North Kellyville

North Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, the population of North Kellyville is estimated to be around 22,438. This reflects an increase of 5,037 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,401. The growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 21,350 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 848 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,780 persons per square kilometer, placing North Kellyville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 28.9% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area rates, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, North Kellyville is predicted to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of national areas, with an expected increase of 11,381 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 45.9% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in North Kellyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in North Kellyville, around 468 new homes were approved annually. Between FY21 and FY25, approximately 2344 homes were approved, with another 31 approved so far in FY26. On average, 3.8 people moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five years, indicating demand outpacing supply.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $823,000, targeting the premium market segment. This financial year has seen $238,000 in commercial development approvals, suggesting minimal commercial activity compared to residential development. Relative to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville's development levels per person are similar, maintaining market balance with the broader area and indicating strong developer confidence. Recent construction comprises 71% detached dwellings and 29% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature.

With around 194 people per dwelling approval, North Kellyville is a growth area. By 2041, it is expected to grow by approximately 10,293 residents, with current development rates comfortably meeting demand and potentially supporting further population growth beyond projections.

North Kellyville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include Bellerive Rise Estate, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, Verde Estate North Kellyville, and North Kellyville Shopping Centre. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places North Kellyville well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

North Kellyville has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate is 3.1%, lower than the national average.

Over the past year, employment grew by an estimated 2.4%. As of June 2025, 12,093 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in North Kellyville is 73.6%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction.

The area shows strong specialization in finance & insurance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. However, transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence, at 3.5% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. In the past year, employment increased by 2.4%, while labour force grew by 3.1%, resulting in a 0.7 percentage point rise in unemployment. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, and an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that North Kellyville's employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that North Kellyville has one of the highest incomes in Australia. The median income is $71,629 and the average income stands at $90,086. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $80,661 (median) and $101,446 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in North Kellyville, between the 91st and 97th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 34.0% of the population (7,628 individuals) fall within the $4000+ income range, contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. This suburb demonstrates considerable affluence with 52.6% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 96th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

North Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

North Kellyville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.6% houses and 17.3% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 87.7% houses and 12.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Kellyville stood at 13.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 58.3% and rented properties at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,250, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,000. Median weekly rent in North Kellyville was $600, aligning with Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, North Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,250 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 88.9 percent of all households, including 60.7 percent couples with children, 19.2 percent couples without children, and 8.6 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 11.1 percent, with lone person households at 9.5 percent and group households comprising 1.5 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which matches the Greater Sydney average.

North Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Kellyville's educational attainment significantly exceeds national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 47.2% hold university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 30.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (14.0%).

Educational participation is notably high in North Kellyville, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.4% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education. The area's four schools have a combined enrollment reaching 3,167 students as of the latest available data. North Kellyville demonstrates significant socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1118, indicating high academic achievement. The educational mix includes two primary schools and two K-12 schools.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Kellyville has 50 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 41 individual services. Collectively, these routes facilitate 2,451 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 221 meters from the nearest stop. The service frequency averages 350 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Kellyville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Kellyville shows excellent health outcomes with a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 62% of its total population of 14,014 has private health cover, higher than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.5 and 4.2% of residents respectively. A total of 83.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 79.5% in Greater Sydney. As of October 2021, 8.8% of the population is aged 65 and over (1,974 people). Senior health outcomes align with those of the general population.

North Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

North Kellyville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in North Kellyville is Christianity, accounting for 46.5% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 11.8% compared to the regional average of 8.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (20.3%), Australian (16.2%), and English (14.9%). Significant differences exist in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Indian is overrepresented at 11.0% compared to the regional average of 7.2%, South African is at 1.2% versus 1.0%, and Sri Lankan is at 1.0% compared to 0.8%.

North Kellyville's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

North Kellyville's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (18.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.1%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the population of those aged 45 to 54 has grown from 12.0% to 14.2%, while the 15 to 24 age group increased from 11.4% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 14.0% to 10.1%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 9.3% to 6.7%. By 2041, significant demographic changes are forecast for North Kellyville. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to grow by 184%, adding 3,006 residents to reach a total of 4,644. In contrast, the number of residents aged 35 to 44 is expected to decrease by 219.