Tregear

Tregear has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, Tregear's population is estimated at around 3,939 people. This reflects an increase of 239 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,700 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population being 3,940 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,401 persons per square kilometer, placing Tregear in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 6.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 3.1%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Tregear is expected to expand by 399 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 8.4% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Tregear according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Tregear has received around 11 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 59 homes. So far in FY26, nine approvals have been recorded. This results in an average of 0.5 people moving to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating supply meets or exceeds demand. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $216,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options.

In FY26, Tregear has seen $137,000 in commercial development approvals, reflecting its residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Tregear has slightly more development per person over the past five years (21.0% above the regional average), offering reasonable buyer choices while sustaining property demand. However, this activity is below national averages, suggesting potential planning constraints or area maturity. Recent building activity consists solely of detached dwellings, maintaining Tregear's suburban identity with a focus on family homes.

With around 275 people per dwelling approval, the area exhibits signs of a developing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tregear is expected to grow by approximately 331 residents by 2041. Assuming current development patterns continue, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond projections.

Tregear has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects potentially affecting this region. Notable projects are Richmond Road Upgrade from M7 to Townson Road, Parklawn Place Boarding House, M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway), and Sydney Metro Western Sydney Airport Line. Relevant details follow.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Tregear faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Tregear's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs with diverse sector representation. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate was 18.3%, showing a 6.5% increase in employment over the past year.

This rate is 14.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Tregear lags at 40.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant sectors include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. Transport, postal & warehousing has a notable concentration with employment levels at 2.6 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services employ just 2.6% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 6.5%, while labour force increased by 6.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.6% with a 0.3 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tregear's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Tregear had a median income among taxpayers of $38,194. The average level stood at $41,818. This was below the national average and compared to levels of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $43,010 (median) and $47,091 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Tregear all fell between the 4th and 7th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile showed that the $800 - 1,499 earnings band captured 29.6% of the community (1,165 individuals), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket led at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 76.1% of income remaining, ranking at the 5th percentile.

Tregear is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Tregear, as per the latest Census data, 90.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 9.3% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Sydney's metropolitan area where 80.7% of dwellings are houses and 19.4% are other types. Home ownership in Tregear stood at 16.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 19.3% and rented ones at 64.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Tregear was $1,603, lower than Sydney's metro average of $2,000. Weekly rent in Tregear averaged $300, below Sydney's $350 and the national figure of $375. Nationally, Tregear's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,603 compared to Australia's average of $1,863.

Tregear has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.2% of all households, including 23.8% couples with children, 14.6% couples without children, and 27.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for 31.8%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Tregear faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 8.5%, significantly below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 5.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 34.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (7.3%) and certificates (27.0%).

Educational participation is high at 36.5%, including 16.5% in primary education, 10.6% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education. Tregear Public School serves the local educational needs within Tregear, with an enrollment of 343 students as of a recent report. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. Local school capacity is limited at 8.7 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 18.0, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 35 active transport stops in Tregear, consisting of bus services. These stops are covered by 10 routes, offering a total of 1,153 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents usually located 119 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 164 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tregear is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tregear faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 44%, covering around 1,716 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 47.8% and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (affecting 12.5%) and mental health issues (9.8%), with 61.0% reporting no medical ailments, lower than Greater Sydney's 71.2%.

As of 4th September 2020, 11.8% of Tregear residents are aged 65 and over, totaling 464 people, which is lower than Greater Sydney's 13.1%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly aligned with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Tregear was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tregear's cultural diversity was above average, with 21.4% born overseas and 20.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion at 51.4%. Islam was underrepresented at 5.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 13.0%.

In ancestry, Australian was highest at 25.7%, higher than the regional average of 17.2%. English was also high at 22.4%, above the regional average of 14.7%. Other ancestry was lower at 12.2%, compared to 23.9% regionally. Notable divergences included Samoan at 4.9% (vs 3.6%), Maori at 2.0% (vs 1.2%), and Australian Aboriginal at 12.0% (vs 4.4%).

Tregear hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Tregear's median age is 30 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Tregear has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.9%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is above the national average of 12.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, Tregear's population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 14.9% to 15.9%, while the proportion of residents aged 0 to 4 has declined from 8.3% to 7.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Tregear's age profile. The number of residents aged 55 to 64 is projected to grow steadily, increasing by 126 people (30%) from 425 to 552. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups.