Pendle Hill - Girraween

Population growth drivers in Pendle Hill - Girraween are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Pendle Hill - Girraween's population, as of Nov 2025, is around 14,610. This figure reflects an increase of 671 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,939. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,457 as of June 2024 and an additional 132 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,275 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Pendle Hill - Girraween's growth rate of 4.8% since census is within 1.9 percentage points of the state's growth rate of 6.7%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 89.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth in the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected. The area is projected to increase by 1,348 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 7.3% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Pendle Hill - Girraween when compared nationally

Pendle Hill - Girraween has recorded approximately 92 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 461 homes. As of FY-26, 24 approvals have been granted. On average, 0.5 people move to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction cost value of new homes is $324,000.

In FY-26, $19.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating moderate commercial development levels compared to Greater Sydney. Pendle Hill - Girraween records 11.0% less building activity per person than the city average but ranks among the 70th percentile nationally for new building activity. The area's housing mix is 27.0% standalone homes and 73.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the current housing mix of 45.0% houses due to reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands. The location has approximately 205 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Pendle Hill - Girraween is expected to grow by 1,066 residents by 2041.

Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Pendle Hill - Girraween has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The local infrastructure's performance is significantly influenced by changes to it. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, Integrated Mental Health Complex Westmead, M4 Smart Motorway, and Toongabbie Bridge and Wentworth Avenue Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Pendle Hill - Girraween shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Pendle Hill - Girraween has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.3% in September 2025, with estimated employment growth of 2.5% over the past year.

As of that date, 8,181 residents were employed, aligning with Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was also similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries included health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and finance & insurance. Manufacturing showed notable concentration with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average, while construction had lower representation at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 8.6%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.5%, labour force grew by 3.3%, leading to a 0.7 percentage point rise in unemployment. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% with a 0.2 percentage point increase in unemployment. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, favourably comparing to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Pendle Hill - Girraween's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Pendle Hill - Girraween SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $55,141 and an average income of $66,877. Nationally, the median was $56,994 and the average was $80,856. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% would be approximately $62,094 (median) and $75,310 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Pendle Hill - Girraween cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Income distribution data shows 32.9% of the population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. High housing costs consume 17.9% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 66th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Pendle Hill - Girraween displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Pendle Hill - Girraween as per the latest Census, 44.6% of dwellings were houses while 55.3% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan areas where 36.4% were houses and 63.6% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Pendle Hill - Girraween stood at 21.1%, with mortgaged properties at 36.6% and rented ones at 42.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,250, exceeding Sydney's average of $2,167. Weekly rent in the area was recorded at $420, matching Sydney's figure. Nationally, Pendle Hill - Girraween's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Pendle Hill - Girraween has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.0% of all households, including 49.6% couples with children, 16.7% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 19.4% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

Pendle Hill - Girraween shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Pendle Hill - Girraween's residents aged 15+ have a higher educational attainment than national averages. 46.8% hold university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 27.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational pathways account for 21.4%, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 12.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.4% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.4% in primary, 7.8% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Pendle Hill - Girraween has 68 operational public transport stops offering a combination of train and bus services. These stops are covered by 44 separate routes, facilitating 3,620 weekly passenger journeys in total. The area's transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents on average situated 137 meters from the nearest stop.

Daily service frequency across all routes averages 517 trips, translating to around 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Pendle Hill - Girraween's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Pendle Hill - Girraween shows excellent health outcomes, especially in younger age groups with low prevalence of common conditions.

Private health cover is high at approximately 52% (~7655 people), leading the average SA2 area. Diabetes and arthritis are most prevalent, affecting 6.0% and 5.1% respectively. 79.2% report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 79.0%. The area has 13.2% seniors (1921 people), with health outcomes requiring more attention compared to the broader population.

Pendle Hill - Girraween is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Pendle Hill-Girraween is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 62.9% of its population born overseas and 72.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Pendle Hill-Girraween is Hinduism, comprising 48.0% of people, compared to 28.8% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Other (31.7%), Indian (26.6%), and English (9.5%).

These figures are substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 23.7%, 18.4%, and 10.6%. Notably, Sri Lankan (2.6%) and Maltese (2.6%) groups are overrepresented in Pendle Hill-Girraween compared to the region's averages of 0.9% each. However, Lebanese representation is lower at 2.4% compared to the regional average of 3.5%.

Pendle Hill - Girraween's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Pendle Hill - Girraween's median age is nearly matching the Greater Sydney average of 37 years, which is modestly under the Australian median of 38 years. Relative to Greater Sydney, Pendle Hill - Girraween has a higher concentration of residents aged 35-44 (20.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.0%). This concentration of residents aged 35-44 is well above the national average of 14.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population of residents aged 45 to 54 has grown from 11.1% to 12.2%, while the population of residents aged 15 to 24 increased from 9.8% to 10.8%. Conversely, the population of residents aged 25 to 34 has declined from 14.0% to 13.0%. Demographic modeling suggests that Pendle Hill - Girraween's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The population of residents aged 55 to 64 is expected to grow by 34%, adding 451 residents to reach a total of 1,782. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 54% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, the populations of residents aged 0-4 and 25-34 are expected to experience declines.