Shalvey

Shalvey is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Shalvey statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 3,721 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 266 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,455 people in the area. The change can be inferred from the resident population of 3,647 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional 7 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 2,355 persons per square kilometer, placing Shalvey in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 7.7% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (5.2%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 58% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Shalvey (SA2) is expected to increase by 374 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 8% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Shalvey, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Shalvey has seen approximately six new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 31 homes were approved, with an additional six approved in FY26 as of current figures. On average, these new dwellings add about 0.7 new residents per year.

This pace suggests that supply is keeping up with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choices and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction cost value of these new dwellings is $216,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, there have been $52,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting Shalvey's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Shalvey has roughly two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person.

Nationally, it ranks around the 37th percentile among assessed areas, offering more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. However, building activity has accelerated in recent years, suggesting potential planning limitations or an established nature of the area. The majority of new building activity in Shalvey consists of standalone homes (88.0%), with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 12.0%. This concentration of family homes caters to buyers seeking space and contributes to Shalvey's suburban identity. With around 450 people per dwelling approval, Shalvey indicates a developed market. Population forecasts estimate that Shalvey will gain approximately 293 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with these growth projections, though buyers may face increased competition as the population grows.

Shalvey has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to local infrastructure projects and planning initiatives. Two major projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include the M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway), Richmond Road Upgrade - M7 to Townson Road, Marsden Park Data Centre Campus, and Tallawong to St Marys (T2SM) Passenger Rail Corridor. The following list details those likely to be most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Shalvey are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Shalvey has a balanced workforce with diverse sector representation. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 15.3%.

This shows an estimated employment growth of 7.4% over the past year. The area's unemployment rate is 11.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation in Shalvey lags significantly at 41.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area has strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share of 2.2 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical shows lower representation at 3.2% versus the regional average of 11.5%. Employment levels increased by 7.4% and labour force increased by 4.4% in Shalvey during the year to September 2025, resulting in a fall in unemployment by 2.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shalvey's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Shalvey is $40,554 and the average is $44,401 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is below Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $44,147 (median) and $48,335 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%. Census 2021 data shows household, family and personal incomes in Shalvey fall between the 6th and 11th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 27.5% of locals earn between $800 - 1,499 per week, differing from regional patterns where the dominant category is $1,500 - 2,999 with 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Shalvey, with only 75.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 7th percentile nationally.

Shalvey is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Shalvey's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.6% houses and 8.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 80.7% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shalvey was at 18.2%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (28.2%) or rented (53.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Shalvey was $1,950, below Sydney metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure for Shalvey was $300, compared to Sydney metro's $350. Nationally, Shalvey's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Shalvey features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.0% of all households, including 31.2% couples with children, 17.8% couples without children, and 26.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 20.1% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Shalvey faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 7.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 34.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.0%) and certificates (26.3%). Educational participation is high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 15.7% in primary, 12.4% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.7% in primary education, 12.4% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Shalvey has 37 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 742 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 120 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 106 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Shalvey is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Shalvey faces significant health challenges with a higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to average, particularly among older age groups. As of 2021, approximately 45% (~1659 people) have private health cover, lower than Greater Sydney's 48.6% and the national average of 55.7%. Common medical conditions include asthma (10.3%) and mental health issues (8.5%), while 65.3% report no medical ailments, compared to 71.2% in Greater Sydney.

Shalvey's senior population stands at 13.2%, totaling 491 people aged 65 and over. Health outcomes for seniors require more attention than the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Shalvey was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Shalvey's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 27.4% born overseas and 27.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Shalvey, comprising 56.4% of its population. Islam was overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 8.4% versus 13.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (22.7%), English (20.2%), and Other (17.3%). Notably, Samoan (5.4%) and Maori (1.8%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 3.6% and 1.2%, respectively. Additionally, the Australian Aboriginal population was notably higher at 9.8% versus 4.4%.

Shalvey hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Shalvey's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Shalvey has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.2%), but fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.0%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the proportion of Shalvey's population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 15.1% to 16.1%, while the proportion aged 0 to 4 has declined from 7.8% to 7.0%. Demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Shalvey's age profile by 2041. The 65-74 cohort is projected to grow by 39%, adding 115 residents to reach a total of 413. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 cohorts.