Grantham Farm

Grantham Farm lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of the suburb of Grantham Farm is estimated at around 5,496 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,827 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,669 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,494 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 441 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,518 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Grantham Farm's growth of 49.8% since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the area expected to increase by 8,789 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 151.2% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Grantham Farm was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Grantham Farm has averaged approximately 90 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 451 homes. As of FY-26, 60 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.7 new residents arrive per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25.

This suggests supply is lagging demand, likely leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. Developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties, as evidenced by an average construction value of $481,000. In FY-26, $725,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grantham Farm shows comparable new home approvals per person, maintaining market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. This activity is substantially higher than the national average, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location.

New building activity comprises 63.0% standalone homes and 37.0% attached dwellings, offering a range of medium-density options across various price brackets. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 100.0% houses, likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. With around 52 people per dwelling approval, Grantham Farm exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Future projections estimate Grantham Farm will add approximately 8,310 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Grantham Farm has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely to impact the region. Notable initiatives include Riverstone Town Centre Rezoning, Riverstone Community Resource Hub and Aquatic Facility, Schofields Precinct Development, and New High School for Schofields and Tallawong. The following list details those most relevant.

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The labour market strength in Grantham Farm positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Grantham Farm has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.6% as of September 2025. Employment grew by an estimated 6.3% over the past year, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data.

As of that date, 3110 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.6% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Grantham Farm was at 99.4%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 45.3% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Accommodation & food services had a lower representation at 3.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 5.8%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 6.3% while labour force grew by 5.7%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a slight rise in unemployment to 4.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Grantham Farm's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Grantham Farm had a median taxpayer income of $78,851 and an average income of $93,110. These figures are high nationally compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $85,837 (median) and $101,360 (average). Census 2021 data ranks Grantham Farm's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 88th and 91st percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows 45.5% of individuals earning between $1,500 - $2,999, mirroring the regional average of 30.9%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 37.5% of households, indicating strong consumer spending. Housing costs consume 21.7% of income, but disposable income remains high at the 86th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Grantham Farm is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Grantham Farm's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Grantham Farm was 6.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.0% and rented ones at 30.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,700, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Weekly rent stood at $540 compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Grantham Farm's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Grantham Farm features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 89.3% of all households, including 56.6% couples with children, 21.5% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.7%, with lone person households at 9.0% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which exceeds the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Grantham Farm demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Grantham Farm's residents aged 15+ have higher educational attainment than national averages. 44.5% hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 30.8%, with advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 18.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.4% currently enrolled in formal education. Primary education enrollment stands at 11.2%, secondary at 6.5%, and tertiary at 5.5%.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Grantham Farm has 22 active public transport stops serving mixed bus routes. These stops are covered by 12 different routes, offering a total of 1,180 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good accessibility to transport, with an average distance of 312 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this mainly residential area. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 81%, while train usage stands at 15%. The average vehicle ownership is 1.6 per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 45.3% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 168 trips daily, equating to roughly 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Grantham Farm's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Grantham Farm. AreaSearch's assessment found very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (3,498 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.4 and 5.5% of residents respectively. 82.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 2.9% of residents aged 65 and over (159 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Grantham Farm is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Grantham Farm's population shows high cultural diversity, with 43.3% born overseas and 44.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 48.4%. Hinduism, however, is significantly overrepresented at 18.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.8%), Australian (17.8%), and English (15.4%). Notably, Filipino (5.2%) and Indian (11.7%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.0% and 3.6%, respectively. Maltese ethnicity is also notably higher at 2.3%.

Grantham Farm hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Grantham Farm has a median age of 30 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 years and significantly below the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grantham Farm has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (23.3%), but fewer residents aged 65-74 (1.9%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 14.3%. According to post-2021 Census data, the proportion of 35-44 year-olds has increased from 20.3% to 23.3%, while the 5-14 age group has risen from 14.1% to 16.6%. Conversely, the 25-34 age cohort has decreased from 24.5% to 20.7%, and the 0-4 age group has fallen from 13.4% to 12.3%. Demographic projections indicate that Grantham Farm's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 35-44 age cohort expected to grow substantially, increasing by 1,757 people (137%) from 1,280 to 3,038.