Erskine Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Erskine Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Erskine Park's population was 6,486 as of August 2021 according to the Census. By June 2024, it had decreased to approximately 6,458, a drop of 28 people (0.4%). This change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 6,461 in June 2024 and the validation of 13 new addresses since the Census date. The population density was around 769 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed approximately 63.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate a decline in Erskine Park's overall population, projected to reduce by 224 persons by 2041. However, growth is anticipated within specific age cohorts, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 384 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Erskine Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Erskine Park has averaged approximately ten new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data, provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, totals 53 approvals across the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25. As of FY26, there have been five recorded approvals. The area's population decline has resulted in adequate housing supply relative to demand, leading to a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $299,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options for purchasers. In FY26 alone, $58.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Erskine Park shows significantly reduced construction levels, with 66.0% fewer approvals per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, which is also below the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 98.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options.

The estimated population density, with 587 people per dwelling approval, reflects Erskine Park's quiet, low-activity development environment. With stable or declining population projections, the area is expected to experience reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Erskine Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch identified eight projects that could impact the local performance significantly. These key projects are ESR Erskine Park Logistics Estate, Sydney Metro West, BlueScope Western Sydney Service Centre Expansion, and Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Erskine Park demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Erskine Park had an unemployment rate of 2.4% as of June 2025, with 3,882 residents employed. The area's unemployment rate was 1.8 percentage points lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and its workforce participation rate was higher at 67.6%.

Key industries for employment were construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction had a particularly high presence with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Professional & technical services had limited representation with only 4.8% employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area functioned as an employment hub with 1.2 workers per resident, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas.

Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.3%, alongside a 2.1% decline in employment, leading to a fall in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. This contrasted with Greater Sydney where employment grew by 2.6%. State-level data from Sep-25 showed NSW employment had contracted by 0.41%, losing 19,270 jobs, while the state unemployment rate was 4.3%. National forecasts by Jobs and Skills Australia projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Erskine Park's employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Erskine Park had a median taxpayer income of $56,872 and an average income of $63,145 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is slightly lower than the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on a 10.6% increase since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $62,900 (median) and $69,838 (average) as of March 2025. The 2021 Census ranked household incomes at the 86th percentile ($2,349 weekly). Distribution data shows that 38.6% of residents (2,492 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, mirroring the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. The locality demonstrates affluence with 33.7% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.3% of income, while strong earnings rank residents within the 87th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Erskine Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Erskine Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 98.3% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 81.7% houses and 18.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Erskine Park stood at 31.0%, with mortgaged properties at 49.5% and rented dwellings at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,000. Weekly rent in Erskine Park was recorded at $450, compared to Sydney metro's $390. Nationally, Erskine Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Erskine Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.0% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.7% and group households making up 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Educational outcomes in Erskine Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (27.8%). Current educational participation is high at 27.9%, comprising primary education (9.5%), secondary education (8.8%), and tertiary education (4.1%).

Educational institutions include James Erskine Public School and Erskine Park High School, serving a total of 1,348 students. Erskine Park High School has an ICSEA score of 978, indicating typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities. The area's school capacity is higher than the regional average (20.9 places per 100 residents vs 15.1), suggesting it serves as an educational hub for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Erskine Park has 50 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together provide 742 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest transport stop is 177 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 106 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Erskine Park's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Erskine Park.

Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 51% of the total population (~3,306 people), slightly lagging that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.6% and 7.3% of residents respectively. A total of 71.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.7% across Greater Sydney. As of 2016, 13.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (893 people). Health outcomes among seniors in Erskine Park are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Erskine Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine Park had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 26.5% of its population born overseas and 23.5% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Erskine Park, accounting for 66.2% of people, compared to 60.9% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestral groups were Australian (24.1%), English (20.6%), and Other (14.5%).

Notably, Filipino residents comprised 4.7% of Erskine Park's population, higher than the regional average of 4.5%. Maltese residents made up 4.1%, compared to 2.6% regionally, and Samoan residents were at 1.3%, lower than the regional average of 2.1%.

Erskine Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Erskine Park's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group comprises 14.9% of Erskine Park's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 12.9%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 65 to 74 age group grew from 7.8% to 9.4%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 2.2% to 3.7%. During this period, the 25 to 34 cohort decreased from 14.1% to 12.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Erskine Park's age structure. The 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 149%, reaching 601 people from its current 240. This growth will be driven entirely by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above accounting for all projected growth. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to experience population declines.