Grantham Farm

Grantham Farm lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of the suburb of Grantham Farm is estimated to be around 5,567 as of May 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 1,898 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,669 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,108 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 477 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 1,537 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 51.7% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state's growth rate of 7.1% and Greater Sydney's growth rate. Interstate migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, exceptional growth is predicted over the period from 2026 to 2041, with the suburb expected to increase by 6,425 persons, reflecting a gain of 107.2% in total over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Grantham Farm was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Grantham Farm averaged approximately 89 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 445 homes. As of FY-26, 88 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.5 new residents arrive per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating supply is lagging demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

Developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties, as new dwellings are developed at an average value of $481,000. In this financial year, $725,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grantham Farm shows comparable new home approvals per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. This activity is substantially higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New building activity comprises 65.0% standalone homes and 35.0% attached dwellings, expanding medium-density options and creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives.

This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 100.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 49 people per dwelling approval, Grantham Farm shows characteristics of a growth area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Grantham Farm is projected to add 5,966 residents by 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Grantham Farm has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 18 projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include the Riverstone Community Resource Hub and Aquatic Facility, Schofields Precinct Development, New High School for Schofields and Tallawong, and Riverstone Town Centre Rezoning. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Grantham Farm well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Grantham Farm's workforce comprises highly educated individuals with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate as of December 2025 was 3.1%, with an estimated employment growth of 0.8% over the past year, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of this date, 2762 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.1% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Grantham Farm stood at 77.2%, exceeding Greater Sydney's rate of 68.8%. According to Census responses, 45.3% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training, while accommodation & food services were under-represented at 3.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 5.8%.

Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 0.8% and labour force grew by 0.5%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Grantham Farm. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with significant variations between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Grantham Farm's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023 indicates Grantham Farm had median taxpayer income of $78,851 and average income of $93,110. Nationally, these figures are high, compared to Greater Sydney's $60,817 and $83,030 respectively. Based on 10.32% Wage Price Index growth from financial year ended June 2023 to March 2026, estimated median income is approximately $86,988 and average income is around $102,719. Census 2021 data shows Grantham Farm's household, family, and personal incomes rank between 88th and 91st percentiles nationally. Income distribution reveals 45.5% (2,532 individuals) earn between $1,500 - $2,999, mirroring the regional average of 30.9%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 37.5% of households, driving consumer spending. Housing costs consume 21.7% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Grantham Farm is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Grantham Farm's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Grantham Farm was at 6.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.0% and rented ones at 30.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,700, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Grantham Farm was $540, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were $1,863 and rents were $375.

Grantham Farm features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.3% of all households, including 56.6% couples with children, 21.5% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.7%, with lone person households at 9.0% and group households making up 1.8%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Grantham Farm demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Grantham Farm's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 44.5% hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. The most common university qualification is the Bachelor degree (28.5%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 30.8% of residents holding such qualifications; advanced diplomas account for 11.9%, while certificates make up 18.9%.

Educational participation is high in the area, with 32.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 6.5% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Grantham Farm has 22 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 12 distinct routes, together facilitating 1,180 weekly passenger journeys. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically situated 312 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most inhabitants commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of travel at 81%, while train usage stands at 15%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 45.3% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Daily service frequency averages 168 trips across all routes, translating to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Grantham Farm's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Grantham Farm's health outcomes data shows excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (3,543 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and 55.7% nationally.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions, affecting 7.4 and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 82.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The area has 3.8% of residents aged 65 and over (211 people), which is lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Grantham Farm is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Grantham Farm has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.3% of its population born overseas and 44.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Grantham Farm is Christianity, accounting for 48.4% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 18.6%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (21.8%), Australian (17.8%), and English (15.4%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Filipino is overrepresented at 5.2% (vs regional 2.0%), Indian at 11.7% (vs 3.6%), and Maltese at 2.3% (vs 1.0%).

Grantham Farm hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Grantham Farm has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grantham Farm has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (23.1%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (2.5%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.3%. Between 2021 and the present, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has increased from 20.3% to 23.1%, while the 5-14 age group has risen from 14.1% to 16.5%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 24.5% to 18.8%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 13.4% to 11.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Grantham Farm's age profile will change significantly, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to expand substantially, from 578 people to 1,917 people, an increase of 231%.