Erskine Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Erskine Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Erskine Park's population was approximately 6,486 as of April 2021 according to the census. By June 2024, it had decreased to around 6,460, a drop of 26 people (0.4%). This decrease is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data and validated new addresses since the census date. The population density was approximately 770 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed about 63.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

Population projections for Erskine Park are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, using growth rates by age group for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Erskine Park's population is projected to decrease by 224 persons overall, but the 75 to 84 age group is expected to increase by 384 people.

The level of residential development activity in Erskine Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Erskine Park has averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 53 homes. As of FY26 so far, 7 approvals have been recorded. The area's population decline has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $202,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $58.4 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Erskine Park shows significantly reduced construction (66.0% below the regional average per person), supporting stronger demand and values for established homes due to limited new supply. This activity is also below national averages, suggesting possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. This shift from the existing housing stock (currently 98.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles requiring more diverse, affordable housing options. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 587 people, reflecting Erskine Park's quiet development environment.

With stable or declining population forecasts, the area may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Erskine Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Ten projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include ESR Erskine Park Logistics Estate, Erskine Park Employment Area (EPEA) Expansion, BlueScope Western Sydney Service Centre Expansion, and ArkExpress Industrial Development. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Erskine Park shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Erskine Park, as of June 2025, has an unemployment rate of 2.4%. It has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector.

The area's employment rate is 1.8% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and its workforce participation rate is 67.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Erskine Park specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

The area hosts more jobs than residents, with a worker-to-resident ratio of 1.2, functioning as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.3%, and employment declined by 2.1% in Erskine Park, resulting in a fall in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Erskine Park. Applying these projections to the local employment mix indicates an approximate increase in jobs by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Erskine Park had a median taxpayer income of $56,872 and an average of $63,145 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was slightly below the national average for that period. Greater Sydney's median income was $56,994 with an average of $80,856 during the same timeframe. By September 2025, estimated incomes were approximately $64,044 (median) and $71,108 (average), based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data showed Erskine Park's household incomes ranked at the 86th percentile ($2,349 weekly). The earnings profile indicated that 38.6% of locals (2,493 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, which was similar to the metropolitan region's 30.9%. Notably, 33.7% of Erskine Park residents earned over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings in the area. Housing expenses accounted for 14.3% of income, while strong earnings placed residents within the 87th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking was in the 6th decile.

Erskine Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Erskine Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.3% houses and 1.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 81.7% houses and 18.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Erskine Park was at 31.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.5% and rented ones at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Erskine Park was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $390. Nationally, Erskine Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Erskine Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.0% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.7% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Educational outcomes in Erskine Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (27.8%). Educational participation is high at 27.9%, with 9.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

The area has two schools serving 1,348 students: James Erskine Public School and Erskine Park High School. These schools demonstrate typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 978) with balanced educational opportunities. School capacity exceeds residential needs at 20.9 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.1, indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 50 active stops operating within Erskine Park, consisting of bus services only. These stops are served by 20 individual routes, collectively facilitating 742 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 177 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 106 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per stop.

Erskine Park's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows strong health performance in Erskine Park, with low prevalence of common conditions among both young and elderly residents.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% (~3,307 people), slightly below the SA2 area average. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.6%) and arthritis (7.3%), while 71.7% report no medical ailments, compared to 69.7% in Greater Sydney. The area has 13.8% of residents aged 65 and over (894 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Erskine Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine Park had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 26.5% of its population born overseas and 23.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Erskine Park, making up 66.2% of its population, compared to 60.9% across Greater Sydney. The top three represented ancestry groups were Australian (24.1%), English (20.6%), and Other (14.5%).

Notably, Filipino representation was higher at 4.7%, Maltese at 4.1%, and Samoan at 1.3%.

Erskine Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Erskine Park's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group comprises 14.9% of Erskine Park's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 12.9%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group has increased from 7.8% to 9.4%, while the 75-84 cohort rose from 2.2% to 3.7%. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort decreased from 14.1% to 12.9%. By 2041, projections indicate significant changes in Erskine Park's age structure. The 75-84 group is set to grow by 149%, reaching 601 people from its current 240. This growth is driven entirely by the aging population aged 65 and above. Conversely, the 45-54 and 5-14 age groups are projected to decline in population.