Greystanes - South
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Greystanes - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Greystanes - South's population is around 17,008 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 363 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,645. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,930 in June 2024 and an additional 37 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,010 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 60.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate a increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with the area expected to increase by 968 persons by 2041 based on the latest population numbers, recording a gain of 5.2% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Greystanes - South when compared nationally

Greystanes - South averaged approximately 63 new dwelling approvals per year. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis. Over the past five financial years, from FY20 to FY25, there were 319 home approvals. As of FY26, 28 dwellings have been approved.

On average, 0.1 new residents per year are associated with each dwelling constructed over these five years. This suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more buying options and potentially driving population growth beyond current projections. The average construction value for new homes is $528,000. In FY26, there have been commercial approvals valued at $611,000, indicating a primarily residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Greystanes - South has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person.

Nationally, it ranks in the 69th percentile for areas assessed. New development consists of 43.0% detached houses and 57.0% attached dwellings, a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 85.0% houses. This trend towards denser development caters to downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. The area has approximately 202 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. Future projections estimate Greystanes - South will add 881 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds forecasts.

Greystanes - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure performance is significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 12 projects likely to impact the area, including key projects such as NDIS SIL Mixed Use Development, Cumberland Golf Club Redevelopment, 497B Great Western Highway Boarding House, and Bradman Street Residential Subdivision. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Greystanes - South recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Greystanes - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1%.

As of June 2025, 8,518 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 0.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags at 52.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.4% versus the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1%, labour force grew by 3.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.9 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data as of Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Greystanes - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4%% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Greystanes - South's median income among taxpayers was $50,945 and average income stood at $61,797 in the financial year 2022. These figures compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856 respectively. By March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $56,345 (median) and $68,347 (average), based on a 10.6% growth in wages since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranked at the 61st percentile ($1,928 weekly), with personal income at the 37th percentile. The largest income segment comprised 30.7% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (5,221 residents). This aligned with the metropolitan region where this cohort also represented 30.9%. High housing costs consumed 16.4% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranked at the 61st percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Greystanes - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Greystanes - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.2% houses and 14.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 62.1% houses and 37.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Greystanes - South stood at 41.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.4% and rented ones at 19.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was $480, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Greystanes - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Greystanes - South features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.0% of all households, including 44.2% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for 17.0%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people, smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Greystanes - South aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.2%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.7% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 22.6%. Current educational participation is high at 30.3%, including primary education (11.2%), secondary education (8.7%), and tertiary education (4.8%).

Six schools operate within Greystanes - South, educating approximately 3,319 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 1029). Education provision is balanced with four primary and two secondary schools serving distinct age groups. School capacity exceeds residential needs at 19.5 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 13.2, indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The public transport analysis indicates that Greystanes - South has 144 active transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a mix of buses, with 44 individual routes providing service to the area. Collectively, these routes facilitate 1,560 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Greystanes - South is rated as excellent, with residents on average located 129 meters from the nearest transport stop. The service frequency across all routes averages 222 trips per day, equating to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Greystanes - South is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Greystanes-South shows better-than-average health outcomes for both younger and older residents. Only 7.8% have arthritis and 6.1% have asthma.

About 51% (~8,606 people) have private health cover, compared to 47.7% in Greater Sydney. Around 73.3% report no medical conditions, versus 77.0% in Greater Sydney. The area has 19.5% (3,316 people) aged 65 and over, higher than the 13.9% in Greater Sydney. Seniors' health outcomes are above average, similar to overall population health profile.

Greystanes - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greystanes-South has high cultural diversity, with 32.6% of its population born overseas and 40.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Greystanes-South, comprising 72.0%, compared to 45.1% across Greater Sydney as of 2016 Census data. The top three represented ancestry groups are Australian (17.8%), Other (17.2%), and English (13.6%).

Notably, Lebanese ethnicity is overrepresented at 13.6% in Greystanes-South compared to the regional average of 16.2%. Maltese ethnicity stands at 4.5%, higher than the regional average of 1.4%, while Croatian ethnicity is at 2.2%, higher than the regional average of 0.9%.

Greystanes - South's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Greystanes - South is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 75-84 age cohort is over-represented at 8.1% locally while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 11.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.7% to 8.1%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.7% to 12.8%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group declined from 10.4% to 9.1%, and the 35 to 44 age group dropped from 13.7% to 12.5%. Population forecasts for Greystanes - South indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 103% (from 391 to 796 people), with residents aged 65 and older representing 61% of anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.