Rooty Hill - Minchinbury

Population growth drivers in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's population was around 23,312 as of Nov 2025. This is an increase of 486 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,826. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 23,239 in June 2024 and an additional 100 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,594 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's population grew at a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's population is expected to increase by 1,464 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 5.9% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has recorded approximately 53 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 269 homes were approved, with an additional 31 approved in FY26 so far. On average, over these five years, one new resident arrived per year for each new home built, indicating a balanced supply and demand. However, recent data shows this ratio has intensified to 4.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

The average construction cost of new homes is $363,000, which is below the regional average, offering more affordable housing options for buyers. This year alone, $129.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury maintains similar construction rates per person, contributing to a balanced market consistent with the broader area. However, these activity levels are below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and suggesting possible planning constraints.

New development consists of 79% detached dwellings and 21% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature while offering some higher density options. With around 589 people per dwelling approval, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury reflects a highly mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by approximately 1,370 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 47 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport, NSW Basketball and Volleyball Western Sydney Hub, Landcom Rooty Hill Housing Development, and NSW State Emergency Service Facility Oakhurst. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 4.6% as of June 2025, with estimated employment growth of 6.2% over the past year.

There were 12,911 residents in work by June 2025, with an unemployment rate of 4.6%, 0.4% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 57.2%, below Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing, with notable concentration in the latter at 1.9 times the regional average. Professional & technical services were under-represented, comprising only 5.5% of the workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 6.2%, labour force by 6.5%, raising unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to Nov-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourable compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The median taxpayer income of the Rooty Hill - Minchinbury SA2 postcode was $50,792 and the average was $56,262 in financial year 2022. This is lower than the national averages of $56,994 for median income and $80,856 for average income in Greater Sydney. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $57,197 (median) and $63,357 (average), based on a 12.61% growth since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranked at the 68th percentile ($2,050 weekly) while personal income was at the 41st percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captured 37.4% of individuals (8,718), which is consistent with regional trends showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consumed 16.9% of income but disposable income remained at the 67th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 4th decile.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 81.8% houses and 18.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 80.7% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury stood at 26.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.9% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, above Sydney metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $350. Nationally, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were above the national figure of $375.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.2% of all households, including 48.6% couples with children, 19.1% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Educational qualifications in Rooty Hill-Minchinbury as of 2016 show that 28.8% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 30.2% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 20.0%. In 2016, 32.3% of residents were enrolled in formal education, including primary (10.9%), secondary (8.8%), and tertiary (5.8%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has 147 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 47 individual routes that facilitate 5,637 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 173 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 805 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 38 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury shows better-than-average health outcomes with lower prevalence of common conditions among its general population compared to national averages, but higher rates are seen among older and at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is low in this area, with approximately 48% coverage (~11,189 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Diabetes and asthma were found to be the most common conditions, affecting 6.9% and 6.8% of residents respectively. A total of 73.3% of residents reported no medical ailments, slightly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 71.2%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.8% (3,692 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 13.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these higher proportions.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rooty Hill-Minchinbury has a high level of cultural diversity, with 48.8% of its population born overseas and 51.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Rooty Hill-Minchinbury, comprising 60.7% of the population. However, Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 13.2% of the population.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (24.2%), Filipino (15.6%, substantially higher than the regional average of 10.3%), and Australian (14.8%). Notably, Samoan (2.4%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 3.6%. Spanish (1.1%) and Maltese (2.5%) are also overrepresented compared to their respective regional averages of 0.7% and 1.7%.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's median age in 2021 was 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37. This is slightly below the Australian median age of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury had a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (13.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.3%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the population aged 75-84 grew from 3.8% to 5.1%, while the 25-34 age group declined from 13.8% to 12.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 83%, adding 992 residents to reach a total of 2,186. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 82% of population growth, reflecting demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 25-34 age groups are projected to experience population declines.