Pendle Hill

Population growth drivers in Pendle Hill are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

The population of Pendle Hill was estimated at 7,743 people as of Feb 2021. By Feb 2026, the population had increased to around 8,607, reflecting a growth of 864 people (11.2%) since the 2021 Census. This increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 8,008 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 60 new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density ratio is 4,391 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Pendle Hill's growth rate exceeded both the state average (7.8%) and Greater Sydney during this period. Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is expected to increase its population by 925 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 3.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Pendle Hill recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Pendle Hill has seen approximately 47 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 236 homes were approved, with an additional 15 approved in FY26 so far. The average population increase per dwelling built over these five years was approximately 0.2 people annually.

This suggests that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering more buyer choices and supporting potential population growth. New properties are being constructed at an average expected cost of $526,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. In FY26, commercial approvals totaled $19.1 million, reflecting steady commercial investment activity. Comparatively, Pendle Hill has 18.0% less building activity per person than Greater Sydney but ranks in the 72nd percentile nationally among assessed areas. Recent construction trends show 29.0% detached houses and 71.0% townhouses or apartments, a shift from the current housing pattern of 46.0% houses.

This suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Pendle Hill exhibits characteristics of a growth area, with around 178 people per dwelling approval. Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Pendle Hill's population to grow by approximately 293 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Pendle Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects include Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, Integrated Mental Health Complex Westmead, Northside West Clinic Extension Stage 2, and M4 Smart Motorway. The following details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Pendle Hill demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Pendle Hill has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 3.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.9%. As of September 2025, 4785 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.4%, which is 0.4% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was 74.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses showed that 39.7% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and manufacturing. Manufacturing had a particularly high representation, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction showed lower representation at 5.4% compared to the regional average of 8.6%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. In the 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 2.9%, labour force by 3.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with an unemployment rate increase of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years. Applying these projections to Pendle Hill's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, assuming constant population growth for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Pendle Hill had a median taxpayer income of $51,604 and an average income of $62,460 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney having a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $56,176 (median) and $67,994 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Pendle Hill ranked modestly, between the 43rd and 54th percentiles. The largest income segment comprised 33.0% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with 2,840 residents falling into this category. High housing costs consumed 19.1% of income, yet strong earnings placed disposable income at the 51st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Pendle Hill displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Pendle Hill, as per the latest Census, consisted of 46.2% houses and 53.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Pendle Hill stood at 20.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.0% and rented ones at 51.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,160, below the Sydney metro average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Pendle Hill's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,160 against Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also higher at $400 compared to the national figure of $375.

Pendle Hill features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.1% of all households, including 40.7% couples with children, 18.9% couples without children, and 9.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households making up 4.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Pendle Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Pendle Hill has higher educational attainment than broader benchmarks. 43.8% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common (25.8%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational pathways account for 23.2%, with advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 13.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 7.6% in tertiary education, and 7.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Pendle Hill has 44 operational public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 42 unique routes, facilitating 5,653 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated highly, with residents on average located 130 meters from their nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 72%, followed by trains at 18% and walking at 5%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.0, lower than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 39.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 807 trips per day, equating to around 128 weekly trips per individual stop.

Pendle Hill's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Pendle Hill residents show positive health outcomes, with mortality rates and health conditions aligning with national averages, according to AreaSearch's analysis. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts compared to national figures.

Private health cover stands at approximately 52% (~4,445 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Diabetes and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.7 and 5.9% of residents respectively, with 76.3% reporting no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Pendle Hill has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 16.6% (1,428 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Pendle Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Pendle Hill has a population where 68.6% speak a language other than English at home, with 61.9% born overseas. The predominant religion is Hinduism, comprising 43.3%, compared to 5.2% in Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (31.4%), Indian (22.0%), and English (11.2%).

Pendle Hill has notably higher percentages for Other and Indian than the regional averages of 16.0% and 3.6%, respectively. English is notably lower at 11.2% compared to the regional average of 19.0%. There are also notable differences in Sri Lankan (2.5% vs 0.3%), Lebanese (2.6% vs 2.6%), and Maltese (1.9% vs 1.0%) representation.

Pendle Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Pendle Hill is 38 years, closely matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Pendle Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 85 and above (3.4%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 years (10.8%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 10.5% to 11.9%, while the 45 to 54 age group increased from 11.0% to 12.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 17.2% to 15.7%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 11.9% to 10.8%. By 2041, Pendle Hill's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 47%, reaching 672 people from the current 456. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 66% of projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age cohorts.