Toongabbie - West

Population growth drivers in Toongabbie - West are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Toongabbie - West's population is approximately 12,603 as of February 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 1,025 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,578. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,215 in June 2024 and an additional 262 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,889 persons per square kilometer, placing Toongabbie - West in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 8.9% since the 2021 census exceeds both its SA3 area (7.2%) and the state level, indicating it is a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are utilized, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth rate, with Toongabbie - West expected to grow by 1,724 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 10.6% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Toongabbie - West when compared nationally

Toongabbie - West has seen approximately 73 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totaling 369 homes. As of FY26, there have been 31 recorded approvals. Each dwelling built has resulted in an average of 2.3 new residents annually between FY21 and FY25. The average construction cost value for these dwellings is $208,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms.

This financial year, there have been $240,000 in commercial development approvals, indicating the area's residential focus. Development levels per person are similar to Greater Sydney, maintaining market balance with surrounding areas despite recent moderation in activity. New developments consist of 51.0% detached houses and 49.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of medium-density options across different price brackets.

With around 466 people per dwelling approval, Toongabbie - West exhibits signs of a developed market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to gain 1,336 residents by 2041. Given current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Toongabbie - West has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely to affect this region. Notable projects include Toongabbie Bridge and Wentworth Avenue Upgrade, Metella Road Pavement Reconstruction, Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, and the 135 Toongabbie Road Indoor Recreation Facility. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Toongabbie - West ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Toongabbie - West has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate is 3.4%, lower than the national average. Over the past year, employment grew by an estimated 5.5%.

As of September 2025, 6,877 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.8% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 72.9%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A significant portion, 42.8%, of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 7.2% compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the resident population versus working population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.5%, while labour force grew by 4.5%, causing a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a slight rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment is expected to expand by 6.6%, and by 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Toongabbie - West's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.1% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released its latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023. In Toongabbie - West SA2, the median income among taxpayers was $58,363 with an average of $67,978. These figures are comparable to national averages and Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year ending June 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $63,534 (median) and $74,001 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Toongabbie - West cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 34.9% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring regional levels where 30.9% fall into this bracket. High housing costs consume 17.1% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 67th percentile nationally, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Toongabbie - West displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Toongabbie - West, as per the latest Census, consisted of 55.4% houses and 44.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This was similar to Sydney metro's composition of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Toongabbie - West stood at 23.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.5% and rented ones at 37.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Toongabbie - West was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Toongabbie - West's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie - West features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.1% of all households, including 43.9% couples with children, 21.2% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.9%, with lone person households at 17.8% and group households comprising 4.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Toongabbie - West shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Toongabbie - West is notable, with 40.8% of residents aged 15 years and above holding university qualifications as of 2021 data. This figure surpasses the national average of 30.4% and the New South Wales (NSW) average of 32.2%. The area's educational advantage is evident in its high proportion of residents with bachelor degrees, at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.2%. Vocational pathways are also prominent, accounting for 24.8% of qualifications among those aged 15 years and above.

Advanced diplomas make up 10.0% and certificates account for 14.8% of these vocational qualifications. Educational participation is high in the area, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as per recent data. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Toongabbie - West has 72 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 36 individual routes, together facilitating 4,420 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 163 meters to the nearest stop. The area, predominantly residential, sees most residents commuting outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 73%, while trains account for 18%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 42.8% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 631 trips daily, equating to roughly 61 weekly trips per individual stop.

Toongabbie - West's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Toongabbie - West shows excellent health outcomes according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates are low, with younger cohorts having particularly low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is higher than average at 53% (6,629 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Diabetes and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 6.0% and 5.9% respectively. 77.0% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.2% (1,920 people) compared to the national average.

Toongabbie - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie-West has one of the highest linguistic diversities in Australia, with 59.7% speaking a language other than English at home as of 2016 Census data. In terms of birthplace, 54.9% were born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion (42.4%), but Hinduism stands out at 30.0%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 5.2%.

Regarding ancestry, 'Other' is highest at 26.6%, followed by Indian (17.4%) and Australian (12.7%). Notably, Sri Lankan (1.7%), Maltese (2.4%), and Lebanese (2.0%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Toongabbie - West's population is younger than the national pattern

Toongabbie - West's median age is 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years. This is modestly below the Australian median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - West has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (18.1%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (10.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 4.2% to 5.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has declined from 16.8% to 15.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Toongabbie - West's age profile. The 55-64 cohort is projected to grow by 46%, adding 523 residents to reach a total of 1,665. Meanwhile, both the 5-14 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.