Greystanes

An assessment of population growth drivers in Greystanes reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Greystanes is around 24,461, showing an increase of 950 people since the 2021 Census. This rise reflects a growth rate of 4.0%, bringing the total from 23,511 to the current figure. The population estimate by AreaSearch, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and validation of new addresses since the Census date, is 23,651. This results in a density ratio of 2,727 persons per square kilometer, placing Greystanes in the upper quartile compared to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver for population growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for Greystanes are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, Greystanes is expected to experience population growth just below the median of statistical areas across the nation. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is anticipated to expand by 1,881 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 5.7% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Greystanes when compared nationally

Greystanes has seen around 171 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers. Approximately 859 homes were approved between FY21-FY25, with another 69 in FY26 so far. The average population increase per dwelling built over these years was 0.2 people.

This suggests supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering more buyer choices and potential for population growth beyond projections. New properties are valued at an average of $529,000, indicating a focus on premium segment development. In FY26, commercial approvals totalled $7.4 million, showing limited commercial development emphasis. Detached houses comprise 26.0% and attached dwellings make up 74.0% of new developments, shifting from the area's current 85.0% houses.

Greystanes has a low density characteristic with around 219 people per dwelling approval. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates an increase of 1,383 residents. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand favourably for buyers and potentially exceed forecasted growth.

Greystanes has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of a region can be significantly impacted by changes to local infrastructure projects and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 36 such projects that are likely to influence the area. Among these key projects are Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, New Hyland Road Sporting Complex, 515-519 Great Western Highway Mixed Use Development, and Cumberland Golf Club Redevelopment. The following list details those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Greystanes remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Greystanes has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 4.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4%. As of September 2025, 12,130 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 0.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was lower at 66.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census data shows that 41.4% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction had notably high concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services employed only 6.7% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4%, labour force by 3.1%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.6 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Greystanes's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Greystanes suburb has a median taxpayer income of $50,668 and an average of $61,463 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney's median income being $60,817 and average income $83,003. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $55,157 (median) and $66,909 (average), accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 61st percentile ($1,930 weekly), while personal income is at the 36th percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominates with 30.8% of residents (7,533 people). High housing costs consume 16.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Greystanes is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As of the latest Census, Greystanes had 85.2% houses and 14.8% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings, compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Greystanes stood at 41.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.8% and rented ones at 20.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,452, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Greystanes was $480, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Greystanes' mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Greystanes features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.6% of all households, including 43.9% couples with children, 24.4% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.4%, with lone person households at 16.0% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Greystanes aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.7%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 39.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 32.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them. Advanced diplomas account for 11.1% and certificates for 21.8%.

Educational participation is high at 30.4%, including 11.2% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Greystanes indicates that there are 197 active transport stops currently operating within the area. These stops primarily service buses, with a total of 50 individual routes providing passenger trips weekly. The total number of weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes is 3,292. The accessibility of transport in Greystanes is rated as excellent, with residents typically located approximately 143 meters away from the nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward daily. The car remains the primary mode of transportation for residents, used by 90% of them.

On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in Greystanes, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant portion of residents, specifically 41.4%, work from home, which may be attributed to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages approximately 470 trips per day, equating to about 16 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map illustrates the locations of the 100 nearest transport stops to the area's central point.

The level of general health in Greystanes is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Greystanes shows better-than-average health outcomes, as per AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but closer to national averages for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% of the total population (~12,538 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.8%) and asthma (6%). 72.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 19.5% of the population (4,769 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally compared to broader population figures.

Greystanes was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greystanes has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.2% of its population born overseas and 41.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Greystanes, making up 70.4% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Other (17.9%), Australian (17.2%), and English (13.5%), which is lower than the regional average of 19.0%.

Notably, Lebanese representation is higher at 12.7% in Greystanes compared to 2.6% regionally, Maltese at 5.1% versus 1.0%, and Croatian at 2.0% versus 0.7%.

Greystanes's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Greystanes is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented in Greystanes at 7.9%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group grew from 11.8% to 13.7% of Greystanes' population, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 6.7% to 7.9%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 age group declined from 14.0% to 12.3%, and the 65 to 74 age group dropped from 10.3% to 9.2%. Population forecasts for Greystanes indicate significant demographic changes by 2041. The 65 to 74 age group is expected to grow by 25%, reaching 2,807 people from 2,250. This growth is primarily due to demographic aging, with residents aged 65 and older representing 69% of anticipated population growth. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.