Toongabbie - Constitution Hill

An assessment of population growth drivers in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population is around 24,938 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,085 people (9.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,853 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 23,836 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 55 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,334 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's 9.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.8%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 84.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected, with the area expected to increase by 2,307 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 4.8% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill when compared nationally

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has recorded around 115 residential properties granted approval annually, with 577 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 48 so far in FY-26. At an average of just 0.9 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is meeting or surpassing demand, providing greater buyer choice and supporting potential for population growth above projections, while new dwellings are developed at an average value of $347,000. Additionally, $64.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating strong commercial development momentum.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks in the 58th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New development consists of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% townhouses or apartments. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 68.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 270 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth.

Future projections show Toongabbie - Constitution Hill adding 1,205 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 59 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Pendle Hill Active Transport Link (Stage 2), The Aurelia Mixed Use Development, Civic Link Pendle Hill, and the 18-24 Portico Parade Development, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has been broadly consistent with national averages

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill features a well-educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of only 3.7%, and 3.9% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 13,756 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.4% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (72.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 44.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and retail trade. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in health care & social assistance, with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average. On the other hand, professional & technical is under-represented, with only 9.7% of Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 3.9% while labour force increased by 4.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. This compares to Greater Sydney, where employment grew by 2.2%, labour force expanded by 2.3%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The Toongabbie - Constitution Hill SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $59,350 and an average of $69,966 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is slightly above average nationally, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $64,608 (median) and $76,165 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household income ranks at the 66th percentile ($2,012 weekly), while personal income sits at the 50th percentile. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.8% of residents (7,680 people), reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. High housing costs consume 16.2% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 66th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 67.7% houses and 32.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill was higher than that of Sydney metro, at 31.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (36.1%) or rented (32.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Sydney metro average at $2,200, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $438, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 75.7% of all households, comprising 40.4% couples with children, 22.3% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 21.0% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Toongabbie - Constitution Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (37.2%) substantially below the SA3 area average of 50.2%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 23.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (17.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.1% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 119 active transport stops operating within Toongabbie - Constitution Hill, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 52 individual routes, collectively providing 7,488 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 159 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 77%, with 14% by train and 5% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling. A high 44.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,069 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 62 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Toongabbie - Constitution Hill residents. AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions shows results broadly in line with national benchmarks, with the prevalence of common health conditions being quite low among the general population, though higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover just leads the average SA2 area at approximately 54% of the total population (~13,441 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.0% and 6.2% of residents, respectively, while 73.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.6% of residents aged 65 and over (4,640 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill scores highly on cultural diversity, with 45.5% of its population born overseas and 48.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is Christianity, which makes up 51.3% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Hinduism, which comprises 19.5% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill are Other, comprising 19.6% of the population, Australian, comprising 16.5% of the population, and English, comprising 15.3% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Indian is notably overrepresented at 11.5% of Toongabbie - Constitution Hill (vs 3.6% regionally), Lebanese at 4.0% (vs 2.6%) and Sri Lankan at 1.2% (vs 0.3%).

Toongabbie - Constitution Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill has a higher concentration of 75 - 84 residents (6.7%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (12.9%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.7% to 13.1% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 13.9% to 12.9%. By 2041, Toongabbie - Constitution Hill is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 33% (556 people), reaching 2,227 from 1,670. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 63% of projected growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 cohorts.