Rooty Hill - Minchinbury
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's population was around 23,294 as of Aug 2025. This showed an increase of 468 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,826. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 23,230 in June 2024 and additional 97 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 1,593 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury had a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group were applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate a median increase is expected, with Rooty Hill - Minchinbury projected to expand by 1,464 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, showing an overall increase of 6.0% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has received approximately 53 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY21 and FY25, a total of 269 homes were approved, with an additional 22 approved in FY26 to date. On average, about one person moved to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five years. However, this figure has increased to 4.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

The average expected construction cost of new homes is $363,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year alone, $129.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting strong local business investment. When compared to Greater Sydney, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury maintains similar construction rates per capita, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. The area's construction predominantly comprises detached dwellings (79.0%) and attached dwellings (21.0%), sustaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suitable for buyers seeking space.

With around 589 people per approval, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury demonstrates characteristics of a mature, established area. Looking ahead, the population is projected to grow by 1,388 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current projections.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 46 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport, NSW Basketball and Volleyball Western Sydney Hub, NSW State Emergency Service Facility Oakhurst, and Luxford Road Pavement Rehabilitation. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 4.6%, a 6.2% increase from the previous year.

As of this date, there were 12,911 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 0.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was lower at 57.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. Transport, postal & warehousing had particularly high concentration with levels at 1.9 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services had limited presence at 5.5% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 6.2%, and labour force grew by 6.5%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. This compares with Greater Sydney where employment grew by 2.6% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Rooty Hill - Minchinbury. These projections estimate that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Roots Hill - Minchinbury had a median taxpayer income of $50,792 and an average income of $56,262 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is below Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $57,197 and the average income $63,357, based on a 12.61% growth from financial year 2022 using the Wage Price Index. The 2021 Census places household income at the 69th percentile ($2,050 weekly) and personal income at the 41st percentile. Income brackets show that 37.4% of individuals (8,711 people) earn between $1,500 - $2,999 annually. This aligns with regional levels where this group also represents 30.9%. High housing costs consume 16.9% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 67th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 81.8% houses and 18.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 80.7% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury stood at 26.0%, with the rest being mortgaged (43.9%) or rented (30.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $350. Nationally, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.2% of all households, including 48.6% couples with children, 19.1% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.8%, consisting of 14.8% lone person households and 1.9% group households. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Educational qualifications in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury trail regional benchmarks. 28.8% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 21.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 30.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (20.0%). Educational participation is high at 32.3%, including primary education (10.9%), secondary education (8.8%), and tertiary education (5.8%). Seven schools operate in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury, educating approximately 3,792 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 992) with balanced educational opportunities. Four primary and three secondary schools serve distinct age groups. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has 147 active public transport stops. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. There are 47 individual routes operating in total, which collectively facilitate 5,637 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically situated 173 meters away from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 805 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 38 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Rooty Hill-Minchinbury shows better-than-average health outcomes with lower prevalence of common conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, older and at-risk cohorts have higher rates of these conditions.

Private health cover is low, at approximately 48% (11,181 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. Diabetes and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.9% and 6.8% of residents respectively. 73.3% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 71.2%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.8% (3,689 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 13.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these higher rates.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rooty Hill-Minchinbury is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 48.8% of its population born overseas and 51.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Rooty Hill-Minchinbury, comprising 60.7% of people. However, Islam is noticeably overrepresented at 13.2%, compared to 13.0% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (24.2%), Filipino (15.6%), which is substantially higher than the regional average of 10.3%, and Australian (14.8%). Notably, Samoan (2.4%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 3.6%, Spanish (1.1%) compared to 0.7%, and Maltese (2.5%) compared to 1.7%.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Rooty Hill-Minchinbury's median age in 2021 was 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37, and slightly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Rooty Hill-Minchinbury had a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (13.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.3%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the population share of those aged 75-84 increased from 3.8% to 5.1%, while the share of those aged 25-34 decreased from 13.8% to 12.3%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Rooty Hill-Minchinbury's age profile. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 83%, adding 993 residents to reach a total of 2,186. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 81% of population growth, reflecting broader demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the populations of those aged 15-24 and 25-34 are projected to decline.