansion Stage 2, Securing Our Water Supply - Quakers Hill to Prospect, Marayong South Urban Renewal Precinct, and Richmond Road Upgrade M7 to Townson Road are key initiatives. Relevant details are provided below.

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Employment conditions in Kings Park rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Kings Park has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.0% as of June 2025.

Employment grew by an estimated 7.5% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 2,312 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was at 66.3%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors among residents include education & training, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Education & training had particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. In contrast, professional & technical employed just 5.6% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. There were 1.7 workers for every resident as per the Census, indicating Kings Park functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 7.5% while labour force grew by 7.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.5 percentage points. This contrasted with Greater Sydney where employment rose by 2.6%, the labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer further insight into potential future demand within Kings Park. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kings Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Kings Park's median income among taxpayers is $59,958. The average income in Kings Park during this period was $68,615. This is higher than the national average. In comparison, Greater Sydney had a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Kings Park would be approximately $67,519 (median) and $77,267 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Kings Park rank highly nationally, between the 74th and 77th percentiles. The data shows that the majority of residents, 39.9% or 1,427 people, fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region where 30.9% of residents are in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income in Kings Park. Despite this, strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Kings Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As evaluated in the latest Census, dwelling structures in Kings Park consisted of 92.8% houses and 7.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 76.8% houses and 23.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kings Park stood at 27.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.2% and rented ones at 22.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,300, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Kings Park was recorded at $445, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Kings Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kings Park features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.8% of all households, including 43.3% couples with children, 24.1% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households comprising 2.5%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Kings Park demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 27.3%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (26.0%). Educational participation is high at 29.2%, with 11.3% in primary education, 6.4% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Schools are located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access them in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kings Park has 22 active public transport stops operating within it. These are all bus stops. They are serviced by 6 different routes in total, which provide 197 weekly passenger trips combined.

The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 179 meters away from the nearest stop on average. Each route runs an average of 28 trips per day, which equates to about 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kings Park's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Kings Park residents have relatively positive health outcomes, with common conditions seen across both young and old age groups. Approximately 54% (~1,934 people) have private health cover, compared to 49.8% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions are asthma (8.1%) and mental health issues (7.2%). About 71.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.6% in Greater Sydney. As of the latest data, 13.7% (490 people) of residents are aged 65 and over, lower than the 15.2% in Greater Sydney.

Kings Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kings Park, surveyed in 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 30.3% of its residents born overseas and 27.1% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 56.9% of Kings Park's population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 3.5%, higher than Greater Sydney's 6.6%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians made up 24.9%, significantly more than the regional average of 15.7%. English ancestry was also high at 20.5% (regional avg: 14.3%), but 'Other' ancestry was lower at 13.4% (regional avg: 23.0%). Some ethnic groups showed notable variations: Filipino residents were overrepresented at 3.1% (regional avg: 6.4%), Maltese at 1.5% (regional avg: 1.9%), and Lebanese at 1.4% (regional avg: 1.8%).

Kings Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Kings Park is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kings Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (17.7%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.3%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 45-54 has grown from 12.0% to 12.9%. Conversely, the proportion of those aged 35-44 has decreased from 18.8% to 17.7%. By 2041, Kings Park's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 72%, increasing from 461 to 795 people.