Rooty Hill - Minchinbury

Population growth drivers in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's population was around 23,312 as of Nov 2025. This showed an increase of 486 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 22,826. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 23,239 in June 2024 and an additional 100 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 1,594 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury had a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, a population increase of 1,464 persons was expected based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 5.9% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has recorded approximately 53 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25269 homes were approved, with an additional 37 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, around one new resident arrives per year for each new home over these five years, indicating a balanced supply and demand creating stable market conditions. However, recent data shows this has intensified to approximately 4.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $217,000, which is below the regional average, offering more affordable housing options for buyers. This year alone, commercial development approvals have reached $129.4 million, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury maintains similar construction rates per person, keeping market balance consistent with the broader area. However, this activity is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and potential planning constraints.

New development consists of 79% detached dwellings and 21% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature while attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 589 people per dwelling approval, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by approximately 1,370 residents according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 47 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport, NSW Basketball and Volleyball Western Sydney Hub, Landcom Rooty Hill Housing Development, and NSW State Emergency Service Facility Oakhurst. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has an unemployment rate of 4.5% as of September 2025. This is 0.3% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

The area had employment growth of 4.7% over the past year, compared to Greater Sydney's 2.1%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. Transport, postal & warehousing has particularly high concentration with levels at 1.9 times the regional average. Professional & technical services are under-represented, making up only 5.5% of Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 4.7%, labour force grew by 4.1%, and unemployment fell by 0.5 percentage points in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury. In NSW as of 25-Nov, employment contracted by 0.03% with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, employment is forecast to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The median taxpayer income in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury SA2 is $50,792 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. The average income for this area is $56,262 during the same period. These figures are below national averages; Greater Sydney's median income in 2022 was $56,994 with an average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2022 to September 2025 (12.61%), estimated incomes for Rooty Hill - Minchinbury SA2 would be approximately $57,197 (median) and $63,357 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 68th percentile ($2,050 weekly), while personal income sits at the 41st percentile. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 37.4% of the community (8,718 individuals). High housing costs consume 16.9% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 67th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 81.8% houses and 18.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 80.7% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury stood at 26.0%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (43.9%) or rented (30.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $350. Nationally, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.2% of all households, including 48.6% couples with children, 19.1% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has educational qualifications that trail Greater Sydney's benchmarks. Specifically, 28.8% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%).

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 20.0%. Educational participation is high, with 32.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has 147 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 47 individual routes, facilitating 5,637 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 173 meters to the nearest stop.

On average, there are 805 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 38 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Rooty Hill-Minchinbury shows better-than-average health outcomes with lower prevalence of common conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, older and at-risk cohorts have higher rates of these conditions.

Private health cover is low, with approximately 48% of the total population (~11,189 people) having it, compared to the national average of 55.3%. Diabetes and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.9% and 6.8% of residents respectively. 73.3% of residents report being completely free of medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 71.2%. The area has a larger proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.8%, with 3,692 people in this age group compared to Greater Sydney's 13.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to the challenges they face.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rooty Hill-Minchinbury has a high cultural diversity, with 48.8% of its population born overseas and 51.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Rooty Hill-Minchinbury, comprising 60.7% of people. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 13.2% of Rooty Hill-Minchinbury's population versus 13.0%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (24.2%), Filipino (15.6%, substantially higher than the regional average of 10.3%), and Australian (14.8%). Samoan, Spanish, and Maltese ethnicities are notably overrepresented in Rooty Hill-Minchinbury compared to regional averages: Samoan at 2.4% versus 3.6%, Spanish at 1.1% versus 0.7%, and Maltese at 2.5% versus 1.7%.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's median age is 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, which is slightly below Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (13.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.3%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 3.8% to 5.1%, while the 25-34 age group has decreased from 13.8% to 12.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 83%, adding 992 residents to reach a total of 2,186. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 82% of population growth, reflecting demographic aging trends. Conversely, the 15-24 and 25-34 age groups are projected to experience population declines.