Girraween (NSW)

Population growth drivers in Girraween are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, as of Nov 2025, Girraween's estimated population is around 6,830. This reflects an increase of 574 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,256. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 6,497 residents following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release (June 2024) and an additional 75 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,944 persons per square kilometer, placing Girraween in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The area's 9.2% growth from 2021 exceeded both state (7.6%) and metropolitan averages, marking it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 90.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by this data. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Girraween (NSW) statistical area is expected to increase by 471 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 1.4% over these 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Girraween recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, sourced from statistical area data, indicates Girraween has averaged approximately 47 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 238 homes were approved, with an additional 18 approved so far in FY-26. The average population increase per dwelling built over these years was 0.7 people.

This suggests that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average expected construction cost value of new properties being developed is $545,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, there have been $7.9 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Girraween shows comparable construction activity per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area, although development activity has moderated recently.

New development consists of 32.0% detached dwellings and 68.0% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating a trend toward denser development that provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. The location has approximately 194 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Girraween is projected to gain 97 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Girraween has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified three projects that could significantly impact the area due to changes in local infrastructure: Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, Toongabbie Bridge, Wentworth Avenue Upgrade, M4 Smart Motorway, and Integrated Mental Health Complex Westmead. These are the key projects, with details of those most relevant provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Girraween shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Girraween has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 5.1% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.0%.

As of September 2025, 3461 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.1%, 0.9% higher than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is 62.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance, with notable concentration in finance & insurance at 1.8 times the regional average. Construction is under-represented, at 4.5% of Girraween's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 8.6%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work. Over 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.0%, labour force by 3.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.9 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1%, labour force expand by 2.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Girraween's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Girraween had a median taxpayer income of $60,913 and an average income of $73,878. These figures are above the national average and compare to $60,817 and $83,003 respectively across Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Girraween would be approximately $66,310 (median) and $80,424 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household incomes rank at the 87th percentile with a weekly income of $2,378. Distribution data shows 30.7% of Girraween's population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, aligning with the regional average of 30.9%. A significant 38.0% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 16.9% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 84th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Girraween displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Girraween, as per the latest Census evaluation, 45.7% of dwellings were houses and 54.3% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Sydney metropolitan area's 36.4% houses and 63.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Girraween stood at 22.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.7% and rented ones at 34.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,435, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent in Girraween was $460, compared to Sydney metro's $420. Nationally, Girraween's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,435 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Girraween features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 83.6% of all households, including 60.2% couples with children, 14.4% couples without children, and 7.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.4%, with lone person households at 14.0% and group households comprising 2.5%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which exceeds the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

Girraween shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Girraween's educational attainment exceeds national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 52.3% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (29.8%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (19.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational pathways account for 17.8%, with advanced diplomas at 7.5% and certificates at 10.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.0% currently enrolled in formal education, including 16.8% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 4.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 36 active stops operating in Girraween, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 35 unique routes, collectively providing 1,776 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 143 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 253 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Girraween's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Girraween's health outcomes data shows excellent results, with younger age groups having particularly low prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 56% (~3,832 people) have private health cover, a rate higher than the Greater Sydney average. The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes and asthma, affecting 5.4 and 4.8% of residents respectively. A total of 81.4% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 79.0% in Greater Sydney. Girraween has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 11.1% (758 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 12.5%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population due to being above average.

Girraween is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Girraween has a population where 64.7% were born overseas, with 76.3% speaking languages other than English at home. The dominant religion is Hinduism, practiced by 54.9% of Girraween residents, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 28.8%. The top three ancestry groups are Indian (32.2%), Other (31.2%), and English (7.8%).

Notably, Sri Lankan ancestry is higher in Girraween at 2.8%, compared to the regional average of 0.9%, Maltese at 3.3% versus 0.9%, and Lebanese at 1.0% against the regional 3.5%.

Girraween's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Girraween's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 35-44 age group constitutes 23.7% of Girraween's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage but lower than the national average of 14.2%. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.6%, which is less prevalent compared to both Greater Sydney and Australia. Between 2021 and now, the 15-24 age group has increased from 8.9% to 10.2%, while the 45-54 cohort grew from 10.8% to 12.0%. Conversely, the 25-34 group declined from 10.6% to 9.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Girraween's age structure. The 55-64 group is expected to grow by 29%, reaching 751 people from the current 580. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, comprising 54% of projected population growth. In contrast, the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.