Pendle Hill - Girraween

Population growth drivers in Pendle Hill - Girraween are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Pendle Hill - Girraween's population, according to AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 14,590 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 651 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,939 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,466 in June 2025 and an additional 162 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,271 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Pendle Hill - Girraween's growth rate of 4.7% since the census is within 2.4 percentage points of the state's growth rate of 7.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth in the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to experience population growth just below the median of Australian statistical areas, increasing by approximately 1,216 persons to reach a total of around 15,806 individuals by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers. This reflects an overall increase of about 7.5% over the 16-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Pendle Hill - Girraween when compared nationally

Pendle Hill - Girraween has recorded approximately 92 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 461 homes. As of this financial year FY-26, 43 approvals have been granted. On average, 0.5 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction value of new homes is $324,000.

This financial year has seen $19.0 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate commercial development levels. Compared to Greater Sydney, Pendle Hill - Girraween maintains similar construction rates per capita, preserving market equilibrium with surrounding areas. New building activity consists of 27% standalone homes and 73% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift towards higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This is a notable change from the current housing mix of 45% houses. The area has approximately 205 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Pendle Hill - Girraween is expected to grow by 1,091 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Pendle Hill - Girraween has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, Integrated Mental Health Complex Westmead, Northside West Clinic Extension Stage 2, and M4 Smart Motorway. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Pendle Hill - Girraween maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Pendle Hill - Girraween has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.1% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.2%.

In December 2025, 8,244 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.1% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Pendle Hill - Girraween was 74.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 44.7% of residents worked from home. Key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and finance & insurance.

Manufacturing showed notable concentration with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, construction had lower representation at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 8.6%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.2%, labour force grew by 4.3%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Pendle Hill - Girraween. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Pendle Hill - Girraween's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 indicates Pendle Hill - Girraween SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $59,160 and an average income of $70,591. Nationally, the average median income is lower at $60,817, while Greater Sydney's average is higher at $83,003. By March 2026, based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32%, estimated incomes would be approximately $65,265 (median) and $77,876 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Pendle Hill - Girraween cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 32.9% of the population, or 4,800 individuals, fall within the $1,500 to $2,999 income range, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 17.9% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 66th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Pendle Hill - Girraween displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Pendle Hill - Girraween, as per the latest Census, consisted of 44.6% houses and 55.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Pendle Hill - Girraween was at 21.1%, with the remainder being mortgaged (36.6%) or rented (42.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,250, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Pendle Hill - Girraween was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments in Pendle Hill - Girraween were significantly higher at $2,250 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Pendle Hill - Girraween has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.0% of all households, including 49.6% couples with children, 16.7% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 19.4% and group households making up 3.7%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Pendle Hill - Girraween shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Pendle Hill - Girraween shows significant surpassing of broader benchmarks, with 46.8% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications compared to the national average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. This high level of educational attainment positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 27.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 17.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.3%. Vocational pathways account for 21.4% of qualifications among those aged 15 years and over, with advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 12.0%.

Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 35.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.4% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Pendle Hill - Girraween has 71 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 44 individual routes, collectively facilitating 5,080 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 137 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 72%, while train use stands at 18%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.0 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 44.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 725 trips per day, equating to approximately 71 weekly trips per individual stop.

Pendle Hill - Girraween's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Pendle Hill's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 54% (~7,893 people) have private health cover, compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are diabetes (6.0%) and arthritis (5.1%). About 79.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Around 13.1% (~1,908 people) of residents are aged 65 and over, which is lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Pendle Hill - Girraween is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Pendle Hill-Girraween is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 62.9% of its population born overseas and 72.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Pendle Hill-Girraween is Hinduism, accounting for 48.0%, compared to 5.2% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are 'Other' (31.7%), Indian (26.6%), and English (9.5%).

These figures are substantially higher than the regional averages of 16.0%, 3.6%, and 19.0% respectively. Notably, Sri Lankan ancestry is overrepresented at 2.6% in Pendle Hill-Girraween compared to 0.3% regionally, Maltese at 2.6% versus 1.0%, and Lebanese at 2.4% compared to 2.6%.

Pendle Hill - Girraween's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Pendle Hill - Girraween's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 35-44 age group comprises 20.1%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 13.5%. This strong representation in the 35-44 bracket is notably above the national average of 14.3%. Since 2021, the 45 to 54 age group has increased from 11.1% to 12.7%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 9.8% to 11.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 16.2% to 14.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Pendle Hill - Girraween's age structure. The 55 to 64 group is expected to grow by 30%, adding 404 people and reaching a total of 1,738 from the current 1,333. This growth reflects an aging population trend, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 55% of projected growth. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.