Blacktown - South
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Blacktown - South reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Blacktown - South's population was around 12,816 as of August 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents a growth of 170 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,646. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,799 in June 2024 and an additional 29 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,814 persons per square kilometer, placing Blacktown - South within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 1.3% since the census is within 2.6 percentage points of its SA3 area (3.9%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 70.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an expected increase just below the national median, with Blacktown - South projected to expand by 1,264 persons to 2041 based on latest population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 9.7% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Blacktown - South according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Blacktown - South averaged approximately 43 new dwelling approvals per year. Between fiscal years FY21 and FY25, a total of 217 homes were approved, with an additional 12 approved so far in FY26. The population has been declining recently, suggesting that the supply of new dwellings is likely keeping pace with demand, providing buyers with good choices.

The average expected construction cost value for new homes in the area is $310,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more accessible housing options for buyers. This financial year has seen $105,000 in commercial development approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blacktown - South shows approximately 58% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 57th percentile of areas assessed nationally, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints. New developments consist of 75.0% detached houses and 25.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes.

The location has approximately 269 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Future projections show Blacktown - South adding 1,245 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Blacktown - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects expected to impact the area. Notable ones are Prospect Highway Upgrade, Blacktown Quarter, Blacktown Health and Education Precinct, and Warrick Lane Precinct Redevelopment. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Blacktown - South shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Blacktown - South has a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 5.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 6.4%.

As of June 2025, 7,010 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.3%, which is 1.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Blacktown - South was 56.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share of 2.1 times the regional level, while professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.8% compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 6.4%, and labour force increased by 6.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with local growth estimates for Blacktown - South being approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Blacktown - South had a median taxpayer income of $49,523 and an average of $56,673 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2022. This was lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney having a median income of $56,994 and an average of $80,856. Using Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% from financial year 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $55,768 (median) and $63,819 (average). Based on the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Blacktown - South ranked modestly, between the 38th and 52nd percentiles. The largest income segment consisted of 36.2% earning $1,500-$2,999 weekly (4,639 residents), similar to the region's distribution at 30.9%. Housing costs consumed 17.9% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 50th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking was in the 4th decile.

Blacktown - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Blacktown - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 72.2% houses and 27.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 76.8% houses and 23.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blacktown - South was higher at 27.1%, with the rest being mortgaged (36.0%) or rented (36.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,043, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent in Blacktown - South was $400, matching Sydney metro's figure but exceeding the national average of $375. Nationally, Blacktown - South's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,043 compared to the Australian average of $1,863.

Blacktown - South features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 77.2% of all households, including 42.2% couples with children, 19.2% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.8%, with lone person households at 19.3% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Blacktown - South performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

Educational qualifications in Blacktown - South trail regional benchmarks with 28.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees lead at 18.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.9% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Trade and technical skills feature prominently with 30.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 18.6%. Educational participation is high with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.0% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Blacktown - South's five schools have a combined enrollment reaching 3,583 students as of the latest data. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions with an ICSEA score of 1026, indicating balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with three primary and two secondary schools serving distinct age groups. As of the most recent figures, the area functions as an education hub with 28.0 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 15.7, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Blacktown - South shows that there are 41 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 26 individual routes providing service. The collective weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 1,694.

The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents on average located 156 meters from the nearest transport stop. The service frequency averages 242 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 41 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Blacktown - South is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Blacktown South demonstrates above-average health outcomes with low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population. However, this is higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

The rate of private health cover in the area is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (around 6,151 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 6.6 and 6.1% of residents respectively. A total of 74.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 73.6%. The area has 14.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,892 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges that require more attention than those of the broader population.

Blacktown - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blacktown-South is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 49.2% of its population born overseas and 54.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Blacktown-South is Christianity, comprising 48.9% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 14.3% compared to 14.7% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (26.0%), Australian (14.1%), and English (12.6%). There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Filipino is overrepresented at 6.0%, Indian at 11.1%, and Maltese at 2.3%.

Blacktown - South's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Blacktown - South has a median age of 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, which is modestly below Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blacktown - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (13.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.6%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.0% to 13.9%, while the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 14.2% to 12.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Blacktown - South's age profile. The 45-54 age group is expected to grow by 24%, adding 382 residents to reach a total of 1,945. Residents aged 65 and above are projected to drive 57% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. Conversely, the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.