Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's population is around 23,276 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 797 people (3.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,479 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 22,976 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 186 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 61 persons per square kilometer. Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's 3.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (3.0%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth, with the area expected to grow by 1,070 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, reflecting a total increase of 3.2% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry approved approximately 87 new homes annually. From FY21-FY25438 homes were approved, with 17 more in FY26 so far. Each year, around 1.1 new residents arrived per new home from FY21 to FY25, indicating balanced supply and demand.

Average dwelling construction cost was $1,097,000 during this period. This financial year, $38.5 million in commercial approvals were registered. The area maintains similar construction rates per person as Greater Sydney but has seen a slowdown in recent years.

Detached houses accounted for 89% of new building activity, preserving the low-density nature with 11% medium and high-density housing. There are estimated to be 350 people per dwelling approval in the area. By 2041, Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry is projected to grow by 735 residents. Current development patterns suggest new housing supply will meet demand, potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 169 projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include North Kellyville Public School, Dural Town Centre, Annangrove Road Mixed Use Development, and another Dural Town Centre project. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry has been broadly consistent with national averages

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry has a well-educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. As of June 2025, 12,631 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.3% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents included construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

The area showed strong specialization in construction with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance had lower representation at 10.8% versus the regional average of 14.1%. Many residents commuted elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.3%, while labour force increased by 3.2%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.9 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 estimated that national employment would expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry had a median taxpayer income of $57,871 and an average income of $118,135. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2022 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $65,169 (median) and $133,032 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 92nd percentile with a weekly income of $2,595. Income analysis shows that 30.8% of residents earn over $4,000 per week (7,169 people), differing from regional patterns where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 30.9%. Economic strength is evident with 44.1% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 13.9% of income, and residents rank within the 93rd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 91.2% houses and 8.8% other dwellings. Sydney metro had 91.0% houses and 9.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry was 45.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.1% and rented ones at 13.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,033, higher than Sydney's average of $3,000. Median weekly rent was $550, compared to Sydney's $520. Nationally, Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.2% of all households, including 47.4% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 15.8%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

The educational profile of Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 29.6%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 23.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.7% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (9.9%), secondary (9.7%), and tertiary (5.7%).

The area has 17 schools serving 5,944 students, with above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1062). School types include nine primary, one secondary, and seven K-12 schools. Note: for schools marked 'n/a' in enrolments, refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 371 active transport stops in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry area, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 179 individual routes, offering a total of 2,334 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents located an average of 314 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 333 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately six weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry shows superior health outcomes for both younger and older residents. The prevalence of common health conditions is low.

Approximately 79% of the total population (18,364 people) has private health cover, significantly higher than the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.4 and 6.1% of residents respectively. A majority, 73.0%, report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 72.3%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.3% (4,960 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 22.4%. Notably, health outcomes among seniors are exceptional, outperforming the general population in various health metrics.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry has a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 24.7% of its residents born overseas and 19.3% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry, accounting for 66.3% of the population, compared to 65.5% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (24.9%), Australian (23.0%), and Other (7.7%).

Notably, Lebanese ethnicity is higher than average at 3.9%, Maltese at 1.9%, and Italian at 6.2%.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry is 44, higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national norm of 38. The area has a strong representation of the 55-64 age group at 13.9%, compared to Greater Sydney, but a less prevalent 25-34 cohort at 7.7%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.7% to 7.9%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 14.0% to 15.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 15.6% to 14.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's age profile. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 106%, reaching 1,397 people from 679. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, comprising 92% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 0-4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.