Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry

An assessment of population growth drivers in Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's population is approximately 23,906. This figure represents an increase of 1,427 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 22,479. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: the resident population was 22,943 in June 2024 and there were 203 new validated addresses added post-Census. This results in a population density of 63 persons per square kilometer. Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's growth rate of 6.3% since the 2021 Census is higher than the SA3 area average of 5.3%. Overseas migration was the primary driver for this growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered areas, and NSW State Government's projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 for uncovered areas. Future population trends suggest lower growth rates, with the area expected to grow by approximately 1,070 persons by 2041 based on latest annual ERP numbers, reflecting an increase of about 0.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry has seen approximately 87 new homes approved annually. Between FY21 and FY25438 homes were approved, with an additional 55 approved in FY26 so far. On average, 1.1 new residents per year have been arriving per new home over the past five financial years.

This suggests a balanced supply and demand, creating stable market conditions. The average value of new dwellings developed is $688,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY26, $38.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing strong commercial development momentum.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry maintains similar construction rates per person, reflecting consistent market balance with the broader area. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. Detached houses make up 89.0% of new building activity, while medium and high-density housing accounts for 11.0%, preserving the area's low density nature. The estimated population count of 350 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet development environment. By 2041, Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry is projected to grow by 105 residents, based on current development patterns and AreaSearch quarterly estimates. Given the current housing supply meeting demand, good conditions for buyers are expected, potentially facilitating population growth beyond projections.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 167 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Dural Town Centre, North Kellyville Public School, Annangrove Road Mixed Use Development, and Bellerive Rise Estate. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry has a well-educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.8%. Over the past year, employment has been relatively stable.

As of September 2025, 12,371 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.4%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 67.8%, lower than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 42.5% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 10.8%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 0.2% while labour force rose by 0.7%, leading to a unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, the Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $62,668. The average income stood at $106,936. This is exceptionally high nationally and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $68,220 (median) and $116,411 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 92nd percentile ($2,595 weekly). Income analysis reveals that 30.8% of residents (7,363 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, differing from patterns across regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.9%. Economic strength emerges through 44.1% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 13.9% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 92nd percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.2% houses and 8.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry was 45.5%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (41.1%) or rented (13.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,033, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $550, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.2% of all households, consisting of 47.4% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 15.8%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households comprising 1.4% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 29.6%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 23.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.7% currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.9% in primary, 9.7% in secondary, and 5.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 5.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in the area encompassing Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry shows that there are 423 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a variety of bus routes, totaling 180 individual routes. Together, these routes facilitate approximately 3,017 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transportation in the area is rated as good, with residents on average located about 314 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential region, most residents commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 91% of residents, while 5% opt to walk.

On average, there are 2.3 vehicles per dwelling in the area, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant portion of residents, specifically 42.5%, work from home, which may be partly attributed to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages about 431 trips per day, equating to roughly 7 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies the analysis, illustrating the locations of the 100 nearest transport stops to the area's centerpoint.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry area, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 74% of the total population (17,690 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.4 and 6.1% of residents respectively, while 73.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney.

Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 21.3% of residents aged 65 and over (5,094 people), higher than the 15.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 24.7% born overseas and 19.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 66.3%, compared to 49.2% in Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, English (24.9%) and Australian (23.0%) were notably higher than regional averages of 19.0% and 17.8% respectively.

However, 'Other' ancestry was lower at 7.7%, compared to the region's 16.0%. Certain ethnic groups were overrepresented: Lebanese (3.9%), Maltese (1.9%) and Italian (6.2%).

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry is 44, exceeding Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 13.9%, higher than Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 7.7%. Post-2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.7% to 7.9%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 14.0% to 15.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 15.6% to 14.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's age profile. The 85+ group is expected to double (from 698 to 1,397), with those aged 65 and above accounting for 99% of projected growth. Meanwhile, the 55-64 and 0-4 cohorts are anticipated to decrease in population.