Blacktown - West
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Blacktown - West are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Blacktown - West's population is approximately 17,993 as of August 2025. This figure represents an increase of 852 people (5%) from the 2021 Census count of 17,141. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 17,786 in June 2024 and additional validated addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 3,844 persons per square kilometer, placing Blacktown - West among the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, indicating high demand for land. Between 2021 and 2025, Blacktown - West's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area, demonstrating leadership in regional population growth. Overseas migration contributed approximately 80.5% to the area's recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas until 2041. Future trends indicate above median population growth, with Blacktown - West expected to increase by 2,694 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 13.8% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Blacktown - West when compared nationally

Blacktown - West has received approximately 184 dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics provides data on a financial year basis, with a total of 920 approvals from FY-20 to FY-25 and 14 in FY-26 so far. On average, 0.5 new residents per year have been associated with each dwelling constructed over the past five financial years. This suggests that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of new dwellings has been $314,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, $3.6 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blacktown - West has 55.0% more building activity per person. However, development activity has moderated recently.

New developments consist of 65.0% detached dwellings and 35.0% townhouses or apartments, providing a mix of medium-density options across various price brackets. The location currently has approximately 276 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Future projections estimate Blacktown - West to add 2,487 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Blacktown - West has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Blacktown and Mount Druitt Hospitals Upgrade, Blacktown Quarter, St Maurice Village, and Dara Blacktown. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Blacktown - West has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Blacktown-West has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation, a 5.3% unemployment rate, and estimated employment growth of 6.0% in the past year (as of June 2025). There are 9,741 residents employed, with an unemployment rate at 1.1% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is lower at 56.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for Blacktown-West residents include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. The area has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing (2.1 times the regional average), but professional & technical employment is limited at 6.0% compared to 11.5% regionally. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 6.0%, while labour force grew by 6.5%, raising unemployment by 0.4 percentage points.

In contrast, Greater Sydney's employment rose by 2.6%, labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data (Sep-25) shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (-19,270 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 4.3%. National figures are 4.5% for unemployment and 0.26% employment growth. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment expansion at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blacktown-West's industry mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Blacktown-West's median income among taxpayers was $49,856 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $57,054 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Sydney had a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch, as of March 2025, estimates suggest Blacktown-West's median income would be approximately $55,141 and the average income around $63,102, accounting for a 10.6% growth in wages since financial year 2022. Census data shows that household income ranks at the 56th percentile ($1,857 weekly), with personal income at the 39th percentile. Income brackets indicate that 38.8% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (6,981 residents). This is consistent with broader trends across the broader area, where 30.9% fall into the same income category. High housing costs consume 17.8% of income in Blacktown-West. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 55th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Blacktown - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Blacktown - West's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.6% houses and 22.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 76.8% houses and 23.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blacktown - West was at 25.9%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (35.7%) or rented (38.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,100, below Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $410, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Blacktown - West's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Blacktown - West features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.7% of all households, including 41.2% couples with children, 21.8% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.3%, with lone person households at 18.1% and group households comprising 4.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational attainment in Blacktown - West aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

In Blacktown - West trail region, 29.9% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent (20.0%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 29.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 18.6%. Educational participation is high, with 32.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. The region operates a network of six schools educating approximately 2,955 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1008) and balanced educational opportunities. This mix includes four primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blacktown - West has 90 operational public transport stops. These are served by buses running along 28 routes. Weekly passenger trips total 1,729.

Residents' average proximity to the nearest stop is 144 meters. Daily service frequency averages 247 trips across all routes, equating to about 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Blacktown - West is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Blacktown West demonstrates health outcomes above the average, with low prevalence of common conditions among its general population. However, it has higher rates among older, at-risk cohorts compared to national averages.

Only approximately 48% (~8,690 people) have private health cover, which is lower than the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and diabetes, affecting 6.6% and 6.2% of residents respectively. About 73.4% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 73.6%. Around 14.6% (2,625 people) are aged 65 and over, presenting specific health challenges requiring additional attention compared to the broader population.

Blacktown - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blacktown-West has a high level of cultural diversity, with 53.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 50.0% born overseas as of the latest data. Christianity is the predominant religion in Blacktown-West, comprising 51.3% of its population. The category 'Other' is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 7.6% of Blacktown-West's population versus 6.6%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (24.7%), Australian (15.1%), and English (13.7%). Notably, Filipino (7.1%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 6.4%, while Indian (10.2%) and Maltese (2.1%) have slightly lower representation than their respective regional averages of 10.8% and 1.9%.

Blacktown - West's population is younger than the national pattern

Blacktown - West has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 years and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The 0-4 age group constitutes 6.8% of its population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 35-44 age group makes up 14.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group has grown from 6.9% to 7.6% of Blacktown - West's population. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate significant changes for Blacktown - West. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 70%, from 825 people to 1,408. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 52% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers by 2041.