Gables

Gables lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of the suburb of Gables, as estimated by AreaSearch using ABS ERP data from June 2024 and validated new addresses since the Census date, was around 8,362 in November 2025. This represents a significant increase of 5,023 people compared to the 2021 Census figure of 3,339 people, marking a growth rate of 150.4%. The resident population estimate used for this calculation was 6,948, which includes an additional 1,521 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,366 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate exceeded both the state's (6.7%) and metropolitan area's averages, placing it as a notable growth leader regionally. Interstate migration accounted for approximately 90% of overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also contributing positively.

For future projections, AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year for covered SA2 areas, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 using 2021 as the base year for non-covered areas. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period from 2025 to 2041, with the suburb expected to expand by 13,959 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 155.1% in total population over these 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Gables was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Gables has experienced around 334 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Approximately 1,674 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with an additional 86 approved so far in FY-26. On average, this results in 3.6 new residents per year for every home built during these years.

This demand significantly outpaces supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. The average value of new dwellings developed is $494,000. In FY-26, $14.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gables has 233.0% more development activity per person, offering greater choice for buyers despite a recent slowdown in building activity. This high level of activity is significantly above the national average, suggesting robust developer interest in the area. New building activity in Gables shows 81.0% detached houses and 19.0% medium and high-density housing.

This maintains the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 96.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The location has approximately 19 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Population forecasts indicate Gables will gain 12,968 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Gables has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that may affect this region. Notable projects include Stockland Halcyon Gables, Stockland The Gables, Box Hill Square, Box Hill Public School, and Box Hill High School. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Gables shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Gables has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 3.4% as of June 2025.

Employment grew by an estimated 0.7% over the past year based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 3,407 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 0.8%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was at 77.6%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents included health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction stood out with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food showed lower representation at 2.6% compared to the regional average of 5.8%. The area offered limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 0.7%, labour force grew by 2.1%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.3 percentage points in Gables. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6%, labour force grow by 2.9%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Gables. These projections estimate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, applying these projections to Gables' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Gables has a median taxpayer income of $69,498 and an average income of $81,929 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $78,262 (median) and $92,260 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Gables, between the 95th and 98th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that the $4,000+ earnings band captures 30.7% of the community (2,567 individuals), unlike trends in the broader area where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 55.2% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 20.0% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 96th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Gables is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The latest Census evaluation showed that 96.5% of dwellings in Gables were houses, with the remaining 3.4% comprising semi-detached properties, apartments, and other types. This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 87.7% houses and 12.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gables stood at 9.2%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 71.7% and rented ones accounting for 19.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,200, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,000. Median weekly rent in Gables was $600, matching Sydney metro's figure but significantly higher than the national average of $375. Nationally, Gables' median monthly mortgage repayment of $3,200 is substantially above the Australian average of $1,863.

Gables features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 93.5% of all households, including 65.2% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 7.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 6.5%, with lone person households at 6.8% and group households comprising 0.5% of the total. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.3.

Gables demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Gables is notably high, with 45% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications. This compares to a national average of 30.4% and a NSW average of 32.2%. The most common qualification is the Bachelor degree, held by 29.8% of residents in this age group, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 12.4%, and graduate diplomas at 2.8%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.4% of residents aged 15 years and over holding such qualifications.

This includes advanced diplomas held by 12.6% and certificates held by 16.8% of residents in this age group. Educational participation is high, with 36.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.1% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education. Santa Sophia Catholic College (Secondary) and Santa Sophia Catholic College (Primary) serve the area, collectively educating 1,781 students. The Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage (ICSEA) for the area is 1093, indicating above-average socio-educational conditions. There is one primary and one secondary institution providing education in the area. Gables functions as an education hub, with 21.3 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 14.0. This attracts students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 38 active stops operating within Gables, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 42 individual routes, collectively facilitating 1,700 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically situated 229 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 242 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 44 weekly trips per stop.

Gables's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Gables, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups.

Approximately 59% of the total population (4,956 people) have private health cover. The most frequent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.5 and 4.5% of residents respectively. 82.1% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 79.5% in Greater Sydney. Gables has 4.6% of its population aged 65 and over (384 people), lower than the 9.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, largely mirroring those of the general population.

Gables is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Gables has a high level of cultural diversity, with 39.0% of its population born overseas and 39.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Gables is Christianity, which accounts for 52.5% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 13.6% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 8.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (20.9%), Australian (18.7%), and English (16.1%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences in representation: Filipino at 5.8% versus a regional average of 3.5%, Indian at 10.3% versus 7.2%, and Maltese at 2.6% compared to the regional average of 2.9%.

Gables hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Gables has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and significantly lower than the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gables has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (24.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.2%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the post-2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has increased from 22.2% to 24.8%, while the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has grown from 19.5% to 21.5%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 16.0% to 10.2%, and the proportion of residents aged 0-4 has dropped from 10.3% to 8.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Gables' age profile will change significantly. The cohort aged 15-24 is projected to grow by 408%, adding 3,994 residents and reaching a total of 4,973.