Greystanes - South
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Greystanes - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Greystanes - South's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 17,008. This figure represents a growth of 363 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,645. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,930 in June 2024 and an additional 37 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,010 persons per square kilometer, placing Greystanes - South in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 60.6% of overall population gains recently.

For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Greystanes - South's population is expected to increase by approximately 968 persons, representing a total gain of 5.2% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Greystanes - South when compared nationally

Greystanes - South averaged approximately 85 new dwelling approvals per year. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis. In the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, there were 428 home approvals, with an additional 28 recorded so far in FY26. Over these five years, an average of 0.1 new residents per year was associated with each dwelling constructed.

This suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially contributing to population growth beyond current projections. The average value of new homes being built is $528,000. In FY26, there have been commercial approvals valued at $611,000, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Greystanes - South has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 69th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New development consists of approximately 43% detached houses and 57% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 85% houses.

This trend may be due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The area has approximately 202 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Future projections suggest Greystanes - South will add around 881 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling population growth beyond current forecasts.

Greystanes - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are NDIS SIL Mixed Use Development, Cumberland Golf Club Redevelopment, 497B Great Western Highway Boarding House, and Bradman Street Residential Subdivision. The following list details those most pertinent.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Greystanes - South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Greystanes-South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1%.

As of June 2025, 8,518 residents are employed, but the unemployment rate is higher than Greater Sydney's by 0.4%, and workforce participation is lower at 52.6%. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows notable concentration with levels at 1.4 times the regional average, while professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.4% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count.

Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1%, labour force grew by 3.1%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.9 percentage points in Greystanes-South. In comparison, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and unemployment rose by 0.3%. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%, compared to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections suggest Greystanes-South's local growth could be approximately 6.4%% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Greystanes - South's median income among taxpayers was $50,945 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $61,797 during the same period. This compares to figures for Greater Sydney of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. By March 2025, estimates project median income to be approximately $56,345 and average income to be around $68,347, based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranked at the 61st percentile ($1,928 weekly), while personal income was at the 37th percentile. The largest income segment comprised 30.7% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (5,221 residents), aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort also represented 30.9%. High housing costs consumed 16.4% of income in Greystanes - South. Despite this, disposable income ranked at the 61st percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Greystanes - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Greystanes - South, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 85.2% houses and 14.7% other dwellings including semi-detached, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan area's figures of 62.1% houses and 37.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Greystanes - South stood at 41.8%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 38.4% and rented ones comprising 19.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, surpassing Sydney metropolitan average of $2,167. Median weekly rent figure was recorded at $480, higher than Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Greystanes - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Greystanes - South features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.0% of all households, including 44.2% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households at 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Greystanes - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has lower university qualification rates at 22.2% compared to the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.7% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 22.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.3% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (11.2%), secondary (8.7%), and tertiary (4.8%).

Six schools operate in Greystanes - South, educating approximately 3,319 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1029) with balanced educational opportunities. There are four primary and two secondary schools serving distinct age groups, with a capacity exceeding typical residential needs at 19.5 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 13.2, indicating it serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Greystanes - South indicates that there are 144 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a variety of bus routes, with a total of 44 individual routes providing service to the area. The combined weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 1,560.

Residents in Greystanes - South enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of just 129 meters to the nearest transport stop. The service frequency across all routes is approximately 222 trips per day, which translates to around 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Greystanes - South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Greystanes - South exhibits superior health outcomes across both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 51% (~8,606 people) have private health cover, lower than Greater Sydney's 47.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.8%) and asthma (6.1%), while 73.3% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 77.0%. There are 19.5% of residents aged 65 and over (3,316 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 13.9%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Greystanes - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greystanes-South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.6% of its population born overseas and 40.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Greystanes-South, accounting for 72.0%, compared to 45.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (17.8%), Other (17.2%), and English (13.6%).

Notably, Lebanese people make up 13.6% of Greystanes-South's population, higher than the regional average of 16.2%. Maltese people comprise 4.5%, compared to 1.4% regionally, and Croatian people account for 2.2%, higher than the regional average of 0.9%.

Greystanes - South's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Greystanes - South is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Comparing the two areas, the percentage of people aged 75-84 is notably higher in Greystanes - South at 8.1%, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 11.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.7% to 8.1% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 11.7% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has decreased from 10.4% to 9.1%, and the 35 to 44 group has dropped from 13.7% to 12.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Greystanes - South, with the 85+ age group expected to grow by 103% (from 391 to 796 people). Residents aged 65 and older will represent 61% of this growth. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.