Toongabbie - Constitution Hill

An assessment of population growth drivers in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population was approximately 24,938 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 2,085 people (9.1%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,853. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 23,836 in June 2024 and the addition of 55 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 3,334 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's growth rate of 9.1% exceeded the state average of 7.8%, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 84.4% of the overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to increase by approximately 2,307 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 4.8% in total over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill when compared nationally

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has recorded approximately 115 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25577 homes were approved, with an additional 46 approved in FY26 so far. The average number of new residents per year arriving for each new home over these five years was 0.9, indicating that supply is meeting or exceeding demand and providing greater buyer choice while supporting potential population growth above projections.

New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $347,000. This financial year has seen $64.8 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 58th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New development consists equally of standalone homes (50%) and townhouses or apartments (50%), promoting higher-density living and creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift contrasts with the area's existing housing composition, currently 68% houses, suggesting decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options.

The location has approximately 270 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth in population density. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is projected to add 1,205 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of 59 infrastructure projects likely to impact the area, with key ones including Pendle Hill Active Transport Link (Stage 2), The Aurelia Mixed Use Development, Civic Link Pendle Hill, and 18-24 Portico Parade Development. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has been broadly consistent with national averages

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a well-educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. The unemployment rate in the area was 3.8% as of September 2025, which is 0.4% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.5%.

There were 13,673 residents in work during this period, with workforce participation at 72.1%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 44.4% of residents worked from home, although Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. Health care & social assistance is particularly notable, with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 9.7% of Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.5% while labour force increased by 3.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1%, labour force expand by 2.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insights into potential future demand within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill. These projections estimate that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though it is important to note that this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The Toongabbie - Constitution Hill SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $59,350 and an average of $69,966 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is slightly above the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $64,608 (median) and $76,165 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household income ranks at the 66th percentile ($2,012 weekly), while personal income sits at the 50th percentile. The earnings profile indicates that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.8% of residents (7,680 people). High housing costs consume 16.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 66th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill, as per the latest Census, consisted of 67.7% houses and 32.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill stood at 31.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 32.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in the area was $438, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.7% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 22.3% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 21.0% and group households comprising 3.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Toongabbie - Constitution Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 37.2%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 50.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.5% and certificates at 17.4%. Educational participation is high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.1% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has 119 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 52 individual routes, facilitating 7,488 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically residing 159 meters from the nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 77%, while trains account for 14% and buses 5%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 44.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Daily service frequency averages 1,069 trips across all routes, equating to approximately 62 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill residents show positive health outcomes, with mortality rates and health conditions aligning with national averages. Common health conditions are low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts compared to national figures.

Private health cover stands at 54% of the total population (~13,441 people), slightly above Greater Sydney's average of 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.0%) and asthma (6.2%), with 73.0% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.6% (4,640 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges but rank lower than the broader population nationally.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie-Constitution Hill has a high level of cultural diversity, with 45.5% of its population born overseas and 48.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Toongabbie-Constitution Hill, comprising 51.3% of people. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 19.5% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (19.6%), Australian (16.5%), and English (15.3%). There are also notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Indian is overrepresented at 11.5% compared to the regional average of 3.6%, Lebanese at 4.0% versus 2.6%, and Sri Lankan at 1.2% compared to 0.3%.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (6.7%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.9%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 11.7% to 13.1%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 13.9% to 12.9%. By 2041, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 75-84 is projected to grow by 33%, reaching 2,227 from 1,670. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 63% of the population growth. Conversely, declines in population are projected for those aged 25-34 and 0-4 years.