Kellyville - West

Kellyville - West lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Kellyville - West's population was approximately 15,044 as of November 2025. This figure represents a rise of 3,669 people, or 32.3%, since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 11,375. The increase is inferred from an estimated resident population of 13,879 in June 2024 and an additional 832 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,014 persons per square kilometer, placing Kellyville - West in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. The area's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 region (6.6%) and the state, indicating it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 76.5% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth being positive factors.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are employed. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends predict exceptional growth, placing Kellyville - West in the top 10 percent of statistical areas nationally. By 2041, the area is expected to expand by 11,031 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 65.6% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Kellyville - West was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Kellyville - West averaged approximately 259 new dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, 1,297 homes were approved, with an additional 39 approved in FY-26 to date.

Over the past five financial years, an average of 3.4 people moved to the area for each new dwelling built. This demand significantly outpaces supply, typically exerting upward pressure on prices and intensifying competition among buyers. The average construction cost value of new homes being built is around $410,000. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - West has 143.0% more new home approvals per capita, offering greater choice for buyers. This figure is significantly higher than the national average, indicating strong developer interest in the area. New development consists of 12.0% detached houses and 88.0% attached dwellings, providing accessible entry options that appeal to downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. This shift from the existing housing stock (currently 74.0% houses) suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options.

With approximately 155 people per dwelling approval, Kellyville - West exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain 9,866 residents by 2041. If current development patterns continue, new housing supply should readily meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kellyville - West has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 43 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include Sienna Apartments Kellyville, Kellyville Station Precinct, 30 Memorial Avenue Residential Development, and Withers Road Neighbourhood Shopping Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kellyville - West ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Kellyville-West has a highly educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% in September 2025, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.0%. As of September 2025, 8,007 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 67.0%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include professional & technical services, health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance, with the latter having employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employed only 3.4% of local workers, lower than Greater Sydney's 5.3%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.0%, labour force grew by 1.2%, leading to a slight rise in unemployment (0.2 percentage points). In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded higher employment growth (2.1%) but similar unemployment rate changes. State-wide, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% between November 2024 and November 2025, losing 2,260 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3% in May 2025. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kellyville-West's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 7.1% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Kellyville - West SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $66,355 and an average income of $84,100. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's levels of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes are approximately $74,722 (median) and $94,705 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Kellyville - West rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 96th percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 34.4% earning $4000+ weekly (5,175 residents), differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. A substantial presence of higher earners is evident, with 49.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 19.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 95th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kellyville - West's dwelling structure in the latest Census showed 74.3% houses and 25.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 78.2% houses and 21.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville - West was 18.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.8% and rented ones at 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,200, higher than Sydney metro's $3,000. Median weekly rent was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $580. Nationally, Kellyville - West's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,200 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $600 compared to the national figure of $375.

Kellyville - West features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.4% of all households, including 53.5% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 7.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 15.6%, with lone person households at 12.8% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Kellyville - West demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Kellyville - West has a notably high level of educational attainment among its residents aged 15 and above, with 49.6% holding university qualifications. This figure surpasses the national average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%, indicating a significant educational advantage for the area. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 31.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 15.8% and graduate diplomas at 2.7%. Vocational pathways account for 24.0% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas making up 12.3% and certificates 11.7%.

Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville-West has 69 active public transport stops, serving a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are covered by 45 unique routes, facilitating 6,677 weekly passenger trips in total. The average distance from residents to the nearest transport stop is 161 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 953 trips per day, translating to approximately 96 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville - West's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows exceptional results in Kellyville - West, with both young and elderly cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 62% of the total population (9,387 people), surpassing the national average of 55.3%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 4.9 and 4.8% of residents respectively. Notably, 80.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the Greater Sydney average of 75.9%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.6% (2,045 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 18.9%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

Kellyville - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville-West is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 50.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 50.4% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kellyville-West, comprising 47.9% of people. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 14.2% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 8.6%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (19.8%), English (13.8%), and Indian (13.2%), with Other being substantially higher than the regional average of 14.1%. There are also notable divergences in the representation of Korean (2.3% vs 2.3% regionally), Sri Lankan (1.2% vs 1.0%), and Chinese (12.5% vs 15.0%) ethnic groups.

Kellyville - West's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Kellyville-West has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 5-14 age group comprises 15.6%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort represents 11.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 45 to 54 age group grew from 12.6% to 14.2%, while the 15 to 24 group increased from 12.3% to 13.8%. During this period, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 12.3% to 11.0%, and the 0 to 4 age group decreased from 6.5% to 5.5%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Kellyville-West's age structure, with the 15 to 24 group expected to grow by 87% (1,799 people), reaching a total of 3,871 from its current figure of 2,071.