Lethbridge Park

Lethbridge Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Lethbridge Park's estimated population is around 5,162 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 432 people (9.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,730 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,095 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,186 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Lethbridge Park's 9.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (5.2%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is expected, with the area expected to increase by 571 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 7.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Lethbridge Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Lethbridge Park has experienced around 13 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 66 homes. So far in FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. Over these five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), there was an average of only 0.9 people moving to the area per dwelling built. This indicates that new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth.

The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings in Lethbridge Park is $216,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In FY-26, there have been $146,000 worth of commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Lethbridge Park maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas and indicating its established nature. New development consists of 93.0% detached houses and 7.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

With around 340 people per dwelling approval, Lethbridge Park shows a developing market. Population forecasts indicate Lethbridge Park will gain approximately 390 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Lethbridge Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects likely to affect this region. Notable projects include Richmond Road Upgrade from M7 to Townson Road, M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway), Parklawn Place Boarding House, and Tallawong to St Marys (T2SM) Passenger Rail Corridor. The following list details those most relevant.

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Employment drivers in Lethbridge Park are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Lethbridge Park's workforce is balanced between white and blue collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominent. Its unemployment rate was 16.9% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 7.5%.

As of September 2025, 1,761 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 12.7% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is lower at 41.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include retail trade, health care & social assistance, and transport, postal & warehousing. Transport, postal & warehousing employs 2.5 times the regional average, while professional & technical jobs are below the regional level at 2.0%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 7.5% and labour force grew by 4.1%, reducing unemployment by 2.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and a slight increase in unemployment rate. State-level data to 25-Nov-2025 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lethbridge Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, though these are illustrative extrapolations not accounting for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Lethbridge Park had a median income among taxpayers of $38,637. The average income was $42,302, both below the national average. In Greater Sydney, these figures were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated median and average incomes in Lethbridge Park as of September 2025 would be approximately $42,060 and $46,050. The 2021 Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Lethbridge Park fall between the 5th and 6th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows 28.1% of residents (1,450 people) earn within the $800 - 1,499 bracket, unlike surrounding regions where 30.9% fall in the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Lethbridge Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Lethbridge Park, as per the latest Census data, 90.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 10.0% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types of dwellings. This is compared to Sydney metro's 80.7% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lethbridge Park stood at 19.2%, with mortgaged properties at 21.2% and rented ones at 59.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,000. Weekly rent in Lethbridge Park was $300, below Sydney metro's figure of $350. Nationally, Lethbridge Park's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lethbridge Park has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.1% of all households, including 24.2% couples with children, 16.2% couples without children, and 26.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.9%, with lone person households at 27.4% and group households comprising 3.5%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Lethbridge Park faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 8.3%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 5.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 33.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (7.9%) and certificates (25.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 35.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.9% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 27 active stops operating within Lethbridge Park, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 18 individual routes, collectively facilitating 1,370 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 180 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 195 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lethbridge Park is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Lethbridge Park faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 44% of the total population (~2,259 people), compared to 48.6% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (11.9%) and mental health issues (9.3%).

A total of 60.5% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than the 71.2% in Greater Sydney. The area has 13.5% of residents aged 65 and over (696 people), with senior health outcomes generally aligning with the broader population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Lethbridge Park was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Lethbridge Park, surveyed in 2016, had a higher overseas-born population of 26.1%, compared to the regional average of around 35%. In this park, 22.9% spoke languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion with 56.5%, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 56.6%.

Ancestry-wise, Australians made up 25.7%, English 22.0%, and Other 14.1%. Notably, Samoan ancestry was higher at 4.7% (regional average: 3.6%), Maori at 1.7% (vs regional 1.2%), and Australian Aboriginal at 8.6% (vs regional 4.4%).

Lethbridge Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Lethbridge Park's median age is 32 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 years and lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Lethbridge Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.2%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.0%). According to post-2021 Census data, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 14.9% to 15.7%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 has decreased from 14.0% to 13.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Lethbridge Park's age profile. The 55-64 cohort is projected to grow by 28%, adding 142 residents to reach 643. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 cohorts.