Toongabbie - Constitution Hill

An assessment of population growth drivers in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population was approximately 23,881 as of November 2025. This figure represents a growth of 1,028 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,853. The increase is estimated from the ABS's June 2024 figure of 23,839 and an additional 55 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 3,192 persons per square kilometer, placing it among the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The area's 4.5% growth since the census is within 2.2 percentage points of the state's (6.7%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 84.4% of overall population gains during recent periods in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the national median by 2041, with Toongabbie - Constitution Hill expected to expand by 2,307 persons over this period. This reflects a total increase of 9.5% from the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill when compared nationally

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has received approximately 115 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 577 homes. As of FY26, 42 approvals have been recorded. The average annual increase in residents per new home between FY21 and FY25 is 0.9, indicating that supply meets or exceeds demand. The average construction value for new homes over this period is $347,000.

In FY26, commercial approvals amount to $64.8 million, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney and nationally, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 58th percentile of areas assessed. Recent construction comprises 50% standalone homes and 50% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the area's current housing composition of 68% houses. With approximately 270 people per dwelling approval, it shows characteristics of a low-density area. Future projections estimate an increase of 2,262 residents by 2041 based on AreaSearch quarterly estimates.

Current development patterns suggest that new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of sixty projects likely to impact the area, with key ones including Pendle Hill Active Transport Link (Stage 2), The Aurelia Mixed Use Development, Civic Link Pendle Hill, and 18-24 Portico Parade Development. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has been broadly consistent with national averages

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a well-educated workforce with professional services being strongly represented. The unemployment rate is 3.8% and there has been an estimated employment growth of 2.5% over the past year.

As of September 2025, 13,673 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.4% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. The workforce participation rate is somewhat below standard at 57.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. The area has a particular specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services employ only 9.7% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5% while the labour force increased by 3.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. As of 25-November-2025, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-2025 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and not accounting for localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Toongabbie - Constitution Hill SA2 has a median income of $55,153 and an average income of $66,238. This is slightly above the national averages of $54,798 (median) and $65,822 (average). In Greater Sydney, the median income is $56,994 and the average is $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Toongabbie - Constitution Hill SA2 would be approximately $62,108 (median) and $74,591 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 66th percentile ($2,012 weekly), while personal income is at the 50th percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 30.8% of the community (7,355 individuals). High housing costs consume 16.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 66th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Toongabbie-Constitution Hill, as per the latest Census, consisted of 67.7% houses and 32.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 36.4% houses and 63.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Toongabbie-Constitution Hill was higher at 31.4%, with the rest either mortgaged (36.1%) or rented (32.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, above Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $438, compared to Sydney metro's $420. Nationally, Toongabbie-Constitution Hill's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7 percent of all households, including 40.4 percent couples with children, 22.3 percent couples without children, and 11.6 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.3 percent, with lone person households at 21.0 percent and group households comprising 3.3 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Toongabbie - Constitution Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 37.2%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 50.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (17.4%). Educational participation is high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.1% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 106 active transport stops in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill, consisting of train and bus services. These stops are served by 50 individual routes, collectively offering 5,297 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 160 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 756 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill shows better-than-average health outcomes with lower prevalence of common conditions among its general population compared to national averages.

However, older and at-risk cohorts have higher rates of these conditions. Approximately 52% of the area's total population (~12,513 people) has private health cover, slightly above the average for SA2 areas. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.0%) and asthma (6.2%), while 73.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 79.0% in Greater Sydney. Residents aged 65 and over make up 18.1% of the population (4,312 people), higher than the 12.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these higher percentages.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie-Constitution Hill has a high level of cultural diversity, with 45.5% of its population born overseas and 48.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Toongabbie-Constitution Hill, comprising 51.3% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to the Greater Sydney average, making up 19.5% of the population.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (19.6%), Australian (16.5%), and English (15.3%). Notably, Indian (11.5%) and Lebanese (4.0%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill was close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years at the time of the Census in August 2021. This figure is also equivalent to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill had a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 years (6.6%), but fewer individuals aged 25-34 years (13.4%). Between the August 2021 Census and the previous Census in August 2016, the population aged 15 to 24 years grew from 11.7% to 12.9%, while the 5 to 14 age group decreased from 12.7% to 11.9%. By the year 2041, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 41%, reaching a total of 2,227 people from the previous figure of 1,578. This growth will be led by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising 57% of the projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for both the 25 to 34 age group and the 5 to 14 age group.