Kellyville

Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Kellyville's population is estimated at around 29,975 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 2,964 people (11.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 27,011 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 29,089 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 552 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,125 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kellyville's growth of 11.0% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (5.9%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of Australian statistical areas, with the area expected to expand by 9,499 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 28.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kellyville among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Kellyville had approximately 131 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 659 homes. As of FY-26, 76 approvals have been recorded. On average, each home built between FY-21 and FY-25 accommodated around 4.9 new residents per year, indicating a significant demand outpacing supply. The average construction value for these new properties was $696,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In FY-26, commercial approvals amounted to $2.2 million, predominantly reflecting residential development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville has roughly half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 54th percentile nationally in terms of assessed areas for new dwellings. The area's building activity comprises approximately 34.0% standalone homes and 66.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the current housing mix of 88.0% houses. This change may be attributed to reduced development site availability and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 293 people per dwelling approval, Kellyville has room for growth.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to gain 8,554 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Kellyville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 56 such projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Sienna Apartments Kellyville, Kellyville Station Precinct, William Clarke College Bryson Building, and 30 Memorial Avenue Residential Development. The following list details those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Kellyville demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Kellyville has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.9% as of September 2025.

Employment stability over the past year showed relative consistency. Compared to Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%, Kellyville's was 1.3% lower, while its workforce participation rate was higher at 68.5%. Major employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Finance & insurance is particularly prominent with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level.

However, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 3.3% compared to Greater Sydney's 5.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.5%, labour force grew by 0.8%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kellyville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows median income in Kellyville at $66,920 and average income at $84,404. Greater Sydney's figures are median $60,817 and average $83,003. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $72,849 (median) and $91,882 (average), based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, Kellyville's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 82nd and 97th percentiles nationally. The $4000+ income bracket dominates with 34.1% of residents (10,221 people), contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. In Kellyville, 50.8% of residents earn over $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 16.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Kellyville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.0% houses and 12.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 78.2% houses and 21.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville stood at 26.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.1% and rented ones at 19.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $630, compared to Sydney metro's $3,000 and $580 respectively. Nationally, Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.1% of all households, including 58.9% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.9%, with lone person households at 9.6% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Kellyville's educational attainment is notably high. Among residents aged 15+, 43.6% have university qualifications, surpassing Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.0% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (14.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 33.2% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 6.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville has 177 active public transport stops. These are a mix of light rail and bus services. There are 123 individual routes operating in total.

Each week, these routes facilitate 10,711 passenger trips. Residents have excellent accessibility to transport, with an average distance of 177 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency is high, with an average of 1,530 trips per day across all routes. This equates to approximately 60 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Kellyville's health outcomes show exceptional results with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 60% of its total population (18,056 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 64.4%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 5.7 and 5.1% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 78.4%, report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.9% across Greater Sydney. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.6% (4,076 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 18.9%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Kellyville warrant more attention than the broader population.

Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 43.2% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kellyville, making up 54.7% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 9.5% of Kellyville's population versus 8.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (16.7%), Other (16.6%), and English (16.3%). Notable divergences include Korean (1.9% vs regional 2.3%), Indian (8.6% vs 7.5%), and Sri Lankan (1.1% vs 1.0%) groups being overrepresented in Kellyville.

Kellyville's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Kellyville is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (15.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 14.1% to 15.1%, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 9.7% to 8.8%. By the year 2041, Kellyville is expected to experience significant changes in its age composition. Notably, the 45-54 group is projected to grow by 42%, reaching a total of 6,619 people from the current 4,646. Conversely, the 0-4 age group is expected to decrease by 49 residents.