Erskine Park

Erskine Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Erskine Park's population was approximately 6,486 as of March 2021 according to the Census. By June 2024, it had decreased to around 6,460, a drop of 26 people (0.4%), based on AreaSearch's analysis using ABS estimated resident population figures and validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of approximately 770 persons per square kilometer, comparable with averages from other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed roughly 63.3% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses projections released by ABS/Geoscience Australia in 2024 for SA2 areas, based on a 2022 dataset, and NSW State Government's projections for areas not covered by this data, using a 2021 base year.

For all areas, growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied until 2041. By 2041, Erskine Park's population is projected to decrease by 224 persons overall, but the 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 384 people during this period.

The level of residential development activity in Erskine Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Erskine Park has averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 53 homes. As of FY26, 10 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline in the area, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average value of new dwellings is $202,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $58.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Erskine Park shows significantly reduced construction (66.0% below the regional average per person), which generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. This activity is also below national averages, suggesting possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. This shift from the existing housing composition (currently 98.0% houses) may indicate decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring more diverse, affordable housing options. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 587 people, reflecting Erskine Park's quiet, low activity development environment.

With stable or declining population forecasts, the area may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Erskine Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones are ESR Erskine Park Logistics Estate, Erskine Park Employment Area (EPEA) Expansion, BlueScope Western Sydney Service Centre Expansion, and Mamre Road Stage 2 Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Erskine Park demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Erskine Park's workforce is skilled with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate as of September 2025 was 2.3%, lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

There were 3,780 residents employed at this time, reflecting a participation rate of 67.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction stands out with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

As of the Census, there were 1.2 workers per resident, indicating Erskine Park functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.2% while employment declined by 3.5%, resulting in a fall of the unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. As of 25-Nov-25, NSW's employment had contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment is projected to expand by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Erskine Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Erskine Park SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $56,872 and an average income of $63,145 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was slightly below the national average for that year. Greater Sydney's median income was $56,994 with an average income of $80,856 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $64,044 (median) and $71,108 (average). Census data showed household incomes ranked at the 85th percentile ($2,349 weekly). The earnings profile indicated that 38.6% of locals (2,493 people) earned between $1,500 - 2,999 per week, similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% fell into this bracket. The district exhibited affluence with 33.7% earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing expenses accounted for 14.3% of income. Residents ranked highly in disposable income at the 86th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Erskine Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Erskine Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 98.3% houses and 1.8% other dwellings, compared to Sydney metro's 81.7% houses and 18.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Erskine Park stood at 31.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.5% and rented ones at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Erskine Park was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $390. Nationally, Erskine Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $450.

Erskine Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.0% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.7% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Educational outcomes in Erskine Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (27.8%). Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (9.5%), secondary (8.8%), and tertiary (4.1%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Erskine Park has 50 active public transport stops, all of which are bus routes. These stops are served by 20 different routes, offering a total of 742 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 177 meters from their nearest stop.

On average, there are 106 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Erskine Park's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Erskine Park.

Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 51% of the total population (~3,307 people), slightly lagging that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.6 and 7.3% of residents respectively. 71.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.7% across Greater Sydney. The area has 13.8% of residents aged 65 and over (894 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Erskine Park was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine Park's population is more culturally diverse than most local areas, with 26.5% born overseas and 23.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Erskine Park, comprising 66.2%, compared to 60.9% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (24.1%), English (20.6%), and Other (14.5%).

Notably, Maltese (4.1%) and Filipino (4.7%) populations are higher than regional averages of 2.6% and 4.5%, respectively, while Samoan is lower at 1.3%.

Erskine Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Erskine Park's median age in 2021 was 37 years, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constituted 14.9% of Erskine Park's population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort made up 12.9%. Between 2016 and 2021, the proportion of residents aged 65 to 74 increased from 7.8% to 9.4%, and those aged 75 to 84 grew from 2.2% to 3.7%. Conversely, the share of the 25-34 age group decreased from 14.1% to 12.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Erskine Park's age structure. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 149%, reaching 601 people from a starting point of 240. This growth will be driven entirely by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above accounting for all projected population growth. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 5-14 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.