Greystanes

An assessment of population growth drivers in Greystanes reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Greystanes's population is estimated at around 24,434, reflecting an increase of 923 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for Jun 2024 put the resident population at 24,251, with an additional 55 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,724 persons per square kilometer, placing Greystanes in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 3.9% growth since census is within 2.8 percentage points of the state (6.7%). Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Greystanes is expected to increase by 1,925 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 5.9% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Greystanes among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Greystanes has experienced around 191 dwellings receiving development approval per year. An estimated 956 homes were approved over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with 62 approvals so far in FY-26. On average, new construction adds only 0.1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these years.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $530,000. This financial year has seen $2.3 million in commercial approvals, suggesting the area's residential character. The new development consists of 31.0% standalone homes and 69.0% attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix of 85.0% houses.

The location has approximately 147 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Future projections show Greystanes adding 1,451 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Greystanes has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 36 projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, New Hyland Road Sporting Complex, 515-519 Great Western Highway Mixed Use Development, and Cumberland Golf Club Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Greystanes has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Greystanes has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.3%.

As of June 2025, 12,272 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 0.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags at 52.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows notable concentration with levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.7% versus the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.3%, labour force by 3.2%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Greystanes's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Greystanes had a median taxpayer income of $50,671 and an average of $61,465 in financial year 2022. This was lower than the national average at that time. Greater Sydney's median income was $56,994 with an average of $80,856 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $57,061 (median) and $69,216 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household income ranked at the 61st percentile ($1,930 weekly), while personal income was at the 36th percentile. Income distribution showed that 30.8% of Greystanes' population fell within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. High housing costs consumed 16.3% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranked at the 60th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Greystanes is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Greystanes' dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.2% houses and 14.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Sydney metro had 0.0% houses and 0.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Greystanes stood at 41.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.8% and rented ones at 20.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,452, aligning with Sydney metro's average. The median weekly rent was $480, compared to Sydney metro's $0 and $0. Nationally, Greystanes' mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Greystanes features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.0 people

Family households constitute 82.6% of all households, including 43.9% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.4%, with lone person households at 16.0% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people.

Educational attainment in Greystanes aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has lower university qualification rates at 22.7% compared to the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 21.8%. Educational participation is high, with 30.4% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.2% in primary, 8.9% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education.

Greystanes has a robust network of 8 schools educating approximately 5,045 students, serving typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1026) with balanced educational opportunities. There are 5 primary and 3 secondary schools catering to distinct age groups, providing 20.6 school places per 100 residents. This strong educational infrastructure serves both local and surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Greystanes shows 183 active transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 49 individual routes, collectively offering 2,932 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 143 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 418 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Greystanes is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Greystanes shows better-than-average health outcomes, with lower prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is present in approximately 51% of the total population (~12,524 people), slightly below the average SA2 area rate. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.8%) and asthma (6.0%), with 72.9% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Sydney overall. The area has 19.3% of residents aged 65 and over (4,715 people), and seniors' health outcomes are above average, similar to the general population's profile.

Greystanes is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greystanes has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.2% of its population born overseas and 41.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Greystanes, comprising 70.4% of the population. This figure is significantly higher compared to None% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Other (17.9%), Australian (17.2%), and English (13.5%). Notably, Lebanese people are overrepresented in Greystanes at 12.7%, while Maltese comprise 5.1%, and Croatian people make up 2.0% of the population. These figures differ from regional representations, which are None%.

Greystanes's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Greystanes is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Greystanes has a notably higher percentage of the 75-84 age group (7.7% locally) and a lower percentage of the 25-34 age group (10.9%). Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15-24 age group grew from 11.8% to 13.3%, while the 35-44 age group declined from 14.0% to 12.5%. By 2041, Greystanes' population is forecasted to experience significant demographic changes. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 103%, reaching 1,143 people from the current 561. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 67% of this growth. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are projected to decrease in population.