Rooty Hill - Minchinbury

Population growth drivers in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's population is around 23,969 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,143 people (5.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,826 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 23,218 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 99 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,639 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 0.9% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 87.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to grow by 1,464 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 3.0% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has recorded around 53 residential properties granted approval annually, with 269 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 35 so far in FY-26. At an average of 1 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, though recent data shows this has intensified to 4.9 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being built at an average value of $217,000—below the regional average—suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Additionally, $129.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury maintains similar construction rates (per person), maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. New development consists of 79.0% detached dwellings and 21.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 589 people per dwelling approval, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury reflects a highly mature market.

Looking ahead, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is expected to grow by 713 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 47 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport, NSW Basketball and Volleyball Western Sydney Hub, Landcom Rooty Hill Housing Development, and NSW State Emergency Service Facility Oakhurst, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 4.6%, and 3.2% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 12,524 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.4% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is on par with Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Based on Census responses, a high 29.5% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 5.5% of Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. While local employment opportunities exist, many residents appear to commute elsewhere for work, based on the ratio of the Census working population to the local population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 3.2% while the labour force increased by 2.7%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Rooty Hill - Minchinbury. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The Rooty Hill - Minchinbury SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $53,761 and an average of $58,946 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is below the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $58,524 (median) and $64,169 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household income ranks at the 68th percentile ($2,050 weekly), while personal income sits at the 41st percentile. Income brackets indicate the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 37.4% of the community (8,964 individuals), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.9% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 67th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Rooty Hill - Minchinbury, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 81.8% houses and 18.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Rooty Hill - Minchinbury slightly lagged that of Sydney metro, at 26.0%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (43.9%) or rented (30.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $420, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 83.2% of all households, comprising 48.6% couples with children, 19.1% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.8%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size of 3.2 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Educational qualifications in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury trail regional benchmarks, with 28.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 21.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 30.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (20.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.3% of residents aged 15+ currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 197 active transport stops operating within Rooty Hill - Minchinbury, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 46 individual routes, collectively providing 6,358 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 173 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 83%, with 11% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 29.5% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 908 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Rooty Hill - Minchinbury, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~11,600 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are diabetes and asthma, impacting 6.9% and 6.8% of residents, respectively, while 73.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 16.6% of residents aged 65 and over (3,978 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury scores highly on cultural diversity, with 48.8% of its population born overseas and 51.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury is Christianity, which makes up 60.7% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 13.2% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Rooty Hill - Minchinbury are Other, comprising 24.2% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Filipino, comprising 15.6% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 2.0%, and Australian, comprising 14.8% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Samoan is notably overrepresented at 2.4% of Rooty Hill - Minchinbury (vs 0.5% regionally), Spanish at 1.1% (vs 0.6%) and Maltese at 2.5% (vs 1.0%).

Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 36 years, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's median age is nearly matching the Greater Sydney average of 37 and is similarly modestly under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Rooty Hill - Minchinbury has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (13.5%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (11.9%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.8% to 5.5% of the population, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 8.2% to 9.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 13.8% to 11.9%. Demographic modeling suggests Rooty Hill - Minchinbury's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 67%, adding 877 residents to reach 2,186. Senior residents (65+) will drive 86% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. On the other hand, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.