Toongabbie (NSW)

Population growth drivers in Toongabbie are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Toongabbie's population is estimated at around 17,586 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,409 people (8.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,177 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 16,955 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 280 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,718 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Toongabbie's 8.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state average of 7.8%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate a growth just below the median of Australian statistical areas, with the suburb expected to grow by 1,760 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 6.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Toongabbie when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Toongabbie shows around 107 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 538 homes. In FY26 so far, 39 approvals have been recorded. This results in approximately 1.4 new residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25, indicating stable market conditions. However, recent figures show this has increased to 5.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing demand and tightening supply. New homes are being built at an average construction cost of $496,000, targeting the premium market segment.

Additionally, $14.2 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Current development consists of 49% standalone homes and 51% medium to high-density housing. The location has approximately 333 people per dwelling approval, leaving room for growth.

Population forecasts estimate Toongabbie will gain 1,129 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Toongabbie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 31 projects likely affecting this region. Notable initiatives include Toongabbie Bridge and Wentworth Avenue Upgrade, Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, The Aurelia Mixed Use Development, and Toongabbie Town Centre Public Domain Plan. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Toongabbie shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Toongabbie has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 4.2% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.5% over the past year based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. In December 2025, there were 9,782 residents in work, with an unemployment rate matching Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was fairly standard at 74.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 41.9% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

However, education & training was under-represented with only 7.3% of Toongabbie's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 8.9%. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 3.5%, while labour force increased by 3.4%, causing a fall in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Toongabbie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch reports that based on its aggregation of postcode-level ATO data released for the financial year ending June 2023, Toongabbie's median taxpayer income was $56,055, with an average of $66,965. Nationally, these figures are approximately average, compared to Greater Sydney's levels of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Considering the Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since June 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be around $61,021 (median) and $72,898 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Toongabbie's household, family, and personal incomes cluster around the 65th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that 35.8% of locals (6,295 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to surrounding regions where 30.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Toongabbie displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Toongabbie, as per the latest Census, consisted of 59.0% houses and 41.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Toongabbie was at 24.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.6% and rented ones at 35.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Toongabbie's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.7% of all households, including 44.7% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 21.3%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households comprising 4.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Toongabbie shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Toongabbie is notably high, with 41.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications as of the latest data point. This figure surpasses both national (30.4%) and state (New South Wales, NSW) averages of 32.2%. The area's educational advantage is reflected in its strong representation across various qualification levels: Bachelor degrees lead at 24.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.3%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 25.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 10.5% while certificates make up 15.0%.

Educational participation is notably high in Toongabbie, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as per the latest available data. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 6.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Toongabbie has 75 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 57 individual routes, collectively facilitating 8,015 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 160 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this predominantly residential area. Car remains the primary mode of transport at 73%, while train usage stands at 18%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 41.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 1,145 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 106 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Toongabbie is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Toongabbie shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population, nearing the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover rate is approximately 53% of the total population (~9,394 people), slightly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 59.9%. Diabetes and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 6.0% and 5.7% of residents respectively. 77.0% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 14.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,620 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Toongabbie is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie has a population where 58.4% speak a language other than English at home, with 53.9% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 42.7%. Hinduism is overrepresented, making up 29.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (24.9%), Indian (17.3%), and Australian (13.3%). Notably, Sri Lankan (1.7%) and Maltese (1.9%) groups are overrepresented in Toongabbie compared to regional averages of 0.3% and 1.0%, respectively.

Toongabbie's population is younger than the national pattern

Toongabbie's median age is 35 years, slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age group constitutes 17.5% of Toongabbie's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort makes up 9.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.1% to 5.3%, while the 25-34 cohort has declined from 16.7% to 15.3%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate a significant increase in the 55-64 age cohort, rising by 477 people (29%) from 1,635 to 2,113. Conversely, declines are projected for the 5-14 and 0-4 age cohorts.