Kellyville - West

Kellyville - West lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Kellyville - West's population is around 15,122 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 3,747 people (32.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,375 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,879 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 833 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,030 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Kellyville - West's 32.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (6.4%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 76.5% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including overseas migration and natural growth, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation, is predicted over the period, with the area expected to expand by 11,031 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 64.7% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Kellyville - West was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Kellyville - West has averaged around 259 new dwelling approvals per year, with 1,297 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 43 so far in FY-26. With an average of 3.4 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new homes are being built at an average construction cost of $410,000.

Relative to Greater Sydney, Kellyville - West has 143.0% more new home approvals per person, creating greater choice for buyers. This is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. New development consists of 12.0% detached houses and 88.0% attached dwellings. This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 74.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. With around 155 people per dwelling approval, Kellyville - West shows characteristics of a growth area.

Population forecasts indicate Kellyville - West will gain 9,788 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Kellyville - West has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 43 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Sienna Apartments Kellyville, Kellyville Station Precinct, 30 Memorial Avenue Residential Development, and Withers Road Neighbourhood Shopping Centre, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Kellyville - West demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Kellyville - West possesses a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation and an unemployment rate of just 2.4%. As of December 2025, 7,966 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.7% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (74.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 54.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in finance & insurance, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. In contrast, transport, postal & warehousing employs just 3.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.1% alongside a 0.5% employment decline, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Kellyville - West. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kellyville - West's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Kellyville - West SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $70,542 with the average level standing at $87,650. This is among the highest in Australia and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $76,792 (median) and $95,416 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Kellyville - West, between the 88th and 96th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate the largest segment comprises 34.4% earning $4000+ weekly (5,201 residents), diverging from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 49.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 19.0% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 95th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Kellyville - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Kellyville - West, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 74.3% houses and 25.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Kellyville - West was lagging that of Sydney metro, at 18.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (52.8%) or rented (28.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $3,200, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Kellyville - West's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kellyville - West features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 84.4% of all households, comprising 53.5% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 7.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 15.6%, with lone person households at 12.8% and group households comprising 2.8% of the total. The median household size of 3.1 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Kellyville - West demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Kellyville - West significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 49.6% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 31.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational pathways account for 24.0% of qualifications among those aged 15+; advanced diplomas (12.3%) and certificates (11.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 97 active transport stops operating within Kellyville - West, comprising a mix of light rail and buses. These stops are serviced by 55 individual routes, collectively providing 10,475 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 156 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 82%, with 9% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 54.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,496 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 107 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kellyville - West's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Kellyville - West residents, with AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions showing results broadly in line with national benchmarks. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (9,572 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 4.9% and 4.8% of residents, respectively, while 80.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 14.0% of residents aged 65 and over (2,117 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Kellyville - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kellyville - West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 50.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 50.4% born overseas. The main religion in Kellyville - West is Christianity, which makes up 47.9% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Hinduism, which comprises 14.2% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Kellyville - West are Other, comprising 19.8% of the population, English, comprising 13.8% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 19.0%, and Indian, comprising 13.2% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 3.6%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Korean is notably overrepresented at 2.3% of Kellyville - West (vs 1.1% regionally), Sri Lankan at 1.2% (vs 0.3%) and Chinese at 12.5% (vs 8.4%).

Kellyville - West's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

With a median age of 37, Kellyville - West is equal to the Greater Sydney figure of 37 and remains comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 5 - 14 age group shows strong representation at 15.6% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 10.5%. In the period since 2021, the 45 to 54 age group has grown from 12.6% to 14.5% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 12.3% to 14.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 12.3% to 10.5% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 6.5% to 5.2%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Kellyville - West's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 15 to 24 group will grow by 82% (1,746 people), reaching 3,871 from 2,124.