Greystanes - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Greystanes - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Greystanes - South's population is approximately 17,551 as of February 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 906 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,645. The growth is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 16,921 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,106 persons per square kilometer, placing Greystanes - South in the upper quartile compared to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 5.4% growth since the census is within 2.4 percentage points of the state's growth rate of 7.8%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 60.6% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate an increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation, with Greystanes - South expected to grow by 968 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 1.9% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Greystanes - South when compared nationally

Greystanes - South has recorded approximately 85 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 428 homes were approved, with a further 56 approved so far in FY26. The average number of new residents arriving per new home over these years is approximately 0.1 per year.

This indicates that supply meets or exceeds demand, providing greater buyer choice and supporting potential population growth above projections. The average construction value of new homes is $423,000, which is moderately above regional levels, suggesting an emphasis on quality construction. In FY26, there have been commercial approvals totalling $611,000, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Greystanes - South has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 68th percentile nationally. New development consists of 43.0% detached dwellings and 57.0% medium and high-density housing, indicating a trend towards denser development to provide accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers.

This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 85.0% houses. The population density in Greystanes - South is around 202 people per approval, reflecting a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Greystanes - South is expected to grow by approximately 338 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Greystanes - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include NDIS SIL Mixed Use Development, Cumberland Golf Club Redevelopment, 497B Great Western Highway Boarding House, and Bradman Street Residential Subdivision. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Greystanes - South has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Greystanes - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 4.6% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4% over the past year. This compares to Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%.

As of this date, 8,447 residents were employed, with a workforce participation rate of 65.1%, slightly below Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Notably, 41.5% of residents worked from home according to Census responses. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 6.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.4%, while labour force grew by 3.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and an unemployment rate increase of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Greystanes - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The median taxpayer income in Greystanes - South SA2 is $54,667 and the average is $65,239 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. This is lower than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,030. By September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $59,510 (median) and $71,019 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 61st percentile ($1,928 weekly) and personal income at the 37th percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 30.7% of the community (5,388 individuals). High housing costs consume 16.4% of income. Disposable income ranks at the 60th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Greystanes - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Greystanes - South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.2% houses and 14.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Greystanes - South was 41.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.4% and rented ones at 19.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $480, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Greystanes - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.

Greystanes - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.0% of all households, including 44.2% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households comprising 1.4% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Greystanes - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has university qualification rates of 22.2%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 33.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (22.6%). Educational participation is high at 30.3%, comprising primary education (11.2%), secondary education (8.7%), and tertiary education (4.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Greystanes - South indicates that there are currently 156 operational transport stops, all of which offer bus services. These stops are serviced by a total of 45 different routes, providing a combined weekly passenger trip count of 1,587. The accessibility to these transport facilities is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 128 metres from the nearest stop. As Greystanes - South is primarily residential, most commutes are outward-bound, with the car remaining the dominant mode of transportation at 90%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling stands at 1.6, which exceeds the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion of residents, 41.5%, work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

On average, there are 226 trips made per day across all routes, translating to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map illustrates the locations of the 100 nearest stops to the specified centrepoint.

Greystanes - South's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Greystanes - South. Based on AreaSearch's assessment, mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover was approximately 52% of the total population (~9,108 people), slightly lagging behind the average SA2 area at 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area were arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.8 and 6.1% of residents respectively. A total of 73.3% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents showed notably healthy outcomes with low chronic condition prevalence. The area had 19.8% of residents aged 65 and over (3,466 people), higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Greystanes - South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greystanes-South has high cultural diversity, with 32.6% of its population born overseas and 40.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Greystanes-South, accounting for 72.0%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (17.8%), Other (17.2%), and English (13.6%), which is lower than the regional average of 19.0%.

Notably, Lebanese representation is higher at 13.6%, compared to 2.6% regionally, Maltese at 4.5% versus 1.0%, and Croatian at 2.2% versus 0.7%.

Greystanes - South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Greystanes - South is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to the Greater Sydney average, the 75-84 age group is notably over-represented at 8.3% locally, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.9%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.7% to 8.3%, and the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.7% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group has declined from 10.4% to 9.0%, and the 35 to 44 age group has dropped from 13.7% to 12.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Greystanes - South. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 87%, reaching 796 people from 424, with residents aged 65 and older representing 69% of anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.