Toongabbie (NSW)

Population growth drivers in Toongabbie are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Toongabbie (NSW) is around 17,586, reflecting an increase of 1,409 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents an 8.7% increase from the previous population of 16,177 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 16,955 following examination of ABS's ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 280 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,718 persons per square kilometer, placing Toongabbie in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate exceeded the state average of 7.8% since the 2021 census, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate an increase just below the median of national statistical areas, with Toongabbie expected to grow by 1,764 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 6.2% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Toongabbie when compared nationally

Toongabbie recorded around 108 residential properties granted approval annually. Approximately 540 homes were approved between FY-21 and FY-25, with an additional 40 approved in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, an average of 1.4 new residents per dwelling was observed, indicating balanced supply and demand conditions. However, recent figures show an acceleration to 6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $496,000, reflecting a focus on the premium market by developers. This year has seen $14.2 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Building activity shows 49% standalone homes and 51% attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

With around 333 people per dwelling approval, Toongabbie exhibits a developing market. Population forecasts indicate an increase of 1,092 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Toongabbie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in its local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified 31 projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable among these are the Toongabbie Bridge and Wentworth Avenue Upgrade, Westmead Health Precinct Redevelopment, The Aurelia Mixed Use Development, and Toongabbie Town Centre Public Domain Plan. A detailed list of these projects is provided below for further relevance assessment.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Toongabbie has been broadly consistent with national averages

Toongabbie has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 4.2% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.7% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. In September 2025, there were 9,762 residents in work, with an unemployment rate aligning with Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was at 73.8%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses showed that 41.9% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors among residents were health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

Education & training had limited presence with 7.3% employment compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 3.7%, while labour force grew by 3.8%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged, according to AreaSearch's analysis of SALM and ABS data aggregated from broader statistical areas. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, and an increase in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can provide further insight into potential future demand within Toongabbie. These projections suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Toongabbie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Toongabbie had a median income among taxpayers of $56,055 and an average income of $66,965. Nationally, the median was $57,081 and the average was $84,686. In Greater Sydney, these figures were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since June 2023, current estimates for Toongabbie would be approximately $61,021 (median) and $72,898 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Toongabbie cluster around the 65th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that 35.8% of locals (6,295 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this category. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Toongabbie displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Toongabbie, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 59.0% houses and 41.1% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan area's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. As of the same Census date, home ownership in Toongabbie stood at 24.5%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 39.6% and rented dwellings at 35.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Toongabbie's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were above the national figure of $375.

Toongabbie features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.7% of all households, including 44.7% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.3%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households comprising 4.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Toongabbie shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Toongabbie's educational attainment significantly exceeds national and state averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 41.3% have university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. This high level of educational attainment positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 24.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%).

Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 10.5% and certificates for 15.0%. Educational participation is notably high in Toongabbie, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 6.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Toongabbie shows 75 active public transport stops operating. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 57 individual routes providing 8,015 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 160 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuters travel outward daily due to its residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode at 73%, while train usage stands at 18%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 41.9% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 1,145 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 106 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Toongabbie is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Toongabbie demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but nears the nation's average across older, at-risk cohorts.

The rate of private health cover in Toongabbie is approximately 53% of the total population (~9,394 people), leading that of the average SA2 area and compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. Diabetes and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 6.0 and 5.7% of residents respectively. 77.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents exhibit low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 14.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,602 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Toongabbie is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Toongabbie has a culturally diverse population, with 58.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 53.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Toongabbie, comprising 42.7% of its people. Notably, Hinduism is overrepresented, making up 29.5%, which is significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (24.9%), Indian (17.3%), and Australian (13.3%). These percentages are substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 16.0%, 3.6%, and not specified. There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups, with Sri Lankan at 1.7% (vs regional average of 0.3%), Lebanese at 2.3% (vs 2.6%), and Maltese at 1.9% (vs 1.0%).

Toongabbie's population is younger than the national pattern

Toongabbie's median age is 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The 35-44 age group comprises 17.6% of Toongabbie's population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 15-24 cohort makes up 12.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.1% to 5.3% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 16.7% to 15.4%. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate significant changes for Toongabbie. The 55-64 age cohort is projected to increase by 451 people (27%), from 1,670 to 2,122. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 51% of total population growth, reflecting Toongabbie's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 5-14 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.