Toongabbie (NSW)

Population growth drivers in Toongabbie are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Toongabbie's population is estimated at around 17,508 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,331 people (8.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,177 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 16,955 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 240 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,701 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Toongabbie's 8.2% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state average of 7.6%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected for Toongabbie (NSW) SA2, with an expected growth of 1,747 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 6.7% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Toongabbie when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Toongabbie shows around 108 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 540 homes were approved, with a further 40 approved so far in FY26. On average, 1.4 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were recorded between FY21 and FY25, indicating stable market conditions. However, this figure has increased to 6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $496,000, targeting the premium market with high-end developments. Commercial approvals totaled $14.2 million in FY26, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Building activity shows 49% standalone homes and 51% attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

With around 333 people per dwelling approval, Toongabbie exhibits a developing market. Population forecasts estimate an increase of 1,169 residents by 2041, suggesting that current development rates should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Toongabbie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Thirty-one projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact the area, significantly influencing its performance through changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Among these key projects are Toongabbie Bridge and Wentworth Avenue Upgrade, Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, The Aurelia Mixed Use Development, and Toongabbie Town Centre Public Domain Plan. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Toongabbie has been broadly consistent with national averages

Toongabbie has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 4.2% as of September 2025.

The area saw an estimated employment growth of 3.7% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 9,747 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate in line with Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%.

The dominant employment sectors among residents included health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and retail trade. Education & training had limited presence at 7.3%, compared to the regional rate of 8.9%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.7% while labour force increased by 3.7%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, and an unemployment rate rise of 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compared favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected a national employment expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Toongabbie's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch reports median taxpayer income in Toongabbie was $56,055 and average income was $66,965 based on postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Nationally, median income was $54,718 and average income was $74,683. In Greater Sydney, these figures were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median income in Toongabbie would be approximately $61,021 and average income $72,898, accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%. Census 2021 data shows incomes in Toongabbie cluster around the 65th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 35.8% of locals (6,267 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, mirroring the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Housing costs consume 16.6% of income, leaving disposable income at the 72nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Toongabbie displays a diverse mix of dwelling types

The dwelling structure in Toongabbie, as per the latest Census, consisted of 59.0% houses and 41.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). The home ownership rate was 24.5%, with 39.6% of dwellings mortgaged and 35.9% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was $420. Nationally, Toongabbie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households constitute 78.7% of all households, including 44.7% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.3%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households comprising 4.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Toongabbie shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Toongabbie's educational attainment is notably higher than national and state averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 41.3% have university qualifications, compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in New South Wales (NSW). University graduates make up the largest portion at 24.3%, followed by postgraduate degree holders at 14.7%. Graduate diplomas are held by 2.3% of residents.

Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.5% of residents possessing them - advanced diplomas account for 10.5% and certificates for 15.0%. Educational participation is high, with 32.1% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 6.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 75 active stops in Toongabbie offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 57 routes, serving 8,015 weekly passenger trips. Accessibility is rated excellent with residents usually 160 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 1,145 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 106 weekly trips per stop.

Toongabbie's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Toongabbie with younger cohorts particularly experiencing very low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~9,352 people), leading that of the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes and asthma, impacting 6.0 and 5.7% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 77.0%, declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 0% across Greater Sydney. The area has 14.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,503 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population due to being above average.

Toongabbie is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie has one of the highest levels of cultural diversity in Australia, with 58.4% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 53.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Toongabbie, accounting for 42.7% of the population. Notably, Hinduism is significantly overrepresented in Toongabbie, comprising 29.5% compared to None% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (24.9%), Indian (17.3%), and Australian (13.3%). Some ethnic groups show significant divergences: Sri Lankan is overrepresented at 1.7%, Lebanese at 2.3%, and Maltese at 1.9%, compared to None% in the Greater Sydney region.

Toongabbie's population is younger than the national pattern

Toongabbie has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 years and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age group constitutes 17.8% of Toongabbie's population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 55-64 cohort makes up 9.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 4.1% to 5.1% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 16.7% to 15.9%. By 2041, demographic changes are projected for Toongabbie. The 55-64 age cohort is expected to increase by 487 people (30%), growing from 1,628 to 2,116. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 53% of total population growth, reflecting Toongabbie's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 5-14 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.