Box Hill (NSW)

Box Hill lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of the suburb of Box Hill (NSW) is estimated at around 16,798. This reflects an increase of 10,348 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,450. The change is inferred from the resident population of 13,529, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 3,111 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,854 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Box Hill's growth of 160.4% since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 90.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the area expected to grow by 20,061 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 100.0% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Box Hill was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Box Hill had approximately 715 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 3,576 homes were approved, with an additional 296 in FY-26 so far. This results in about 3.2 people moving to the area per dwelling built over these years, indicating demand significantly exceeds new supply.

The average construction value of new homes is $494,000, suggesting a focus on premium properties. Commercial development approvals this financial year totalled $17.1 million. Compared to Greater Sydney, Box Hill has 256.0% more construction activity per person, reflecting strong developer confidence in the location. New developments consist of 81.0% detached houses and 19.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's suburban identity while marking a departure from existing housing patterns. Currently, there are around 16 people per approval, indicating a developing area. Future projections estimate Box Hill will add 16,792 residents by 2041, with current development patterns suggesting new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Future projections show Box Hill adding 16,792 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Box Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Box Hill Square, The Hills of Carmel, Stockland The Gables, Box Hill Public School, and Box Hill High School. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Box Hill shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Box Hill has a highly educated workforce with professional services being well-represented. Its unemployment rate in 2025 was 4.4%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. As of December 2025, 7,896 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.3% above the regional average.

Workforce participation in Box Hill was high at 86.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 47.1% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical sectors. Notably, construction employment was at 1.4 times the regional average, while accommodation & food employed only 3.5% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.8%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and 2025, Box Hill's labour force increased by 1.2%, while employment declined by 0.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment of 1.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Box Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Box Hill suburb has a median taxpayer income of $65,674 and an average income of $77,422, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is higher than national averages, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $71,493 (median) and $84,282 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Box Hill rank highly nationally, between the 93rd and 95th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 38.4% of locals (6,450 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, reflecting regional patterns where 30.9% occupy this range. A substantial proportion of high earners (47.0%) have incomes above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the area. High housing costs consume 20.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 93rd percentile nationally, with the area's SEIFA income ranking placing it in the 10th decile.

Box Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Box Hill's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.1% houses and 1.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Box Hill stood at 10.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 69.7% and rented ones at 20.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Box Hill was $580, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Box Hill's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,000 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Box Hill features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 92.0% of all households, including 59.6% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 8.0%, with lone person households at 6.7% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Box Hill demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Box Hill is notably high, with 47.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications as of the latest data point, surpassing both national (30.4%) and NSW state averages (32.2%). Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 30.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 13.9% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (17.0%). Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 13.2% in primary, 6.3% in secondary, and 5.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.2% in primary education, 6.3% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Box Hill has 94 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 39 different routes that together facilitate 1746 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered good, with residents generally located 217 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to Box Hill's residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 85%, while trains are used by 10%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.7, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 47.1% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 249 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Box Hill's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Box Hill's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were very low across all age groups.

Approximately 9,660 people, or 58% of the total population, had private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions were asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.9 and 4.0% of residents respectively. 83.0% of residents reported being completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the 74.6% across Greater Sydney. As of March 2021, 3.3% of residents were aged 65 and over (554 people), lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Box Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill has a high level of cultural diversity, with 45.5% of its population born overseas and 47.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Box Hill is Christianity, accounting for 48.2% of people. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 15.5% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (21.5%), Australian (16.4%), and English (14.3%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Filipino is overrepresented at 6.7%, Indian at 11.1%, and Sri Lankan at 1.3%.

Box Hill hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Box Hill has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Box Hill has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (27.2%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (3.5%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 14.3%. Between 2021 and present, the age group of 35 to 44 has increased from 23.1% to 27.2%, while the 45 to 54 cohort rose from 9.0% to 12.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort decreased from 20.6% to 14.1%, and the 55 to 64 group fell from 5.1% to 3.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Box Hill's age profile, with the 15 to 24 age cohort expected to expand substantially by 5,342 people (303%), growing from 1,763 to 7,106.