Colyton - Oxley Park

Population growth drivers in Colyton - Oxley Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Colyton - Oxley Park's population is around 14,005 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 977 people (7.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,028 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,697 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 92 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,011 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Colyton - Oxley Park's 7.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (6.4%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, which contributed approximately 53.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, an above-median population growth relative to national areas is projected, with the area expected to increase by 2,043 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 12.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Colyton - Oxley Park among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Colyton - Oxley Park has experienced around 53 dwellings receiving development approval each year, totalling 267 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 39 approvals have been recorded. At an average of 4.3 new residents per year for every home built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand significantly exceeds new supply, which usually results in price growth and increased buyer competition, while new homes are being built at an average value of $170,000—below regional norms—reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. Additionally, $1.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Colyton - Oxley Park has 13.0% less new development (per person) while it places among the 53rd percentile of areas assessed nationally. Recent construction comprises 58.0% detached dwellings and 42.0% townhouses or apartments, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points, from family homes to more affordable compact living. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 79.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 298 people per dwelling approval, Colyton - Oxley Park shows a developing market.

Looking ahead, Colyton - Oxley Park is expected to grow by 1,735 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Colyton - Oxley Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects and planning initiatives. In total 11 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the M12 Motorway, Western Sydney Aerotropolis Infrastructure and Development, St Marys Station Upgrade and Metro Integration, and the Orchard Hills State-led Rezoning Proposal (Stage 1), with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Colyton - Oxley Park lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Colyton - Oxley Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 5.8%. As of December 2025, 6,260 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.7% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation lags significantly (62.1% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 25.0% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care and social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal and warehousing. The area demonstrates a notable concentration in transport, postal and warehousing, with employment levels at 2.2 times the regional average. Meanwhile, professional and technical services have a limited presence, with 4.5% employment compared to 11.5% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.6% and employment decreased by 4.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Sydney, where employment rose by 2.2%, the labour force grew by 2.3%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Colyton - Oxley Park. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Colyton - Oxley Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Colyton - Oxley Park SA2's income level is below the national average according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Colyton - Oxley Park SA2's median income among taxpayers is $57,803 and the average income stands at $62,321, which compares to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $62,924 (median) and $67,843 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Colyton - Oxley Park, between the 36th and 39th percentiles. Income brackets indicate the largest segment comprises 36.8% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (5,153 residents), consistent with broader trends across the area showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 79.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 34th percentile.

Colyton - Oxley Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Colyton - Oxley Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 78.7% houses and 21.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Colyton - Oxley Park lagged that of Sydney metro, at 23.8%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (39.3%) or rented (36.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $1,950, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $390, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Colyton - Oxley Park's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

Colyton - Oxley Park has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 75.7% of all households, comprising 34.3% couples with children, 20.5% couples without children, and 19.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 21.1% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Colyton - Oxley Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (16.5%) substantially below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 11.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (26.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 89 active transport stops operating within Colyton - Oxley Park, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 25 individual routes, collectively providing 2,345 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 155 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 88%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling. Some 25.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 335 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Colyton - Oxley Park's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Colyton - Oxley Park's health metrics sit close to national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among the general population is somewhat typical, though higher than the national average among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~7,058 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 8.2% and 7.4% of residents, respectively, while 69.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 13.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,928 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Colyton - Oxley Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Colyton - Oxley Park scores highly on cultural diversity, with 33.2% of its population born overseas and 33.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Colyton - Oxley Park is Christianity, which makes up 58.0% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 8.5% of the population, compared to 6.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Colyton - Oxley Park are Australian, comprising 21.4% of the population, English, comprising 18.6% of the population, and Other, comprising 18.2% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Samoan is notably overrepresented at 2.3% of Colyton - Oxley Park (vs 0.5% regionally), Filipino at 4.5% (vs 2.0%) and Lebanese at 2.3% (vs 2.6%).

Colyton - Oxley Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

At 34 years, Colyton - Oxley Park's median age is somewhat lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and considerably younger than Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Sydney, Colyton - Oxley Park has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (14.3%) but fewer 35 - 44 year-olds (14.0%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.0% to 5.2% of the population. Conversely, the 0 to 4 cohort has declined from 8.1% to 7.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Colyton - Oxley Park. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 47%, adding 340 residents to reach 1,069. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 cohorts.