Blacktown - South
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Blacktown - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of August 2025, Blacktown - South's population is approximately 12,816. This figure represents a growth of 170 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 12,646. The increase is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 12,799 in June 2024 and an additional 29 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a population density of 3,814 persons per square kilometer, placing Blacktown - South among the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 1.3% growth since census is within 2.6 percentage points of its SA3 region (3.9%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 70.2% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 using 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest a growth just below the national median, with an expected increase of 1,264 persons by 2041 based on current numbers. This reflects a total increase of approximately 9.7% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Blacktown - South according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Blacktown - South has averaged approximately 43 new dwelling approvals per year. Development approval data is produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, with 217 homes approved over the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, and an additional seven approved so far in FY-26. The population has been declining recently, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice while new properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $310,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. There have also been $105,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature.

Relative to Greater Sydney, Blacktown - South records approximately 58% of the building activity per person and places among the 57th percentile of areas assessed nationally, reflecting its maturity and suggesting possible planning constraints. New development consists of 75.0% detached houses and 25.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 269 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Future projections show Blacktown - South adding around 1,245 residents by 2041.

With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Blacktown - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified eight projects that could impact this region. Notable projects are The Rise Pemulwuy, Western Sydney Infrastructure Plan, Blacktown Quarter, and Prospect Highway Upgrade. Below is a list of the most relevant ones.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The employment landscape in Blacktown - South shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Blacktown - South has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 5.3%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 6.4%.

As of June 2025, 7,010 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, with workforce participation at 56.5%. Dominant sectors include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 2.1 times the regional level, but has lower representation in professional & technical services at 5.8% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities may be limited locally, as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population.

Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 6.4% while labour force grew by 6.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, losing 19,270 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between sectors. Applying these projections to Blacktown - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Blacktown - South has a median taxpayer income of $49,523 and an average income of $56,673 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney's median income being $56,994 and average income $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% from financial year 2022 to March 2025, current estimates for Blacktown - South are approximately $54,772 (median) and $62,680 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Blacktown - South rank modestly, between the 38th and 52nd percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 36.2% earning $1,500-$2,999 weekly (4,639 residents), similar to the region where this cohort represents 30.9%. High housing costs consume 17.9% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Blacktown - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Blacktown - South, as per the latest Census, comprised 72.2% houses and 27.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 76.8% houses and 23.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blacktown - South was at 27.1%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (36.0%) or rented (36.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,043, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, matching Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, Blacktown - South's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Blacktown - South features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 77.2% of all households, including 42.2% couples with children, 19.2% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.8%, with lone person households at 19.3% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Blacktown - South performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational qualifications in Blacktown South show that 28.4% of residents aged 15 and over hold university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. The most common degree held is bachelor's at 18.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.9% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 30.0% of residents aged 15 and over holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (18.6%). Educational participation is high, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.0% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 6.2% in tertiary education.

The area has five schools with a combined enrollment of 3,583 students. Blacktown South demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1026) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with three primary and two secondary schools serving distinct age groups. The area functions as an education hub with 28.0 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 15.7, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 41 active transport stops operating within Blacktown - South. These stops are served by a mix of buses along 26 individual routes, providing 1,694 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 156 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 242 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 41 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Blacktown - South is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Blacktown South demonstrates above-average health outcomes with a low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, certain cohorts such as older adults and those at higher risk have a relatively higher prevalence.

As of 2016, approximately 48% of the total population (around 6,151 people) had private health cover, which is lower than the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and arthritis, affecting 6.6% and 6.1% of residents respectively, while 74.1% reported having no medical ailments compared to 73.6% across Greater Sydney. As of 2016, around 14.8% of residents were aged 65 and over (approximately 1,892 people). Health outcomes among seniors in the area present specific challenges that require more attention than those of the broader population.

Blacktown - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blacktown-South is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 49.2% of its population born overseas and 54.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Blacktown-South is Christianity, comprising 48.9% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 14.3% compared to 14.7% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (26.0%), Australian (14.1%), and English (12.6%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences: Filipino is overrepresented at 6.0% (vs regional 6.4%), Indian at 11.1% (vs 10.8%), and Maltese at 2.3% (vs 1.9%).

Blacktown - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Blacktown - South's median age is nearly 36 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37, which is slightly below Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blacktown - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (13.9%), but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.6%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15 to 24 has increased from 13.0% to 13.9%, while the age group of 5 to 14 has decreased from 14.2% to 12.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Blacktown - South's age profile. The 45 to 54 cohort is expected to grow by 24%, adding 382 residents to reach a total of 1,945. Residents aged 65 and above will contribute to 57% of the population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, the age groups of 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 are projected to experience population declines.