Marsden Park - Shanes Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Marsden Park - Shanes Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Marsden Park - Shanes Park's population was around 30,034 as of Aug 2025. This reflected an increase of 14,510 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,524. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 27,263 in June 2024 and an additional 3,274 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 1,199 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth of 93.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the state (6.4%) and metropolitan area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 84.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth is predicted over the period, with the area expected to grow by 30,452 persons to 2041 based on latest population numbers, resulting in an increase of 92.2% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Marsden Park - Shanes Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has seen approximately 968 dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 4,842 homes were approved, with an additional 159 approved in FY26 so far. On average, 4.3 new residents arrive annually for each dwelling constructed during these years.

This significant demand outpaces supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost of new properties is $483,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY26, $4.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park-Shanes Park exhibits 283.0% higher construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice, although development activity has somewhat decreased recently. This high activity suggests strong developer confidence in the location. New developments consist of 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes.

This shift from the current 98.0% house mix reflects reduced development site availability and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability needs. With around 45 people per dwelling approval, Marsden Park-Shanes Park displays growth area characteristics. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by 27,681 residents. Assuming current development patterns continue, new housing supply should meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 37 projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include Somi Residences, Vertex Industrial Estate, Stockland The Gables Masterplanned Community, and CDC Data Centre Campus Marsden Park. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The exceptional employment performance in Marsden Park - Shanes Park places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.9% as of June 2025, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.2%. There were 14,877 residents employed in June 2025 with a workforce participation rate of 72.4%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and retail trade are the dominant employment sectors. Transport, postal & warehousing shows notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food employs only 3.3% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.8%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally as indicated by Census data comparison. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 6.2%, labour force grew by 6.5%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Marsden Park - Shanes Park's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has one of Australia's highest incomes based on latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended 30 June 2022. Its median income among taxpayers was $65,657 and average income stood at $77,317, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest median income would be approximately $73,936 and average income $87,067, accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year ended 2022. According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data from 2021, incomes in Marsden Park-Shanes Park rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 94th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income distribution shows that 38.4% of residents (11,533 people) fall within the $1,500-$2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 42.4% of households, indicating strong consumer spending power despite high housing costs consuming 21.1% of income. Disposable income ranks at the 91st percentile nationally and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Marsden Park-Shanes Park, as per the latest Census, consisted of 97.6% houses and 2.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Marsden Park-Shanes Park was at 10.5%, with the rest being mortgaged (70.1%) or rented (19.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,882, above Sydney metro's average of $2,700. Median weekly rent was $570, compared to Sydney metro's $540. Nationally, Marsden Park-Shanes Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.9% of all households, including 64.2% couples with children, 18.5% couples without children, and 6.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.1%, with lone person households at 8.9% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Marsden Park - Shanes Park significantly surpasses broader benchmarks. As of 2021, 50.1% of residents aged 15+ hold university qualifications compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 32.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%).

Vocational pathways account for 23.9% of qualifications among those aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (13.2%). Educational participation is notably high, with 34.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.2% in primary education, 6.8% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education. Marsden Park - Shanes Park's 5 schools had a combined enrollment reaching 4,105 students as of the 2020 census. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions with an ICSEA score of 1079. The educational mix includes 2 primary, 2 secondary, and 1 K-12 school.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Marsden Park - Shanes Park has 74 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 24 individual routes that facilitate 1,321 weekly passenger trips in total. The transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 262 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 188 trips per day, resulting in approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health outcomes data shows notable results in Marsden Park - Shanes Park, with common health conditions seen across both young and old age groups at a standard level.

Approximately 59% of the total population (17,659 people) have private health cover, which is exceptionally high. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 5.0 and 3.9% of residents respectively. A total of 84.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 80.0% in Greater Sydney. As of the latest data (2016), 5.4% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,621 people), which is lower than the 7.8% seen in Greater Sydney.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Marsden Park-Shanes Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 54.9% of its population born overseas and 61.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Marsden Park-Shanes Park, comprising 41.8% of the population. However, Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 26.7% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 20.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (25.0%), Indian (21.9%, higher than the regional average of 16.9%), and Filipino (12.6%, higher than the regional average of 6.2%). There are also notable divergences in the representation of Samoan (1.0% vs 0.6%), Sri Lankan (0.8% vs 0.9%), and Maltese (1.4% vs 1.7%) ethnic groups.

Marsden Park - Shanes Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Marsden Park-Shanes Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.1%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the age group 45-54 has grown from 7.8% to 10.4%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 8.3% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort decreased from 18.9% to 12.8%, and the 0-4 group dropped from 11.5% to 9.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Marsden Park-Shanes Park's age profile will change significantly. The 15-24 cohort is projected to grow by 264%, adding 8,631 residents to reach a total of 11,896.