Toongabbie - West

Population growth drivers in Toongabbie - West are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Toongabbie - West's population was around 12,406 as of Nov 2025. This reflected an increase of 828 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,578 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,215 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 221 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 3,829 persons per square kilometer, placing Toongabbie - West in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 7.2% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (4.1%) and the state, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 65.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilised NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends projected an above median growth, with Toongabbie - West expected to grow by 1,724 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 12.4% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Toongabbie - West when compared nationally

Toongabbie - West has received approximately 73 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 369 homes. As of FY26, 25 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25 has led to an increase of 2.3 residents per year, indicating strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value of new homes is $208,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options.

This financial year, the area has seen $240,000 in commercial development approvals, reflecting its predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - West maintains similar development levels per capita, preserving market equilibrium with surrounding areas. Recent development activity consists of 51% detached houses and 49% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options across various price brackets.

With around 466 people per dwelling approval, the area exhibits a developed market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Toongabbie - West is projected to gain 1,533 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Toongabbie - West has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones include Toongabbie Bridge and Wentworth Avenue Upgrade, Metella Road Pavement Reconstruction, Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, and the 135 Toongabbie Road Indoor Recreation Facility. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Toongabbie - West ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Toongabbie - West has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.4%, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%.

Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 5.5%. As of September 2025, 6,877 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.4% and workforce participation at 60.0%, matching Greater Sydney's levels. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing employment, which is 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, education & training has lower representation at 7.2% versus the regional average of 8.9%. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.5%, labour force grew by 4.5%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a slight rise in unemployment rate. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts indicate employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years in Toongabbie - West, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Toongabbie - West SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $54,047 and an average of $64,223. These figures align with national averages. Comparing to Greater Sydney, the median is lower at $56,994 but the average is higher at $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 are approximately $60,862 (median) and $72,322 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Toongabbie - West cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Income distribution shows 34.9% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. High housing costs consume 17.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 67th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Toongabbie - West displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Toongabbie - West's dwelling structure as per the latest Census showed 55.4% houses and 44.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 76.8% houses and 23.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Toongabbie - West was at 23.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.5% and rented ones at 37.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, aligning with Sydney metro's average. The median weekly rent figure was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Toongabbie - West's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie - West features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 78.1% of all households, including 43.9% couples with children, 21.2% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.9%, with lone person households at 17.8% and group households comprising 4.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Toongabbie - West shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Toongabbie - West has an educational attainment level that exceeds national and state averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 40.8% hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. The area's highest qualification is the bachelor degree at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.2%. Vocational pathways account for 24.8% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.0% and certificates at 14.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis found that there are currently 55 operational public transport stops in the Toongabbie - West area. These stops offer a combination of train and bus services, with a total of 37 unique routes operating weekly. The collective passenger trips made through these routes amount to 4,009 per week.

Residents' accessibility to transport is considered excellent, with an average distance of 164 meters to the nearest stop. On average, there are 572 trips daily across all routes, which translates to approximately 72 weekly trips per individual stop.

Toongabbie - West's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Toongabbie-West, with younger cohorts in particular experiencing very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~6,438 people), leading that of the average SA2 area and comparing to 49.8% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are diabetes and asthma, impacting 6.0 and 5.9% of residents respectively, while 77.0% declare themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 73.6% across Greater Sydney. As of 2016, the area has 14.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,823 people).

Toongabbie - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie-West has a population where 59.7% speak languages other than English at home, with 54.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 42.4%. Hinduism is notably higher at 30.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 14.7%.

Ancestry-wise, 'Other' tops at 26.6%, followed by Indian at 17.4% (higher than the regional average of 10.8%), and Australian at 12.7%. Sri Lankan ancestry is overrepresented at 1.7%, Maltese at 2.4%, and Lebanese at 2.0%, each higher than their respective regional averages.

Toongabbie - West's population is younger than the national pattern

Toongabbie - West's median age as of 2021 is 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's median age of 37 and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The age group of 35-44 years shows strong representation in Toongabbie-West at 18.4%, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 15-24 age cohort is less prevalent at 10.8%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 4.2% to 5.5%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 16.8% to 15.7%. Population forecasts for Toongabbie-West in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 55-64 age cohort is projected to rise significantly, with an increase of 576 people (53%) from 1,088 to 1,665. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5-14 and 0-4 age cohorts.