Erskine Park

Erskine Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Erskine Park's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, was approximately 6,462 as of February 2026. This figure represents a decrease of 24 individuals (0.4%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 6,486 persons. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 6,459 in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 770 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth primarily drove population growth, contributing approximately 63.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Over this period, projections indicate an overall population decline, with Erskine Park's population expected to reduce by 224 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 384 people.

The level of residential development activity in Erskine Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Erskine Park averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 53 homes. As of FY26, 11 approvals have been recorded. The area's population decline has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $202,000, below regional levels.

In FY26, there were $58.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Erskine Park has 66.0% less construction per person. Recent construction comprises 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character. This shift from the existing 98.0% houses indicates decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 587, reflecting a quiet development environment. Stable or declining population forecasts may reduce housing pressure in Erskine Park, favouring buyers.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Erskine Park may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Erskine Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

AreaSearch has identified ten projects that could impact a specific region's performance. Notable ones include ESR Erskine Park Logistics Estate, Erskine Park Employment Area (EPEA) Expansion, BlueScope Western Sydney Service Centre Expansion, and Mamre Road Stage 2 Upgrade. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Erskine Park demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Erskine Park has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. As of September 2025, its unemployment rate is 2.3%. By this date, 3,780 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.9% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 73.9%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 30.6% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Erskine Park specializes in construction with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area hosts more jobs than residents, with a ratio of 1.2 workers per resident, attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.2% while employment declined by 3.5%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Erskine Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Erskine Park SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $60,609 and an average of $66,409 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This was slightly below the national average, compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Using Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $65,979 (median) and $72,293 (average). Census data showed household incomes ranked at the 85th percentile ($2,349 weekly). The earnings profile indicated that 38.6% of locals (2,494 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, reflecting a similar proportion in the metropolitan region. Notably, 33.7% earned over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing expenses accounted for 14.3% of income, with strong earnings placing residents within the 86th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Erskine Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Erskine Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, were 98.3% houses and 1.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Erskine Park stood at 31%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.5% and rented ones at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Erskine Park was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Erskine Park's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Erskine Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.0% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.7% and group households making up 1.5%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Erskine Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 27.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Erskine Park has 68 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that collectively facilitate 1,047 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 177 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards from this primarily residential area. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation, used by 93% of residents. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 2.0, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 30.6% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 149 trips per day, resulting in approximately 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Erskine Park are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Erskine Park shows below-average health indicators based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average for both younger and older age groups.

Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent in Erskine Park compared to Greater Sydney. Private health cover is lower, at approximately 52% of the total population (~3,366 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 7.6 and 7.3% of residents respectively. 71.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. Erskine Park has 14.9% of residents aged 65 and over (960 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings higher than those for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Erskine Park was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine Park has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 26.5% of its population born overseas and 23.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Erskine Park, making up 66.2% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three represented ancestry groups in Erskine Park are Australian (24.1%), English (20.6%), and Other (14.5%).

Notably, Maltese representation is higher at 4.1%, compared to 1.0% regionally, Filipino at 4.7% versus 2.0%, and Samoan at 1.3% against 0.5%.

Erskine Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Erskine Park's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.7% of Erskine Park's population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort comprises 12.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group has grown from 7.8% to 9.9%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 2.2% to 4.2%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 14.1% to 12.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Erskine Park's age structure. Notably, the 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 123%, reaching 601 people from its current figure of 270. This growth is part of a broader aging population trend, with those aged 65 and above accounting for all projected population growth in Erskine Park. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 25-34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.