Oakhurst (NSW)

Oakhurst has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The estimated population of Oakhurst, NSW, as of November 2025 is around 6,953 people. This figure reflects an increase of 6 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 6,947. AreaSearch validated this estimate by examining the latest ERP data release from the ABS in June 2024 and considering 17 new addresses since the Census date. The resident population was estimated at 6,905 based on these factors. This results in a density ratio of approximately 3,425 persons per square kilometer, placing Oakhurst among the upper quartile of locations assessed by AreaSearch nationwide.

The primary driver for population growth in Oakhurst has been overseas migration, contributing about 53% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 using a base year of 2021 are applied. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are used for all areas between the years 2032 and 2041. According to projected demographic shifts, Oakhurst's population is expected to decline by 311 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, with the 75 to 84 age group projected to expand by 361 people over this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Oakhurst, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Oakhurst shows an average of around 14 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years to June 2021. This totals an estimated 74 homes. In the current financial year, FY-26 (July 2021 - June 2022), 6 approvals have been recorded so far. The population has declined in recent years, indicating that new supply may be keeping up with demand and offering good choice to buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $254,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. There have also been $798,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakhurst records 18.0% less building activity per person. Nationally, Oakhurst places among the 32nd percentile of areas assessed, indicating somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties.

This level is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent building activity consists entirely of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 537 people per dwelling approval, Oakhurst shows a developed market. The population is expected to remain stable or decline in the future, which should reduce pressure on housing and potentially create opportunities for buyers.

Oakhurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to impact the area. Key projects are Plumpton Central, Mirvac Marsden Park Residential Development, Australian Development Group's 860-Apartment Project, and Marsden Park Strategic Town Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Oakhurst has been broadly consistent with national averages

Oakhurst has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 6.2%.

As of June 2025, 4,229 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 0.2% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing has a particularly high employment share at twice the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have lower representation at 4.2% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 6.2%, while the labour force grew by 6.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% over the same period. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that Oakhurst's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Oakhurst's employment mix.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Oakhurst had a median taxpayer income of $56,654 and an average income of $62,698 in financial year 2022. This was slightly below the national average for that period. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income was $56,994 with an average income of $80,856 during the same time frame. Based on Wage Price Index growth figures, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $63,798 (median) and $70,604 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household income ranked at the 72nd percentile ($2,097 weekly), while personal income was at the 53rd percentile. Income distribution showed that 38.8% of locals (2,697 people) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 category, reflecting a pattern seen in the broader area where 30.9% similarly occupied this range. High housing costs consumed 16.6% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 71st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Oakhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Oakhurst's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.9% houses and 5.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 80.7% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oakhurst stood at 22.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.7% and rented ones at 27.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,013, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $2,000. Weekly rent median was $418, higher than Sydney metro's $350. Nationally, Oakhurst's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Oakhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 85.2% of all households, including 50.1% couples with children, 18.8% couples without children, and 15.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.8%, with lone person households at 12.4% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

The educational profile of Oakhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 31.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (20.8%). Educational participation is high at 32.6%, including 11.2% in primary, 9.5% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Oakhurst is home to Richard Johnson Anglican College, serving 1,537 students as of a given date. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1083). All schools offer integrated K-12 education for academic continuity. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs, with 22.1 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 18.0, indicating Oakhurst serves as an educational hub.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oakhurst has 34 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 27 different routes that together facilitate 1,518 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from a resident's location to the nearest transport stop is 163 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 216 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Oakhurst is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Oakhurst shows better-than-average health outcomes with a low prevalence of common conditions among its general population, though higher than national averages among older and at-risk groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of Oakhurst's total population (~3,598 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 47.8%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.6%) and diabetes (7.1%), with 73.1% reporting no medical ailments, slightly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 71.2%. Oakhurst has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 12.0% (834 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 13.1%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these challenges.

Oakhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oakhurst has high cultural diversity, with 44.3% of its population born overseas and 47.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oakhurst, comprising 60.4% of people, while Islam makes up 11.3%, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 13.0%. The top three ancestry groups are Other (22.1%), Filipino (15.9%), and Australian (15.8%).

Notably, Samoan (2.8%) and Maltese (2.1%) populations are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 3.6% and 1.7%, respectively. Spanish representation is also slightly higher at 0.8%.

Oakhurst hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Oakhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakhurst has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.3%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the proportion of residents aged 65-74 has increased from 7.1% to 8.6%, while the proportion of those aged 45-54 has decreased from 14.1% to 13.0%. By 2041, Oakhurst's population is forecasted to see substantial demographic changes. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 177%, adding 345 residents to reach a total of 540. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive all the population growth, reflecting ongoing demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 0-4 age cohorts.