Pendle Hill - Girraween

Population growth drivers in Pendle Hill - Girraween are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Pendle Hill - Girraween's population is around 15,313 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,374 people (9.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,939 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,330 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 160 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,433 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Pendle Hill - Girraween's 9.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 89.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected, with the area expected to increase by 1,348 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 2.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Pendle Hill - Girraween when compared nationally

Pendle Hill - Girraween has recorded around 92 residential properties granted approval per year, totalling 461 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 32 approvals have been recorded. With an average of only 0.5 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts, while new homes are being built at an average value of $324,000. Additionally, $19.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Pendle Hill - Girraween records 11.0% less building activity (per person), while it places among the 70th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New building activity consists of 27.0% standalone homes and 73.0% townhouses or apartments. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 45.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 205 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Looking ahead, Pendle Hill - Girraween is expected to grow by 363 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Pendle Hill - Girraween has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 15 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, Integrated Mental Health Complex Westmead, Northside West Clinic Extension Stage 2, and M4 Smart Motorway, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Pendle Hill - Girraween maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Pendle Hill - Girraween possesses a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of 4.1%, and 4.2% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 8,244 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.1% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (75.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 44.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and finance & insurance. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in manufacturing, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 4.8% versus the regional average of 8.6%. While local employment opportunities exist in the area, it appears many residents commute elsewhere for work, based on the count of Census working population to local population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.2% and the labour force increased by 4.3%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Pendle Hill - Girraween. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Pendle Hill - Girraween's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Pendle Hill - Girraween SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $59,160 with the average level standing at $70,591. This is higher than average nationally and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $64,402 (median) and $76,845 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Pendle Hill - Girraween cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Distribution data shows 32.9% of the population (5,037 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. High housing costs consume 17.9% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 66th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Pendle Hill - Girraween displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Pendle Hill - Girraween, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 44.6% houses and 55.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Pendle Hill - Girraween lagged that of Sydney metro at 21.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (36.6%) or rented (42.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Sydney metro average at $2,250, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $420, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Pendle Hill - Girraween's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Pendle Hill - Girraween has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 77.0% of all households, comprising 49.6% couples with children, 16.7% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 19.4% and group households comprising 3.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Pendle Hill - Girraween shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Pendle Hill - Girraween significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 46.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 27.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational pathways account for 21.4% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (12.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.4% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 71 active transport stops operating within Pendle Hill - Girraween, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 44 individual routes, collectively providing 5,080 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 137 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 72%, with 18% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.0 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A high 44.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 725 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 71 weekly trips per individual stop.

Pendle Hill - Girraween's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Pendle Hill - Girraween's health metrics sit close to national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is fairly high at approximately 54% of the total population (~8,284 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are diabetes and arthritis, impacting 6.0% and 5.1% of residents, respectively, while 79.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 13.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,062 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Pendle Hill - Girraween is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Pendle Hill - Girraween is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 62.9% of its population born overseas and 72.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Pendle Hill - Girraween is Hinduism, which makes up 48.0% of the population. This compares to 5.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Pendle Hill - Girraween are Other, comprising 31.7% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Indian, comprising 26.6% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 3.6%, and English, comprising 9.5% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 19.0%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is notably overrepresented at 2.6% of Pendle Hill - Girraween (vs 0.3% regionally), Maltese at 2.6% (vs 1.0%) and Lebanese at 2.4% (vs 2.6%).

Pendle Hill - Girraween's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

With a median age of 37, Pendle Hill - Girraween is equal to the Greater Sydney figure of 37 and remains comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 35 - 44 age group shows strong representation at 20.1% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 12.6%. This 35 - 44 concentration is well above the national 14.3%. In the period since 2021, the 45 to 54 age group has grown from 11.1% to 12.5% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 9.8% to 11.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 14.0% to 12.6% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 16.2% to 15.1%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Pendle Hill - Girraween's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 54% (355 people), reaching 1,019 from 663. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 61% of projected growth. On the other hand, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.