Kellyville

Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of Kellyville is around 28,709. This figure reflects an increase of 1,698 people since the Census in 2021, which recorded a population of 27,011. AreaSearch's analysis, based on latest ERP data from ABS (June 2025) and validated new addresses, estimates Kellyville's resident population at 28,615. This results in a density ratio of 2,993 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Kellyville's growth rate of 6.3% since the 2021 Census exceeded its SA3 area's 5.3%, indicating it as a region leader in population growth. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains, with all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Kellyville is projected to experience significant population growth, expected to increase by 8,112 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections. This reflects a gain of 27.9% in total over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kellyville among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Kellyville averaged approximately 131 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 658 homes were approved, with an additional 244 approved in FY-26 so far. This results in about 4.8 new residents per year for every home built over the past five financial years, indicating significant demand exceeding supply.

New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost of $695,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been approximately $2.2 million in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville has around half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 54th percentile nationally for areas assessed. New development consists of approximately 34.0% detached houses and 66.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns (currently 88.0% houses), likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The location has about 295 people per dwelling approval, indicating potential for growth.

Future projections estimate Kellyville adding approximately 8,018 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Kellyville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 56 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Withers Road Neighbourhood Shopping Centre, William Clarke College - Bryson Building, Kellyville Station Precinct, and 30 Memorial Avenue Residential Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Kellyville ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Kellyville has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.2%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 15,926 residents are employed at an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 71.7%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Census data shows that 53.0% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Finance & insurance has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing shows lower representation at 3.3% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.8%, while employment declined by 1.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Kellyville. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 14.0% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kellyville's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Kellyville has one of the highest income levels in Australia, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Kellyville is $66,920, with an average income of $84,404. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on a 10.32% growth in wages since financial year 2023, current estimates for Kellyville put the median income at approximately $73,826 and the average at $93,114 as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Kellyville rank highly nationally, between the 82nd and 97th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis shows that 34.1% of individuals in Kellyville earn $4,000 or more weekly (9,789 individuals), differing from metropolitan patterns where earnings between $1,500 and $2,999 dominate at 30.9%. Notably, 50.8% of the community earns above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 16.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Kellyville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.0% houses and 12.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville was at 26.2%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (54.1%) or rented (19.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Kellyville was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Kellyville was recorded at $630, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.1% of all households, including 58.9% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.9%, with lone person households at 9.6% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Kellyville residents aged 15+ have a higher proportion with university qualifications (43.6%) compared to Australia (30.4%) and NSW (32.2%). Bachelor degrees are the most common at 27.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.0% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (14.0%). Educational participation is high, with 33.2% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (11.4%), secondary education (9.7%), and tertiary education (6.6%).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville has 177 active public transport stops offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 123 different routes, facilitating 10,711 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 177 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 87%, while trains account for 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 53% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 1,530 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 60 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Kellyville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

AreaSearch's assessment shows excellent health outcomes in Kellyville.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low, especially among younger residents. Private health cover is high at approximately 60%, covering about 17,294 people. The most prevalent conditions are asthma (5.7%) and arthritis (5.1%). Most residents (78.4%) report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Kellyville has 14.1% of residents aged 65 and over (4,047 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Senior health outcomes are strong but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville has a high cultural diversity, with 41.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 43.2% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Kellyville, comprising 54.7% of its population. Hinduism is overrepresented in Kellyville compared to Greater Sydney, making up 9.5% versus 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (16.7%), Other (16.6%), and English (16.3%). Korean (1.9%) and Indian (8.6%) are notably overrepresented in Kellyville compared to regional averages of 1.1% and 3.6%, respectively. Sri Lankan ancestry is also overrepresented at 1.1%.

Kellyville's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Kellyville is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.9%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 14.1% to 15.1% of Kellyville's population, while the 0-4 cohort has decreased from 5.8% to 4.8%. By 2041, significant changes are projected in Kellyville's age composition. The 45-54 group is expected to grow by 41%, reaching 6,480 people from the current 4,593. Conversely, the 0-4 group is predicted to decrease by 23 residents.