Winston Hills

An assessment of population growth drivers in Winston Hills reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Winston Hills' population, as of Feb 2026, is approximately 11,210. This figure represents an increase of 11 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,199. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data for Jun 2024 (11,207) and validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,577 persons per square kilometer, placing Winston Hills in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 82.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where ABS data is not available, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an expected increase just below the national median, with Winston Hills projected to expand by 811 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 7.2% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Winston Hills, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Winston Hills averaged approximately 32 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25161 homes were approved, with an additional 9 approved so far in FY-26. The population has declined recently, suggesting that new supply has likely been meeting demand and offering good choices for buyers.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $484,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $2.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Winston Hills shows substantially reduced construction activity, which is 61.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. The area's activity is also below average nationally, likely due to its maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent construction comprises 79.0% detached houses and 21.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Winston Hills' traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 390 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Winston Hills is expected to grow by 808 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Winston Hills has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Twenty-two infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Winston Hills Mall Food Court Renovation, Max Ruddock Reserve Amenities Building and Viewing Platform, 25-27 Reynolds Street Old Toongabbie, and Stream Northmead. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Winston Hills rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Winston Hills has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.8%. As of September 2025, 6,591 residents are employed while the local unemployment rate is 2.5 percentage points lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 74.4%, close to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census data shows that 53.6% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Notably, education & training employs 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing accounts for just 3.2% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the ratio of working population to resident population. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.8% while labour force grew by 3.0%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. Comparatively, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, and a similar rise in unemployment to 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across sectors. Applying these projections to Winston Hills' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Winston Hills SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $66,352 and an average level of $85,138 in the financial year 2023. These figures are among the highest in Australia. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income was $60,817 and average income was $83,030 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $72,231 (median) and $92,681 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Winston Hills' household incomes rank at the 88th percentile with a weekly income of $2,421. The largest income bracket comprises 28.7% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (3,217 residents). Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 40.5% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 14.9% of income. Winston Hills residents rank within the 88th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Winston Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Winston Hills' dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.9% houses and 7.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Winston Hills stood at 40.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.6% and rented ones at 13.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,700, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Winston Hills was $530, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Winston Hills' mortgage repayments were higher at $2,700 than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Winston Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.0% of all households, including 48.6% couples with children, 25.1% couples without children, and 9.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.0%, with lone person households at 14.9% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Winston Hills shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 35.8%, significantly lower than the SA3 area average of 50.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 30.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.5% and certificates at 19.3%. Educational participation is high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 11.1% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 5.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Winston Hills has 91 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are serviced by 52 different routes that together facilitate 4,582 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 157 meters from the nearest stop. In this predominantly residential area, most commuting occurs outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 87% of residents, while only 5% use buses. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in Winston Hills, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion (53.6%) of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 654 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 50 weekly trips per stop.

Winston Hills's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Winston Hills. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were assessed by AreaSearch to be low among the general population, nearing the nation's average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is exceptionally high, with approximately 62% of the total population (6,905 people) having it, compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.2 and 7.0% of residents respectively. 71.5% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. Winston Hills has 19.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,135 people), higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Winston Hills was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Winston Hills, surveyed in June 2021, exhibited higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 30.4% of residents born overseas and 29.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Winston Hills, accounting for 62.5%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney as of June 2021. The top three ancestral groups were Australian (21.5%), English (20.4%), and Other (11.3%).

Notably, Lebanese ethnicity was overrepresented at 4.7% in Winston Hills, compared to the regional average of 2.6%. Korean ethnicity also showed higher representation at 1.5%, versus 1.1% regionally, and Maltese ethnicity was slightly above the regional average at 1.3%.

Winston Hills's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Winston Hills has a median age of 40, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. The 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented in Winston Hills at 8.0%, compared to the Greater Sydney average. Conversely, the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 11.0% to 13.6% of the population. The 35-44 cohort has declined from 15.6% to 14.2%, and the 65-74 age group has dropped from 9.4% to 8.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Winston Hills' age profile. The 55-64 age cohort is projected to expand by 296 people (24%), growing from 1,245 to 1,542. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 75-84 age groups are expected to decrease in number.