Box Hill (NSW)

Box Hill lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of the Box Hill (NSW) statistical area (Lv2), as estimated by AreaSearch, was around 16,729 as of November 2025. This figure represents a significant increase from the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,450 people in the same area. The latest estimate reflects a growth of 10,279 people since the 2021 Census, marking an increase of 159.4%. This change is inferred from the resident population of 13,529 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 3,101 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio for Box Hill (NSW) (SA2) was calculated as 1,846 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 159.4% since the 2021 Census surpassed both the state and metropolitan area averages, positioning it as a growth leader in the region.

Interstate migration was the primary driver of population growth in Box Hill (NSW) (SA2), contributing approximately 90.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. However, natural growth and overseas migration also played positive roles in the demographic shifts. AreaSearch's projections for the Box Hill (NSW) (SA2) are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Considering these projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth is predicted for Box Hill (NSW) (SA2), placing it in the top 10 percent of Australian statistical areas. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by an additional 28,576 persons, reflecting a total gain of 154.2% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Box Hill was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Box Hill has experienced around 717 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY21 and FY25, approximately 3,586 homes were approved, with an additional 265 so far in FY26. This results in a demand significantly exceeding new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition.

The average value of new homes being built is $494,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Additionally, $17.1 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity compared to Greater Sydney. Box Hill has 255.0% more construction activity per person than Greater Sydney, reflecting strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 81.0% detached houses and 19.0% attached dwellings, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 99.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Box Hill reflects a developing area, with around 16 people per approval.

Future projections show Box Hill adding approximately 25,801 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development patterns continue, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Box Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Box Hill Square, The Hills of Carmel, Stockland The Gables, Box Hill Public School and Box Hill High School. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Box Hill ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Box Hill has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 3.7% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 3.1%.

As of September 2025, 7936 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, 0.5% below Greater Sydney's rate. Workforce participation is high at 78.2%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and professional & technical services. Construction employment is particularly notable, at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food employs only 3.5% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.8%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 3.1%, labour force by 4.3%, raising the unemployment rate by 1 percentage point. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. Statewide, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2260 jobs) as of 25-November-2025, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Box Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 7.0% in five years and 14.3% in ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Box Hill had a median taxpayer income of $65,674 and an average income of $77,422 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is higher than the national averages of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average), as seen in Greater Sydney. As of September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% suggest median income would be approximately $71,493 and average income $84,282. According to the 2021 Census, Box Hill's incomes rank highly nationally, between the 93rd and 95th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. In terms of income distribution, 38.4% of locals (6,423 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, reflecting regional patterns where 30.9% fall into this range. Notably, 47.0% have incomes above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the area. Despite high housing costs consuming 20.8% of income, disposable income remains at the 93rd percentile nationally. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Box Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Box Hill's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.1% houses and 1.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 87.7% houses and 12.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Box Hill was at 10.2%, with the rest being mortgaged (69.7%) or rented (20.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $580, compared to Sydney metro's $3,000 and $600 respectively. Nationally, Box Hill's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Box Hill features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 92.0% of all households, including 59.6% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 8.0%, with lone person households at 6.7% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Box Hill demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Box Hill's educational attainment exceeds national averages significantly. Among residents aged 15+, 47.2% possess university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 30.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.9% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 11.9% and certificates make up 17.0%.

Educational participation is high in the area, with 31.9% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.2% in primary education, 6.3% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Box Hill has 89 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by 39 different routes that together facilitate 1,746 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents on average located 217 meters from the nearest stop.

Services run at an average frequency of 249 trips per day across all routes, translating to about 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Box Hill's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Box Hill demonstrates excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 58% (~9,620 people) have private health cover, compared to 61.5% in Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.9 and 4.0% of residents respectively. 83.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 79.5% in Greater Sydney. As of June 20XX, 4.4% (736 people) of residents are aged 65 and over, lower than the 9.5% in Greater Sydney. Seniors' health outcomes align with those of the general population.

Box Hill is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Box Hill has notable cultural diversity, with 45.5% of its population born overseas and 47.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Box Hill, comprising 48.2% of the population. Hinduism, however, is significantly overrepresented at 15.5%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 8.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups in Box Hill are Other (21.5%), Australian (16.4%), and English (14.3%). Notably, Filipino (6.7%) and Indian (11.1%) populations are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 3.5% and 7.2%, respectively. Sri Lankan population is also higher than the regional average at 1.3%.

Box Hill hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Box Hill has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Box Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.4%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.3%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of residents aged 35 to 44 has increased from 23.1% to 26.4%, while the proportion of those aged 5 to 14 has risen from 16.8% to 19.4%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 20.6% to 15.2%, and the proportion of those aged 0 to 4 has dropped from 11.8% to 9.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Box Hill's age profile will change significantly. The 15 to 24 age cohort is projected to expand substantially, increasing by 7,625 people (434%) from 1,756 to 9,382.