Toongabbie - Constitution Hill
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population is approximately 23,856 as of August 2025. This represents an increase of 1,003 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,853. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 23,837 in June 2024 and 47 new addresses validated after the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,189 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's 4.4% growth since the census is within 2.0 percentage points of the state's 6.4%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 84.4% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 (base year: 2021) are utilized. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by approximately 2,307 persons, representing a 9.6% total increase over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill when compared nationally

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has experienced approximately 115 dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) provides this data on a financial year basis, totalling 577 approvals over the past five years from FY-21 to FY-25, with 24 approvals recorded so far in FY-26. On average, 0.9 new residents per year arrived per new home between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction cost of new dwellings is $487,000, aligning with regional trends.

Additionally, $64.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill records about 68% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 59th percentile nationally. Recent construction consists of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. Currently, 68.0% of housing in the area are houses, suggesting decreasing availability of developable sites. With around 270 people per dwelling approval, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is characterized as a low density area.

Future projections estimate an addition of 2,287 residents by 2041, with current development patterns indicating that new housing supply should readily meet demand and potentially facilitate population growth beyond current projections.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 52 projects that may affect the region. Notable ones include the Fitzwilliam Road and Tucks Road Roundabout Upgrade, The Aurelia Mixed Use Development, 18-24 Portico Parade Development, and Toongabbie Town Centre Public Domain Plan.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has been broadly consistent with national averages

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate as of June 2025 was 3.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.3% over the past year.

Residents have a lower unemployment rate than Greater Sydney, at 4.2%. Workforce participation is slightly below average, at 57.5%. The leading industries are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. Health care & social assistance is particularly specialized, employing 1.2 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services employ only 9.7% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as Census data shows a lower working population than resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.3% while the labour force grew by 3.1%, raising the unemployment rate to 4.6%. Greater Sydney saw similar growth but with a smaller increase in unemployment rate. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, losing 19,270 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%. National forecasts by Jobs and Skills Australia indicate total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's current employment mix suggests local growth could be around 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows median income in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is $55,153 and average income is $66,238. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates for March 2025 would be approximately $60,999 (median) and $73,259 (average). From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. Income brackets indicate that 30.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, consistent with broader trends showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 66th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill, as per the latest Census, consisted of 67.7% houses and 32.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 36.4% houses and 63.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in the area was 31.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 32.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent was $438, compared to Sydney metro's $420. Nationally, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,200 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7 percent of all households, including 40.4 percent couples with children, 22.3 percent couples without children, and 11.6 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.3 percent, with lone person households at 21.0 percent and group households comprising 3.3 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Toongabbie - Constitution Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 37.2%, significantly below the SA3 area average of 50.2%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (17.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education. Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's 5 schools have combined enrollment reaching 2,040 students as of the latest data. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1030) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with 4 primary and 1 secondary school serving distinct age groups. Limited local school capacity (8.6 places per 100 residents vs 18.0 regionally) means many families travel to nearby areas for schooling, as of the current data.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Toongabbie-Constitution Hill has 106 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 50 different routes that together facilitate 5,297 weekly passenger trips. The area boasts excellent transport accessibility with residents typically residing just 160 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, service frequency across all routes stands at 756 trips per day, which translates to about 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Toongabbie-Constitution Hill shows above-average health outcomes with low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population, but higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is present in approximately 52% of the total population (~12,500 people), slightly leading the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.0%) and asthma (6.2%), while 73.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 79.0% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 18.1% (4,308 people), compared to the Greater Sydney average of 12.5%.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie-Constitution Hill has a high level of cultural diversity, with 45.5% of its population born overseas and 48.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, comprising 51.3% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented compared to the Greater Sydney average, making up 19.5% of Toongabbie-Constitution Hill's population versus the regional average of 28.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other at 19.6%, Australian at 16.5%, and English at 15.3%. Some ethnic groups show significant differences in representation: Indian is overrepresented at 11.5% compared to the regional average of 18.4%, Lebanese is higher than the regional average at 4.0% versus 3.5%, and Sri Lankan is slightly overrepresented at 1.2% versus 0.9%.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is 38 years, closely matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a higher percentage of residents aged 75-84 (6.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.4%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 11.7% to 12.9%, while the age group of 5-14 has decreased from 12.7% to 11.9%. By 2041, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population is expected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 41%, adding 650 people and reaching a total of 2,227 from the current 1,576. The proportion of those aged 65 and above is expected to comprise 57% of this growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 25-34 and 5-14 age cohorts.