Oakhurst (NSW)

Oakhurst has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Oakhurst's population is estimated at around 7,055 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 108 people (1.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,947 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,028 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,475 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Oakhurst's 1.6% growth since census positions it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (3.6%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb of Oakhurst's population expected to reduce by 337 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to grow by 343 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Oakhurst, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Oakhurst averaged approximately 16 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021, totalling around 80 homes. As of July 2021 in FY-26, 15 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average construction cost value for new properties is $254,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

In FY-26, commercial approvals worth $685,000 have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity in Oakhurst compared to Greater Sydney, where it has 11.0% less new development per person. Nationally, Oakhurst ranks at the 39th percentile for areas assessed, suggesting limited buyer options and strengthening demand for established dwellings. The area's new development consists of 94.0% detached houses and 6.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving its suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With approximately 434 people per dwelling approval, Oakhurst reflects an established area with stable or declining population forecasts, potentially experiencing less housing pressure in the future.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Oakhurst may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Oakhurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified seven projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are Plumpton Central, Mirvac Marsden Park Residential Development, Australian Development Group's 860-Apartment Project, and Marsden Park Strategic Town Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Oakhurst has been broadly consistent with national averages

Oakhurst has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.1% as of December 2025, which is 0.1% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.4%.

As of December 2025, 4,110 residents were in work and workforce participation was 75.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 28.6% of residents worked from home. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Oakhurst has a particular specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share twice the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented, at 4.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 3.4% while labour force grew by 2.9%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Oakhurst's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Oakhurst's employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2023 indicates that Oakhurst's median income is $56,654 and average income is $62,698. This is lower than national averages of $71,058 (median) and $91,131 (average). Greater Sydney's figures are $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average). Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $62,501 (median) and $69,168 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, Oakhurst's household income ranks at the 72nd percentile ($2,097 weekly), while personal income is at the 53rd percentile. The predominant income cohort spans 38.8% (2,737 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999 per week, similar to surrounding regions at 30.9%. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but disposable income ranks at the 71st percentile. Oakhurst's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Oakhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Oakhurst, as per the latest Census, was 94.9% houses and 5.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oakhurst stood at 22.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.7% and rented ones at 27.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,013, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Oakhurst was $418, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oakhurst's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oakhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 85.2% of all households, including 50.1% couples with children, 18.8% couples without children, and 15.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 14.8%, with lone person households at 12.4% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oakhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 19.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 20.8%. Educational participation is high, with 32.6% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.2% in primary, 9.5% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oakhurst has 48 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 27 different routes that together facilitate 1,640 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 163 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential zone, most Oakhurst residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 87%, while train use stands at 7%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in Oakhurst, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 28.6% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 234 trips per day, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Oakhurst are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Oakhurst's health indicators show below-average outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 52% of Oakhurst's total population (~3,650 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common medical conditions in Oakhurst are asthma (7.6%) and diabetes (7.1%), with 73.1% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. Oakhurst has 12.7% of residents aged 65 and over (895 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

Oakhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oakhurst has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.3% of its population born overseas and 47.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oakhurst, accounting for 60.4% of people, while Islam makes up 11.3%, which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%. The top three ancestry groups in Oakhurst are Other (22.1%), Filipino (15.9%), and Australian (15.8%).

These percentages are significantly higher than their respective regional averages: Other at 16.0%, Filipino at 2.0%, and Australian at not specified. Notably, Samoan ancestry is overrepresented in Oakhurst at 2.8% compared to the regional average of 0.5%. Maltese ancestry also shows a notable divergence, with Oakhurst having 2.1% compared to the regional average of 1.0%. Spanish ancestry has a slight overrepresentation in Oakhurst at 0.8%, compared to the regional average of 0.6%.

Oakhurst hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Oakhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakhurst has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.7%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of residents aged 65-74 has increased from 7.1% to 9.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has decreased from 14.1% to 12.7%, and the proportion of residents aged 0-4 has dropped from 6.3% to 5.2%. Population forecasts for Oakhurst in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes, with the strongest growth projected for the 75-84 age group (150%), adding 328 residents to reach 547. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive all population growth, reflecting demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 0-4 age groups.