Grantham Farm

Grantham Farm lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Grantham Farm is around 5,412 people. This represents a growth of 1,743 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,669. AreaSearch's analysis, based on ABS ERP data from June 2024 and new addresses validated since the Census date, indicates this increase is inferred from an estimated resident population of 4,782. This growth rate exceeds both the state's (6.7%) and metropolitan area's rates, marking Grantham Farm as a significant growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 72.0% to overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projections for the suburb, based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a 2022 base year and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections for areas not covered by this data, predict exceptional growth over the period from 2025 to 2041.

The population is expected to expand by 8,724 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 154.1% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Grantham Farm was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Grantham Farm averaged approximately 96 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 481 homes. As of FY-26, 35 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 4.4 people moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating significant demand exceeding supply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $481,000, aligning with regional trends.

This financial year has seen $1.4 million in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grantham Farm shows moderately higher building activity, averaging 13.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. Recent construction comprises 64.0% detached dwellings and 36.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a growing mix of housing types to cater to different price points and lifestyle demands. With around 47 people moving in for each dwelling approval, Grantham Farm exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by approximately 8,337 residents through to 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Grantham Farm has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Riverstone Town Centre Rezoning, Riverstone Community Resource Hub and Aquatic Facility, Schofields Precinct Development, and New High School for Schofields and Tallawong. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Grantham Farm ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Grantham Farm has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 3.1% as of June 2025, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment grew by an estimated 6.5% over the past year. As of June 2025, 2,920 residents are employed, with a workforce participation rate of 74.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training, while accommodation & food services employs just 3.8% locally, below Greater Sydney's 5.8%.

Employment levels increased by 6.5% during the year to June 2025, with a corresponding labour force increase of 6.4%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with an unemployment rate rise of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Grantham Farm's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Grantham Farm's median income among taxpayers was $78,851 and the average was $93,110. This is among the highest in Australia, with Greater Sydney's median being $56,994 and average $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Grantham Farm would be approximately $88,794 (median) and $104,851 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Grantham Farm rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 91st percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 45.5% of individuals earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range (2,462 individuals), consistent with broader metropolitan trends at 30.9%. Economic strength is evident with 37.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile nationally, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Grantham Farm is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Grantham Farm's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Grantham Farm was at 6.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.0% and rented dwellings at 30.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,700, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent figure was $540, matching Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, Grantham Farm's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Grantham Farm features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.3% of all households, including 56.6% couples with children, 21.5% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.7%, with lone person households at 9.0% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Grantham Farm demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Grantham Farm has a higher level of educational attainment than both Australia and New South Wales (NSW). As of 2016 data, 44.5% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to the national average of 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. The area has a strong focus on higher education, with bachelor degrees being the most common at 28.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (18.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 32.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2016 census. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 6.5% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education. However, educational facilities appear to be located outside Grantham Farm's immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Grantham Farm has 19 active public transport stops. All of these stops serve buses. There are 12 different bus routes operating in the area.

Together, these routes facilitate 722 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport is considered good, with residents living an average of 296 meters from the nearest stop. On a daily basis, there are approximately 103 trips across all routes. This results in about 38 weekly trips per individual bus stop.

Grantham Farm's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Grantham Farm demonstrates excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The private health cover rate is exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (3,444 people), compared to 58.5% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.4% and 5.5% of residents respectively.

A significant majority, 82.0%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 80.0% in Greater Sydney. Grantham Farm has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 2.6% (140 people), than Greater Sydney's 7.8%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors align closely with the general population's health profile.

Grantham Farm is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Grantham Farm has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.3% of its population born overseas and 44.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Grantham Farm, making up 48.4% of people. However, Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 18.6% versus 20.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.8%), Australian (17.8%), and English (15.4%). There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Filipino at 5.2%, Indian at 11.7%, and Maltese at 2.3%.

Grantham Farm hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Grantham Farm has a median age of 30 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grantham Farm has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (23.3%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (1.8%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 20.3% to 23.3%, while the 5 to 14 cohort has risen from 14.1% to 16.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 24.5% to 21.5%. Demographic projections suggest that Grantham Farm's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 35 to 44 age group projected to expand substantially, increasing by 1,767 people (140%) from 1,260 to 3,028.