Toongabbie - Constitution Hill

An assessment of population growth drivers in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population was around 23,966 as of May 2026. This showed an increase of 1,113 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,853. The growth was inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 23,933 in June 2025 and an additional 55 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 3,204 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's 4.9% growth since census was within 2.2 percentage points of the state's (7.1%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 86.9% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections were used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by approximately 2,070 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall gain of about 8.5% over the 16-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill when compared nationally

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has seen approximately 115 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 577 homes were approved, with a further 78 approved in FY-26 so far. The average number of people moving to the area per dwelling built over these years is approximately 0.9.

This indicates that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing greater buyer choice and supporting potential population growth above projections. New properties are being constructed at an average expected cost of $347,000. This financial year has seen $64.8 million in commercial development approvals recorded, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill records around 68% of the building activity per person and places among the 58th percentile nationally when measured against other areas assessed. Recent construction comprises 50.0% detached dwellings and 50.0% townhouses or apartments.

This trend towards denser development provides accessible entry options, appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 68.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Toongabbie - Constitution Hill shows characteristics of a low density area with around 270 people per dwelling approval. Looking ahead, the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate projects that the area is expected to grow by approximately 2,037 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 57 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Pendle Hill Active Transport Link (Stage 2), Toongabbie Town Centre Public Domain Plan, Civic Link Pendle Hill, and The Aurelia Mixed Use Development. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has been broadly consistent with national averages

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 3.7% as of December 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.9%.

As of December 2025, 13,756 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 0.4% below Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation was 72.0%, close to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Census responses indicated that 44.4% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

Health care & social assistance has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have limited presence with 9.7% employment compared to 11.5% regionally. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 3.9% while labour force increased by 4.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific projections indicating a potential increase in local employment by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The Toongabbie-Constitution Hill SA2 has a median taxpayer income of $59,350 and an average of $69,966 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is slightly above average nationally, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $65,475 (median) and $77,186 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals household income ranks at the 66th percentile ($2,012 weekly), while personal income sits at the 50th percentile. Income brackets indicate the largest segment comprises 30.8% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (7,381 residents). High housing costs consume 16.2% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 66th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill had 67.7% houses and 32.3% other dwellings in its dwelling structure as of the latest Census, compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill stood at 31.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 32.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in the area was $438, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,200 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $438.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.7% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 22.3% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 21.0% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Toongabbie - Constitution Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 37.2%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 50.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (17.4%). Educational participation is high at 31.3%, with 10.1% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has 119 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 52 individual routes, facilitating 7,488 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing 159 meters from the nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 77%, followed by train at 14% and bus at 5%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 44.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 1,069 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 62 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map illustrates the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill residents have relatively positive health outcomes according to area-specific data. Mortality rates and health conditions are broadly in line with national benchmarks, with low prevalence of common health conditions among the general population.

However, prevalence is higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover rate is approximately 54% of the total population (~12,917 people), leading the average SA2 area but lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (7.0%) and asthma (6.2%). 73.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.0% of residents aged 65 and over (4,318 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a high level of cultural diversity, with 45.5% of its population born overseas and 48.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill, making up 51.3% of people in the area. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 19.5% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

The top three represented ancestry groups are Other at 19.6%, Australian at 16.5%, and English at 15.3%. There are also notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups, with Indian at 11.5% (compared to 3.6%), Lebanese at 4.0% (compared to 2.6%), and Sri Lankan at 1.2% (compared to 0.3%).

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (6.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.8%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 11.7% to 13.2%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 12.7% to 11.6%. By 2041, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 38%, reaching 2,155 from 1,557. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 55% of the population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 0-4 and 5-14.