Pendle Hill

Population growth drivers in Pendle Hill are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Pendle Hill's estimated population is around 8,125, reflecting a growth of 382 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 4.9% rise from the previous population count of 7,743. AreaSearch validated this figure by examining the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), which estimated the resident population to be 8,041 in the broader area around Pendle Hill. An additional 60 new addresses were confirmed since the Census date. This results in a population density of approximately 4,145 persons per square kilometer, placing Pendle Hill within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 4.9% since the Census is close to the state average of 6.7%, indicating strong growth fundamentals.

Overseas migration accounted for approximately 88.0% of overall population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 using a base year of 2021. These projections anticipate future population dynamics and suggest that Pendle Hill will experience an increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, the suburb is expected to expand by 947 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 9.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Pendle Hill recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Pendle Hill has seen approximately 48 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS data. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 242 homes were approved, with an additional 14 approved in FY-26 to date. On average, 0.2 people move to the area per dwelling built over these years.

The average construction value for new properties is $519,000. This financial year has seen $2.9 million in commercial approvals. Compared to Greater Sydney, Pendle Hill has 16.0% less building activity per person but ranks among the 75th percentile nationally. Recent construction consists of 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% townhouses or apartments.

The area has approximately 163 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Pendle Hill is projected to grow by 772 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, benefiting buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond projections.

Pendle Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified five projects that are expected to impact this particular area. Notable among these are the Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, Integrated Mental Health Complex Westmead, M4 Smart Motorway project, and Northside West Clinic Extension Stage 2. The following list provides details on those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Pendle Hill remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Pendle Hill has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 3.7% as of June 2025, which is 0.5% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

The area experienced an estimated employment growth of 2.4% over the past year, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. There were 4,785 residents in work with a workforce participation rate of 55.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among Pendle Hill residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and manufacturing. The area has a notable concentration in manufacturing, with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average.

However, construction employs only 5.4% of local workers, which is below Greater Sydney's 8.6%. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 2.4%, while labour force grew by 3.4%, resulting in a rise in unemployment rate by 1.0 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, and an increase in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. According to Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22, national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Pendle Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Pendle Hill had median taxpayer income of $51,613 and average income of $62,467 in financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney's median being $56,994 and average $80,856. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $58,121 (median) and $70,344 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%. Incomes in Pendle Hill ranked modestly according to 2021 Census figures, between the 43rd and 54th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominated with 33.0% of residents (2,681 people), similar to regional levels at 30.9%. High housing costs consumed 19.1% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 51st percentile. Pendle Hill's SEIFA income ranking was in the 5th decile.

Pendle Hill displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Pendle Hill's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 46.2% houses and 53.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 36.4% houses and 63.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Pendle Hill was at 20.0%, similar to Sydney metro's level, with the remaining dwellings being mortgaged (29.0%) or rented (51.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Pendle Hill was $2,160, below Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure in Pendle Hill was recorded at $400, compared to Sydney metro's $420. Nationally, Pendle Hill's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Pendle Hill features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.1% of all households, including 40.7% couples with children, 18.9% couples without children, and 9.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households comprising 4.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Pendle Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Pendle Hill is notably high, with 43.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This compares favourably to the national average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 25.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 23.2% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 13.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 7.6% in tertiary education, and 7.1% pursuing secondary education. Pendle Hill Public School and Pendle Hill High School serve a total of 947 students, with the area having typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1019) and balanced educational opportunities. There is one primary and one secondary institution providing education in the area. The number of school places per 100 residents is 11.7, below the regional average of 18.0, indicating some students may attend schools in neighbouring areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Pendle Hill has 39 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 41 individual routes that facilitate 4,045 weekly passenger trips in total. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 131 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility.

On average, there are 577 daily trips across all routes, equating to around 103 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Pendle Hill is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Pendle Hill shows better-than-average health outcomes with lower prevalence of common conditions among its general population compared to national averages.

However, among older and at-risk cohorts, the prevalence is higher. Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of Pendle Hill's total population (~4,197 people), slightly below the average for SA2 areas. The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes (6.7%) and arthritis (5.9%), with 76.3% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to 79.0% in Greater Sydney. Pendle Hill has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 16.3% (1,324 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 12.5%. Health outcomes among seniors require more focus than the broader population.

Pendle Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Pendle Hill has one of the highest language diversity rates in Australia, with 68.6% of residents speaking a language other than English at home as of 2016. Born overseas, 61.9% of Pendle Hill's population was recorded in the same year. Hinduism is the predominant religion in Pendle Hill, accounting for 43.3%, compared to 28.8% across Greater Sydney in 2016.

The top three ancestry groups in Pendle Hill are Other (31.4%), Indian (22.0%), and English (11.2%). Notably, Sri Lankan ancestry is overrepresented at 2.5%, compared to the regional average of 0.9%. Similarly, Lebanese ancestry stands at 2.6% versus a regional average of 3.5%, while Maltese ancestry is higher than the region's average at 1.9% in Pendle Hill.

Pendle Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Pendle Hill is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Pendle Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (16.9%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (11.7%). Between the 2016 Census and the 2021 Census, the percentage of residents aged 15-24 increased from 10.5% to 11.7%, while the percentage of those aged 25-34 decreased from 17.2% to 16.1%. By 2041, Pendle Hill's age composition is expected to shift notably. The number of residents aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 61%, reaching 679 from 422. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 59% of the population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 0-4 and 25-34.