Pendle Hill - Girraween

Population growth drivers in Pendle Hill - Girraween are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Pendle Hill - Girraween's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 15,313, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents a growth of 1,374 people (9.9%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,939. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,330 in June 2024 and an additional 160 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,433 persons per square kilometer, placing Pendle Hill - Girraween in the upper quartile compared to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 9.9% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state average (7.8%) and that of Greater Sydney. Overseas migration contributed approximately 89.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving this growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Pendle Hill - Girraween is expected to experience population growth just below the Australian median statistical area level. By 2041, the area's population is projected to increase by approximately 1,348 persons, reflecting an overall increase of about 2.4% over the 17-year period, using the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Pendle Hill - Girraween when compared nationally

Pendle Hill - Girraween has recorded approximately 92 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 461 homes. As of FY-26, 32 approvals have been granted. On average, 0.5 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25. The average construction cost value of new homes was $324,000.

This financial year, $19.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Greater Sydney, Pendle Hill - Girraween has 11.0% less building activity per person but ranks among the 70th percentile nationally. New building activity comprised 27.0% standalone homes and 73.0% townhouses or apartments. The location had approximately 205 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. By 2041, Pendle Hill - Girraween is projected to grow by 363 residents based on current development patterns and AreaSearch quarterly estimates.

Looking ahead, Pendle Hill - Girraween is expected to grow by 363 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Pendle Hill - Girraween has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects that may affect this region. Notable ones include Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, Integrated Mental Health Complex Westmead, Northside West Clinic Extension Stage 2, and M4 Smart Motorway. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Pendle Hill - Girraween shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Pendle Hill - Girraween has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.3% in September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 2.5% over the past year. As of that date, 8181 residents were employed, matching Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was higher at 75.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 44.7% of residents worked from home. Key industries for employment include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and finance & insurance. Manufacturing shows notable concentration with levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

Conversely, construction has lower representation at 4.8%, compared to the regional average of 8.6%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5% while labour force grew by 3.3%, resulting in a unemployment rise of 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% with unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Pendle Hill - Girraween's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Pendle Hill - Girraween SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $59,160 and an average level of $70,591. This is higher than the national average and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $64,402 (median) and $76,845 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Pendle Hill - Girraween cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Distribution data shows that 32.9% of the population (5,037 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range. High housing costs consume 17.9% of income, placing disposable income at the 66th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Pendle Hill - Girraween displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Pendle Hill - Girraween's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 44.6% houses and 55.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Pendle Hill - Girraween was at 21.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.6% and rented ones at 42.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,250, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Pendle Hill - Girraween's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,250 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Pendle Hill - Girraween has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.0% of all households, including 49.6% couples with children, 16.7% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 19.4% and group households comprising 3.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7 people.

Pendle Hill - Girraween shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Pendle Hill - Girraween shows a significant advantage with 46.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This compares to 30.4% for Australia as a whole and 32.2% for New South Wales. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 27.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 17.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.3%. Vocational pathways account for 21.4% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 12.0%.

Educational participation is high in the area, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.4% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Pendle Hill - Girraween has 71 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 44 individual routes, collectively facilitating 5,080 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is high, with residents typically located 137 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode at 72%, while train use stands at 18%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.0 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 44.7% of residents work from home, a figure potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 725 trips per day, equating to approximately 71 weekly trips per individual stop.

Pendle Hill - Girraween's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Pendle Hill, Girraween's health metrics are close to national benchmarks according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (~8,284 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. Diabetes and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 6.0 and 5.1% of residents respectively. 79.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 13.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,062 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Pendle Hill - Girraween is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Pendle Hill-Girraween is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 62.9% of its population born overseas and 72.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Pendle Hill-Girraween, as per data from June 2016, is Hinduism, making up 48.0% of the population, which is significantly higher compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%. In terms of ancestry, based on the country of birth of parents, the top three represented groups in Pendle Hill-Girraween are 'Other' at 31.7%, Indian at 26.6%, and English at 9.5%.

These figures are substantially higher than the regional averages of 16.0% for 'Other', 3.6% for Indian, and notably lower for English at 19.0%. There are notable differences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is notably overrepresented at 2.6%, Maltese at 2.6%, and Lebanese at 2.4%.

Pendle Hill - Girraween's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Pendle Hill - Girraween has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and being comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 35-44 age group is strongly represented at 20.1%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage but lower for the 25-34 cohort at 12.6%. This 35-44 concentration is significantly above the national average of 14.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 45 to 54 age group has increased from 11.1% to 12.5%, while the 15 to 24 cohort rose from 9.8% to 11.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group decreased from 14.0% to 12.6%, and the 5 to 14 group fell from 16.2% to 15.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Pendle Hill - Girraween's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 54%, adding 355 people and reaching a total of 1,019 from the previous 663. This growth is primarily driven by an aging population, with those aged 65 and above comprising 61% of projected growth. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.