Toongabbie (NSW)

Population growth drivers in Toongabbie are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Toongabbie NSW is around 17,081. This figure shows an increase from the 2021 Census count of 16,177 people, marking a rise of 904 individuals or approximately 5.6%. The current population estimate was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population calculation of 16,931, based on examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validation of additional 240 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,611 persons per square kilometer for Toongabbie NSW, placing it within the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Over the past decade, ending Dec 2021, Toongabbie NSW has demonstrated consistent growth patterns with an average annual growth rate of 1.4%, outperforming the state's growth rate during this period. Overseas migration contributed significantly to population gains in recent years, accounting for approximately 76.0% of overall population increases.

AreaSearch is employing ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year, for its assessments. For SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. For population projection moving forward to Dec 2041, Toongabbie NSW is expected to grow by approximately 9.4%, adding around 1,755 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections. This growth rate aligns with the projected median increase for national statistical areas.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Toongabbie when compared nationally

Toongabbie recorded around 103 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 515 homes were approved, with an additional 25 approved so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, there was an average of 1.5 new residents per year per dwelling constructed. However, this figure has increased to 6.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply.

The average construction cost value for new properties is $498,000. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totaled $37.2 million, indicating robust local business investment.

Detached dwellings comprise 52.0% of new developments, with attached dwellings making up the remaining 48.0%. Toongabbie's population is estimated to grow by 1,604 residents through to 2041, based on current development patterns and AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate.

Toongabbie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified 31 infrastructure projects likely to impact a certain area. Key projects include Toongabbie Bridge and Wentworth Avenue Upgrade, Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, The Aurelia Mixed Use Development, and Toongabbie Town Centre Public Domain Plan. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Toongabbie remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Toongabbie has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.3% in June 2025, similar to Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.1%. As of June 2025, 9,776 residents were employed. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

Education & training employs only 7.3% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 8.9%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, with fewer Census working population than resident population. From June 2024 to June 2025, employment increased by 4.1%, while labour force grew by 4.7%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (Sep-22) project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Toongabbie's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Toongabbie's median income among taxpayers was $56,030 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $66,928 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively for the same year. By September 2025, estimates based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth suggest Toongabbie's median income would be approximately $63,095 and average income around $75,368. Census data indicates that incomes in Toongabbie cluster around the 65th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that 35.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, with this band capturing a similar proportion (30.9%) in the metropolitan region. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Toongabbie displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Toongabbie, as per the latest Census, 59.0% of dwellings were houses while 41.1% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In contrast, Sydney metropolitan area had no houses or other dwellings according to the same data source. Home ownership in Toongabbie stood at 24.5%, with mortgaged properties at 39.6% and rented ones at 35.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, matching Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $420, unlike Sydney metro which had no recorded figures for these metrics. Nationally, Toongabbie's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households constitute 78.7% of all households, including 44.7% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 21.3%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households making up 4.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Toongabbie shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Toongabbie's educational attainment exceeds national and state averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 41.3% have university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 24.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.5% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (15.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 6.9% pursuing tertiary education. Toongabbie's three schools have a combined enrollment of 2,133 students as of the latest data. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1080). The educational mix includes two primary schools and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Toongabbie shows 62 active public transport stops. These are a mix of train and bus services. There are 56 individual routes operating collectively for 5770 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have excellent accessibility to these stops, typically located 160 meters away from the nearest one. Service frequency averages 824 trips per day across all routes, which is approximately 93 weekly trips per stop.

Toongabbie's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics in Toongabbie shows strong performance, particularly among younger cohorts who have a very low prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 53% of the total population (~9,121 people) has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes and asthma, affecting 6.0 and 5.7% of residents respectively. 77.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Sydney. As of the latest data (2016), 14.3% of Toongabbie's population is aged 65 and over (2,442 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

Toongabbie is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie has a population where 58.4% speak a language other than English at home, with 53.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Toongabbie, comprising 42.7% of its population. Hinduism stands out as significantly overrepresented, making up 29.5%, compared to None% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (24.9%), Indian (17.3%), and Australian (13.3%). Notably, Sri Lankan (1.7%), Lebanese (2.3%), and Maltese (1.9%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Toongabbie compared to None% regionally.

Toongabbie's population is younger than the national pattern

Toongabbie's median age is 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 years and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The age group of 35-44 years shows strong representation at 17.8%, compared to Greater Sydney. The 55-64 age cohort is less prevalent in Toongabbie at 9.3%. Between 2021 and the present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.1% to 5.1% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 16.7% to 16.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Toongabbie. The 55-64 age cohort is projected to increase substantially by 527 people (33%), growing from 1,588 to 2,116. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 5-14 and 0-4 age cohorts.