Melonba

Melonba lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As per ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, Melonba's estimated population is around 9,307 as of May 2026. This reflects a significant increase from the 2021 Census figure of 1,439 people, marking a growth of 7,868 individuals (546.8%). The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 8,921 in June 2025 and an additional 2,606 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,438 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Melonba's growth rate exceeded both state (7.1%) and Greater Sydney figures, placing it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 85% to overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration showing positive factors.

AreaSearch projections for Melonba are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year, or NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, using 2021 as the base year. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period from 2026 to 2041, with Melonba expected to increase by 20,702 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 218.3% over the 16-year span.

The level of residential development activity in Melonba was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Melonba has seen approximately 526 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 2,632 homes were approved, with a further 168 approved in FY-26 to date. Each dwelling is estimated to accommodate an average of 2.5 new residents per year over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost value for these new homes is $483,000, indicating a focus on premium segment properties. In FY-26, commercial development approvals have reached $995,000, suggesting minimal commercial development activity in the area compared to previous periods. Relative to Greater Sydney, Melonba has shown 1328.0% higher development activity per person as of recent data. This high level of activity suggests strong developer confidence in the location. The current new building activity comprises 81.0% detached dwellings and 19.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature while introducing more diverse housing options. The existing housing stock in Melonba is currently 99.0% houses, indicating a notable shift towards townhouses and apartments with the recent development activity.

This shift may reflect decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles driving demand for more affordable housing options. With approximately 18 people per dwelling approval, Melonba's population is expanding. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the location is projected to add 20,314 residents by 2041. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Melonba has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified six projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable among these are Somi Residences, Stockland The Gables Masterplanned Community, Gables Public School and Preschool, and the M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway). The following list provides details on those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Melonba rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Melonba has a highly educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate was 1.5% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 24.0%.

As of this date, 6,403 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.7%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Melonba was 102.9% compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 48.2% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment were health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and finance & insurance.

Health care & social assistance had notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, construction showed lower representation at 6.3% compared to the regional average of 8.6%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 24.0%, while labour force grew by the same percentage, keeping unemployment broadly flat. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Melonba's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Melonba had a median taxpayer income of $72,786 and an average income of $85,712. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,023. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2023 to March 2026 (10.32%), estimated incomes for Melonba would be approximately $80,298 median and $94,557 average by that date. Census 2021 income data ranks Melonba's household, family, and personal incomes between the 93rd and 95th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 44.7% of residents earn $1,500-$2,999 weekly (4,160 residents), aligning with regional trends where this cohort represents 30.9%. Notably, 44.7% exceed $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power. High housing costs consume 21.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 92nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Melonba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Melonba's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 99.1% houses and 0.9% other dwellings. In contrast, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Melonba stood at 4.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 87.3% and rented ones at 8.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,835, higher than Sydney metro's $2,427. Median weekly rent in Melonba was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Melonba's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.

Melonba features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 95.3% of all households, including 65.4% couples with children, 25.9% couples without children, and 4.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 4.7%, with lone person households at 2.4% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Melonba shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Melonba, 58.8% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, exceeding national (30.4%) and New South Wales state (32.2%) averages. The area's educational advantage is evident in the prevalence of bachelor degrees (39.6%), postgraduate qualifications (16.5%), and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational pathways are also significant, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 10.9%. Educational participation is high, with 32.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 14.1% in primary, 5.9% in secondary, and 4.8% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Melonba shows that there are currently 20 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 10 individual routes providing service. Collectively, these routes facilitate 1,603 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Melonba is rated as good, with residents typically residing approximately 320 meters away from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward for work or other purposes. The dominant mode of transport among these residents is the car, used by 77% of them, while 19% rely on the train.

On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling in Melonba, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion of residents, specifically 48.2%, work from home, which may be partly attributed to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 229 trips per day, equating to approximately 80 weekly trips per individual stop.

Melonba's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

AreaSearch's assessment of Melonba shows excellent health outcomes. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low, particularly among younger cohorts.

Approximately 61% of Melonba's total population (5,654 people) had private health cover, higher than the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions were asthma (5.2%) and diabetes (2.9%), with 88.1% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Melonba has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 3.0% (279 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Melonba are above average but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Melonba is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Melonba has a high level of cultural diversity, with 60.8% of its population born overseas and 69.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Melonba, making up 36.8% of people. Hinduism, however, is significantly overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney's average, comprising 28.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (28.3%), Indian (25.2%), and Filipino (15.4%), each substantially higher than regional averages. Notably, Maltese (0.9% vs 1.0%), Sri Lankan (0.5% vs 0.3%), and Spanish (0.5% vs 0.6%) groups are also overrepresented in Melonba compared to regional figures.

Melonba hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Melonba's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Melonba has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.0%), but fewer residents aged 65-74 (2.1%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.3%. According to data from the 2021 Census, demographic aging in Melonba is evident as the median age has increased from 31 years to 32 years since the last census. The population aged 15-24 grew from 7.6% to 11.6%, while the 45-54 age group increased from 6.6% to 10.4%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 decreased from 23.9% to 15.3%, and the 0-4 age group dropped from 11.9% to 9.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Melonba's age profile will change significantly. The 15-24 age cohort is projected to grow by 479%, adding 5,171 residents to reach a total of 6,251.