Kellyville

Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Kellyville is estimated at around 29,980, reflecting an increase of 2,969 people since the 2021 Census. The population stood at 27,011 in 2021. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 29,089 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release (June 2024), and an additional 556 validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density is 3,126 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kellyville's growth of 11.0% since the 2021 census exceeded both its SA3 area (6.4%) and the state average. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is forecasted to have a significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with an expected expansion of 9,546 persons, reflecting a gain of 28.9% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Kellyville among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Kellyville averaged around 131 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, an estimated 658 homes were approved, with another 85 approved so far in FY26. This results in a significant demand exceeding supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition.

The average value of new dwellings developed is $695,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. There have been $2.2 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville has roughly half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 54th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New development consists of 34.0% detached houses and 66.0% attached dwellings, marking a shift from existing housing patterns which are currently 88.0% houses. This trend may be due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

The location has approximately 294 people per dwelling approval, indicating potential for growth. Future projections show Kellyville adding 8,655 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Kellyville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 56 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Sienna Apartments Kellyville, Kellyville Station Precinct, William Clarke College Bryson Building, and 30 Memorial Avenue Residential Development. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Kellyville ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Kellyville has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 3.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 16,364 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 72.7%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.2%. A significant 53.0% of residents work from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Major employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Finance & insurance shows notable concentration with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing has lower representation at 3.3% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Kellyville's labour force decreased by 0.2%, while employment declined by 0.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kellyville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Kellyville had one of the highest income levels in Australia according to AreaSearch data aggregated from latest ATO figures for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $66,920 and the average income stood at $84,404. These figures compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Kellyville would be approximately $72,849 (median) and $91,882 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Kellyville ranked highly nationally, with household incomes between the 82nd and 97th percentiles. Income analysis showed that 34.1% of individuals earned over $4,000 weekly (10,223 individuals), differing from metropolitan patterns where the dominant earnings band was $1,500 - $2,999 at 30.9%. A significant 50.8% earned above $3,000 weekly, indicating prosperity and robust local economic activity. High housing costs consumed 16.4% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Kellyville, as per the latest Census evaluation, 88.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 12.0% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This differs from Sydney metropolitan areas where 55.9% of dwellings are houses and 44.1% are other types. Home ownership in Kellyville stood at 26.2%, with mortgaged properties at 54.1% and rented ones at 19.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than the Sydney metro average of $2,427. Weekly rent median was $630, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.1% of all households, including 58.9% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 8.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.9%, with lone person households at 9.6% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Kellyville exceeds broader benchmarks. 43.6% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 27.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.0% and certificates for 14.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 6.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville has 177 active public transport stops offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 123 individual routes, collectively facilitating 10,711 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 177 meters from the nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most commutes are outward-bound; cars remain the primary mode at 87%, while train usage stands at 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, exceeding regional norms. Notably, 53% of residents work from home (2021 Census), which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 1,530 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 60 weekly trips per stop. An accompanying map details the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Kellyville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Kellyville's health outcomes show notable results based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low, especially among younger cohorts. Private health cover was found to be high at approximately 60% of the total population (18,059 people). The most common medical conditions were asthma (5.7%) and arthritis (5.1%). A majority of residents (78.4%), compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%, reported being completely clear of medical ailments. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.3% (4,287 people) than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors in Kellyville were strong but ranked lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 43.2% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kellyville, comprising 54.7% of the population. However, Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 9.5% of the population compared to 5.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Australian at 16.7%, Other at 16.6%, and English at 16.3%. Notably, Korean (1.9%), Indian (8.6%), and Sri Lankan (1.1%) ethnic groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.1%, 3.6%, and 0.3% respectively.

Kellyville's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Kellyville is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 at 15.6%, but fewer residents aged 25-34 at 8.6%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 15-24 age group has increased from 14.1% to 15.1% of Kellyville's population, while the 25-34 cohort has declined from 9.7% to 8.6%. By 2041, significant changes are expected in Kellyville's age composition. The 45-54 group is projected to grow by 42%, adding 1,942 people and reaching a total of 6,619 from the current figure of 4,676. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age group is expected to decrease by 9 residents.