Grantham Farm

Grantham Farm lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of Grantham Farm is estimated at around 5,496 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,827 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 3,669 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,494 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 441 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,518 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Grantham Farm's growth of 49.8% since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the suburb expected to increase by 8,616 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 138.5% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Grantham Farm was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Grantham Farm averaged approximately 89 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 445 homes. As of FY-26, 66 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.7 new residents arrived per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating that supply is substantially lagging demand, which typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. Developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties, as new dwellings are developed at an average value of $481,000.

This financial year has seen $725,000 in commercial approvals registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grantham Farm shows moderately higher new home approvals, balancing buyer choice with support for current property values. This activity is substantially higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New building activity comprises 65.0% standalone homes and 35.0% attached dwellings, expanding the range of medium-density options to create a mix of opportunities across price brackets. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 100.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

With around 54 people per dwelling approval, Grantham Farm shows characteristics of a growth area. Future projections estimate that Grantham Farm will add approximately 7,614 residents by 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Grantham Farm has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could impact the region. Notable ones are Riverstone Town Centre Rezoning, Riverstone Community Resource Hub and Aquatic Facility, Schofields Precinct Development, and New High School for Schofields and Tallawong. The following list details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Grantham Farm significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Grantham Farm has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.7% as of December 2025, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.6%.

As of that date, 3,108 residents were employed, with a workforce participation rate of 98.7%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 45.3% of residents worked from home. The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training, while accommodation & food services is under-represented at 3.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 5.8%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 3.6% and labour force grew by 3.2%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 14.1% over ten years. Applying these projections to Grantham Farm's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode-level ATO data released for financial year 2023. Grantham Farm's median taxpayer income was $78,851, average being $93,110. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Sydney's $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $85,837, average being around $101,360. Census 2021 data ranks Grantham Farm's household, family, and personal incomes between the 88th and 91st percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows 45.5% of individuals earning between $1,500 - $2,999, mirroring the region's 30.9%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 37.5% of households, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.7% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Grantham Farm is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Grantham Farm's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.7% houses and 0.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Grantham Farm stood at 6.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.0% and rented ones at 30.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,700, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Grantham Farm was $540, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Grantham Farm's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Grantham Farm features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.3% of all households, including 56.6% couples with children, 21.5% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.7%, consisting of 9.0% lone person households and 1.8% group households. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Grantham Farm demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Grantham Farm's educational attainment exceeds national averages: 44.5% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 30.8% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (18.9%). Educational participation is high, with 32.4% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.2% in primary, 6.5% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 6.5% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Grantham Farm has 22 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 12 individual routes, offering 1,180 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 312 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 81%, while train usage stands at 15%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 45.3% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 168 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Grantham Farm's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance across Grantham Farm. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be very low, with no significant variations across different age groups. Private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (3,498 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions were asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.4% and 5.5% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 82%, reported being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 3.6% (197 people), compared to 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, ranking higher than the general population nationally.

Grantham Farm is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Grantham Farm has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.3% of its population born overseas and 44.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Grantham Farm, making up 48.4% of people. However, Hinduism is significantly overrepresented, comprising 18.6% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.8%), Australian (17.8%), and English (15.4%). Notably, Filipino, Indian, and Maltese ethnicities are also overrepresented in Grantham Farm at 5.2%, 11.7%, and 2.3% respectively, compared to regional averages of 2.0%, 3.6%, and 1.0%.

Grantham Farm hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Grantham Farm has a median age of 30 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grantham Farm has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (22.7%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (2.4%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.3%. According to data from the 2021 Census, Grantham Farm's population has shifted since the previous census. The 5-14 age group has grown from 14.1% to 16.7%, while the 35-44 cohort increased from 20.3% to 22.7%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 24.5% to 19.7%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 13.4% to 11.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Grantham Farm's age profile will change significantly. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to increase substantially, with an addition of 1,667 people (a 292% increase) from 571 to 2,239.