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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in McGraths Hill is $1.20m, with units at $840k. House values have moved 4.8% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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McGraths Hill has an estimated 2,697 residents, up from 2,537 at the 2021 Census — a change of 160 people, or 6.3%. Natural increase accounts for 48.0% of that increase. That puts 873 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Analysis of ABS demographic updates and address listings validated by AreaSearch since the Census indicates that the suburb of McGraths Hill has an estimated population of 2,697 as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 160 residents (6.3%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 2,537 individuals. This demographic shift is calculated from a resident population of 2,454, estimated by AreaSearch using the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) combined with address validation subsequent to the Census. The current population equates to a density of 872 persons per square kilometer, which is consistent with the standard averages recorded by AreaSearch.
The 6.3% growth rate of the suburb of McGraths Hill since the Census is within 0.8 percentage points of the state average (7.1%), showing solid local growth dynamics. This increase was mostly propelled by natural growth, which accounted for approximately 48.0% of the overall population rise during recent timeframes, though overseas and interstate migration also made positive contributions. ABS and Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region released in 2024 (using 2022 as a baseline) have been adopted by AreaSearch, with NSW State Government SA2 projections from 2022 (using 2021 as a baseline) substituted where necessary. Projections for 2032 to 2041 incorporate age group growth rates derived from these sources. Anticipated population shifts show exceptional growth within the top 10 percent of national areas, with the suburb of McGraths Hill expected to expand by 1,381 residents by 2041, representing a total increase of 42.2% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Analysis of building approvals from the ABS indicates that McGraths Hill has averaged about 2 new home approvals annually, summing to approximately 11 dwellings over the preceding 5 financial years. In the current period of FY-26, 14 approvals have been registered. Even with population decline, residential supply has remained sufficient for local demand, resulting in a balanced market with diverse opportunities for buyers, while newly approved dwellings carry an average construction value of $522,000, indicating a developer focus on high-end, premium projects. Commercial approvals have reached $154,000 this financial year, reinforcing the residential character of local construction activity.
Compared with Greater Sydney, building activity in McGraths Hill is exceptionally low. This lack of new inventory generally supports demand and valuations for existing housing, even though construction activity has risen recently. Activity levels also track below national averages, reflecting the established status of the locality and potential planning constraints. Recent approvals consist entirely of detached houses, maintaining the low-density profile of the area and appealing to buyers seeking standalone properties. The ratio of 443 residents per single dwelling approval highlights the quiet pace of local property development. Projections indicate that McGraths Hill will add 1,138 residents by 2041 based on recent quarterly estimates from AreaSearch. If building volumes do not rise, housing supply may fall behind population growth, which could increase buyer rivalry and support upward pressure on home values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around McGraths Hill
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside McGraths Hill, worth an estimated $430 million. A further 49 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $16.5 billion. 22 are already under construction and 19 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure updates, development plans, and major projects are key drivers of local performance. AreaSearch has tracked 2 projects expected to influence the local area. Notable projects include the Melonba Woolworths Neighbourhood Shopping Centre, Newpark Estate, Pitt Town Bypass, and Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill, with specific details provided below for those of highest relevance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Newpark Estate
Newpark Estate is a 3,000 plus lot, 381 hectare masterplanned house and land community at the end of Elara Boulevard in Melonba, within the North West Growth precinct of Marsden Park. The project delivers residential lots and home and land packages around three major parks, two large playgrounds, sporting fields, walking and bike paths and a central lake, with a future school, retail centre and childcare planned inside the estate and major retailers and public transport nearby.
Melonba Woolworths Neighbourhood Shopping Centre
A new neighbourhood shopping centre anchored by a full-line Woolworths supermarket and BWS liquor store. The development includes approximately 191 at-grade parking spaces, specialty retail tenancies, food and drink premises, and outdoor dining areas. It is designed to serve the rapidly growing North West Growth Area, specifically the suburbs of Melonba and Marsden Park.
Ridgehaven Estate Box Hill
Residential estate development in Box Hill featuring contemporary homes designed for modern families. The development emphasizes sustainable design principles and community connectivity with nearby parks and transport links.
Pitt Town Bypass
State-funded road project delivering a bypass linking Pitt Town Road and Cattai Road with two new single-lane roundabouts and new bridge crossings over Hortons Creek. The bypass extends Pitt Town Road past Bathurst Street through to Cattai Road, diverting through-traffic, including heavy vehicles, away from the Pitt Town village centre to improve safety and travel efficiency. Main construction began on 1 August 2025 and is being delivered by Abergeldie Complex Infrastructure, with work continuing through 2026.
Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill
Multiple concurrent residential estate developments across the Box Hill Growth Area including Allam's Killarney Estate and Landen's Box Hill Estate 2. Construction and staged land releases continue with homes, roads and supporting infrastructure being delivered as part of the broader Box Hill release area. Killarney is now around 90% completed while additional stages and nearby estates continue to be developed.
Killarney Estate
Killarney Estate is a master-planned residential community located in Box Hill's North-West precinct, offering house and land packages and turnkey homes. It is positioned near upcoming retail facilities, school precincts, and transport connections such as the Rouse Hill Metro.
The Hills of Carmel
The Hills of Carmel is a masterplanned community in Box Hill, offering land and house & land packages from 250-2000 sqm, surrounded by natural beauty, quality schools, shops, and transport, promising 16,000 jobs, new schools, a vibrant town centre, and amenities like Carmel Village.
Box Hill and Box Hill Industrial Precinct
A masterplanned residential and employment precinct within Sydney's North West Growth Area, covering around 691 hectares of residential land plus the adjoining Box Hill Industrial Precinct. At full build-out the precinct will deliver approximately 16,030 dwellings housing nearly 49,000 residents, supported by new town centres at Mt Carmel Road and Windsor Road, primary and secondary schools, employment land along Terry and Annangrove Roads, and a network of parks and sporting reserves. The Hills Shire Council's revised Contributions Plan No.15 (assessed by IPART in 2025) sets the supporting infrastructure cost at about 1.14 billion AUD over the life of the program, which commenced in 2014 and is expected to be completed by 2037. As of 2026, key works underway include the 19.6 million AUD Water Lane Reserve sports complex (AFL and athletics fields, amenities pavilion, playgrounds and parking, due for completion in October 2026), the Rainforest Street Reserve, and ongoing road, drainage and utility upgrades funded jointly by developers and the NSW Government through the Accelerated Infrastructure Fund. Several major estates including The Gables, Carmel Village, Terrace, Hills of Carmel and Mason Quarter are at advanced stages of subdivision and home delivery.
1,220 residents of McGraths Hill are employed, from a labour force of 1,286. Unemployment sits at 5.1%, with participation at 68.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,289, about 85% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce shows a mix of white and blue collar jobs, with the construction sector showing high relative representation. Aggregated statistical data from AreaSearch shows an unemployment rate of 5.1%. As of March 2026, there are 1,220 employed residents, with the local unemployment rate sitting 1.0% higher than the Greater Sydney level of 4.1%, while workforce participation is close to the Greater Sydney rate of 69.1%. Census records show a high proportion of residents working from home at 28.8%, though this was likely affected by pandemic-era lockdowns. The primary industries employing local residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
The area displays a strong specialization in the construction industry, where the employment share is 2.4 times the regional norm. Conversely, professional & technical services account for only 4.0% of the local workforce, compared to 11.5% across Greater Sydney. Comparing the Census working population against resident workforce numbers suggests a limited volume of local employment opportunities within the immediate area. AreaSearch assessment of SALM and ABS statistics shows that during the 12 months leading up to March 2026, the local labour force contracted by 4.9% while employment fell by 4.8%, which kept the unemployment rate steady. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment and labour force growth both rise by 1.9%, with unemployment decreasing slightly. Employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of May-25 provide context for future workforce demands in McGraths Hill. These five and ten-year forecasts have been mapped against the local employment distribution. Nationally, employment is predicted to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though individual industries vary. Applying these projections to the occupational profile of McGraths Hill suggests local employment could grow by 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighted extrapolation that does not adjust for specific local population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in McGraths Hill is $2,177 a week (about $113,000 a year), with median personal income at $942 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,127 a year against an average of $74,204. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxpayer statistics from the ATO for financial year 2023 show a median income of $61,127 and an average income of $74,204 in the suburb of McGraths Hill. This exceeds national averages, compared to a median of $60,817 and an average of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be around $67,435 for the median and $81,862 for the average. Based on 2021 Census data, household, family, and individual incomes in the suburb of McGraths Hill are positioned around the 74th percentile nationally.
The most prominent weekly earnings group is $1,500 - 2,999, containing 39.7% of taxpayers (1,070 residents), compared to 30.9% across the broader region. Housing costs account for 17.1% of income, yet strong overall earnings keep disposable income at the 75th percentile, with a SEIFA income rank in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
McGraths Hill had 849 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 4% apartments. 51% are owned with a mortgage, 21% rented and 29% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $450 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,392 a month, a total housing cost higher than 87% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 20.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential structures in McGraths Hill at the time of the latest Census consisted of 92.2% houses and 7.7% other dwellings, such as townhouses and apartments, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings across metro Sydney. Home ownership rates aligned with the Sydney metropolitan average at 28.8%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (50.5%) or rented (20.7%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $2,392, and the median weekly rent was $450, compared to metro averages of $2,427 and $470. Locally, mortgage costs are notably higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and median rents are also above the national level of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
McGraths Hill counted 849 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 903 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 43% are couples with children, more than in 84% of areas nationally, against 23% couples without children. 16% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the vast majority of households at 82.0%, consisting of couples with children (42.5%), couples without children (22.6%), and single-parent households (16.3%). Non-family households account for the remaining 18.0%, with single-person households representing 16.3% and group housing making up 1.4%. The median household size is 2.9 individuals, which is slightly above the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.3% of adults in McGraths Hill hold a university qualification, including 11.5% with a bachelor degree and 2.5% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 77% of areas nationally. A further 33.7% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Academic attainment metrics show lower university graduation rates (15.3%) compared to the SA4 regional average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher education qualification at 11.5%, with postgraduate qualifications at 2.5% and graduate diplomas at 1.3%. Vocational and technical skills are highly represented, with 44.6% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (33.7%). Enrolment levels in education are high, with 28.9% of the population actively studying. This includes 11.7% attending primary schools, 7.4% in high schools, and 2.7% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in McGraths Hill reaches 41 stops on 28 routes, timetabled for about 420 services a week. The typical home sits about 110 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
There are 41 active public transport stops in McGraths Hill, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 28 routes, which provide 420 passenger trips every week. Accessibility is high, with residents living an average of 111 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, and most workers commute out of the area, with private cars being the primary mode of travel for 94% of commuters. Average vehicle ownership is 1.9 cars per household, which is higher than the regional average. A high proportion of residents work from home, recorded at 28.8% in the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Bus routes run an average of 60 times per day, which translates to roughly 10 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.9% of residents in McGraths Hill report no long-term health condition. 3.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators in McGraths Hill align closely with national averages in terms of mortality and chronic illness rates, showing standard rates of common health conditions across both younger and older demographics. The proportion of residents with private health insurance is high at approximately 56% of the population (~1,517 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. Asthma and mental health conditions are the most prevalent issues, affecting 7.7% and 7.0% of the population respectively. Meanwhile, 72.9% of residents reported having no long-term health conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes for working-age residents are typical.
Residents aged 65 and over comprise 11.0% of the population (296 people), which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%. Senior health outcomes and national rankings are higher than those of the general local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
McGraths Hill is largely Australian-born, at 87.9% of residents, with 7.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (30.6%) and English (28.3%). 3.6% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics are below average, with 87.9% of residents born in Australia, 92.3% holding citizenship, and 92.5% speaking only English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, representing 57.9% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top parental ancestries reported in McGraths Hill are Australian at 30.6% of the population (exceeding the regional average of 17.8%), English at 28.3% (exceeding the regional average of 19.0%), and Scottish at 7.7%. Specific ethnic representations show variation from regional averages, with Maltese overrepresented at 2.7% of the population (compared to 1.0% regionally), Russian at 0.5% (compared to 0.4% regionally), and Lebanese at 1.2% (compared to 2.6% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of McGraths Hill is 34, younger than 82% of areas nationally. 28.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 34 years in McGraths Hill is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and younger than the national average of 38 years. The population has a higher share of children aged 5 - 14 (15.3%) and a lower share of seniors aged 65 - 74 (5.2%) compared to Greater Sydney. Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age bracket increased from 11.8% to 13.6% of the population, whereas the 65 to 74 bracket fell from 6.7% to 5.2% and the 45 to 54 bracket declined from 12.6% to 11.3%.
Projections for 2041 suggest changing demographics, with the 25 to 34 age group expected to grow the most by 55%, adding 222 residents to total 630.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for McGraths Hill
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 2 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (2,537 at the 2021 Census → 2,697 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL12552). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.