Marsden Park - Shanes Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Marsden Park - Shanes Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Marsden Park - Shanes Park's population is around 30,034 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 14,510 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 15,524 people. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 27,263 in June 2024 and an additional 3,274 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,199 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth of 93.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the state (6.4%) and metropolitan area growth rates, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 84.8% of overall population gains during recent periods with natural growth and overseas migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Considering these projections, exceptional growth is predicted over the period 2022 to 2041 with the area expected to grow by 30,452 persons by 2041 based on latest population numbers, indicating an increase of 92.2% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Marsden Park - Shanes Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has seen approximately 1,037 dwelling approvals per year. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports that between financial years 2020 (FY-20) and 2025 (FY-25), around 5,187 homes received approval. As of FY-26, there have been 122 approvals. On average, 4.3 new residents move in per year for every home built over the past five financial years.

This indicates a significant gap between supply and demand, leading to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost for new properties is $483,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $4.0 million, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park-Shanes Park has 1325.0% more building activity per capita, suggesting ample choice for buyers. This high level of developer confidence is also evident when compared to national trends. New developments consist of 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's traditional suburban character while addressing changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is 98.0% houses. With approximately 45 people moving in per dwelling approval, Marsden Park-Shanes Park exhibits characteristics of a growth area. By 2041, Marsden Park-Shanes Park is projected to grow by 27,681 residents. If current development patterns continue, new housing supply should meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure significantly impacts local performance. AreaSearch has identified 34 such projects likely affecting the area. Notable initiatives include Somi Residences, Vertex Industrial Estate, CDC Data Centre Campus Marsden Park, and M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway). Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The exceptional employment performance in Marsden Park - Shanes Park places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation and an unemployment rate of 1.9%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.2%.

As of June 2025, there were 14,877 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 72.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Major employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. Transport, postal & warehousing shows notable concentration with levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food employs only 3.3% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.8%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 6.2%, labour force by 6.5%, resulting in a slight unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 4.3%, compared to the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Marsden Park-Shanes Park's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.0%% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has one of Australia's highest income levels according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended June 2022. Its median taxpayer income is $65,657 and average income stands at $77,317, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Using Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year ended June 2022, estimated current incomes are approximately $72,617 (median) and $85,513 (average) as of March 2025. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data from August 2021, Marsden Park - Shanes Park's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 94th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 38.4% of residents (11,533 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Economic strength is evident with 42.4% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 91st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Marsden Park-Shanes Park, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.6% houses and 2.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Marsden Park-Shanes Park was at 10.5%, with the rest either mortgaged (70.1%) or rented (19.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,882, above Sydney metro's average of $2,700. Median weekly rent was $570, compared to Sydney metro's $540. Nationally, Marsden Park-Shanes Park's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $2,882 versus the Australian average of $1,863. Rents were also substantially above the national figure of $375.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.9% of all households, including 64.2% that are couples with children, 18.5% that are couples without children, and 6.3% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.1%, consisting of lone person households at 8.9% and group households comprising 1.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Marsden Park-Shanes Park, educational attainment is notably high. Among residents aged 15 and above, 50.1% have university qualifications, surpassing the national average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 32.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational pathways account for 23.9% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 13.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.2% in primary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education. The area's five schools have a combined enrollment of 4,105 students as of the latest data. Marsden Park-Shanes Park demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1079. The educational mix includes two primary schools, two secondary schools, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has 74 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 24 different routes that together facilitate 1,321 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically residing 262 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 188 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health outcomes data for Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows excellent results, with common health conditions seen at a standard level across both young and old age groups.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high here, at approximately 59% of the total population of 17,659 people. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 5.0 and 3.9% of residents respectively. Overall, 84.9% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 80.0% across Greater Sydney. As of the latest data (2021), 5.4% of residents are aged 65 and over, totaling 1,621 people, which is lower than the 7.8% in Greater Sydney.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Marsden Park-Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 54.9% of its population born overseas as of 2016 Census data. In this area, 61.3% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion, making up 41.8% of people in Marsden Park-Shanes Park.

However, Hinduism is notably overrepresented at 26.7%, which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 20.2%. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are Other (25.0%), Indian (21.9%), and Filipino (12.6%). The Indian population is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.9%, as is the Filipino population compared to 6.2%. There are also notable divergences in the representation of Samoan (1.0% vs 0.6%), Sri Lankan (0.8% vs 0.9%), and Maltese (1.4% vs 1.7%) ethnic groups.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than both the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.1%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has increased from 7.8% to 10.4%, while those aged 15-24 have risen from 8.3% to 10.9%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 18.9% to 12.8%, and those aged 0-4 have dropped from 11.5% to 9.0%. Demographic modeling predicts significant changes in Marsden Park-Shanes Park's age profile by 2041, with the strongest growth projected for the 15-24 cohort, which is expected to grow by 264%, adding 8,631 residents to reach a total of 11,896.