Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista

Population growth drivers in Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista's population is around 23,551 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase since the 2021 Census figure of 21,683 people, a rise of 1,868 people or 8.6%. The change was inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 23,086 as of June 2024 and an additional 491 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,166 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 8.6% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (6.6%) and state averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 80.1% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for Australian statistical areas, with the area expected to expand by 4,888 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 18.8% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista when compared nationally

Baulkham Hills West Bella Vista averaged approximately 203 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, 1,017 homes were approved, with an additional 17 approved so far in FY-26. Over these five years, an average of 1.5 new residents per year was associated with each dwelling constructed. However, this figure increased to 8.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing demand and tightening supply.

The average construction cost value of new homes is $502,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $132.1 million, reflecting strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Baulkham Hills West Bella Vista maintains similar development levels per capita, indicating a balanced market consistent with broader trends. The current building activity comprises 20% detached dwellings and 80% attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 425 people per dwelling approval, the area exhibits a developed market. By 2041, Baulkham Hills West Bella Vista is projected to gain approximately 4,423 residents. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand effectively, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure. A total of 55 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include Norwest City, Hills Showground Station Precinct, Sydney Metro West, and Norwest Quarter. The following list details those considered most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Bella Vista, Baulkham Hills (West), has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 2.4% in September 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment grew by an estimated 1.5% over the past year. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing has lower representation at 3.7% compared to the regional average of 5.3%.

There are 1.2 workers for every resident, indicating it functions as an employment hub with more jobs than residents. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 1.5%, labour force grew by 0.8%, and unemployment fell by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% while unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points over the same period. As of 25-November-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bella Vista's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.4% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $61,696 and an average of $81,253. These figures are among the highest in Australia. Greater Sydney's median income was $56,994 with an average of $80,856 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $69,476 (median) and $91,499 (average). Census data shows household incomes rank at the 95th percentile with a weekly income of $2,847. The income distribution reveals that 32.8% of individuals earn more than $4,000 per week, compared to the surrounding region where 30.9% fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category. Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista demonstrates affluence with 47.6% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.5% of income. Residents rank within the 95th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista, as per the latest Census, 81.0% of dwellings were houses while 19.0% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This contrasts with Sydney metro's 78.2% houses and 21.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bella Vista was at 38.5%, with mortgaged properties at 43.8% and rented ones at 17.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment stood at $3,000, mirroring Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $610 compared to Sydney metro's $3,000 and $580 respectively. Nationally, Bella Vista's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 86.8% of all households, consisting of 52.0% couples with children, 26.1% couples without children, and 8.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.2%, with lone person households at 11.6% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Educational achievement in Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista shows significant surpassing of broader benchmarks. As of 2016, 45.9% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. This high educational attainment positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%).

Trade and technical skills are also prominent, with 25.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (14.1%). Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis indicates that there are 162 operational public transport stops in Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista. These stops offer a combination of light rail and bus services. A total of 100 unique routes serve these stops, facilitating 5,131 weekly passenger trips collectively.

The report rates the area's transport accessibility as excellent, with residents on average situated 159 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 733 daily trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 31 weekly trips per individual stop.

Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista has very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover rate is approximately 61% of the total population of 14,319 people, compared to 63.7% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are asthma (5.7%) and arthritis (5.6%).

76.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.9% in Greater Sydney. 18.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (4,366 people). Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's health profile.

Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Baulkham Hills West-Bella Vista has notable cultural diversity with 44.4% of its population born overseas and 45.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, making up 50.1% of the population. Hinduism stands out with 11.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 8.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (16.2%), Other (15.7%), and Australian (15.3%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Indian is overrepresented at 9.0% versus the regional average of 7.5%, Korean at 1.6% versus 2.3%, and Sri Lankan at 1.0%.

Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista has a median age of 40, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. The 65-74 cohort is notably over-represented at 10.6% locally compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 9.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.6% to 6.2%, and the 15-24 cohort increased from 12.9% to 14.4%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 14.3% to 13.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Baulkham Hills (West) - Bella Vista's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 1,142 people (79%), from 1,453 to 2,596. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 58% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.