Greystanes - South
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Greystanes - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Greystanes - South's population is 17,016 as of Nov 2025. This is an increase of 371 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,645. The change was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 16,929 in June 2024 and 40 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,011 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 60.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Greystanes - South is expected to increase by 968 persons based on the latest population numbers, recording a gain of 5.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Greystanes - South when compared nationally

Greystanes - South averaged approximately 85 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 428 homes approved during this period. In FY26, up until now, there have been 45 new dwelling approvals. Over these five years, an average of 0.1 new residents per year was associated with each dwelling constructed.

This suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more housing options and facilitating population growth. The average value of new dwellings developed in the area is $423,000, slightly above the regional average, indicating a focus on quality developments. In FY26, there have been commercial approvals valued at $611,000, predominantly for residential development. Comparatively, Greystanes - South has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person compared to Greater Sydney. Nationally, it ranks in the 69th percentile of areas assessed for new dwellings.

The composition of new development consists of 43.0% detached houses and 57.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 85.0% houses. This trend towards denser development caters to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The area has approximately 202 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Future projections estimate Greystanes - South will add 873 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Greystanes - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include NDIS SIL Mixed Use Development, Cumberland Golf Club Redevelopment, 497B Great Western Highway Boarding House, and Bradman Street Residential Subdivision. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Greystanes - South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Greystanes - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1%.

As of June 2025, 8,518 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 4.6%, which is 0.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Greystanes - South lags behind Greater Sydney at 52.6% compared to 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Notably, construction has a high concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.4%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data shows that during the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1% and labour force increased by 3.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.9 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project an increase of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years for national employment. Applying these projections to Greystanes - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4%% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Greystanes-South's income level is below the national average according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Greystanes-South's median income among taxpayers is $50,945 and average income stands at $61,797, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $57,369 (median) and $69,590 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household income ranks at the 61st percentile ($1,928 weekly), while personal income sits at the 37th percentile. The data shows the largest segment comprises 30.7% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (5,223 residents), aligning with metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represents 30.9%. High housing costs consume 16.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 61st percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Greystanes - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Greystanes - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.2% houses and 14.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 62.1% houses and 37.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Greystanes - South stood at 41.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.4% and rented ones at 19.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Greystanes - South was $480, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Greystanes - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,500 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Greystanes - South features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.0% of all households, including 44.2% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Greystanes - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The Greystanes-South area has lower university qualification rates at 22.2% compared to the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.7% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 22.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.2% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 4.8% in tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Greystanes-South educating approximately 3,319 students, serving typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1029). There are four primary and two secondary schools, with a capacity of 19.5 places per 100 residents, exceeding the regional average of 13.2, indicating it serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Greystanes-South has 144 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 44 different routes that collectively facilitate 1,560 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 129 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 222 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Greystanes - South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Greystanes - South shows better-than-average health outcomes for both young and elderly residents. Common health conditions have low prevalence: arthritis affects 7.8%, asthma impacts 6.1%, and 73.3% report no medical ailments, compared to 47.7% private health cover across Greater Sydney (51% in Greystanes - South).

The area has 3,318 residents aged 65 and over (19.5%), higher than the Greater Sydney average of 13.9%. Seniors' health outcomes are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Greystanes - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greystanes-South has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.6% of its population born overseas and 40.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Greystanes-South, comprising 72.0% of people, compared to 45.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (17.8%), Other (17.2%), and English (13.6%).

Notably, Lebanese (13.6%) and Maltese (4.5%) are overrepresented in Greystanes-South compared to regional averages of 16.2% and 1.4%, respectively. Croatian is also relatively high at 2.2% compared to the regional average of 0.9%.

Greystanes - South's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Greystanes - South is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age cohort is over-represented at 8.1% locally compared to Greater Sydney's average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 11.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.7% to 8.1%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.7% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort declined from 10.4% to 9.1%, and the 35 to 44 group dropped from 13.7% to 12.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Greystanes - South, with the 85+ group expected to grow by 103% (from 391 to 796 people). Residents aged 65 and older will represent 61% of anticipated growth. The 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.