Tregear

Tregear has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, Tregear's population is estimated at around 4,004 people, reflecting an increase of 304 people since the 2021 Census. The population was reported as 3,700 in the 2021 Census. This change is inferred from the resident population of 3,940 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. Tregear's population density stands at 2,441 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb experienced an 8.2% growth since the 2021 census, exceeding both the SA3 area (5.2%) and the state average. Natural growth contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods in Tregear.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas for Tregear, with an expected expansion of 418 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections. This reflects an overall increase of 8.8% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tregear, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Tregear has seen approximately 10 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 54 homes. In FY-26 so far, there have been 10 approvals. The average population increase per dwelling built in Tregear between FY-21 and FY-25 was 0.3 people, indicating that supply has met or exceeded demand. New dwellings are approved at an average cost of $216,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options.

This financial year, Tregear has recorded $78,000 in commercial development approvals. When compared to Greater Sydney, Tregear's development levels per person are similar, supporting market stability. However, this activity is below the national average, possibly due to planning constraints. Recent building activity consists solely of detached dwellings, maintaining Tregear's suburban identity with a focus on family homes.

With around 349 people per dwelling approval, Tregear shows signs of a developed market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tregear is expected to grow by approximately 354 residents by 2041, suggesting that current development patterns should readily meet demand and potentially facilitate population growth beyond projections.

Tregear has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects likely affecting this region: Richmond Road Upgrade from M7 to Townson Road and Parklawn Place Boarding House. Other notable projects include M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway) and Western Sydney Aerotropolis Infrastructure and Development. The following details projects most relevant to the area.

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Employment conditions in Tregear face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Tregear's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 17.9% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 5.2%. As of December 2025, 1,317 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 13.8%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation was lower at 54.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. About 17.1% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors included health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. The area had a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing (2.6 times the regional level) but limited presence of professional & technical jobs (2.6% compared to 11.5% regionally).

Employment opportunities locally appeared limited, with fewer working residents than residents overall. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.2%, labour force grew by 2.4%, reducing the unemployment rate by 2.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tregear's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Tregear had an income level below the national average according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Tregear was $38,194 and the average income stood at $41,818. These figures compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $41,578 (median) and $45,523 (average). Census data revealed household, family and personal incomes in Tregear all fell between the 4th and 7th percentiles nationally. The income bracket of $800 - 1,499 dominated with 29.6% of residents (1,185 people), contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket led at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 76.1% of income remaining, ranking at the 5th percentile.

Tregear is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Tregear, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.8% houses and 9.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Tregear was at 16.5%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (19.3%) or rented (64.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Tregear was $1,603, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Tregear was recorded at $300, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Tregear's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tregear has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.2% of all households, including 23.8% couples with children, 14.6% couples without children, and 27.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.8%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households at 3.5%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Tregear faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 8.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 5.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 34.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 7.3% and certificates at 27.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 16.5% in primary, 10.6% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Tregear indicates that there are currently 44 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 11 individual routes providing service to the community. Together, these routes facilitate 1,237 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Tregear is rated as excellent, with residents typically located approximately 117 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward for work or other purposes. The car remains the primary mode of transportation, used by 84% of residents, while train and bus usage stands at 8% and 5%, respectively.

On average, there are 0.9 vehicles per dwelling in Tregear, which is below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, some 17.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 176 trips per day, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tregear is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tregear faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A variety of health conditions impact both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 44% of Tregear's total population (~1,744 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (impacting 12.5% of residents) and mental health issues (affecting 9.8%). Conversely, 61.0% of Tregear residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (12.0%, or 480 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Tregear was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tregear's population showed above-average cultural diversity, with 21.4% born overseas and 20.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Tregear, comprising 51.4%. Islam was overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 5.9% of Tregear's population versus 6.8%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (25.7%), English (22.4%), and Other (12.2%). Notable divergences included Samoan at 4.9% in Tregear compared to 0.5% regionally, Maori at 2.0% versus 0.4%, and Australian Aboriginal at 12.0% against the regional average of 1.3%.

Tregear hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Tregear's median age at 30 years is significantly younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and is notably below Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Tregear has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.3%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.9%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly above the national average of 12.1%. Post-2021 Census data reveals that the proportion of Tregear's population aged 15 to 24 has increased from 14.9% to 16.2%, while the proportion of those aged 0 to 4 has decreased from 8.3% to 7.7%. Demographic projections indicate significant changes in Tregear's age profile by 2041, with the 55-64 age cohort projected to grow steadily, increasing by 119 people (27%) from 444 to 564. Conversely, population declines are projected for both the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age cohorts.