Emerton

Emerton is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Emerton statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at approximately 2,366 as of November 2025, based on analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch. This figure represents an increase of 71 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,295 people in Emerton (SA2). The estimated resident population of 2,302, as calculated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional six validated new addresses since the Census date, reflects this increase. This level of population results in a density ratio of 3,033 persons per square kilometer, placing Emerton (SA2) in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 3.1% since the census is within 2.1 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 5.2%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 55.00000000000001% of overall population gains during recent periods in Emerton (SA2).

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate lower quartile growth across statistical areas nationally, with Emerton (SA2) expected to expand by 94 persons to the year 2041, reflecting a total gain of 3.0% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Emerton is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Emerton has seen approximately 6 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 32 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 0.3 new residents have arrived per new home over these years.

This suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more housing options and potentially driving population growth beyond current projections. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $206,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing choices for buyers. In FY-26, there have been $4.1 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Emerton's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Emerton demonstrates similar construction activity per person, maintaining market balance with the broader area.

However, construction activity has recently eased and is below national averages, suggesting possible planning constraints or a mature area. Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving Emerton's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Interestingly, developers are constructing more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (78.0% at Census), indicating strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. Emerton has a population density of around 666 people per approval, indicating a mature and established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Emerton is projected to add 71 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Emerton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can be significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of one project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable projects include the Richmond Road Upgrade from M7 to Townson Road, Tallawong to St Marys (T2SM) Passenger Rail Corridor, First Nations Cultural Hub Mount Druitt, and the M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway). The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Emerton lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Emerton's workforce spans diverse sectors with balanced white and blue collar employment. Its unemployment rate was 20.1% in the past year.

Employment growth was estimated at 8.5%. As of September 2025769 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 16.0%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation lagged at 43.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment was concentrated in retail trade, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing, with a strong specialization in manufacturing (2.0 times the regional level).

Professional & technical services employed only 2.3% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area offered limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over the past year, employment increased by 8.5% alongside a labour force increase of 3.7%, reducing the unemployment rate by 3.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%, with a slight unemployment increase of 0.2%. State-level data to 25-Nov showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 projected national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Emerton's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Emerton's income level is lower than average nationally, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The suburb's median income among taxpayers is $46,267 and the average income stands at $50,987, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $50,366 (median) and $55,504 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Emerton all fall between the 7th and 16th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 30.6% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (723 residents), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 78.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 12th percentile.

Emerton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Emerton's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.2% houses and 21.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 80.7% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Emerton stood at 20.3%, similar to Sydney metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.2% and rented dwellings at 55.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,618, lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Emerton was $320, below Sydney metro's $350. Nationally, Emerton's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,618 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $320 than the national figure of $375.

Emerton features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.9% of all households, including 28.8% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 25.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.1%, with lone person households at 23.7% and group households comprising 3.9%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Emerton faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 8.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 32.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (7.5%) and certificates (25.4%). Educational participation is high at 34.7%, including primary education (14.0%), secondary education (11.2%), and tertiary education (3.3%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.0% in primary education, 11.2% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Emerton has 13 active public transport stops operating. These stops service a mix of bus routes, totalling 18 individual routes. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 1,716.

Residents' accessibility to transport is rated excellent, with an average distance of 180 meters to the nearest stop. The service frequency averages 245 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 132 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Emerton is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Emerton faces significant health challenges with a considerably higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to average, particularly among older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~1,115 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 10.5% and 8.7% of residents respectively, while 63.9% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 71.2% across Greater Sydney. Emerton has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.9%, with 352 people in this age group, compared to 13.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Emerton was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Emerton's cultural diversity is notable, with 35.4% of its population born overseas and 33.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Emerton, making up 62.7%, compared to 56.6% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.2%), English (20.4%), and Australian (17.9%).

While English ancestry is higher than the regional average of 14.7%, Samoan ancestry is overrepresented at 6.2% compared to 3.6% regionally, Filipino at 5.6% versus 10.3%, and Maori at 1.7% versus 1.2%.

Emerton hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Emerton's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Emerton has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (17.2%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.2%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 12.2%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the population aged 15 to 24 has increased from 14.2% to 15.1%, while the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 14.5% to 13.1% and the 45 to 54 age group has dropped from 11.6% to 10.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Emerton's age profile will change significantly. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 177%, adding 67 residents to reach a total of 105. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 96% of the population growth, while declines in population are anticipated for the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups.