Tregear

Tregear has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Tregear's population is estimated at around 4,008 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 308 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,700 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,999 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,443 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tregear's growth of 8.3% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (3.6%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected in Tregear, with an anticipated expansion of 354 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 8.6% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Tregear, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Tregear has received around 10 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years ending June 2021, totalling an estimated 54 homes. As of July 2021 in FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years has seen adequate development activity relative to population size, benefiting buyers with new dwellings averaging $216,000, below the regional average. Commercial development approvals this year totalled $78,000, indicating Tregear's residential focus.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Tregear's development levels per person are similar, supporting market stability. However, activity is below national averages, suggesting planning constraints and a mature market with around 354 people per dwelling approval. Detached dwellings dominate recent building activity, maintaining Tregear's suburban identity suited for buyers seeking space. AreaSearch projects Tregear's population to grow by 345 residents by 2041.

Current development patterns should meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth.

Tregear has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure projects and planning initiatives. Two such projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting this area. Major projects include Richmond Road Upgrade from M7 to Townson Road, Parklawn Place Boarding House, M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway), and Western Sydney Aerotropolis Infrastructure and Development. The following list details those likely to be most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Tregear face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Tregear's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 17.8% in the past year. Employment grew by an estimated 6.1%.

As of December 2025, there were 1,367 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 13.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was at 55.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 17.1% of residents worked from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, transport, postal & warehousing, and retail trade.

The area shows strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share 2.6 times the regional level. Professional & technical services have limited presence at 2.6% compared to the regional 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census working population vs resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 6.1%, labour force grew by 3.3%, reducing the unemployment rate by 2.2 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment grew by 2.2%, labour force expanded by 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tregear's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Tregear had a median income among taxpayers of $38,194 and an average income of $41,818 in the financial year 2023, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This compares to figures for Greater Sydney of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $42,136 (median) and $46,134 (average) as of March 2026. Census data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Tregear all fall between the 4th and 7th percentiles nationally. The income bracket of $800 - 1,499 dominates with 29.6% of residents (1,186 people), contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Tregear, with only 76.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 5th percentile nationally.

Tregear is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Tregear, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.8% houses and 9.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tregear was at 16.5%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (19.3%) or rented (64.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Tregear was $1,603, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Tregear was recorded at $300, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Tregear's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Tregear has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.2% of all households, including 23.8% couples with children, 14.6% couples without children, and 27.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.8%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Tregear faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 8.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 5.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 34.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 7.3% and certificates at 27.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.5% in primary education, 10.6% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Tregear shows 44 active public transport stops operating, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 11 different routes, offering a total of 1,237 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is rated excellent, with residents on average living 117 meters from the nearest one. In this predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport for 84% of residents, while trains are used by 8%, and buses by 5%. On average, there are 0.9 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 17.1% of Tregear's residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 176 trips per day, translating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Tregear is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Tregear faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence across various age groups. The area has a low private health cover rate of approximately 44% (around 1,746 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%. Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions, affecting 12.5% and 9.8% of residents respectively.

Conversely, 61.0% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. The working-age population in Tregear faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 12.1% (484 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning broadly with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Tregear was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tregear's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 21.4% born overseas and 20.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Tregear, accounting for 51.4%. Islam, however, is more prevalent in Tregear at 5.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians make up 25.7% of Tregear's population, significantly higher than the regional average of 17.8%. English ancestry follows at 22.4%, with 'Other' at 12.2%. Notable differences exist in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Samoan is overrepresented at 4.9% (regional average 0.5%), Maori at 2.0% (0.4%), and Australian Aboriginal at 12.0% (1.3%).

Tregear hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Tregear's median age at 30 years is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Tregear has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.2%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.1%). This 5-14 concentration is higher than the national average of 12.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, Tregear's population aged 15-24 has grown from 14.9% to 16.1%, while the 0-4 cohort has declined from 8.3% to 7.5%. Demographic projections suggest significant changes in Tregear's age profile by 2041. The 55-64 age group is projected to grow steadily, increasing from 432 to 556 people (a rise of 123 people or 28%). Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 cohorts.