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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in McGraths Hill is $1.20m, with units at $874k. House values have moved 4.7% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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McGraths Hill has an estimated 2,734 residents, up from 2,537 at the 2021 Census — a change of 197 people, or 7.8%. Natural increase accounts for 48.0% of that increase. That puts 885 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the population of the suburb of McGraths Hill is estimated at approximately 2,734 residents, based on AreaSearch address validation after the Census alongside broader ABS population updates. This represents an addition of 197 people (7.8%) compared with the 2,537 individuals recorded at the 2021 Census. The updated figure builds upon an estimated resident population of 2,456 calculated by AreaSearch following the ABS June 2025 ERP release and post-Census address verification. Population density stands at 884 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with averages across locations evaluated by AreaSearch.
With an expansion of 7.8% since the 2021 census, the suburb outpaced the state benchmark of 7.3%, establishing it as a regional growth frontrunner. Natural increase formed the principal demographic driver, accounting for roughly 48.0% of recent population additions, while interstate migration and overseas migration also provided positive contributions. Projections for the suburb of McGraths Hill incorporate ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 modeling published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline, supplemented by NSW State Government SA2 projections released in 2022 with a 2021 baseline where coverage is otherwise unavailable. Age-group growth trajectories from these sources are likewise applied across all localities for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Over the 16 years running to 2041, aggregated SA2-level modeling projects a rise of 1,378 persons (40.2%), placing the area among the top 10 percent of statistical areas nationwide for anticipated demographic growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
According to AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approvals across statistical areas, residential building in McGraths Hill has averaged roughly 2 dwellings approved each year. Over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), an estimated 11 homes were approved, with 17 approvals recorded so far in FY-25. Even with prior population contractions, new residential supply appears sufficient to meet demand and support buyer choice, with approved dwellings showing an average construction cost of $598,000—above regional norms and indicative of higher-quality development. Non-residential approvals amounted to $154,000 this financial year, underscoring an environment centered primarily on residential building.
Per capita residential construction in McGraths Hill is considerably lower than in Greater Sydney, trailing the regional per-person average by 91.0%. Although building activity has picked up recently, limited development generally underpins demand and pricing across existing dwellings. Construction levels also track below national averages, reflecting the established footprint of the locality and pointing to potential planning constraints. Furthermore, all recent development has consisted of detached houses, sustaining the traditional low-density urban setting suited to families desiring additional space. A ratio of around 174 people per dwelling approval reflects attributes typical of an expanding growth district. Based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, population projections indicate that McGraths Hill will add 1,100 residents by 2041. At prevailing rates of building approval, new residential construction may find it difficult to keep pace with population growth, potentially heightening competition among purchasers and applying upward pressure on property prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around McGraths Hill
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside McGraths Hill, worth an estimated $430 million. A further 49 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $16.5 billion. 22 are already under construction and 19 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure upgrades, major developments, and planning frameworks exert a substantial influence on local growth and market performance. A total of 2 key projects have been identified by AreaSearch as having a probable impact on the district. Major initiatives include the Melonba Woolworths Neighbourhood Shopping Centre, Newpark Estate, Pitt Town Bypass, and Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill, with the following overview covering those of greatest local significance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Newpark Estate
Newpark Estate is a 3,000 plus lot, 381 hectare masterplanned house and land community at the end of Elara Boulevard in Melonba, within the North West Growth precinct of Marsden Park. The project delivers residential lots and home and land packages around three major parks, two large playgrounds, sporting fields, walking and bike paths and a central lake, with a future school, retail centre and childcare planned inside the estate and major retailers and public transport nearby.
Melonba Woolworths Neighbourhood Shopping Centre
A new neighbourhood shopping centre anchored by a full-line Woolworths supermarket and BWS liquor store. The development includes approximately 191 at-grade parking spaces, specialty retail tenancies, food and drink premises, and outdoor dining areas. It is designed to serve the rapidly growing North West Growth Area, specifically the suburbs of Melonba and Marsden Park.
Ridgehaven Estate Box Hill
Residential estate development in Box Hill featuring contemporary homes designed for modern families. The development emphasizes sustainable design principles and community connectivity with nearby parks and transport links.
Hawkesbury Oasis Aquatic and Fitness Centre Improvements
The Hawkesbury Oasis Aquatic and Fitness Centre upgrades include the construction of a new shallow-depth program pool with accessibility ramp for learn-to-swim and seniors programs, upgraded school-age amenities, and a new covered outdoor functional fitness training area. The project is funded under the NSW Government WestInvest program and delivered by Hawkesbury City Council to improve community health, wellbeing, and accessibility.
Pitt Town Bypass
State-funded road project delivering a bypass linking Pitt Town Road and Cattai Road with two new single-lane roundabouts and new bridge crossings over Hortons Creek. The bypass extends Pitt Town Road past Bathurst Street through to Cattai Road, diverting through-traffic, including heavy vehicles, away from the Pitt Town village centre to improve safety and travel efficiency. Main construction began on 1 August 2025 and is being delivered by Abergeldie Complex Infrastructure, with work continuing through 2026.
Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill
Multiple concurrent residential estate developments across the Box Hill Growth Area including Allam's Killarney Estate and Landen's Box Hill Estate 2. Construction and staged land releases continue with homes, roads and supporting infrastructure being delivered as part of the broader Box Hill release area. Killarney is now around 90% completed while additional stages and nearby estates continue to be developed.
Killarney Estate
Killarney Estate is a master-planned residential community located in Box Hill's North-West precinct, offering house and land packages and turnkey homes. It is positioned near upcoming retail facilities, school precincts, and transport connections such as the Rouse Hill Metro.
The Hills of Carmel
The Hills of Carmel is a masterplanned community in Box Hill, offering land and house & land packages from 250-2000 sqm, surrounded by natural beauty, quality schools, shops, and transport, promising 16,000 jobs, new schools, a vibrant town centre, and amenities like Carmel Village.
1,241 residents of McGraths Hill are employed, from a labour force of 1,309. Unemployment sits at 5.2%, with participation at 69.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,317, about 85% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce in McGraths Hill displays a balanced mix of blue and white collar occupations, featuring notable strength in construction and an unemployment rate of 5.2%, based on AreaSearch statistical area aggregations. As of March 2026, employed residents numbered 1,241, while the local unemployment rate stood 1.1% above Greater Sydney's 4.1%, and labour force participation matched the metropolitan level of 68.9%. Census records indicated that 28.8% of local workers worked from home, though this figure was influenced by Covid-19 restrictions. Major sectors employing local residents include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
Construction represents a distinct area of workforce specialization, commanding an employment proportion 2.4 times the regional figure. In comparison, professional & technical services engages only 4.0% of local workers, well below the Greater Sydney average of 11.5%. Comparing the resident workforce against the Census working population suggests relatively few employment opportunities situated within the immediate locality. AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM statistical data indicates that in the 12 months to March 2026, the local labour force contracted by 4.5% alongside a 4.3% decline in employment, keeping unemployment relatively unchanged. Over the same period, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 1.9%, labour force expansion of 1.9%, and a slight reduction in unemployment. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide additional context on future demand within McGraths Hill. Nationwide employment is projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying significantly by sector. Weighting these industry projections against the local employment profile indicates potential employment increases of 6.2% across five years and 12.7% across ten years (noting this illustrative extrapolation applies simple weighting without factoring in localized population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in McGraths Hill is $2,177 a week (about $113,000 a year), with median personal income at $942 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,127 a year against an average of $74,204. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 shows that the suburb of McGraths Hill recorded a median taxpayer income of $61,127 and an average of $74,204, surpassing national benchmarks while comparing to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Applying Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023 brings updated March 2026 estimates to approximately $67,435 for median earnings and $81,862 for average earnings. Census figures place personal, family, and household incomes around the 74th percentile nationally. The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket forms the largest cohort, accounting for 39.7% of residents (1,085 people), compared to 30.9% across Greater Sydney.
Housing expenses absorb 17.1% of income, yet solid overall earnings maintain disposable income at the 75th percentile, with the area ranking in the 6th decile on the SEIFA income scale.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
McGraths Hill had 849 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 4% apartments. 51% are owned with a mortgage, 21% rented and 29% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $450 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,392 a month, a total housing cost higher than 87% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 20.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census data reveals that residential stock in McGraths Hill is made up of 92.2% separate houses and 7.7% other dwellings such as apartments and semi-detached units, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings across Sydney metro. Outright home ownership matches the Sydney metro rate at 28.8%, with mortgaged properties comprising 50.5% and rented accommodations accounting for 20.7%. Typical monthly mortgage repayments stand at $2,392 and median weekly rent is $450, sitting below Sydney metro averages of $2,427 and $470. On a national level, however, local monthly mortgage payments sit well above the Australian figure of $1,863, and weekly rents noticeably exceed the national standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
McGraths Hill counted 849 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 915 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 43% are couples with children, more than in 84% of areas nationally, against 23% couples without children. 16% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households make up 82.0% of local living arrangements, consisting of 42.5% couples with children, 22.6% couples without children, and 16.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.0%, comprising 16.3% lone person dwellings and 1.4% group shared homes. Average household size is 2.9 people, exceeding the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.3% of adults in McGraths Hill hold a university qualification, including 11.5% with a bachelor degree and 2.5% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 77% of areas nationally. A further 33.7% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Educational attainment levels show that 15.3% of local residents hold university qualifications, sitting below the SA4 regional benchmark of 40.4% and presenting opportunities for educational development. Bachelor degrees comprise 11.5% of qualifications, followed by postgraduate degrees at 2.5% and graduate diplomas at 1.3%. Vocational and technical qualifications are well represented, with 44.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including 33.7% with certificates and 10.9% holding advanced diplomas. Engagement in formal study is considerable, with 28.9% of residents actively enrolled in education. This includes 11.7% attending primary schools, 7.4% enrolled in secondary education, and 2.7% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in McGraths Hill reaches 47 stops on 30 routes, timetabled for about 470 services a week. The typical home sits about 110 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport networks in McGraths Hill comprise 47 active bus stops across 30 distinct routes, generating 467 weekly passenger services. Proximity to transit is strong, with residents situated an average of 111 meters from their nearest stop. Given the suburban residential character, outward commuting is standard, with private vehicles accounting for 94% of travel. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding regional levels, while 28.8% of residents worked from home during the 2021 Census under pandemic-related conditions. Scheduled public transit services average 66 trips per day across all routes, which corresponds to approximately 9 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.9% of residents in McGraths Hill report no long-term health condition. 3.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across McGraths Hill track near national averages based on AreaSearch evaluations of mortality and chronic conditions, with typical rates of common medical conditions across both younger and older cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is notably strong, covering approximately 56% of the population (~1,537 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. Asthma and mental health issues represent the most common reported conditions in the area, affecting 7.7 and 7.0% of residents respectively, while 72.9% of residents indicated no chronic health ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health outcomes for working-age residents are broadly in line with standard benchmarks.
Residents aged 65 and over make up 10.7% of the community (292 people), below the 15.5% share in Greater Sydney, with senior health outcomes ranking above average and exceeding national general population benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
McGraths Hill is largely Australian-born, at 87.9% of residents, with 7.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (30.6%) and English (28.3%). 3.6% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures in McGraths Hill track below broader metropolitan levels, with 87.9% of residents born in Australia, 92.3% holding Australian citizenship, and 92.5% speaking exclusively English at home. Christianity is the predominant religious affiliation, encompassing 57.9% of residents, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. Regarding parental country of birth, the top three reported ancestries in McGraths Hill are Australian at 30.6% (above the 17.8% regional share), English at 28.3% (exceeding the 19.0% regional level), and Scottish at 7.7%. Divergences also exist among other backgrounds, with Maltese representation elevated at 2.7% (compared to 1.0% regionally), Russian at 0.5% (against 0.4%), and Lebanese at 1.2% (versus 2.6% across the wider region).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of McGraths Hill is 33, younger than 82% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 29.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The suburb of McGraths Hill features a younger demographic makeup than Greater Sydney. Estimates updated to August 2026 show that children and young adults (0 - 24) represent 37.0% of residents versus 30.4% in Greater Sydney, while retirement-age residents (65+) comprise 10.7% compared to 15.5% regionally. The estimated median age was 33 as at August 2026, down from 34 at the 2021 Census, standing 4 years lower than the Greater Sydney median of 37 and below the national median of 38 at that Census. Since the Census, the 45 - 64 age group has contracted from 23.7% of residents to an estimated 21.5%.
By 2041, the largest numerical expansion is projected within the 25 - 44 age cohort, increasing by 364 residents (43%) to 1,209, while the retiree and elderly bracket is anticipated to grow fastest, rising 62% to 475.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for McGraths Hill
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (2,537 at the 2021 Census → 2,734 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL12552). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.