Kellyville - West
Statistical Area - sa2

Kellyville - West lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Kellyville - West's population is around 15,044 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 3,669 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,375 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,879 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 832 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,014 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kellyville - West's growth of 32.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (6.6%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 76.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends predict exceptional growth, placing Kellyville - West in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation, with an expected expansion of 11,031 persons to 2041 based on latest population numbers, reflecting an increase of 65.6% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Kellyville - West was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Kellyville-West averaged approximately 259 new dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, 1,297 homes were approved, with an additional 36 approved in FY-26 to date.

On average, 3.4 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built during these five years. This significant demand outpaces supply, exerting upward pressure on prices and intensifying competition among buyers. New homes are constructed at an average value of $410,000. Comparatively, Kellyville-West has 143.0% more new home approvals per capita than Greater Sydney, indicating robust developer interest in the area. The new development composition is 12.0% detached houses and 88.0% attached dwellings, reflecting a trend towards denser development that caters to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This shift contrasts with the existing housing stock, which is currently 74.0% houses, suggesting decreasing developable sites and evolving lifestyle needs. With around 155 people per dwelling approval, Kellyville-West exhibits characteristics of a growth area.

Population forecasts project an increase of 9,866 residents by 2041. Assuming current development patterns continue, new housing supply should meet demand, presenting favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond existing projections.

Kellyville - West has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 43 projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects include Sienna Apartments Kellyville, Grandfield Kellyville, Kellyville Station Precinct, and One Fairway by Castle Group. The following details projects likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kellyville - West ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Kellyville - West has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% in June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.7%. As of June 2025, 7,924 residents were employed with a participation rate of 67.0%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment industries include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance. Finance & insurance has notable concentration, employing at 1.5 times the regional average.

Transport, postal & warehousing employs 3.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data. From June 2024 to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.7%, labour force by 3.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Comparing with Greater Sydney: employment growth was 2.6%, labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kellyville - West's industry mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Kellyville - West had a median income among taxpayers of $66,355 and an average level of $84,100. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's levels of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Kellyville - West would be approximately $74,722 (median) and $94,705 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Kellyville - West rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 97th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the largest segment comprises 34.4% earning $4000+ weekly (5,175 residents), differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 49.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly, suggesting strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 19.0% of income, yet strong earnings still place disposable income at the 95th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kellyville - West's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 74.3% houses and 25.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 78.2% houses and 21.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville - West was at 18.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.8% and rented ones at 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,200, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $3,000. The median weekly rent figure for Kellyville - West was recorded at $600, higher than Sydney metro's $580. Nationally, Kellyville - West's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville - West features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.4% of all households, including 53.5% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 7.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for 15.6%, with lone person households at 12.8% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Kellyville - West demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Kellyville-West significantly exceeds national and state averages. As of 2021, 49.6% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 31.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational pathways account for 24.0% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 12.3% and certificates at 11.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.9% in primary, 8.0% in secondary, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. Kellyville-West is served by Bella Vista Public School, which educates 1,067 students and has an ICSEA score of 1148. The area has one school focusing exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. Local school capacity is limited at 7.1 places per 100 residents, compared to the regional average of 17.4, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville - West has 69 active public transport stops, operating a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 45 individual routes that collectively facilitate 6,677 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 161 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, service frequency across all routes amounts to 953 trips per day, equating to approximately 96 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville - West's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows significant results in Kellyville-West, with both young and elderly populations experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 62% (9,387 people) have private health cover, higher than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 4.9 and 4.8% of residents respectively. 80.2% of residents declare no medical ailments, compared to 75.9% in Greater Sydney. The area has 13.6% (2,045 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 18.9%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Kellyville - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville-West is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 50.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 50.4% born overseas. The predominant religion in Kellyville-West is Christianity, comprising 47.9% of the population. However, Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 14.2% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 8.6%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other at 19.8%, English at 13.8%, and Indian at 13.2%. Notably, Korean (2.3%), Sri Lankan (1.2%), and Chinese (12.5%) ethnic groups are also overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Kellyville - West's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Kellyville-West has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 5-14 age group comprises 15.6%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 11.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 45-54 age group has increased from 12.6% to 14.2%, while the 15-24 group rose from 12.3% to 13.8%. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort decreased from 12.3% to 11.0%, and the 0-4 age group fell from 6.5% to 5.5%. By 2041, projections indicate significant shifts in Kellyville-West's age structure, with the 15-24 group expected to grow by 87%, reaching 3,871 people from its current total of 2,071.