Melonba

Melonba lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of the Melonba statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at approximately 8,130 as of November 2025. This figure represents a significant increase from the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,439 people in the same area. The latest estimate is based on an analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census date. The growth in Melonba's population can be attributed to various factors, with interstate migration contributing approximately 85% of overall population gains during recent periods. Other drivers such as natural growth and overseas migration also played a positive role in this increase. Between June 2021 and June 2024, the resident population of Melonba was estimated at 7,111 by AreaSearch following an examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS.

This estimate includes an additional 2,286 validated new addresses since the Census date. The rapid growth in Melonba's population has resulted in a high density ratio of 1,256 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's population growth of 465% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the state and metropolitan area averages. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest exceptional growth for Melonba over the period from 2025 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the area is expected to increase by approximately 4,086 persons during this time, reflecting an overall decrease of 19.2% in total population over the 17-year span. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Melonba among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Melonba shows approximately 526 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 2,632 homes were approved, with an additional 132 approved so far in FY-26. The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these years is approximately 0.7.

This pace suggests that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and allowing for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average expected construction cost value of new homes being built is $483,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $995,000, suggesting minimal commercial development activity in Melonba compared to Greater Sydney. The area shows 2408.0% higher development activity per person relative to Greater Sydney, indicating strong developer confidence in the location's potential. New building activity in Melonba is predominantly detached dwellings (81.0%) and townhouses or apartments (19.0%), preserving its suburban nature while offering more diverse housing options compared to the existing housing stock, which is currently 99.0% houses. This shift may reflect decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles.

Melonba has approximately 7 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market despite stable or declining population forecasts. This could create favourable conditions for buyers by reducing housing pressure in the area.

Melonba has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified six projects that could impact the area's performance. Key projects include Somi Residences, Stockland The Gables Masterplanned Community, Gables Public School and Preschool, and M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway). The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Melonba rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Melonba has an educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 1.3% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 9.2%. Residents' unemployment rate is 2.8% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is higher at 79.5%. Key industries are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and finance & insurance. Health care & social assistance has particularly high employment levels, at 1.3 times the regional average.

Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 6.3% compared to the regional average of 8.6%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment levels increased by 9.2%, and labour force increased by 9.2%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rose slightly to 4.4%. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts suggest total employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Melonba's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Melonba had a median taxpayer income of $72,786 and an average income of $85,712. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,023. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $79,235 (median) and $93,306 (average). Census 2021 data ranks Melonba's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 93rd and 95th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 44.7% of residents earn $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (3,634 residents), aligning with regional trends where this cohort represents 30.9%. Notably, 44.7% exceed $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power. Housing costs consume 21.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 92nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Melonba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Melonba's dwelling structures were 99.1% houses and 0.9% other dwellings as of the latest Census, compared to Sydney metro's 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Melonba was at 4.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 87.3% and rented ones at 8.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,835, higher than Sydney metro's $2,700. Median weekly rent in Melonba was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $540. Nationally, Melonba's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Melonba features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 95.3% of all households, including 65.4% couples with children, 25.9% couples without children, and 4.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for 4.7%, consisting of lone person households at 2.4% and group households at 1.4%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Melonba shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Melonba is notable with 58.8% of residents aged 15+ having university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 39.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational pathways account for 22.5%, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 10.9%. Educational participation is high, with 32.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 14.1% in primary, 5.9% in secondary, and 4.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.1% in primary education, 5.9% in secondary education, and 4.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 21 active stops operating within Melonba, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 10 individual routes, collectively facilitating 1603 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 320 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 229 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 76 weekly trips per stop.

Melonba's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Melonba's health outcomes show excellent results across all age groups. Both younger and older populations have low prevalence rates for common health conditions.

Private health cover stands at approximately 61%, covering 4938 people in total, which is higher than the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (affecting 5.2% of residents) and diabetes (2.9%). A significant majority, 88.1%, report being free from any medical ailments, compared to 80.0% in Greater Sydney. Melonba has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 2.3% (186 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 7.8%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population despite being above average.

Melonba is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Melonba's population is among the most culturally diverse in the country, with 60.8% born overseas and 69.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 36.8%. Hinduism is overrepresented, making up 28.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 20.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (28.3%), Indian (25.2%), and Filipino (15.4%), each substantially higher than regional averages. Maltese (0.9%) is notably overrepresented compared to the region's 1.7%, Sri Lankan (0.5%) compared to 0.9%, and Spanish (0.5%) compared to 0.6%.

Melonba hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Melonba's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Melonba has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (27.4%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (1.7%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 5 to 14 has increased from 17.9% to 20.9%, while the 15 to 24 age group has risen from 7.6% to 10.5%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 23.9% to 18.0%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 11.9% to 9.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Melonba's age profile. The 15 to 24 age cohort is expected to expand by 481 people (56%), growing from 853 to 1,335. Conversely, the 75 to 84 and 85+ age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.