North Kellyville

North Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of North Kellyville is estimated at around 22,830 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 5,429 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,401 people. The current resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 22,392, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 959 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 2,829 persons per square kilometer, placing North Kellyville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 31.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (7.1%) and Greater Sydney figures, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, for covered areas. For non-covered areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year are used. Future population trends predict exceptional growth for North Kellyville, placing it in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation by 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to increase by 10,366 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 43.4% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in North Kellyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis shows North Kellyville had approximately 468 residential properties approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 2,344 homes were approved, with an additional 61 approvals in FY26. On average, 3.9 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed during this period.

This indicates supply is lagging demand, potentially leading to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction value of new dwellings was $823,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY26, commercial development approvals totalled $238,000, reflecting North Kellyville's residential nature. Comparatively, North Kellyville had 14.0% less new development per person than Greater Sydney but ranked at the 69th percentile nationally, indicating strong developer interest in the area.

New developments consisted of 71.0% standalone homes and 29.0% medium to high-density housing, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a focus on family homes. With approximately 194 people per dwelling approval, North Kellyville exhibits growth area characteristics. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to increase by 9,918 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially allowing growth that exceeds current forecasts.

North Kellyville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Bellerive Rise Estate, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, Rouse Hill Hospital, and Verde Estate North Kellyville. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in North Kellyville exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

North Kellyville has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 3.5%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 12,313 residents are employed, with a 0.7% lower unemployment rate than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 75.5%, higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Census responses show 54.1% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts are considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. Finance & insurance shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing has lower representation at 3.5% versus the regional average of 5.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period, labour force remained unchanged while employment declined by 1.0%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within North Kellyville. These projections estimate national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to North Kellyville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows North Kellyville's median income among taxpayers is $71,629. The average income is $90,086. Both figures are among the highest in Australia. Greater Sydney's median income is $60,817 with an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for North Kellyville would be approximately $79,021 (median) and $99,383 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in North Kellyville rank highly nationally, between the 91st and 97th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Distribution data shows that 34.0% of residents (7,762 people) earn $4,000 or more per week, differing from broader area patterns where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates at 30.9%. A substantial proportion of high earners (52.6%) indicates strong economic capacity in the area. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

North Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In North Kellyville, as per the latest Census, 82.6% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 17.3% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types of dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Kellyville stood at 13.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 58.3% and rented ones at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,250, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Weekly rent in North Kellyville was $600 compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, North Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,250 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 88.9% of all households, consisting of couples with children (60.7%), couples without children (19.2%), and single parent families (8.6%). Non-family households make up the remaining 11.1%, with lone person households at 9.5% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

North Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Kellyville's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 47.2% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent (30.1%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them; advanced diplomas account for 12.1%, while certificates make up 14.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.4% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Kellyville has 79 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 42 different routes that together facilitate 2,876 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living within 214 meters of the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 84%, while trains account for 8%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in North Kellyville, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, specifically 54.1%, work from home, which may be partly attributed to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 410 trips per day, equating to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Kellyville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Kellyville's health outcomes data shows excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (14,259 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Nationally, it averages 55.7%.

The most common conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.5% and 4.2% respectively. A total of 83.2% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. North Kellyville has 8.8% residents aged 65 and over (2,009 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors align with general population rankings nationally.

North Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

North Kellyville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in North Kellyville is Christianity, accounting for 46.5% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 11.8% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

According to ancestry, the top three groups are Other (20.3%), Australian (16.2%), and English (14.9%). There are significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Indian is overrepresented at 11.0% compared to the regional average of 3.6%, South Australian at 1.2% versus 0.5%, and Sri Lankan at 1.0% compared to 0.3%.

North Kellyville's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

North Kellyville's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (18.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.0%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.0%. Between the 2021 Census and now, residents have aged on average by 1.1 years, with the median age increasing from 33 to 34 years. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has risen from 12.0% to 14.9%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 11.4% to 13.5%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 14.0% to 10.0%, and the proportion of those aged 0-4 has dropped from 9.3% to 6.3%. Population forecasts for North Kellyville indicate significant demographic changes by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 55-64 age group (a 174% increase), adding 2,864 residents to reach a total of 4,508. Meanwhile, the 35-44 age group is expected to decrease by 171 residents.