Greystanes - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Greystanes - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, Greystanes - South's population is approximately 16,967, reflecting an increase of 322 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,645. This growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,934 in June 2025 and an additional 43 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 3,003 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile compared to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 63.9% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the population is projected to increase by approximately 955 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of about 5.4% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Greystanes - South when compared nationally

Greystanes - South has approved approximately 85 residential properties annually. Between Financial Year 21 and Financial Year 25, a total of 428 homes were approved, with an additional 81 approved in Financial Year 26 to date. The average population growth per dwelling built over these years was 0.1 people annually.

This suggests that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering more buyer choices and potential for population growth beyond projections. The average construction cost value of new properties was $423,000, slightly above the regional average. In Financial Year 26, commercial development approvals totaled $611,000, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Greystanes - South has about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 68th percentile nationally when assessed areas are considered. New building activity comprises 43.0% standalone homes and 57.0% townhouses or apartments.

This shift towards compact living provides affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. It marks a significant change from the current housing mix of 85.0% houses, reflecting reduced development site availability and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The area has approximately 202 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Greystanes - South is projected to gain 922 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Greystanes - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects likely to affect this region. Notable ones include NDIS SIL Mixed Use Development, Cumberland Golf Club Redevelopment, 497B Great Western Highway Boarding House, and Bradman Street Residential Subdivision. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Greystanes - South shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Greystanes - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.3% in the past year. Employment growth was estimated at 4.4%.

As of December 2025, 8,521 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, 0.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation was 65.3%, below Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Home workership was high at 41.5%. Key industries included health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction employment share was 1.4 times the regional level. Professional & technical services employed only 6.4% of workers, lower than Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census data comparison. Over December 2024 to December 2025, employment increased by 4.4%, labour force by 4.3%, reducing unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2% and unemployment marginally increase. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years for Greystanes - South, based on industry-specific projections applied to its local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Greystanes - South SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $54,667 and an average income of $65,239. These figures are slightly below the national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively for Greater Sydney. Using Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $60,309 (median) and $71,972 (average). Census data indicates household income ranks at the 61st percentile ($1,928 weekly), with personal income at the 37th percentile. Income distribution shows that 30.7% of locals fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which is similar to the broader area's 30.9%. Housing costs consume 16.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Greystanes - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Greystanes - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.2% houses and 14.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Greystanes - South was at 41.8%, with the rest being mortgaged (38.4%) or rented (19.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $480, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Greystanes - South's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,500 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Greystanes - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.0% of all households, including 44.2% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Greystanes - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.2%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.7% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 22.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.2% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Greystanes - South indicates that there are 156 active transport stops currently operating. These stops facilitate a variety of bus routes, with a total of 45 individual routes servicing the area. Collectively, these routes provide 1,587 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in this primarily residential region is rated as excellent, with residents typically located approximately 128 meters from their nearest transport stop. Despite this, most residents still commute outward using private vehicles, which remain the dominant mode of transportation at 90%. This high usage of cars is reflected in the average vehicle ownership per dwelling, which stands at 1.6, exceeding the regional average.

Reflecting possible changes due to COVID-19 conditions, a significant 41.5% of residents were recorded as working from home according to the 2021 Census data. The service frequency across all routes averages out to approximately 226 trips per day, translating to roughly 10 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies this report, detailing the locations of the 100 nearest transport stops in relation to the area's centrepoint.

Greystanes - South's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Greystanes - South. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were both low across young and old age cohorts.

Private health cover was approximately 52% of the total population (~8,805 people), slightly lagging behind the average SA2 area's rate of 59.9%. The most common medical conditions were arthritis (7.8%) and asthma (6.1%). 73.3% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. 19.5% of residents were aged 65 and over (3,306 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Greystanes - South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greystanes-South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.6% of its population born overseas and 40.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Greystanes-South, making up 72.0% of people there, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Greystanes-South are Australian (17.8%), Other (17.2%), and English (13.6%), which is lower than the regional average of 19.0%.

Notably, Lebanese (13.6%) and Maltese (4.5%) are overrepresented in Greystanes-South compared to the regional averages of 2.6% and 1.0%, respectively. Additionally, Croatian representation at 2.2% is higher than the regional average of 0.7%.

Greystanes - South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Greystanes - South is 39 years, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Greystanes - South has a notably higher proportion of people aged 75-84 (8.3% locally) but fewer people aged 25-34 (11.4%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group grew from 6.7% to 8.3%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 11.7% to 13.0%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort declined from 10.4% to 8.8%, and the 35-44 group dropped from 13.7% to 12.3%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Greystanes - South. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 94% (from 420 to 816 people), with residents aged 65 and older representing 60% of the anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.