Marsden Park - Shanes Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Marsden Park - Shanes Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Marsden Park-Shanes Park's population was 15,524 people as of Aug 2021. By Aug 2025, it increased to approximately 30,034 people, reflecting a growth of 14,510 individuals (93.5%) since the 2021 Census. This rise is inferred from ABS estimates of 27,263 residents as of June 2024 and an additional 3,274 validated new addresses since Aug 2021. The population density in Aug 2025 was around 1,199 persons per square kilometer. Marsden Park-Shanes Park's growth rate exceeded the state's 6.4% and metropolitan area, making it a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 84.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 using 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projected demographic shifts indicate exceptional growth, placing Marsden Park-Shanes Park in the top 10 percent of statistical areas nationally. By 2041, it is projected to grow by 30,452 persons, an increase of 92.2% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Marsden Park - Shanes Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has seen approximately 968 dwellings receive development approval annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reports that between FY21 and FY25, around 4,842 homes received approvals, with 122 approved in FY26 so far. On average, each home built over these five years accommodates about 4.3 new residents annually. This supply is lagging demand, suggesting heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction cost of new properties is around $483,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY26, commercial approvals totalled $4.0 million, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park-Shanes Park has 283.0% more building activity per capita, indicating ample choice for buyers despite recent moderation in development activity. This high activity level mirrors strong developer confidence in the area. New developments consist of 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the suburb's suburban identity while offering diverse housing options. This shift contrasts with the current 98.0% house composition, suggesting decreasing developable sites and evolving lifestyle needs.

With around 45 people per dwelling approval, Marsden Park-Shanes Park exhibits growth area characteristics. By 2041, population forecasts project an increase of 27,681 residents. Given current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially exceeding current forecast growth.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 34 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Somi Residences, Vertex Industrial Estate, CDC Data Centre Campus Marsden Park, and M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Marsden Park - Shanes Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a highly educated workforce with professional services well-represented. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.9%, with an estimated employment growth of 6.2% over the past year.

There are 14,877 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is high at 72.4%. Dominant sectors include health care & social assistance and professional & technical services. Transport, postal & warehousing shows strong specialization, with employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

However, accommodation & food is under-represented, at 3.3% compared to Greater Sydney's 5.8%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data analysis. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 6.2%, labour force grew by 6.5%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.6% and the labour force by 2.9%. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, compared to national rates of 4.5% for unemployment and 0.26% growth in employment. National employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest Marsden Park-Shanes Park's local employment mix could grow by approximately 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Marsden Park - Shanes Park's median income among taxpayers was $65,657, with an average of $77,317. This was one of the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. As of March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $72,617 (median) and $85,513 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6%. Census data revealed that household, family and personal incomes all ranked highly in Marsden Park - Shanes Park, between the 88th and 94th percentiles nationally. The data showed that the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominated with 38.4% of residents (11,533 people), aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represented 30.9%. Higher earners were substantial, with 42.4% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consumed 21.1% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 91st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 10th decile.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Marsden Park-Shanes Park, as per the latest Census, comprised 97.6% houses and 2.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Marsden Park-Shanes Park was at 10.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 70.1% and rented ones at 19.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,882, above Sydney metro's average of $2,700. The median weekly rent in Marsden Park-Shanes Park was $570, compared to Sydney metro's $540. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially higher at $375.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.9% of all households, including 64.2% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.1%, with lone person households at 8.9% and group households making up 1.3%. The median household size stands at 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Marsden Park - Shanes Park significantly surpasses broader benchmarks. As of 2021, 50.1% of residents aged 15+ hold university qualifications compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. This educational advantage is evident in the types of qualifications held: bachelor degrees lead at 32.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational pathways account for 23.9% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas making up 10.7% and certificates 13.2%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2021. This includes 15.2% in primary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education. As of the 2020 census, Marsden Park - Shanes Park's 5 schools have a combined enrollment reaching 4,105 students. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1079. The educational mix includes 2 primary schools, 2 secondary schools, and 1 K-12 school.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has 74 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 24 different routes that together facilitate 1,321 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents on average being located 262 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, an average of 188 trips per day is recorded, which translates to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows excellent health outcomes with standard prevalence of common conditions across age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 59% (17,659 people). Asthma and diabetes are most prevalent, affecting 5.0 and 3.9% respectively. 84.9% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 80.0%. Residents aged 65+ constitute 5.4%, lower than Greater Sydney's 7.8%.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Marsden Park-Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 54.9% of its population born overseas as of a recent census. In this area, 61.3% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion here, comprising 41.8% of people.

However, Hinduism stands out with 26.7% of the population, significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 20.2%. The top three ancestry groups in Marsden Park-Shanes Park are Other (25.0%), Indian (21.9%), and Filipino (12.6%). Notably, Indian ancestry is substantially higher compared to the regional average of 16.9%, while Filipino ancestry exceeds the regional average of 6.2%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups such as Samoan at 1.0% versus a regional average of 0.6%, Sri Lankan at 0.8% versus 0.9%, and Maltese at 1.4% versus 1.7%.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.1%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 14.2%. Post-2021 Census data reveals that the 45 to 54 age group increased from 7.8% to 10.4%, while the 15 to 24 cohort rose from 8.3% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group decreased from 18.9% to 12.8%, and the 0 to 4 age group fell from 11.5% to 9.0%. Demographic projections indicate significant changes in Marsden Park-Shanes Park's age profile by 2041, with the strongest growth expected in the 15 to 24 cohort, which is projected to grow by 264%, adding 8,631 residents to reach a total of 11,896.