Grantham Farm

Grantham Farm lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the Grantham Farm statistical area (Lv2) had an estimated population of around 5,445 as of Nov 2025. This reflects a growth of 1,776 people (48.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,669 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,494 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 446 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,504 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Grantham Farm's 48.4% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state's (7.6%) and metropolitan area's growth, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the Grantham Farm (SA2) expected to expand by 8,807 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 154.0% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Grantham Farm was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Grantham Farm averaged approximately 90 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 451 homes. As of FY-26, 60 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 4.7 people moved to the area per dwelling built. This high demand coupled with limited supply has led to price growth and increased buyer competition.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $481,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. In FY-26, there have been $725,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential development focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grantham Farm has comparable building activity per person, maintaining market balance with the broader area and showing robust developer interest. Recent construction comprises 63.0% detached dwellings and 37.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the current housing mix of 100.0% houses due to reduced development sites availability and changing lifestyle demands. With around 52 people per dwelling approval, Grantham Farm exhibits growth area characteristics.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Grantham Farm is expected to grow by 8,387 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Grantham Farm has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could impact this region. Notable initiatives include Riverstone Town Centre Rezoning, Riverstone Community Resource Hub and Aquatic Facility, Schofields Precinct Development, and New High School for Schofields and Tallawong. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Grantham Farm performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Grantham Farm has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.6% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 6.1%.

As of September 2025, 3,096 residents were employed, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, but with higher workforce participation at 74.2%. Key industries included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training, while accommodation & food services employed fewer locals than the Greater Sydney average. Employment levels increased by 6.1% year-to-September 2025, outpacing Greater Sydney's growth of 2.1%.

However, state-level data to 25-Nov-25 showed NSW employment contracted slightly by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts suggest total employment will grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local growth patterns may vary based on Grantham Farm's specific industry mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Grantham Farm had a median taxpayer income of $78,851 and an average income of $93,110. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,030. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $85,837 (median) and $101,360 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Grantham Farm's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 88th and 91st percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 45.5% of individuals earn between $1,500 - $2,999 annually, consistent with metropolitan trends at 30.9%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 37.5% of households, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing costs consume 21.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile nationally, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Grantham Farm is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Grantham Farm's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Grantham Farm was at 6.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.0% and rented ones at 30.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,700, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $540, also matching Sydney metro figures. Nationally, Grantham Farm's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Grantham Farm features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.3% of all households, including 56.6% couples with children, 21.5% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.7%, with lone person households at 9.0% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Grantham Farm demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Grantham Farm's educational attainment exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 44.5% possess university qualifications, compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 30.8% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 18.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.4% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 6.5% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Grantham Farm has 21 active public transport stops. All these stops are served by buses via 12 different routes. Together, they facilitate 1,180 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of the transport system is rated as good, with residents on average being 312 meters away from the nearest stop. On a daily basis, there are an average of 168 trips across all routes, which amounts to approximately 56 weekly trips per individual stop.

Grantham Farm's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Grantham Farm shows excellent health outcomes across all ages, with very low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 64% (3,465 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.4 and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 82.0% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 80.0%. As of the latest data (2021), 2.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (141 people). This is lower than Greater Sydney's 7.8%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's profile.

Grantham Farm is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Grantham Farm has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.3% of its population born overseas and 44.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Grantham Farm, accounting for 48.4% of people. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 18.6% of Grantham Farm's population versus 20.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.8%), Australian (17.8%), and English (15.4%). Notably, Filipino (5.2%) is overrepresented compared to the regional figure of 6.2%, while Indian (11.7%) and Maltese (2.3%) are also overrepresented in Grantham Farm compared to Greater Sydney's figures of 16.9% and 1.7% respectively.

Grantham Farm hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Grantham Farm's median age in 2021 was 30 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grantham Farm had a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (23.3%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (1.8%). This 35-44 concentration was significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. Post-2021 Census data showed that the 35 to 44 age group had grown from 20.3% to 23.3%, while the 5 to 14 cohort had increased from 14.1% to 16.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort had declined from 24.5% to 21.5%. Demographic modeling indicates that Grantham Farm's age profile is projected to change significantly by 2041, with the 35 to 44 age group expected to expand substantially, increasing by 1,776 people (140%) from 1,268 to 3,045.