Oakhurst (NSW)

Oakhurst has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Nov 2025, the population of the Oakhurst (NSW) statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 7,143 people. This figure reflects an increase of 196 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,947. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 6,958 residents as of June 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 17 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 3,518 persons per square kilometer, placing Oakhurst (NSW) in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 2.8% growth since the census positions it within 2.4 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.2%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Projected demographic shifts indicate an overall population decline over this period. According to this methodology, the Oakhurst (NSW) (SA2) population is expected to decrease by 338 persons by 2041. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, notably the 75 to 84 age group, projected to expand by 359 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Oakhurst, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Oakhurst averaged around 16 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021, totalling an estimated 81 homes. As of April 2026, 9 approvals have been recorded in FY-26. The average expected construction cost value for new properties is $254,000. Oakhurst has seen $685,000 in commercial approvals this financial year.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakhurst records 10.0% less building activity per person. Nationally, it places among the 39th percentile of areas assessed, indicating somewhat limited buyer options and strengthening demand for established properties. New development consists of 94.0% standalone homes and 6.0% attached dwellings, sustaining Oakhurst's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 436 people per dwelling approval, Oakhurst shows a developed market.

Population is expected to remain stable or decline, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

Oakhurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to affect the region. Notable projects include Plumpton Central, Mirvac Marsden Park Residential Development, Australian Development Group's 860-Apartment Project, and Marsden Park Strategic Town Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis indicates Oakhurst maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Oakhurst has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.0% as of an unspecified past year, with estimated employment growth of 4.6%.

As of September 2025, 4,112 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.2% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing has a particularly high employment share, at 2.0 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 4.2% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. In the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 4.6%, while labour force grew by 4.2%, leading to a unemployment rate decrease of 0.4 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points during this period. State-level data from NSW to 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oakhurst's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Oakhurst is $56,654, with an average of $62,698 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is lower than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $61,674 and an average of $68,253, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%. According to the 2021 Census, Oakhurst's household income ranks at the 72nd percentile ($2,097 weekly), while personal income is at the 53rd percentile. Income distribution shows that 38.8% of locals (2,771 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, similar to the broader area where 30.9% fall within this range. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 71st percentile. Oakhurst's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Oakhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census found that Oakhurst's dwelling structure was 94.9% houses and 5.1% other dwellings, compared to Sydney metro's 80.7% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oakhurst stood at 22.3%, with mortgaged properties at 50.7% and rented ones at 27.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,013, higher than Sydney metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent was $418, compared to Sydney metro's $350. Nationally, Oakhurst's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oakhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 85.2% of all households, including 50.1% couples with children, 18.8% couples without children, and 15.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.8%, with lone person households at 12.4% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

The educational profile of Oakhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 19.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (20.8%). Educational participation is high at 32.6%, comprising primary education (11.2%), secondary education (9.5%), and tertiary education (6.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows that in Oakhurst there are 48 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 27 individual routes in service. Together, these routes facilitate 1,640 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to public transport is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located just 163 meters away from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 234 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Oakhurst is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Oakhurst shows better-than-average health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions among its general population. However, among older and at-risk cohorts, the prevalence is higher than the national average.

Approximately 52% of Oakhurst's total population (~3,696 people) has private health cover, compared to 48.6% in Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.6%) and diabetes (7.1%). About 73.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 71.2% across Greater Sydney. Oakhurst has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 11.9% (850 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 13.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Oakhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oakhurst has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.3% of its population born overseas and 47.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oakhurst, comprising 60.4% of the population. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 11.3% versus 13.0%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (22.1%), Filipino (15.9%, significantly higher than the regional average of 10.3%), and Australian (15.8%). Notable differences exist in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Samoan is overrepresented at 2.8% compared to the regional average of 3.6%, Maltese at 2.1% versus 1.7%, and Spanish at 0.8% compared to 0.7%.

Oakhurst hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Oakhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakhurst has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.3%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 65-74 has increased from 7.1% to 8.5%, while the population aged 45-54 has decreased from 14.1% to 13.0%. By 2041, Oakhurst's population is forecasted to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 169%, adding 337 residents to reach a total of 538. Residents aged 65 and above will drive all the population growth, indicating a trend towards demographic aging. Conversely, populations aged 45-54 and 0-4 are projected to decline.