Marsden Park

Marsden Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Marsden Park's population is estimated at around 21,510. This reflects an increase of 6,900 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,610. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 19,687 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 1,093 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,667 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Marsden Park's growth rate of 47.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both state (6.7%) and metropolitan area averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 85.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year for areas not covered by this data. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period 2025 to 2041, with Marsden Park expected to grow by 28,706 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 151.0% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Marsden Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Marsden Park, from FY-17 to FY-21, an average of 416 new dwelling approvals occurred annually, totalling approximately 2,081 homes. As of FY-26, 85 approvals have been recorded. Historically, around 9.2 new residents arrived per year for each dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. This suggests demand exceeds supply, potentially driving price growth and increased buyer competition.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $483,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $831,000, indicating Marsden Park's residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park has 52.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice despite recent moderation in development activity. This activity is significantly above the national average, reflecting robust developer interest. New building activity consists of 79.0% detached houses and 21.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Marsden Park's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This marks a change from the current housing mix (currently 98.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

The location has approximately 92 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Marsden Park is projected to grow by 32,481 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Marsden Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 21 projects potentially impacting the area. Notable ones are Somi Residences, Elara Place (New Neighbourhood), CDC Data Centre Campus Marsden Park, and Vertex Industrial Estate. Below is a list of particularly relevant projects.

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Employment conditions in Marsden Park rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Marsden Park has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.0% as of AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data for the past year.

Employment grew by an estimated 6.1% during this period. As of June 2025, 13,644 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.2%, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Marsden Park is 71.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

The area has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. However, education & training has limited presence, with 6.5% employment compared to 8.9% regionally. Analysis of SALM and ABS data for the wider area shows that over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 6.1%, while the labour force grew by 6.4%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Marsden Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Marsden Park's median income among taxpayers was $65,639, with an average of $77,309. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Marsden Park would be approximately $73,916 (median) and $87,058 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Marsden Park rank highly nationally, between the 87th and 94th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 38.1% of the population (8,195 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to the broader area where 30.9% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 42.8% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Marsden Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Marsden Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.5% houses and 2.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Marsden Park stood at 10.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 68.0% and rented ones at 21.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,900, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,700. Weekly rent in Marsden Park averaged $570, slightly above Sydney metro's $540. Nationally, Marsden Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,900 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $570 versus the national figure of $375.

Marsden Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.6% of all households, including 64.5% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 6.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.4%, with lone person households at 9.1% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Marsden Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Marsden Park exceeds broader benchmarks with 49.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 31.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational pathways account for 24.0% of qualifications among those aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (13.4%). Educational participation is high with 34.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 15.1% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Marsden Park's 5 schools have a combined enrollment of 1,990 students as of the latest data. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1072. Educational mix includes 2 primary, 1 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools. School places per 100 residents (9.2) are below the regional average (16.2), indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas. Note: for schools with 'n/a' enrolments, please refer to parent campus data.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Marsden Park has 57 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 18 different routes that together facilitate 1,236 weekly passenger trips. The park's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents on average located 255 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 176 trips per day, equating to approximately 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

Marsden Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Marsden Park's health outcomes data shows excellent results with low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 57% (12,359 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.1%) and diabetes (4.1%). A total of 84.6% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 80%. Marsden Park has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.5% (1,183 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 7.8%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Marsden Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Marsden Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 60.1% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 54.2% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Marsden Park, making up 42.5% of people. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 26.3%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 20.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (24.7%), Indian (21.3%), and Filipino (12.6%), with Filipino being substantially higher than the regional average of 6.2%. There are also notable divergences in Sri Lankan, Samoan, and Maltese ethnic groups: Sri Lankan is at 0.9% compared to 0.9% regionally, Samoan at 1.1% versus 0.6%, and Maltese at 1.3% versus 1.7%.

Marsden Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Marsden Park has a median age of 32 years, which is notably younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.0%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.5%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, Marsden Park's population has seen an increase in the 5-14 age group from 18.3% to 20.9%, and a rise in the 15-24 cohort from 8.5% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 18.5% to 12.5%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 11.7% to 9.3%. Demographic projections indicate that Marsden Park's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the strongest growth expected in the 15-24 cohort, which is projected to grow by 358%, adding 8,394 residents to reach a total of 10,739.