Toongabbie - Constitution Hill
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population is around 23,881 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,028 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,853. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 23,839 in June 2024 and an additional 55 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,192 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's growth rate of 4.5% since the census positions it within 2.2 percentage points of the state (6.7%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 84.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest a population increase just below the median of national areas, with an expected expansion of 2,307 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, resulting in a total increase of 9.5% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill when compared nationally

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has seen approximately 115 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 577 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 37 approvals recorded. The average new resident arrival rate per new home over these five years is around 0.9 persons. This supply meets or exceeds demand, offering more buyer choices and supporting potential population growth above projections.

The average construction value of new homes is $347,000. In FY-26, there have been $64.8 million in commercial approvals, indicating high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, the area has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 59th percentile nationally. Recent construction comprises 50% standalone homes and 50% townhouses or apartments, a shift from the existing housing composition of 68% houses. This trend reflects decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse, affordable housing options.

With around 270 people per dwelling approval, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill exhibits low-density characteristics. Future projections estimate an addition of 2,262 residents by 2041, with current development patterns suggesting new housing supply should readily meet demand, benefiting buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure significantly impacts performance. AreaSearch identified 60 projects potentially affecting the area. Notable projects include Fitzwilliam Road and Tucks Road Roundabout Upgrade, Pendle Hill Active Transport Link (Stage 2), The Aurelia Mixed Use Development, and Civic Link Pendle Hill.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has been broadly consistent with national averages

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 3.7% as of June 2021.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. As of June 2025, 13,689 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.7%, which is 0.5% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 57.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

The area has a particular specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services employ only 9.7% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data shows that during the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.3%, while labour force increased by 3.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has median assessed income of $55,153 and average income of $66,238. This is slightly above national averages of a median income of $54,794 and an average income of $65,723. In Greater Sydney, the median income was $56,994 and the average income was $80,856 in 2022. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Toongabbie - Constitution Hill would be approximately $62,108 (median) and $74,591 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census indicates that incomes in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill cluster around the 58th percentile nationally. Income brackets show that 30.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually (7,355 individuals). This aligns with broader trends across the broader area, where 30.9% fall into the same income category. High housing costs consume 16.2% of income in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 66th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill, as per the latest Census, consisted of 67.7% houses and 32.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 36.4% houses and 63.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill stood at 31.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 32.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,200, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was $438, compared to Sydney metro's $420. Nationally, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,200 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.7 percent of all households, including 40.4 percent couples with children, 22.3 percent couples without children, and 11.6 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.3 percent, with lone person households at 21.0 percent and group households comprising 3.3 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Toongabbie - Constitution Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 37.2%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 50.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (17.4%). Educational participation is high at 31.3%, including 10.1% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's five schools have a combined enrollment of 2,040 students, serving typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1030) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with four primary and one secondary school serving distinct age groups. Local school capacity is limited at 8.6 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 18.0, resulting in many families traveling to nearby areas for schooling.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 106 active transport stops operating within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 50 individual routes, collectively facilitating 5,297 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 160 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 756 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill shows healthier-than-average health outcomes, with lower prevalence of common conditions among its general population compared to national averages.

However, older and at-risk cohorts have higher rates of these conditions, with approximately 52% of residents having private health cover, slightly above the average SA2 area's rate. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.0%) and asthma (6.2%). About 73.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 79.0% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.1%, with 4,312 people falling into this category, compared to Greater Sydney's 12.5%.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie-Constitution Hill has high cultural diversity, with 45.5% of its population born overseas and 48.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Toongabbie-Constitution Hill, comprising 51.3%. Hinduism is overrepresented at 19.5%, lower than Greater Sydney's average of 28.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (19.6%), Australian (16.5%), and English (15.3%). Notably, Indian ethnicity is overrepresented at 11.5% compared to the regional average of 18.4%, Lebanese at 4.0% vs 3.5%, and Sri Lankan at 1.2% vs 0.9%.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (6.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.4%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 11.7% to 12.9%, while the population aged 5-14 has decreased from 12.7% to 11.9%. By 2041, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The number of residents aged 75-84 is expected to grow by 41%, reaching 2,227 from 1,578. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 57% of the population growth. Conversely, populations aged 25-34 and 5-14 are projected to decrease.