Erskine Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Erskine Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Erskine Park's population was approximately 6,458 as of August 2025, a decrease of 28 people from the 2021 Census figure of 6,486. This change is inferred from ABS estimates: Erskine Park had an estimated resident population of 6,461 in June 2024 and gained 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was approximately 769 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed about 63.3% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an overall decline, with Erskine Park's population expected to reduce by 224 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, specific age cohorts are projected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is anticipated to increase by 384 people.

The level of residential development activity in Erskine Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Erskine Park has averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 53 homes. As of FY26 so far, 6 approvals have been recorded. The area's population decline has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with varied buyer choices. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $299,000, below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $58.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Erskine Park shows significantly reduced construction (66.0% below the regional average per person), which generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. Recent construction comprises 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. This shift from the existing 98.0% houses indicates decreasing developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles seeking diverse, affordable housing options. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 587 people, reflecting Erskine Park's quiet development environment. With stable or declining population forecasts, the area may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Erskine Park may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Erskine Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified ten projects that are expected to impact this area. Among these key projects are ESR Erskine Park Logistics Estate, Erskine Park Employment Area (EPEA) Expansion, BlueScope Western Sydney Service Centre Expansion, and ArkExpress Industrial Development. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Erskine Park shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Erskine Park has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 2.4%.

In this month, 3,882 residents are employed while the area's unemployment rate is 1.8% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Erskine Park stands at 67.6%, exceeding Greater Sydney's rate of 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Notably, the construction sector has an employment share 1.5 times higher than the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 4.8% of Erskine Park's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. As per the Census, there are 1.2 workers for every resident in Erskine Park, indicating that it functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.3% while employment declined by 2.1%, leading to a fall of 0.2 percentage points in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, and an increase of 0.3 percentage points in its unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 offer insights into potential future demand within Erskine Park. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Erskine Park's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1%% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Erskine Park had a median taxpayer income of $56,872 and an average of $63,145 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. This was slightly below the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% suggest a median income of approximately $64,044 and an average of $71,108 in Erskine Park. Census data shows household incomes ranked at the 86th percentile with weekly earnings of $2,349. The predominant income cohort in Erskine Park was 38.6% (2,492 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% fell into this bracket. The district demonstrated affluence with 33.7% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing expenses accounted for 14.3% of income, while strong earnings placed residents in the 87th percentile for disposable income. Erskine Park's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Erskine Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Erskine Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 98.3% houses and 1.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 81.7% houses and 18.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Erskine Park was 31.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.5% and rented ones at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $390. Nationally, Erskine Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Erskine Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.0% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.7% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Educational outcomes in Erskine Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 27.8%. Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.5% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education.

The area has two schools serving 1,348 students - James Erskine Public School and Erskine Park High School. These schools demonstrate typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 978) with balanced educational opportunities. Educational provision is conventional, split between one primary and one secondary institution. School capacity exceeds residential needs, with 20.9 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.1, indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Erskine Park has 50 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a mix of bus routes, totalling 20 individual routes. Together, these routes facilitate 742 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Erskine Park is rated as excellent, with residents typically situated 177 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 106 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Erskine Park's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Erskine Park.

Both young and old age cohorts exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 51% of the total population (~3,306 people), slightly lagging that of the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 7.6% and 7.3% of residents respectively. A total of 71.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.7% across Greater Sydney. As of the latest data (2016), 13.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (893 people). Health outcomes among seniors in Erskine Park are above average, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Erskine Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine Park, surveyed in 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 26.5% of its population born overseas and 23.5% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Erskine Park, accounting for 66.2%, compared to 60.9% across Greater Sydney (2016 Census). The top three ancestry groups were Australian (24.1%), English (20.6%), and Other (14.5%).

Notably, Filipino (4.7%) and Maltese (4.1%) populations were higher than the regional averages of 4.5% and 2.6%, respectively. The Samoan population was lower at 1.3%, compared to the regional average of 2.1%.

Erskine Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Erskine Park has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Sydney's figure and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group makes up 14.9% of Erskine Park's population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort constitutes 12.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group has increased from 7.8% to 9.4%, and the 75-84 cohort has risen from 2.2% to 3.7%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 14.1% to 12.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Erskine Park's age structure. Notably, the 75-84 group is projected to grow by 149%, reaching 601 people from its current 240. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for all projected growth. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 5-14 age groups are expected to experience population declines.