Pendle Hill

Population growth drivers in Pendle Hill are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Pendle Hill statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 8,570 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 827 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,743. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 8,008 in June 2024, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 60 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 4,372 persons per square kilometer, placing Pendle Hill (SA2) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Pendle Hill's growth rate of 10.7% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the state average of 7.6% and the metropolitan area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the Pendle Hill (SA2) population is expected to increase by 945 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 3.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Pendle Hill recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Pendle Hill has experienced around 47 dwellings receiving development approval each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 236 homes have been approved, with an additional 15 approved so far in FY-26. On average, over these years, only 0.2 people per year moved to the area for each dwelling built, indicating that supply is meeting or surpassing demand.

This provides greater buyer choice and supports potential population growth above projections. New properties are constructed at an average value of $526,000, demonstrating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, $19.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Pendle Hill records 18.0% less building activity per person while it places among the 72nd percentile of areas assessed nationally. Recent construction comprises 29.0% detached houses and 71.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 46.0% houses).

This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With around 178 people per dwelling approval, Pendle Hill shows characteristics of a growth area. Looking ahead, Pendle Hill is expected to grow by 325 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Pendle Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the local area's performance significantly. These include the Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, Integrated Mental Health Complex Westmead, Northside West Clinic Extension Stage 2, and M4 Smart Motorway. The following list details those likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Pendle Hill demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Pendle Hill has an educated workforce, with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate is 3.8%, showing a growth of 2.8% in employment over the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of September 2025, 4,780 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.4%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is 55.0%, below Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and manufacturing. Manufacturing stands out at 1.8 times the regional level, while construction is lower at 5.4% compared to the regional average of 8.6%.

Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data. In the past year, employment increased by 2.8%, labour force by 3.5%, raising unemployment by 0.6 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts suggest total employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth varies between sectors. Applying these projections to Pendle Hill's mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.6% in five years and 13.8% in ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Pendle Hill has a median taxpayer income of $51,604 and an average income of $62,460 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2023. These figures are lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney having a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $56,176 (median) and $67,994 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Pendle Hill rank modestly, between the 43rd and 54th percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 33.0% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (2,828 residents), aligning with regional trends where this cohort represents 30.9%. High housing costs consume 19.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 51st percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Pendle Hill displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Pendle Hill, as evaluated at the latest Census, was 46.2% houses and 53.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 36.4% houses and 63.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Pendle Hill was 20.0%, with the remainder mortgaged at 29.0% or rented at 51.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,160, below Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $420. Nationally, Pendle Hill's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,160 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375 at $400.

Pendle Hill features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.1 percent of all households, including 40.7 percent couples with children, 18.9 percent couples without children, and 9.7 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.9 percent, with lone person households at 24.0 percent and group households making up 4.8 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Pendle Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Pendle Hill's educational attainment exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 43.8% hold university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 25.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 23.2% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 13.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.1% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 7.6% in tertiary education, and 7.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Pendle Hill has 44 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 42 individual routes that facilitate 5,653 weekly passenger trips in total. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 130 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility.

On average, there are 807 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 128 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Pendle Hill is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Pendle Hill shows better-than-average health outcomes, with lower prevalence of common conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, among older and at-risk cohorts, the prevalence is higher.

Approximately 52% (~4,426 people) have private health cover, which is lower than Greater Sydney's 54.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes (6.7%) and arthritis (5.9%), with 76.3% of residents reporting no medical ailments. This compares to 79.0% across Greater Sydney. Pendle Hill has a higher proportion of seniors, at 16.3% (1,396 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 12.5%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Pendle Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Pendle Hill has a high level of linguistic diversity, with 68.6% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home as of the latest data. Born overseas, 61.9% of Pendle Hill's population is recorded. Hinduism is the predominant religion in Pendle Hill, accounting for 43.3%, compared to 28.8% across Greater Sydney.

Regarding ancestry, 'Other' is the largest group at 31.4%, higher than the regional average of 23.7%. Indian ancestry follows at 22.0%, with English at 11.2%. Notably, Sri Lankan (2.5%), Lebanese (2.6%), and Maltese (1.9%) ethnicities are more prevalent in Pendle Hill compared to their respective regional averages of 0.9%, 3.5%, and 0.9%.

Pendle Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Pendle Hill is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Pendle Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (16.9%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (11.7%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the age group 15-24 has increased from 10.5% to 11.7%. Conversely, the age group 25-34 has decreased from 17.2% to 16.1%. By 2041, Pendle Hill's age composition is expected to shift significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 52%, reaching 679 people from 445. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 66% of the population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the age groups 15-24 and 0-4.