Marsden Park - Shanes Park

Marsden Park - Shanes Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Marsden Park-Shanes Park's population was 30,159 as of November 2025. This is an increase of 14,635 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 15,524. The growth is inferred from ABS data: 27,263 residents in June 2024 and 3,311 new addresses validated post-census. This results in a density ratio of 1,204 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 94.3% since the 2021 Census exceeded both state (6.7%) and metropolitan averages, making it a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 84.8% to overall population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 using a base year of 2021 are applied. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projected demographic shifts indicate exceptional growth, with the area expected to grow by 30,452 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 91.4% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Marsden Park - Shanes Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has received approximately 968 dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 4,842 homes were approved, with an additional 197 approved in FY26 so far. This area experiences an average of 4.3 new residents per dwelling constructed annually over these five years.

Consequently, demand significantly outpaces supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost for new properties is $483,000, aligning with regional patterns. In FY26, commercial approvals totalled $4.0 million, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park - Shanes Park exhibits 283.0% higher construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice while showing a recent moderation in development activity, reflecting strong developer confidence in the location. New developments consist of 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. This represents a shift from the current housing mix of 98.0% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 45 people per dwelling approval, Marsden Park - Shanes Park is considered a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to grow by approximately 27,556 residents by 2041. Assuming current development patterns continue, new housing supply should meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 37 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include Somi Residences, CDC Data Centre Campus Marsden Park, Vertex Industrial Estate, and Stockland The Gables Masterplanned Community. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Marsden Park - Shanes Park places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.9% as of June 2025.

The area experienced an estimated employment growth of 6.2% over the past year. As of June 2025, 14,877 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 72.4%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

Transport, postal & warehousing has employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average. However, accommodation & food employs only 3.3% of local workers, lower than Greater Sydney's 5.8%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 6.2%, labour force grew by 6.5%, leading to a slight rise in unemployment (0.3 percentage points). In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. As of Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Marsden Park - Shanes Park's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, although this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Marsden Park-Shanes Park SA2 had one of Australia's highest incomes according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Its median taxpayer income was $65,657 and average income stood at $77,317, compared to Greater Sydney's $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since FY2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $73,936 (median) and $87,067 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, Marsden Park-Shanes Park's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 88th and 94th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 38.4% of residents (11,581 people) earn $1,500-$2,999, mirroring regional levels at 30.9%. Strong earnings are supported by 42.4% of households earning over $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 21.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Marsden Park-Shanes Park, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.6% houses and 2.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Marsden Park-Shanes Park stood at 10.5%, with the rest either mortgaged (70.1%) or rented (19.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,882, above Sydney metro's average of $2,700. Median weekly rent was $570, compared to Sydney metro's $540. Nationally, Marsden Park-Shanes Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.9% of all households, including 64.2% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 10.1%, with lone person households at 8.9% and group households making up 1.3%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Marsden Park-Shanes Park is notably higher than national and state averages. As of the latest data, 50.1% of residents aged 15 years and above have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and New South Wales' 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 32.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational pathways account for 23.9% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 13.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (15.2%), secondary education (6.8%), and tertiary education (5.1%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has 74 active public transport stops. These are served by 24 bus routes that together facilitate 1,321 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is good, with residents on average located 262 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 188 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Marsden Park - Shanes Park, with typical health conditions seen across both young and old age groups.

Approximately 59% of the total population (17,733 people) has private health cover, which is exceptionally high. The most common medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 5.0 and 3.9% of residents respectively. A total of 84.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 80.0% in Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 5.4% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,628 people), lower than the 7.8% in Greater Sydney.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Marsden Park-Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 61.3% of its population speaking a language other than English at home as of 2016 Census data. This figure is higher compared to the national average of 20%. Additionally, 54.9% of the population was born overseas, which is also notably higher than the Australian average of 28%.

Christianity is the predominant religion in Marsden Park-Shanes Park, with 41.8% of people identifying as Christian according to the 2016 Census data. However, Hinduism has a significant presence at 26.7%, which is substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 20.2%. In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Marsden Park-Shanes Park are 'Other', comprising 25.0% of the population, Indian at 21.9%, and Filipino at 12.6%. The Indian figure is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.9%, while the Filipino figure is also notably higher than the regional average of 6.2%. There are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups compared to regional averages: Samoan is overrepresented at 1.0% (vs 0.6%), Sri Lankan at 0.8% (vs 0.9%), and Maltese at 1.4% (vs 1.7%).

Marsden Park - Shanes Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.1%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is higher than the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has increased from 7.8% to 10.4%, while those aged 15-24 have risen from 8.3% to 10.9%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 18.9% to 12.8%, and those aged 0-4 have dropped from 11.5% to 9.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Marsden Park-Shanes Park's age profile will significantly change. The 15-24 cohort is projected to grow by 263%, adding 8,617 residents and reaching a total of 11,896 residents in this age group.