Marsden Park - Shanes Park

Marsden Park - Shanes Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Marsden Park-Shanes Park's population is around 31,272 as of November 2025. This reflects a growth of 15,748 people since the 2021 Census, when its population was 15,524. The change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 27,274 in June 2024 and an additional 3,311 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,248 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth of 101.4% since the 2021 census exceeded the state's growth of 7.6% and that of Greater Sydney, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 84.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projected demographic shifts indicate exceptional growth over this period, with the area expected to grow by 30,452 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 84.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Marsden Park - Shanes Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has seen approximately 968 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 4,842 homes were approved, with an additional 269 approved in FY26 so far. On average, each dwelling constructed over these years has attracted about 4.3 new residents annually.

This significant demand outpaces supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost of new properties is $278,000, lower than regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, commercial approvals totaled $4.0 million, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park - Shanes Park exhibits 283.0% higher construction activity per capita, offering buyers greater choice while showing a recent moderation in development activity. This high level of activity suggests strong developer confidence in the location, substantially exceeding national averages. New developments consist of 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes.

This represents a shift from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (98.0%), likely due to reduced development site availability and evolving lifestyle demands. With approximately 45 people per dwelling approval, Marsden Park - Shanes Park exhibits characteristics of a growth area. By 2041, it is projected to grow by around 26,443 residents, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 37 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Somi Residences, CDC Data Centre Campus Marsden Park, Vertex Industrial Estate, and Stockland The Gables Masterplanned Community. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Marsden Park - Shanes Park places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 1.7% as of September 2025, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.4%.

There were 16,458 residents employed in September 2025, with an unemployment rate of 2.5% and a workforce participation rate of 87.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses indicated that 46.4% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. The area has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing employment, at 1.7 times the regional average.

However, accommodation & food employs only 3.3% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.8%. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data showed that during the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 6.4%, while labour force also grew by 6.4%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Marsden Park - Shanes Park's employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Marsden Park-Shanes Park SA2 has one of Australia's highest incomes according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median taxpayer income is $70,372 and average income stands at $80,596, compared to Greater Sydney's $60,817 and $83,03 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates are approximately $76,607 (median) and $87,737 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, Marsden Park-Shanes Park's incomes rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 94th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Distribution data shows that 38.4% of residents (12,008 people) fall into the $1,500-$2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. Economic strength is evident with 42.4% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Marsden Park-Shanes Park's dwellings were 97.6% houses and 2.4% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other') in the latest Census, compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% others. Home ownership was at 10.5%, with mortgages at 70.1% and rentals at 19.4%. Median monthly mortgage repayments were $2,882, above Sydney's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was $570, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.9% of all households, including 64.2% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.1%, with lone person households at 8.9% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Marsden Park - Shanes Park significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 50.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW as of the latest available data from 2021. Bachelor degrees lead at 32.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational pathways account for 23.9% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (13.2%). Educational participation is notably high, with 34.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest data from 2021.

This includes 15.2% in primary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has 100 active public transport stops serviced by 25 routes, providing 1,995 weekly passenger trips. Most residents are within 211 meters of the nearest stop. Commuting is primarily outward-bound, with cars used for 82% of journeys and trains for 13%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. In 2021 Census data, 46.4% of residents worked from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averaged 285 trips daily across all routes, or approximately 19 weekly trips per stop.

Service frequency averages 285 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

AreaSearch's health outcomes assessment for Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows excellent results.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low, especially among younger cohorts. Approximately 60% of the total population (18,606 people) has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.0%) and diabetes (3.9%). A majority, 84.9%, report being free from medical ailments compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The area has a lower proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 5.4% (1,688 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.3%.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Marsden Park-Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 61.3% of its population speaking a language other than English at home as of 2016 Census data. This figure is higher than the national average of 29%. Additionally, 54.9% of the population was born overseas, which is significantly higher than the national average of 28.7%.

Christianity is the predominant religion in Marsden Park-Shanes Park, with 41.8% of people identifying as Christian. However, Hinduism is notably overrepresented at 26.7%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are 'Other' at 25.0%, Indian at 21.9%, and Filipino at 12.6%. These figures are substantially higher than their respective regional averages of 16.0%, 3.6%, and 2.0%. There are also notable divergences in the representation of Samoan, Sri Lankan, and Maltese ethnic groups compared to regional averages.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.1%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the post-2021 Census, the age group of 45 to 54 has grown from 7.8% to 10.4%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 8.3% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 18.9% to 12.8%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 11.5% to 9.0%. Demographic projections indicate that Marsden Park-Shanes Park's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the strongest growth expected in the 15 to 24 cohort, which is projected to increase by 250%, adding 8,496 residents to reach a total of 11,896.