Oakville

Oakville has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Feb 2026, Oakville's estimated population is around 2,783. This reflects an increase of 756 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,027 in the suburb. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,716 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release (June 2024) and an additional 647 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 183 persons per square kilometer in Oakville. Since the 2021 Census, Oakville's growth rate of 37.3% exceeded both the state's (7.8%) and Greater Sydney's rates, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 48.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Oakville is predicted to experience exceptional growth over the period, increasing by 1,856 persons to 2041 and reflecting a total increase of 44.2% in population over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Oakville among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Oakville had around 116 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 581 homes from FY-20 to FY-25. As of FY-26, 97 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.3 new residents arrived per new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating supply meeting or exceeding demand and supporting potential population growth. The average construction value was $522,000, suggesting a focus on premium properties.

Commercial approvals in Oakville reached $11.7 million this financial year. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakville has 51% more construction activity per person. Recent construction comprised 99% standalone homes and 1% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low-density nature. With around 11 people per dwelling approval, Oakville exhibits growth area characteristics. AreaSearch projects Oakville to add 1,230 residents by 2041, with current development patterns suggesting new housing supply should meet demand and facilitate potential population growth beyond projections.

Future projections show Oakville adding 1,230 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Oakville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Ridgehaven Estate Box Hill, Box Hill Public School and High School, Box Hill Square, and Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Oakville has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Oakville has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. The unemployment rate was 5.4% in September 2025, showing an estimated employment growth of 0.8% over the past year, according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of this date, 1,200 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.2% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Oakville lagged significantly at 55.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses indicated that 32.2% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The leading employment industries among Oakville residents were construction, retail trade, and manufacturing. Notably, the area had a high concentration in construction, with employment levels at 2.7 times the regional average.

In contrast, health care & social assistance employed only 8.0% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Despite local employment opportunities, many residents commuted elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the 12 months to September 2025, Oakville saw employment increase by 0.8%, labour force grow by 1.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points, contrasting with Greater Sydney's respective increases of 2.1%, 2.4%, and 0.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Oakville. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Oakville's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Oakville's median income is $56,844 and average income is $69,005. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $61,880 (median) and $75,119 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Oakville's household incomes rank at the 86th percentile ($2,368 weekly). The earnings profile indicates that 29.3% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, reflecting a pattern seen in the broader area where 30.9% fall within this range. Notably, 38.8% of Oakville's population earns above $3,000/week, suggesting strong economic capacity. After housing costs, residents retain 88.9% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oakville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Oakville, as per the latest Census evaluation, 98.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 1.2% comprising semi-detached, apartments, and other dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metro's dwelling structure of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oakville stood at 54.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.0% and rented dwellings at 16.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Oakville was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oakville's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oakville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.7% of all households, including 47.2% couples with children, 28.9% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 14.3%, with lone person households at 13.8% and group households comprising 0.7%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Oakville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.9%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 3.2% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (30.4%). Educational participation is high, with 26.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.5% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 3.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oakville has 18 active public transport stops. These are served by 32 different routes, offering a total of 231 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is moderate, with residents typically living 569 meters from the nearest stop. Most commuters travel outward from Oakville's residential areas. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 93%, while walking accounts for 5%. On average, there are 2.6 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 32.2% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Each route serves an average of 33 trips daily, equating to around 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oakville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Oakville's health outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch, show remarkable results. The mortality rates and prevalence of chronic conditions are very low across all age groups.

Approximately 54% (~1,508 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 9.6 and 6.2% of residents respectively. 71.9% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors (22.4%, or 623 people) compared to Greater Sydney (15.4%). Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Oakville are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Oakville records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oakville's cultural diversity aligns with the broader region, with 83.1% born in Australia, 91.8% being citizens, and 86.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Oakville, comprising 75.5%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (25.2%), English (24.1%), and Maltese (14.9%), all substantially higher than regional averages of 17.8%, 19.0%, and 1.0% respectively.

Notable differences exist in the representation of Croatian (Oakville: 1.3%; region: 0.7%), Lebanese (Oakville: 1.4%; region: 2.6%), and Italian (Oakville: 5.3%; region: 3.4%) groups.

Oakville hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Oakville has a median age of 44, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and significantly exceeds the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group comprises 12.3% of Oakville's population, compared to Greater Sydney. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort makes up 8.8% of Oakville's population. According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has grown from 6.1% to 7.6%, and the 15-24 cohort increased from 13.8% to 15.2%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 15.5% to 14.3%. Demographic modeling indicates that Oakville's age profile will significantly change by 2041. Leading this demographic shift, the 45-54 group is projected to grow by 45%, adding 181 people and reaching a total of 579 from its current figure of 397.