Oakhurst (NSW)

Oakhurst has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Oakhurst (NSW) is around 7,142. This figure reflects an increase of 195 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,947. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 6,958 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,518 persons per square kilometer, placing Oakhurst in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 2.8% growth since census positions it within 2.4 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Oakhurst's population is expected to decline by 353 persons by 2041. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 361 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Oakhurst, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Oakhurst shows an average of around 16 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 80 homes. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $254,000, below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers.

This financial year has seen $685,000 in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakhurst records 12.0% less building activity per person and places among the 39th percentile of areas assessed nationally, indicating somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This level is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 94.0% standalone homes and 6.0% attached dwellings, sustaining Oakhurst's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 436 people per dwelling approval, Oakhurst shows a developed market. Given the expected stability or decline in population, Oakhurst should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Oakhurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Plumpton Central, Mirvac Marsden Park Residential Development, Australian Development Group's 860-Apartment Project, and Marsden Park Strategic Town Centre. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Oakhurst maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Oakhurst has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate is 4.0% and it experienced an estimated employment growth of 3.3% in the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 4,104 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.1% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

The workforce participation rate is higher at 76.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 28.6% of residents work from home. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Oakhurst has a particular specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share twice the regional level.

However, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.2%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between the Census working population and resident population. In the 12-month period ending December 2025, employment increased by 3.3% while labour force grew by 2.8%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, and a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Oakhurst's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Oakhurst had a median taxpayer income of $56,654 and an average of $62,698 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is below the national average, with Greater Sydney's median income being $60,817 and average income being $83,003. By September 2025, current estimates based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% would be approximately $61,674 (median) and $68,253 (average). According to the 2021 Census figures, household income ranks at the 72nd percentile ($2,097 weekly), while personal income sits at the 53rd percentile. The predominant income cohort spans 38.8% of locals (2,771 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 71st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Oakhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Oakhurst, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.9% houses and 5.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oakhurst was at 22.3%, with the remaining dwellings being mortgaged (50.7%) or rented (27.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Oakhurst was $2,013, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Oakhurst was $418, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oakhurst's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oakhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 85.2% of all households, including 50.1% couples with children, 18.8% couples without children, and 15.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.8%, with lone person households at 12.4% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oakhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 19.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (20.8%). Educational participation is high at 32.6%, with 11.2% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oakhurst has 48 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These are covered by 27 individual routes offering 1,640 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 163 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward; car remains dominant at 87%, while train usage stands at 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 28.6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 234 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Oakhurst are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Oakhurst, based on AreaSearch's assessment as of April 2023. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

Approximately 52% (~3,695 people) have private health cover, compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions are asthma (7.6%) and diabetes (7.1%), while 73.1% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. As of April 2023, 12.9% (921 people) are aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Oakhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oakhurst's cultural diversity is notable, with 44.3% of its population born overseas and 47.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Oakhurst, accounting for 60.4% of people, but Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 11.3% versus 6.8%. The top three ancestry groups are Other (22.1%), Filipino (15.9%), and Australian (15.8%), all higher than the regional averages of 16.0%, 2.0%, and 17.4% respectively.

Samoan, Maltese, and Spanish ethnicities are also overrepresented in Oakhurst compared to regional averages: Samoan at 2.8% versus 0.5%, Maltese at 2.1% versus 1.0%, and Spanish at 0.8% versus 0.6%.

Oakhurst hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Oakhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakhurst has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.2%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 65-74 has increased from 7.1% to 9.1%, while the 15-24 age group has risen from 15.0% to 16.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 14.1% to 12.9%, and the 25-34 age group has decreased from 14.3% to 13.2%. Population forecasts for Oakhurst indicate significant demographic changes by 2041. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 137%, adding 313 residents to reach a total of 542. Residents aged 65 and above will drive all population growth, highlighting the trend towards an aging population. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 0-4 age cohorts.