Toongabbie - West

Population growth drivers in Toongabbie - West are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Toongabbie - West's population is around 12,603 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,025 people (8.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,578 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,215 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 262 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,889 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought-after resource. Toongabbie - West's 8.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (7.2%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 65.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, an above-median population growth of national statistical areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 1,724 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 10.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Toongabbie - West when compared nationally

Toongabbie - West has experienced around 73 dwellings receiving development approval per year, totalling 369 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 31 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 2.3 new residents per year gained for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), suggesting solid demand that supports property values, new homes are being built at an average construction cost of $208,000—below regional norms—reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. Additionally, $240,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - West has similar development levels (per person), preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas, though development activity has moderated in recent periods. New development consists of 51.0% detached houses and 49.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an expanding range of medium-density options creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets, from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives. With around 466 people per dwelling approval, Toongabbie - West shows a developed market.

Population forecasts indicate Toongabbie - West will gain 1,336 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Toongabbie - West has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 17 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Toongabbie Bridge and Wentworth Avenue Upgrade, Metella Road Pavement Reconstruction, Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, and 135 Toongabbie Road Indoor Recreation Facility, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Toongabbie - West ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Toongabbie - West features a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of only 3.4%, and 3.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 6,864 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.7% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (72.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 42.8% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and retail trade. The area has a particular employment specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 7.2% versus the regional average of 8.9%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.6% and the labour force increased by 2.8%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Toongabbie - West. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Toongabbie - West's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Toongabbie - West SA2's median income among taxpayers is $58,363, with an average of $67,978. This is in line with the national averages, and compares to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $63,534 (median) and $74,001 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Toongabbie - West cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 34.9% of the community (4,398 individuals), mirroring regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 17.1% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 67th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Toongabbie - West displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Toongabbie - West, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 55.4% houses and 44.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Toongabbie - West was lagging that of Sydney metro, at 23.3%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (39.5%) or rented (37.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $420, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Toongabbie - West's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie - West features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 78.1% of all households, comprising 43.9% couples with children, 21.2% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.9%, with lone person households at 17.8% and group households comprising 4.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Toongabbie - West shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Toongabbie - West significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 40.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational pathways account for 24.8% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (14.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.6% of residents aged 15+ currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 72 active transport stops operating within Toongabbie - West, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 36 individual routes, collectively providing 4,420 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 163 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 73%, with 18% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling. A high 42.8% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 631 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 61 weekly trips per individual stop.

Toongabbie - West's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Toongabbie - West, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover just leads that of the average SA2 area at approximately 53% of the total population (~6,629 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be diabetes and asthma, impacting 6.0 and 5.9% of residents, respectively, while 77.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 15.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,920 people), though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Toongabbie - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 59.7% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 54.9% born overseas. The main religion in Toongabbie - West is Christianity, which makes up 42.4% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Hinduism, which comprises 30.0% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Toongabbie - West are Other, comprising 26.6% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Indian, comprising 17.4% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 3.6%, and Australian, comprising 12.7% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 17.8%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is notably overrepresented at 1.7% of Toongabbie - West (vs 0.3% regionally), Maltese at 2.4% (vs 1.0%) and Lebanese at 2.0% (vs 2.6%).

Toongabbie - West's population is younger than the national pattern

At 36 years, Toongabbie - West's median age is nearly matching the Greater Sydney average of 37 and is similarly modestly under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - West has a higher concentration of 35 - 44 residents (18.1%) but fewer 15 - 24 year-olds (10.8%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.2% to 5.7% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 16.8% to 15.1%. Demographic modeling suggests Toongabbie - West's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 55 to 64 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 46%, adding 523 residents to reach 1,665. In contrast, both the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 age groups will see reduced numbers.