Tregear

Tregear has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Tregear's estimated population as of Nov 2025 is around 4,002. This reflects an increase of 302 people (8.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,700 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,940, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,440 persons per square kilometer, placing Tregear (SA2) in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tregear's 8.2% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (5.2%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected, with Tregear (SA2) expected to expand by 399 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 6.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tregear, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Tregear received around 10 dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 54 homes. In FY26 so far, 10 approvals have been recorded. This results in approximately 0.5 people moving to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating supply meets or exceeds demand while offering more buyer choices and potential population growth. The average value of new dwellings is $216,000, below the regional average, suggesting affordable housing options.

Additionally, $78,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, reflecting Tregear's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Tregear has slightly more development per person over the past five years, preserving buyer options while sustaining property demand. However, this activity is below national average, suggesting mature market conditions and possible planning constraints. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached dwellings, maintaining Tregear's suburban identity with a focus on family homes.

With around 350 people per dwelling approval, the area shows signs of development. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates Tregear will grow by 268 residents by 2041, with current development patterns suggesting new housing supply should readily meet demand and facilitate potential population growth beyond projections.

Tregear has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects expected to affect the region: Richmond Road Upgrade from M7 to Townson Road and Parklawn Place Boarding House. Other notable projects include the M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway) and Western Sydney Aerotropolis Infrastructure and Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Tregear faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Tregear's workforce spans diverse sectors with an unemployment rate of 17.4% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 7.6%.

The area has a higher unemployment rate compared to Greater Sydney (4.2%), indicating room for improvement, and lower workforce participation (40.4% vs Greater Sydney's 60.0%). Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. Transport, postal & warehousing has notably high concentration with levels at 2.6 times the regional average. Professional & technical employs only 2.6% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 7.6%, labour force by 3.9%, reducing unemployment by 2.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% while unemployment rose slightly (0.2 percentage points). State-level data from 25-Nov shows NSW's employment contracted slightly (-0.03%), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourable compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth patterns vary significantly by industry sector. Applying these projections to Tregear's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 indicates Tregear had median taxpayer income of $38,194 and average income of $41,818. These figures are below national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 in Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated median and average incomes for Tregear as of September 2025 are approximately $41,578 and $45,523 respectively. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Tregear fall between the 4th and 7th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 29.6% of Tregear residents earn between $800 - $1,499 annually (1,184 individuals), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Tregear, with only 76.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 5th percentile nationally.

Tregear is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Tregear's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.8% houses and 9.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Sydney metro's 80.7% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tregear stood at 16.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 19.3% and rented ones at 64.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,603, below the Sydney metro average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Tregear was $300, compared to Sydney metro's $350. Nationally, Tregear's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tregear has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.2% of all households, including 23.8% couples with children, 14.6% couples without children, and 27.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.8%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Tregear faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 8.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 5.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 34.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.3%) and certificates (27.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (16.5%), secondary education (10.6%), and tertiary education (2.7%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 45 active transport stops in Tregear, operating a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 11 individual routes, collectively facilitating 1,237 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically situated 117 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 176 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 27 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Tregear is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tregear faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 44% of the total population (~1,744 people), compared to 48.6% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (12.5%) and mental health issues (9.8%), while 61.0% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than the 71.2% in Greater Sydney.

Tregear has 11.6% of residents aged 65 and over (464 people), slightly lower than the 13.1% in Greater Sydney. Senior health outcomes present challenges broadly aligned with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Tregear was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tregear's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 21.4% of its population born overseas and 20.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion in Tregear, comprising 51.4% of people. However, Islam was overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney's average, making up 5.9% of Tregear's population.

In terms of ancestry, Australian was the top group with 25.7%, followed by English at 22.4%, and Other at 12.2%. Notably, Samoan (4.9%) and Maori (2.0%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages, while Australian Aboriginal was substantially higher at 12.0% compared to the region's average of 4.4%.

Tregear hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Tregear's median age is 30 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Tregear has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.9%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, Tregear's population aged 15-24 has grown from 14.9% to 15.9%, while the proportion of residents aged 0-4 has declined from 8.3% to 7.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Tregear's age profile will change significantly. The number of residents aged 55-64 is projected to grow steadily, increasing by 119 people (28%) from 432 to 552. Conversely, population declines are expected for the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts.