Toongabbie - West

Population growth drivers in Toongabbie - West are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Toongabbie - West's population was around 12,406 as of November 2025, an increase of 828 people (7.2%) since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 11,578. This change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,215 in June 2024 and an additional 221 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 3,829 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Toongabbie - West's growth exceeded that of its SA3 area (4.1%) and the state, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.8% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth, with Toongabbie - West expected to grow by 1,724 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 12.4% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Toongabbie - West when compared nationally

Toongabbie-West has seen approximately 73 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 369 homes. As of FY26, there have been 19 approvals recorded. On average, each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25 has resulted in an increase of 2.3 new residents annually, indicating steady demand that supports property values. The average expected construction cost value for new homes is $510,000.

In the current financial year, there have been $240,000 worth of commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity in the area compared to previous years. Despite this moderation in recent periods, Toongabbie-West's development levels per person are similar to those of Greater Sydney, maintaining market equilibrium with surrounding areas. New developments consist of 51% detached houses and 49% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of medium-density options across various price brackets.

With around 466 people per dwelling approval, the area exhibits signs of a developed market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Toongabbie-West is projected to gain 1,533 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond existing population projections.

Toongabbie - West has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 17 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include the Toongabbie Bridge and Wentworth Avenue Upgrade, Metella Road Pavement Reconstruction, Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, and the 135 Toongabbie Road Indoor Recreation Facility. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Toongabbie - West ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Toongabbie-West has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 3.7%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.6%. As of June 2025, there are 6,917 residents employed, with a local unemployment rate of 3.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Key industries for residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

However, education & training has lower representation at 7.2% versus the regional average of 8.9%. Limited local job opportunities are indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 6.6%, labour force grew by 6.5%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and a rise in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections suggest Toongabbie-West's employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. In Toongabbie - West SA2, median income among taxpayers was $54,047 and average income was $64,223. These figures align with national averages. Comparing to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856 is notable. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $60,862 (median) and $72,322 (average). Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Toongabbie - West cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Distribution data reveals that 34.9% of individuals (4,329 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring regional levels at 30.9%. High housing costs consume 17.1% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 67th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Toongabbie - West displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Toongabbie - West's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 55.4% houses and 44.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 76.8% houses and 23.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Toongabbie - West was at 23.3%, with the rest either mortgaged (39.5%) or rented (37.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, aligning with Sydney metro's average. Weekly rent median was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Toongabbie - West's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie - West features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 78.1% of all households, including 43.9% couples with children, 21.2% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.9%, with lone person households at 17.8% and group households comprising 4.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which matches the Greater Sydney average.

Toongabbie - West shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Toongabbie-West has higher educational attainment than national and state averages. Among residents aged 15+, 40.8% have university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational pathways account for 24.8% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.0% and certificates at 14.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.6% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 55 active public transport stops operating in Toongabbie - West area. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services. There are 37 individual routes servicing these stops, collectively providing 4,009 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 164 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 572 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 72 weekly trips per individual stop.

Toongabbie - West's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Toongabbie - West, with younger cohorts seeing particularly low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover rate is approximately 52% of the total population (~6,438 people), leading that of the average SA2 area and Greater Sydney's 49.8%.

Diabetes impacts 6.0% and asthma affects 5.9% of residents in the area. 77.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to Greater Sydney's 73.6%. The area has 14.7% of residents aged 65 and over, totalling 1,823 people.

Toongabbie - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie-West has a population where 59.7% speak languages other than English at home, with 54.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 42.4%. Hinduism stands out at 30.0%, higher than Greater Sydney's average of 14.7%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (26.6%), Indian (17.4%, above regional average of 10.8%), and Australian (12.7%). Notably, Sri Lankan (1.7% vs regional 0.7%), Maltese (2.4% vs 1.9%), and Lebanese (2.0% vs 1.8%) groups are overrepresented.

Toongabbie - West's population is younger than the national pattern

Toongabbie - West has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 years and also somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The strongest representation in age groups is seen in the 35-44 cohort at 18.4%, compared to Greater Sydney. However, the 15-24 cohort is less prevalent at 10.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.2% to 5.5% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has declined from 16.8% to 15.7%. By 2041, significant demographic changes are forecast for Toongabbie - West. The 55-64 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 576 people (53%), from 1,088 to 1,665. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5-14 and 0-4 cohorts.