Marsden Park - Shanes Park

Marsden Park - Shanes Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Marsden Park-Shanes Park's population is 32,615 as of May 2026. From the 2021 Census, this shows a growth of 17,091 people, an increase of 110.1%. This growth is inferred from ABS data: 30,470 estimated resident population in June 2025 and 3,651 new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 1,302 persons per square kilometer, above national averages. Growth of 110.1% since 2021 exceeds the state's 7.1% growth and Greater Sydney's rate, making Marsden Park-Shanes Park a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 80.2% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Future predictions anticipate exceptional growth, placing the area in the top 10% nationally, with an expected increase of 29,183 persons by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 82.9%.

The level of residential development activity in Marsden Park - Shanes Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has seen approximately 968 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 4,842 homes. As of FY-26345 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.3 new residents are expected per home built each year between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a significant gap between supply and demand, leading to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost of new homes is $278,000, below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options.

In this financial year, $4.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park - Shanes Park has 174.0% more development activity per person, providing buyers with greater choice, although construction activity has recently eased. This high level of developer confidence is well above the national average. Recent construction comprises 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban nature while attracting space-seeking buyers. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is 98.0% houses, reflecting reduced development site availability and changing lifestyle demands. The location has approximately 45 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

By 2041, Marsden Park - Shanes Park is projected to grow by 27,029 residents, based on current development patterns, suggesting that new housing supply should readily meet demand and potentially facilitate population growth beyond current projections.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 36 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Somi Residences, CDC Data Centre Campus Marsden Park, Vertex Industrial Estate, and Halcyon Gables Over 60s Community. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Marsden Park - Shanes Park places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 1.8% as of December 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment grew by an estimated 3.3% over the past year.

As of December 2025, 16,412 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 77.6%, higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 46.4% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade. There is a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

However, accommodation & food services are under-represented at 3.3% compared to Greater Sydney's 5.8%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force grew by 3.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Marsden Park - Shanes Park's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Marsden Park - Shanes Park SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $70,372 and an average of $80,596 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. Nationally, this is extremely high, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $77,634 (median) and $88,914 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census figures, incomes in Marsden Park - Shanes Park rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 94th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The earnings profile shows that 38.4% of locals (12,524 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, consistent with broader trends across the region where 30.9% are in the same category. Economic strength is evident through 42.4% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, which supports elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.1% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Marsden Park-Shanes Park dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 97.6% houses and 2.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Marsden Park-Shanes Park was at 10.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 70.1% and rented dwellings at 19.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,882, and the median weekly rent was $570, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470 respectively. Nationally, Marsden Park-Shanes Park's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $2,882 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while median weekly rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 89.9% of all households, including 64.2% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.1%, with lone person households at 8.9% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 15 and above with university qualifications than Australia and New South Wales. Specifically, 50.1% of its residents have such qualifications compared to the national average of 30.4% and the state average of 32.2%. This indicates a significant educational advantage for the area. Among these residents, bachelor degrees are the most common at 32.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%).

Vocational pathways account for 23.9% of qualifications in this age group, with advanced diplomas making up 10.7% and certificates 13.2%. Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 34.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.2% in primary education, 6.8%% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has 100 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These routes total 25 and facilitate 1,995 weekly passenger trips. Residents have good access to transport, with an average distance of 211 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Cars are the dominant mode of transport at 82%, while trains account for 13%. The area has an average vehicle ownership of 1.5 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 46.4% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, there are an average of 285 trips per day, equating to about 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results for Marsden Park - Shanes Park based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence among younger cohorts, with a notably low prevalence of common health conditions.

Approximately 60% of the total population (19,405 people) has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 5.0 and 3.9% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 84.9%, report being completely free of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has a lower proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 5.5% (1,784 people) than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Marsden Park-Shanes Park is one of the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 61.3% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 54.9% having been born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Marsden Park-Shanes Park, comprising 41.8% of the population. However, Hinduism is significantly overrepresented, making up 26.7% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (25.0%), Indian (21.9%), and Filipino (12.6%), all substantially higher than regional averages. Notable divergences also exist for Samoan (1.0% vs 0.5%), Sri Lankan (0.8% vs 0.3%), and Maltese (1.4% vs 1.0%).

Marsden Park - Shanes Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age of Marsden Park-Shanes Park is 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (25.4%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.4%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.3%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of 15 to 24-year-olds has increased from 8.3% to 12.0%, while the 45 to 54 age group has risen from 7.8% to 11.2%. Conversely, the percentage of 25 to 34-year-olds has decreased from 18.9% to 12.3%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 11.5% to 8.7%. Population forecasts for Marsden Park-Shanes Park indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041, with the 15 to 24 cohort projected to grow by 227%, adding 8,895 residents to reach a total of 12,806 in this age group.