Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, stands at approximately 23,327 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 848 individuals (3.8%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,479. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 22,972 in June 2024 and an additional 203 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 61 persons per square kilometer. Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's growth rate of 3.8% since the 2021 census surpassed the SA3 area average of 3.2%, indicating it as a region leader in growth. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during this period.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are utilized, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth, with the area expected to grow by 1,070 persons to 2041 based on current projections, reflecting a total increase of 2.9% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Between FY21-FY25, Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry had 438 homes approved. In FY26, 44 homes have been approved so far. On average, each new home brings in 1.1 new residents per year over the past five financial years.

The average construction value of new dwellings is $688,000. This fiscal year has seen $38.5 million in commercial approvals. Relative to Greater Sydney, the area maintains similar construction rates per person.

Building activity shows 89% detached houses and 11% medium-high density housing. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 350 people. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by 684 residents. Current development patterns suggest new housing supply should meet demand, potentially facilitating further population growth.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 169 projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include North Kellyville Public School, Dural Town Centre, Annangrove Road Mixed Use Development, and another Dural Town Centre project. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry has been broadly consistent with national averages

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.9% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. As of June 2025, 12,631 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.3% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents included construction, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

The area showed strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance had lower representation at 10.8% versus the regional average of 14.1%. While local employment opportunities exist, many residents commute elsewhere for work. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.3%, labour force increased by 3.2%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry. These projections estimate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to the local employment mix suggests potential growth of approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, indicating Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry had a median taxpayer income of $57,871 and an average income of $118,135. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $65,169 and an average income of $133,032 by September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 92nd percentile with weekly earnings of $2,595. Income analysis shows that 30.8% of residents (7,184 people) fall into the $4,000+ income bracket, differing from regional patterns where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 30.9%. Economic strength is evident with 44.1% of households earning more than $3,000 weekly, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 13.9% of income, and residents rank in the 93rd percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.2% houses and 8.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 91.0% houses and 9.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry was 45.5%, with the rest being mortgaged (41.1%) or rented (13.4%), similar to Sydney metro's figures. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,033, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,000. The median weekly rent figure was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $520. Nationally, Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,033 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $550.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.2% of all households, including 47.4% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 15.8%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

The educational profile of Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 29.6%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 23.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.9% in primary, 9.7% in secondary, and 5.7% in tertiary education.

There are 17 schools serving 5,944 students, with above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1062). The educational mix includes 9 primary, 1 secondary, and 7 K-12 schools. Note: for schools with 'n/a' enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 371 active transport stops operating within the area of Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry. These stops are served by a mix of buses, with 179 individual routes collectively providing 2,334 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 314 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 333 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry shows superior health outcomes for both young and elderly residents, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at 79%, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.4%) and asthma (6.1%). 73% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 72.3%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 22.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 24.7% of its population born overseas and 19.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry, comprising 66.3% of people, compared to 65.5% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (24.9%), Australian (23.0%), and Other (7.7%).

Notably, Lebanese (3.9%) and Maltese (1.9%) populations are higher than the regional averages of 3.6% and 1.7%, respectively, while Italian representation is slightly higher at 6.2%.

Dural - Kenthurst - Wisemans Ferry hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Dural-Kenthurst-Wisemans Ferry is 44, surpassing Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and significantly exceeding the national average of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 13.9%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 7.7%. Post the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group rose from 6.7% to 7.9%, and the 15 to 24 group increased from 14.0% to 15.2%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 15.6% to 14.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in age profile. The 85+ group is expected to grow by 105%, reaching 1,397 from 681. Those aged 65 and above will comprise 92% of projected population growth. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 0-4 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.