Marsden Park - Shanes Park

Marsden Park - Shanes Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Marsden Park-Shanes Park's population was 15,524 as of the 2021 Census. By February 2026, it had increased to around 31,296, a rise of 15,772 people (101.6%). This growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 27,274 in June 2024 and an additional 3,319 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 1,249 persons per square kilometer, above national averages. Between 2021 and 2026, Marsden Park-Shanes Park's growth exceeded state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney levels. Interstate migration contributed approximately 84.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, and NSW State Government's projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Marsden Park-Shanes Park is expected to grow by 30,452 persons, reflecting an increase of 84.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Marsden Park - Shanes Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has received around 968 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 4,842 homes. As of FY-26269 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.3 new residents are associated with each home built yearly between FY-21 and FY-25. The supply of dwellings has lagged behind demand, indicating heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

New homes are being constructed at an average cost of $278,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options. This financial year, $4.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park - Shanes Park has 283.0% more development activity per person. Recent construction comprises 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature while addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 45 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. By 2041, Marsden Park - Shanes Park is expected to grow by 26,419 residents.

Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 37 projects that could impact the region. Notable ones include Somi Residences, CDC Data Centre Campus Marsden Park, Vertex Industrial Estate, and Stockland The Gables Masterplanned Community. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Marsden Park - Shanes Park places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% in September 2025, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.4%.

As of that date, 16,458 residents were employed, with a workforce participation rate of 87.1%, higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Notably, 46.4% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. The area has a significant concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food services are under-represented at 3.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 5.8%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 6.4% while the labour force grew by 6.4%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 2.5%. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Marsden Park-Shanes Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Marsden Park - Shanes Park SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $70,372 and an average income of $80,596 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. These figures are significantly higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $76,607 (median) and $87,737 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Marsden Park - Shanes Park rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 94th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 38.4% of locals (12,017 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income category. Economic strength is evident with 42.4% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Marsden Park-Shanes Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 97.6% houses and 2.4% other dwellings, compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Marsden Park-Shanes Park stood at 10.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 70.1% and rented ones at 19.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,882, above Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was $570, higher than Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Marsden Park-Shanes Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 89.9% of all households, including 64.2% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.1%, consisting of 8.9% lone person households and 1.3% group households. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Marsden Park - Shanes Park is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Specifically, 50.1% of residents aged 15 years and above hold university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 32.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 15.6% and graduate diplomas at 2.2%. Vocational pathways account for 23.9% of qualifications among those aged 15 years and above, with advanced diplomas making up 10.7% and certificates 13.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.2% in primary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has 100 active public transport stops, served by 25 routes offering 1,995 weekly passenger trips. Residents are typically 211 meters from the nearest stop. Most commute outward; car use is dominant at 82%, with 13% using trains. Average vehicle ownership is 1.5 per dwelling. In 2021 Census data, 46.4% of residents worked from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 285 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per stop.

Service frequency averages 285 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

AreaSearch's health outcomes assessment for Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows excellent results, particularly among younger cohorts with low prevalence of common health conditions.

The area has a high private health cover rate of approximately 60%, covering 18,621 people. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.0%) and diabetes (3.9%), while 84.9% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.6% (1,761 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Nationally, however, the area ranks lower in terms of health outcomes compared to broader population figures.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Marsden Park-Shanes Park is one of the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 61.3% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 54.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Marsden Park-Shanes Park, comprising 41.8% of the population. However, Hinduism is significantly overrepresented, making up 26.7%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other at 25.0%, Indian at 21.9%, and Filipino at 12.6%, all substantially higher than regional averages. There are also notable divergences in the representation of Samoan (1.0% vs 0.5%), Sri Lankan (0.8% vs 0.3%), and Maltese (1.4% vs 1.0%) ethnic groups.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.0%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.3%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 45 to 54 has grown from 7.8% to 11.2%, while the 15 to 24 age group increased from 8.3% to 11.4%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has declined from 18.9% to 11.6%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 11.5% to 8.7%. Population forecasts for Marsden Park-Shanes Park indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 15 to 24 cohort (232%), adding 8,312 residents to reach a total of 11,896.