Kellyville - West

Kellyville - West lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Kellyville - West's population was approximately 14,387 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 3,012 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,375. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,291 in June 2025 and an additional 832 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,883 persons per square kilometer, placing Kellyville - West in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 26.5% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (5.3%) and the state level. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 63.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where data is not available, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends predict exceptional growth, placing Kellyville - West in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation, with an expected expansion of 10,051 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 69.2% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Kellyville - West was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Kellyville - West averaged approximately 259 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 1,297 homes were approved, with an additional 256 approved in FY-26 as of current data.

On average, 3.4 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years. This demand outpaces supply, typically exerting upward pressure on prices and intensifying competition among buyers. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $410,000. Comparatively, Kellyville - West has 125.0% more new home approvals per person than Greater Sydney, indicating robust developer interest in the area. The composition of new development is 12.0% detached houses and 88.0% attached dwellings, shifting from the existing housing stock which is currently 74.0% houses. This denser development provides accessible entry options appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. With around 155 people moving in per dwelling approval, Kellyville - West exhibits characteristics of a growth area.

Population forecasts suggest it will gain approximately 9,955 residents by 2041. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Kellyville - West has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 44 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Withers Road Neighbourhood Shopping Centre, Kellyville Station Precinct, Bella Vista's 40 Memorial Avenue, and 30 Memorial Avenue Residential Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Kellyville - West demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Kellyville - West has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented, and an unemployment rate of 2.4% as of December 2025. There are 7,966 residents employed, with an unemployment rate 1.7% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 71.3%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%.

According to Census responses, 54.6% of residents work from home. Leading industries include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance. Finance & insurance employs 1.5 times the regional average, while transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.4%, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.1% and employment declined by 0.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kellyville - West's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Kellyville - West SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $70,542 with an average level standing at $87,650. This is among the highest in Australia and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% from financial year ended June 2023 to March 2026, current estimates would be approximately $77,822 (median) and $96,695 (average). According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Kellyville - West, between the 88th and 96th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that the largest segment comprises 34.4% earning $4000+ weekly (4,949 residents), differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 49.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly, suggesting strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 19.0% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 95th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Kellyville-West, as per the latest Census, consisted of 74.3% houses and 25.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kellyville-West was at 18.4%, with the rest either mortgaged (52.8%) or rented (28.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,200, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Kellyville-West's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville - West features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.4% of all households, consisting of couples with children (53.5%), couples without children (23.4%), and single parent families (7.0%). Non-family households account for the remaining 15.6%, with lone person households at 12.8% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kellyville - West demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Kellyville-West has a notably high level of educational attainment among its residents aged 15 and above. Specifically, 49.6% of these residents hold university qualifications, which exceeds the national average of 30.4% and the New South Wales (NSW) average of 32.2%. This significant educational advantage is largely driven by bachelor degrees, with 31.1% of residents having completed one. Postgraduate qualifications are also prevalent at 15.8%, followed by graduate diplomas at 2.7%.

Vocational pathways account for a substantial portion of qualifications as well, with advanced diplomas at 12.3% and certificates at 11.7%. Educational participation is particularly high in Kellyville-West, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kellyville - West has 97 active public transport stops offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 55 individual routes, facilitating 10,475 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 156 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily, primarily by car (82%), with train usage at 9%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 54.6% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency across all routes averages 1,496 trips per day, equating to approximately 107 weekly trips per stop.

Kellyville - West's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates positive outcomes for Kellyville - West residents. Mortality rates and health conditions are largely in line with national benchmarks. Prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (9,106 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 4.9 and 4.8% of residents respectively. 80.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 13.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,945 people), lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Kellyville - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville-West is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 50.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 50.4% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion in Kellyville-West, making up 47.9% of the population. However, Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 14.2% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (19.8%), English (13.8%), and Indian (13.2%). Notably, Korean (2.3%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.1%, as are Sri Lankan (1.2%) and Chinese (12.5%) populations.

Kellyville - West's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Kellyville-West has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 5-14 age group is strongly represented at 15.0%, higher than Greater Sydney's proportion. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 11.8% of Kellyville-West's population, lower compared to Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and now, the 45 to 54 age group has grown from 12.6% to 14.6%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 12.3% to 13.9%. During this period, the 0 to 4 age group has decreased from 6.5% to 4.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Kellyville-West's age structure. Notably, the 15 to 24 age group is projected to grow by 88%, adding 1,757 people and reaching a total of 3,764 from its current figure of 2,006.