Tregear

Tregear has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Tregear is around 4,004, reflecting an increase of 304 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 3,700. This change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,940 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density is 2,441 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tregear's population growth of 8.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (5.2%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year for areas not covered by this data.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Tregear is expected to increase by 410 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 7.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tregear, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval data allocated by statistical area shows Tregear received around 10 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 54 homes. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 0.5 persons moved to Tregear per dwelling built, indicating supply meets or exceeds demand and supports potential population growth while offering more affordable housing options with an average dwelling value of $216,000 below the regional average. This year (FY-26), $78,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting Tregear's residential nature.

Compared to Greater Sydney over this period, Tregear has slightly more development activity, preserving buyer options while sustaining property demand. However, this activity is below the national average, suggesting maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached dwellings, maintaining Tregear's suburban identity with a focus on family homes. With around 350 people per dwelling approval, Tregear indicates a developed market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tregear is projected to grow by approximately 279 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond projections.

Tregear has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects likely affecting this area. Major initiatives include Richmond Road Upgrade from M7 to Townson Road, Parklawn Place Boarding House, M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway), and Western Sydney Aerotropolis Infrastructure and Development. The following details those most relevant:.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Tregear faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Tregear's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs with varied sector representation. The unemployment rate was 17.5% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 7.5%. As of September 2025, 1327 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 13.3%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation is lower at 54.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Home workership was moderate at 17.1% based on Census responses, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade. Notably, transport, postal & warehousing has levels 2.6 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical employs only 2.6% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 7.5% while labour force grew by 4.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 2.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1%, labour force expand by 2.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tregear's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Tregear had a median income among taxpayers of $38,194 and an average income of $41,818. These figures are below the national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 for Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from July 2023 to September 2025, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $41,578 and an average income of $45,523 in Tregear as of September 2025. The 2021 Census figures indicate that household, family, and personal incomes in Tregear fall between the 4th and 7th percentiles nationally. In Tregear, 29.6% of individuals earn within the $800 - $1,499 range (1,185 individuals), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket is most prevalent at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Tregear, with only 76.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 5th percentile nationally.

Tregear is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Tregear, as per the latest Census, 90.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 9.3% being semi-detached, apartments, or 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tregear stood at 16.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 19.3% and rented ones at 64.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,603, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Tregear was $300, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Tregear's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tregear has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.2% of all households, including 23.8% couples with children, 14.6% couples without children, and 27.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.8%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households at 3.5%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Tregear faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 8.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 5.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 34.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (7.3%) and certificates (27.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 16.5% in primary, 10.6% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 44 active public transport stops in Tregear, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are served by 11 individual routes, facilitating 1237 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 117 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward. Car remains the primary mode at 84%, followed by train at 8% and bus at 5%. Average vehicle ownership is 0.9 per dwelling, below regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 17.1% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 176 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Tregear is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tregear faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions impact both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 44% (1,744 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%.

Nationally, the average is 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (12.5%) and mental health issues (9.8%). Conversely, 61.0% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age population health challenges include high chronic condition rates. Tregear has 12.0% seniors (480 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Senior health outcomes align with national rankings.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Tregear was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tregear's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 21.4% born overseas and 20.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Tregear, comprising 51.4% of its population. Notably, Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 5.9% versus 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (25.7%), English (22.4%), and Other (12.2%) are the top groups in Tregear. Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Samoan is overrepresented at 4.9%, Maori at 2.0%, and Australian Aboriginal at 12.0%.

Tregear hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Tregear's median age at 30 years is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Tregear has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (17.2%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.7%). This 5-14 concentration is higher than the national average of 12.1%. According to post-2021 Census data, Tregear's population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 14.9% to 16.2%, while the 0 to 4 cohort has declined from 8.3% to 7.5%. Demographic projections suggest significant changes in Tregear's age profile by 2041. The 55 to 64 age group is expected to grow steadily, increasing by 111 people (25%) from 440 to 552. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 cohorts.