Erskine Park

Erskine Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Erskine Park's population is around 6,462 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a decrease of 24 people (0.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,486 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,459 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 770 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, which contributed approximately 63.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to reduce by 224 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 384 people. See the age section for more details.

The level of residential development activity in Erskine Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Erskine Park has averaged around 10 new dwelling approvals each year, totalling 53 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 15 approvals have been recorded. As the area has experienced population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a well-balanced market with good buyer choice, while new dwellings are developed at an average construction cost of $202,000 — under regional levels — indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. There have also been $58.4 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Erskine Park shows substantially reduced construction (66.0% below regional average per person). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 98.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. The estimated count of 587 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Erskine Park may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Erskine Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 10 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include ESR Erskine Park Logistics Estate, Erskine Park Employment Area (EPEA) Expansion, BlueScope Western Sydney Service Centre Expansion, and Mamre Road Stage 2 Upgrade, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Erskine Park shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Erskine Park features a skilled workforce, with the construction sector a particular standout in terms of representation, and an unemployment rate of just 2.6%. As of December 2025, 3,726 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.6% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (73.1% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 30.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. On the other hand, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 4.8% of Erskine Park's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. With 1.2 workers for every resident, as at the Census, the area functions as an employment hub, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.8% while employment declined by 4.4%, resulting in the unemployment rate falling by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Erskine Park. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Erskine Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Erskine Park SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $60,609 and an average of $66,409 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is just below the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $65,979 (median) and $72,293 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household incomes rank exceptionally at the 85th percentile ($2,349 weekly). The earnings profile shows the predominant cohort spans 38.6% of locals (2,494 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, mirroring the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. The district demonstrates considerable affluence with 33.7% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.3% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 86th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Erskine Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Erskine Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 98.3% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Erskine Park was higher than that of Sydney metro, at 31.0%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (49.5%) or rented (19.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Erskine Park's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Erskine Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 87.0% of all households, comprising 49.3% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.7% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size of 3.2 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Erskine Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (18.0%) substantially below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 38.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (27.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 68 active transport stops operating within Erskine Park, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 20 individual routes, collectively providing 1,047 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 177 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 30.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 149 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Erskine Park are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Erskine Park, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover slightly lags that of the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the total population (~3,366 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.6% and 7.3% of residents, respectively, while 71.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 14.9% of residents aged 65 and over (960 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Erskine Park was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine Park is more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 26.5% of its population born overseas and 23.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Erskine Park is Christianity, which makes up 66.2% of people in Erskine Park. This compares to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Erskine Park are Australian, comprising 24.1% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%, English, comprising 20.6% of the population, and Other, comprising 14.5% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maltese is notably overrepresented at 4.1% of the population (vs 1.0% regionally), Filipino at 4.7% (vs 2.0%) and Samoan at 1.3% (vs 0.5%).

Erskine Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

With a median age of 37, Erskine Park is equal to the Greater Sydney figure of 37 and remains comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 55 - 64 age group shows strong representation at 14.7% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 12.3%. In the period since 2021, the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 7.8% to 9.9% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 2.2% to 4.2%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 14.1% to 12.3%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Erskine Park's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 123% (330 people), reaching 601 from 270. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 100% of projected growth. On the other hand, the 45 to 54 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.