Gables

Gables lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the Gables statistical area's population is estimated at around 9,040 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 5,701 people (170.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,339 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,013 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1,521 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,477 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Gables' 170.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state's (7.6%) and the metropolitan area's, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 90.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of national statistical areas, is predicted over the period with the Gables expected to expand by 14,748 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 144.7% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Gables was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Gables experienced around 382 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 1,911 homes were approved, with an additional 140 approved in FY-26 so far. This indicates a significant demand for housing, with an estimated 3.1 new residents per home built over the past five financial years.

Developers focus on premium market, with average dwelling construction cost at $494,000. Commercial development is moderate, with $9.8 million in approvals registered this year. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gables has 264.0% more development activity per person. The area records 81.0% detached houses and 19.0% attached dwellings, preserving its suburban nature despite a significant departure from existing housing patterns of 96.0% houses. There are approximately 17 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. By 2041, Gables is projected to grow by 13,079 residents.

Current development patterns suggest new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Gables has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Stockland The Gables, Stockland Halcyon Gables, Box Hill Square, Box Hill Public School and Box Hill High School. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Gables ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Gables has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.7% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.2%. Residents' unemployment rate is 1.4% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is higher at 77.6%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows notable concentration with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average.

Conversely, accommodation & food has lower representation at 2.6% versus the regional average of 5.8%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.2%, while labour force grew by 3.0%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 14.1% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gables' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Gables' median income among taxpayers is $69,498. The average income in the suburb is $81,929. Both figures are among the highest in Australia. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income is $60,817 with an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Gables would be approximately $75,656 (median) and $89,188 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Gables rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes between the 95th and 98th percentiles. The income bracket of $4000+ captures 30.7% of the community (2,775 individuals), unlike regional trends where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. A substantial proportion of high earners (55.2% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. High housing costs consume 20.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Gables is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The latest Census evaluated the dwelling structure in Gables as 96.5% houses and 3.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 87.7% houses and 12.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gables was at 9.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (71.7%) or rented (19.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,200, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $600. Nationally, Gables's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gables features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 93.5% of all households, including 65.2% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 7.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 6.5%, with lone person households at 6.8% and group households comprising 0.5%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Gables demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Gables is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 45.0% hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. This educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most common at 29.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (12.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.8%).

Trade and technical skills are also prominent, with 29.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (16.8%). Educational participation is notably high, with 36.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 16.1% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 42 active transport stops operating in Gables, consisting of buses. These stops are served by 42 unique routes, offering a total of 2062 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 229 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 294 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gables's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Gables, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 59% of the total population (5,358 people) has private health cover, compared to 61.5% across Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.5% and 4.5% of residents respectively. A total of 82.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.5% in Greater Sydney. Gables has 4.7% of its population aged 65 and over (424 people), lower than the 9.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Gables is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Gables has a high level of cultural diversity, with 39.0% of its population born overseas and 39.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Gables, making up 52.5% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 13.6%, which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 8.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (20.9%), Australian (18.7%), and English (16.1%). There are also notable divergences in the representation of Filipino (5.8% vs regional average of 3.5%), Indian (10.3% vs 7.2%), and Maltese (2.6% vs 2.9%) ethnic groups.

Gables hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Gables has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and lower than Australia's national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gables has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (24.7%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.1%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has increased from 22.2% to 24.7%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 has risen from 19.5% to 21.5%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 16.0% to 10.1%, and the proportion of those aged 0-4 has dropped from 10.3% to 8.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Gables' age profile will change significantly. The 15-24 age group is projected to grow by 386%, adding 4,081 residents and reaching a total of 5,139 residents.