North Kellyville

North Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

North Kellyville's population is estimated at around 22,775 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 5,374 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 17,401. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 21,403 residents following examination of ABS data up to June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 2,822 persons per square kilometer, placing North Kellyville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 30.9% since the 2021 census exceeded both state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney averages. Interstate migration contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors.

Population projections for North Kellyville are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, or NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 using a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period to 2041, with the suburb expected to expand by 11,365 persons reflecting an increase of 43.7% in total population over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in North Kellyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

North Kellyville recorded around 468 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 2344 homes were approved, with an additional 48 approved so far in FY26. On average, 3.8 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed over these years.

This indicates substantial supply lagging behind demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. Developers target the premium market segment, with new dwellings valued at an average of $823,000. In FY26, commercial development approvals amounted to $238,000, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has similar development levels per person, maintaining market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas.

Recent construction comprises 71% detached houses and 29% attached dwellings, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 194 people per approval, North Kellyville reflects a developing area. Future projections estimate North Kellyville adding 9960 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

North Kellyville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 potential impact projects. Major ones are Bellerive Rise Estate, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, Rouse Hill Hospital, and Verde Estate North Kellyville. The following details these projects' expected relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in North Kellyville exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

North Kellyville has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 3.5%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 12,313 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in North Kellyville is high at 79.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Census responses indicate that 54.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. Finance & insurance shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level, while transport, postal & warehousing has lower representation at 3.5% compared to the regional average of 5.3%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as seen in the ratio of working population to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending December 2025, labour force remained unchanged while employment decreased by 1.0%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years for Australia. Applying these projections to North Kellyville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows North Kellyville's median income among taxpayers is $71,629. The average income in the suburb is $90,086. Both figures are among the highest in Australia. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income is $60,817 with an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for North Kellyville would be approximately $77,975 (median) and $98,068 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in North Kellyville rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes between the 91st and 97th percentiles. The distribution data shows that the $4000+ bracket dominates with 34.0% of residents (7,743 people), unlike broader area patterns where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates at 30.9%. A substantial proportion of high earners (52.6% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the area. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

North Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In North Kellyville, as per the latest Census, 82.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 17.3% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Sydney's metropolitan area, where 55.9% of dwellings are houses and 44.1% are other types. Home ownership in North Kellyville stood at 13.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 58.3% and rented ones at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,250, higher than Sydney's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in North Kellyville was $600, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, North Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,250 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $600 compared to the national figure of $375.

North Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 88.9% of all households, including 60.7% couples with children, 19.2% couples without children, and 8.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 11.1%, with lone person households at 9.5% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

North Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Kellyville's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. As of 2016 data, 47.2% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. University graduates make up the largest group at 30.1%, followed by postgraduate degree holders (14.5%) and graduate diploma holders (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.1% and certificates for 14.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This includes 14.4% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Kellyville has 79 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 42 different routes that together facilitate 2,876 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 214 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport, used by 84% of residents, while trains are used by 8%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 54.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 410 trips per day, equating to approximately 36 weekly trips per stop.

North Kellyville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Kellyville's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups (AreaSearch, 2021). The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (14,225 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.5 and 4.2% of residents respectively, while 83.2% report being completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the 74.6% in Greater Sydney (AreaSearch, 2021).

The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 9.3% (2,118 people), compared to 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

North Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

North Kellyville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in North Kellyville, making up 46.5% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 11.8% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (20.3%), Australian (16.2%), and English (14.9%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences in representation: Indian is overrepresented at 11.0%, South Australian at 1.2%, and Sri Lankan at 1.0%.

North Kellyville's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

North Kellyville's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (18.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.4%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.1%. From the 2021 Census to present, residents have aged by an average of 1.1 years, with the median age rising from 33 to 34 years. The 45 to 54 age group has grown from 12.0% to 14.6%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 11.4% to 13.5%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 14.0% to 9.4%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 9.3% to 6.3%. Population forecasts for North Kellyville indicate significant demographic changes by 2041. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to grow by 172%, adding 2,935 residents to reach a total of 4,644. Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 age group is forecasted to decrease by 199 residents.