Greystanes - South

An assessment of population growth drivers in Greystanes - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Greystanes - South's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is 17,016 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 371 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,645. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 16,929 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,011 persons per square kilometer, placing Greystanes - South in the upper quartile nationally. Overseas migration contributed approximately 60.6% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Greystanes - South is projected to increase by 968 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 5.1%.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Greystanes - South when compared nationally

Greystanes - South has recorded approximately 85 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 428 homes have been approved, with a further 50 approved so far in FY26. The average population growth per dwelling built over these years is 0.1 people annually, indicating that supply meets or exceeds demand.

This provides greater buyer choice and supports potential population growth above projections. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $423,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. In FY26, commercial development approvals totaled $611,000, predominantly residential in focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Greystanes - South records approximately three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 68th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New building activity comprises 43.0% standalone homes and 57.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift towards compact living that offers affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

This marks a significant change from the current housing mix, which is currently 85.0% houses. The location has approximately 202 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Greystanes - South is forecasted to gain 873 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Greystanes - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 18 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include NDIS SIL Mixed Use Development, Cumberland Golf Club Redevelopment, 497B Great Western Highway Boarding House, and Bradman Street Residential Subdivision. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Greystanes - South shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Greystanes - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4%.

As of September 2025, there are 8,447 residents employed, but its unemployment rate is 0.4% higher than Greater Sydney's at 4.2%, and workforce participation is lower at 52.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical employs only 6.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.4%, while labour force grew by 3.1%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from November 25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts project employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local projections suggest Greystanes - South's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Greystanes - South SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $50,945 and an average level of $61,797. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $57,369 (median) and $69,590 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household income ranks at the 61st percentile ($1,928 weekly), while personal income sits at the 37th percentile. Distribution data shows the predominant cohort spans 30.7% of locals (5,223 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represents 30.9%. High housing costs consume 16.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 60th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Greystanes - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Greystanes - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.2% houses and 14.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 62.1% houses and 37.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Greystanes - South stood at 41.8%, with the rest either mortgaged (38.4%) or rented (19.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Greystanes - South was $480, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Greystanes - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Greystanes - South features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.0% of all households, including 44.2% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Greystanes - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.2%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.7% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 22.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.2% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Greystanes-South has 144 active public transport stops, all bus services. These are covered by 44 routes, offering a total of 1,560 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 129 meters to the nearest stop.

On average, there are 222 trips daily across all routes, equating to around 10 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Greystanes - South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Greystanes - South shows better-than-average health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence of common conditions. Approximately 51% (~8,610 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 47.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.8%) and asthma (6.1%). About 73.3% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 77.0%. Around 19.5% (~3,318 people) are aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Sydney's 13.9%. Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's profile.

Greystanes - South was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greystanes-South scores highly on cultural diversity, with 32.6% of its population born overseas and 40.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Greystanes-South is Christianity, comprising 72.0%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 45.1%. In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Australian (17.8%), Other (17.2%), and English (13.6%).

Notably, Lebanese (13.6%) and Maltese (4.5%) are overrepresented in Greystanes-South compared to regional averages of 16.2% and 1.4%, respectively. Additionally, Croatian ancestry is also notably higher at 2.2%.

Greystanes - South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Greystanes - South is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 75-84 cohort is notably over-represented in Greystanes - South at 8.1%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 11.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.7% to 8.1%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.7% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort declined from 10.4% to 9.1%, and the 35 to 44 age group dropped from 13.7% to 12.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Greystanes - South, with the 85+ cohort expected to grow by 103% (from 391 to 796 people). Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 61% of this growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.