Oakhurst (NSW)

Oakhurst has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Oakhurst (NSW) is around 7,142, reflecting an increase of 195 people since the 2021 Census. The resident population was estimated at 6,958 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,518 persons per square kilometer, placing Oakhurst in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 2.8% since census positions it within 2.4 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.2%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in Oakhurst. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Oakhurst's population is expected to decline by 344 persons by 2041. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, with the 75 to 84 age group projected to expand by 363 people over this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Oakhurst, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Oakhurst shows an average of around 16 new dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 81 homes. As of FY26 so far, 9 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely kept up with demand, offering good choice to buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $254,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers.

This financial year has seen $685,000 in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakhurst records 10.0% less building activity per person. Nationally, it places among the 39th percentile of areas assessed, indicating somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. This level is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

New development consists of 94.0% standalone homes and 6.0% attached dwellings, sustaining Oakhurst's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 436 people per dwelling approval, Oakhurst shows a developed market. Given the expected stability or decline in population, Oakhurst should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Oakhurst has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects expected to impact the region. Notable ones are Plumpton Central, Mirvac Marsden Park Residential Development, Australian Development Group's 860-Apartment Project, and Marsden Park Strategic Town Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Oakhurst maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Oakhurst has a skilled labor force with diverse industry representation. Its unemployment rate is 4.0%, with an estimated employment growth of 4.6% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of September 2025, 4,109 residents are employed, and Oakhurst's unemployment rate is 0.1% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

The workforce participation rate in Oakhurst is 76.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses indicate that 28.6% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors for Oakhurst residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing stands out as a specialized sector with an employment share twice the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.2% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as suggested by the ratio of working population to resident population. Over the past year, Oakhurst saw employment increase by 4.6%, alongside labor force growth of 4.1%, resulting in a 0.4 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labor force growth of 2.4%, with a slight rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oakhurst's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though these estimates are illustrative extrapolations based on national trends and do not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Oakhurst is $56,654, with an average of $62,698, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is lower than the national average, which stands at a median of $60,817 and an average of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates project the median income to be approximately $61,674 and the average income to be around $68,253 by September 2025. The 2021 Census data indicates that Oakhurst's household income ranks at the 72nd percentile ($2,097 weekly) and personal income at the 53rd percentile. Income distribution shows that 38.8% of locals (2,771 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting a pattern seen in the broader area where 30.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 16.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 71st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Oakhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Oakhurst, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.9% houses and 5.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oakhurst stood at 22.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.7% and rented dwellings at 27.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,013, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Oakhurst was $418, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oakhurst's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oakhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 85.2% of all households, including 50.1% couples with children, 18.8% couples without children, and 15.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 14.8%, with lone person households at 12.4% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oakhurst exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 19.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (20.8%). Educational participation is high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.2% in primary, 9.5% in secondary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 48 active public transport stops in Oakhurst. These are served by 27 routes, offering 1,640 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport access is rated excellent, with residents typically living 163 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards; car use dominates at 87%, while train use stands at 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding regional norms. High work-from-home rates of 28.6% were recorded in the 2021 Census, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 234 trips daily across all routes, translating to about 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Oakhurst are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Oakhurst. AreaSearch's assessment shows mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 52% of the total population (~3,695 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, impacting 7.6 and 7.1% of residents respectively. 73.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 12.8% of residents aged 65 and over (914 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Oakhurst is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oakhurst has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.3% of its population born overseas and 47.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oakhurst, making up 60.4% of the population. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 11.3% of Oakhurst's population versus 6.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (22.1%), Filipino (15.9%), and Australian (15.8%), all substantially higher than regional averages. Samoan (2.8%), Maltese (2.1%), and Spanish (0.8%) ethnicities are notably overrepresented in Oakhurst compared to the region at large.

Oakhurst hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Oakhurst's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oakhurst has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (16.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.1%). Between the censuses of 2021 and an unspecified earlier date, the proportion of residents aged 65-74 grew from 7.1% to 9.1%, while those aged 15-24 increased from 15.0% to 16.2%. Conversely, the proportions of residents aged 45-54 and 25-34 decreased from 14.1% to 12.8% and from 14.3% to 13.1%, respectively. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Oakhurst, with the strongest projected growth in the 75-84 age group (143%), adding 316 residents to reach 538. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive all population growth, reflecting demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 0-4 age groups.