Oakville

Oakville has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Oakville's population, as of Nov 2025, is estimated at around 2,768 people. This figure reflects a growth of 741 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,027 people in Oakville statistical area (Lv2). The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population at 2,716 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 646 new addresses since the Census date. This growth rate exceeds the state average of 7.6% and metropolitan area averages, positioning Oakville as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 48.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, with overseas migration and interstate migration also being positive factors. AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year were utilised. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Oakville (SA2) is predicted to increase by 1,868 persons, reflecting a total increase of 45.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Oakville among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Oakville has experienced around 116 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 581 homes. So far in FY26, 97 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.3 new residents arrive annually for each new home built between FY21 and FY25, suggesting supply is meeting or exceeding demand while supporting potential population growth. The average construction value of new homes is $522,000, indicating a focus on premium properties.

This financial year has seen $11.7 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate commercial development levels. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakville has 51.0% more construction activity per person, reflecting robust developer interest. Recent construction comprises 99.0% standalone homes and 1.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature. With around 11 people per dwelling approval, Oakville exhibits growth area characteristics. Future projections estimate Oakville adding 1,255 residents by 2041, with current development patterns suggesting new housing supply should readily meet demand.

Future projections show Oakville adding 1,255 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Oakville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 21 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Ridgehaven Estate in Box Hill, Box Hill Public School and High School, Box Hill Square, and Multiple Residential Subdivisions in Box Hill. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Oakville has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Oakville has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 5.4% over the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.8%.

As of September 2025, 1,200 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 1.2% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Oakville was 62.2%, slightly above Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents included construction, retail trade, and manufacturing. Construction employed 2.7 times the regional average, while health care & social assistance employed only 8.0% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%.

Many Oakville residents commute elsewhere for work. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 0.8%, labour force grew by 1.4%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% over the same period. State-level data from NSW to 25-Nov-25 showed employment contracted by 0.03%, with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oakville's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, assuming no changes in population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that Oakville's median income is $56,844 and average income is $69,005. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%, estimated incomes are approximately $61,880 (median) and $75,119 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Oakville's household income ranks at the 86th percentile ($2,368 weekly). Incomes range from $1,500 - 2,999 for 29.3% of residents (811 individuals), similar to the broader area where 30.9% fall within this range. Notably, 38.8% of Oakville residents earn above $3,000 weekly, suggesting strong economic capacity. After housing costs, residents retain 88.9% of income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oakville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluated Oakville's dwelling structures as 98.8% houses and 1.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 87.7% houses and 12.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oakville stood at 54.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.0% and rented ones at 16.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, lower than Sydney metro's average of $3,000. The median weekly rent in Oakville was $600, equal to Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, Oakville's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,500 compared to the Australian average of $1,863. Rents in Oakville were also higher at $600 against the national figure of $375.

Oakville features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 85.7% of all households, including 47.2% couples with children, 28.9% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.3%, with lone person households at 13.8% and group households comprising 0.7%. The median household size is 3.3 people, aligning with the Greater Sydney average.

Educational attainment in Oakville aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 16.9%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.3% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (30.4%). Educational participation is high, with 26.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (9.5%), secondary education (8.3%), and tertiary education (3.2%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 18 active transport stops operating within Oakville. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 32 individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 231 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 569 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 33 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Oakville is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Oakville shows above-average health outcomes with both young and elderly cohorts having low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (around 1,500 people), compared to 61.5% across Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 9.6 and 6.2% of residents respectively. 71.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 79.5% in Greater Sydney. As of a recent study (date not specified), Oakville has 22.1% of residents aged 65 and over (611 people), higher than the 9.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Oakville records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oakville's cultural diversity aligns with the wider region, with 83.1% born in Australia, 91.8% being citizens, and 86.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oakville, comprising 75.5%, compared to 55.0% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (25.2%), English (24.1%), and Maltese (14.9%), all higher than regional averages of 20.0%, 18.7%, and 2.9% respectively.

Notable ethnic group representations include Croatian at 1.3% (vs 0.7%), Lebanese at 1.4% (vs 1.0%), and Italian at 5.3% (vs 3.8%).

Oakville hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Oakville has a median age of 44, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and significantly exceeds the national norm of 38. The 65-74 age group makes up 12.2% of Oakville's population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort represents 9.0%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.1% to 7.4%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 13.8% to 14.9%. Conversely, the 0 to 4 cohort has decreased from 4.2% to 3.3%. Demographic projections indicate that Oakville's age profile will significantly change by 2041. Notably, the 45 to 54 group is expected to grow by 44%, reaching 580 people from the current figure of 404.