Gables

Gables lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The estimated population of the suburb of Gables is around 9,079 as of Feb 2026. This represents an increase of 5,740 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,339 people. The change was inferred from the resident population of 7,013 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1,548 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,483 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 171.9% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 90.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over this period, placing the suburb in the top 10 percent of national statistical areas, with an expected expansion of 18,824 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 184.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Gables was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Gables has experienced around 384 dwellings receiving development approval per year. An estimated 1922 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with an additional 160 approved so far in FY-26. On average, this translates to approximately 3.1 new residents for every home built over these five years, indicating that demand is significantly outpacing supply.

This typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings developed is $494,000, suggesting developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. In terms of commercial development, $9.8 million in approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating moderate levels of activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gables records 280.0% more development activity per person, offering buyers greater choice, although construction activity has eased recently. This level of activity is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. New building activity shows that 81.0% are detached houses and 19.0% are attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which currently stand at 96.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The location has approximately 16 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Looking ahead, Gables is expected to grow by 16758 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Gables has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones are Stockland The Gables, Stockland Halcyon Gables, Box Hill Square, Box Hill Public School, and Box Hill High School. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Gables exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Gables has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 4,016 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Gables is 83.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Census responses indicate that 50.6% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows particularly strong specialization, with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level.

Conversely, accommodation & food services have lower representation at 2.6% compared to the regional average of 5.8%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as suggested by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.1%, while employment declined by 1.4%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 1.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gables' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Gables had a median taxpayer income of $69,498 and an average income of $81,929 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is notably higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $75,656 (median) and $89,188 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Gables rank highly nationally, between the 95th and 98th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 30.7% of residents earning $4000+ weekly, unlike metropolitan trends where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. A significant 55.2% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 20.0% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Gables is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Gables, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gables was at 9.2%, with the rest being mortgaged (71.7%) or rented (19.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Gables was $3,200, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Gables was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Gables' mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,200 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gables features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 93.5% of all households, consisting of 65.2% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 7.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 6.5%, with lone person households at 6.8% and group households comprising 0.5%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Gables demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Gables is notably high, with 45.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This compares to 30.4% at the national level and 32.2% in New South Wales (NSW). The area's educational advantage is evident across various levels: Bachelor degrees are held by 29.8%, postgraduate qualifications by 12.4%, and graduate diplomas by 2.8%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (16.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 36.3% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 16.1% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 42 active stops operating within Gables, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are served by 42 individual routes, collectively facilitating 2,062 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 229 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most commute outward; car remains dominant at 86%, with 9% using train. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.9, above regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 50.6% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 294 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gables's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Gables, as per AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, indicating very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 59% of the total population (5,381 people) has private health cover, which is exceptionally high. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.5 and 4.5% of residents respectively. A majority, 82.1%, report being completely free of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Gables has 7.6% of its population aged 65 and over (690 people), lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, with national rankings generally aligning with those of the general population.

Gables is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Gables has a high level of cultural diversity, with 39.0% of its population born overseas and 39.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Gables, making up 52.5% of people in the area. Hinduism is significantly overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney's average, comprising 13.6% of Gables' population.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (20.9%), Australian (18.7%), and English (16.1%). Notably, Filipino, Indian, and Maltese ethnicities are also overrepresented in Gables compared to regional averages: Filipino at 5.8%, Indian at 10.3%, and Maltese at 2.6%.

Gables hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Gables's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gables has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (22.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.1%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.1%. Post-2021 Census data shows that between 2016 and 2021, the percentage of Gables' population aged 5 to 14 grew from 19.5% to 22.9%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 10.2% to 12.2%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group declined from 16.0% to 10.1%, and the 0 to 4 age group dropped from 10.3% to 6.0%. Demographic modeling indicates that Gables' age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 15 to 24 cohort, which is expected to increase by 436%, adding 4,830 residents to reach a total of 5,938.