Lalor Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Lalor Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Lalor Park statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at approximately 8,242 as of Nov 2025. This figure represents an increase of 408 people from the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,834. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 7,949 in June 2024 and the validation of 71 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,075 persons per square kilometer, placing Lalor Park (SA2) in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The area's growth rate of 5.2% since the census is within 1.9 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 7.1%, indicating strong population fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% of Lalor Park's overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. According to population projections, lower quartile growth is anticipated nationally, with Lalor Park (SA2) expected to grow by 241 persons to 2041, reflecting a decline of 0.9% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Lalor Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Lalor Park has had around 29 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 149 homes were approved, with a further 21 approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with good buyer choice.

Average construction cost value of new dwellings is $402,000. This financial year, $9.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Lalor Park has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 54th percentile nationally. New development consists of 71.0% detached houses and 29.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Lalor Park's suburban nature while indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles.

The location has approximately 293 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Lalor Park should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Lalor Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include Northcott Estate Renewal in Lalor Park, Jenner Street Mixed Use Development, Vardys Road & Evan Place Residential Development, and Seven Hills Community Hub (Betty Malthus Library). The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

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Lalor Park has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Lalor Park has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 5.0% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.8%.

As of September 2025, 4,141 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.8% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags at 53.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area shows strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services employ only 5.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.8%, while labour force increased by 4.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points during this period. State-level data from NSW to 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Lalor Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Lalor Park had a lower than average income level nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $45,602 and the average income stood at $54,629. These figures compared to Greater Sydney's of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average). Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $49,642 (median) and $59,469 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data showed household, family and personal incomes all ranked modestly in Lalor Park, between the 26th and 33rd percentiles. Distribution data indicated that the largest segment comprised 31.8% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (2,620 residents), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 78.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 26th percentile.

Lalor Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Lalor Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.9% houses and 9.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 76.8% houses and 23.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lalor Park was at 23.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.8% and rented ones at 44.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,041, lower than Sydney metro's $2,167. Median weekly rent in Lalor Park was $350, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Lalor Park's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,041 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $350 against the national figure of $375.

Lalor Park has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.8% of all households, including 30.4% couples with children, 19.1% couples without children, and 16.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.2%, with lone person households at 28.9% and group households comprising 3.3%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Lalor Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 22.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 34.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (25.0%). Educational participation is high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.9% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lalor Park has 54 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 21 different routes that together facilitate 1,363 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is rated excellent, with residents on average being located 168 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 194 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lalor Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Lalor Park faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent among its residents, particularly among older age cohorts. Approximately 49% (~4,004 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 8.9 and 8.8% of residents respectively. Sixty-six percent declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.6% across Greater Sydney. Fifteen point six percent of residents are aged 65 and over (1,285 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Lalor Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lalor Park, surveyed in 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 31.2% of its residents born overseas and 30.1% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 58.1% of Lalor Park's population, as per the 2016 Census. Hinduism, however, was underrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, with 5.0% versus a regional average of 14.7%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians made up 23.5%, English 20.3%, and Other 14.0%, differing significantly from the regional averages of 15.7%, 14.3%, and 23.0% respectively. Notably, Filipino (3.6%), Lebanese (2.8%), and Korean (1.4%) ethnic groups were overrepresented compared to their respective regional averages of 6.4%, 1.8%, and 0.9%.

Lalor Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Lalor Park's median age in 2021 was 37 years, matching Greater Sydney's figure and being comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constituted 12.0% of Lalor Park's population compared to Greater Sydney. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort made up 14.4%, which was less prevalent than in Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and the present day, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 5.2% of Lalor Park's population. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Lalor Park's age structure. Notably, the 85+ group is expected to grow by 112%, reaching 314 people from its current figure of 148. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 69% of projected growth in Lalor Park's population. Conversely, the 0-4 and 15-24 age groups are expected to experience population declines.