Emerton

Emerton is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for Emerton, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb's population is estimated at around 2,397 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 102 people (4.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,295 people. The change was inferred from the resident population of 2,392 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional six validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,073 persons per square kilometer, placing Emerton in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 4.4% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 3.1%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for Emerton was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 55.00000000000001% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation is anticipated, with Emerton expected to expand by 96 persons to reach a total population of 2,493 by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall gain of 1.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Emerton, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Emerton has seen approximately 8 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 41 homes were approved, with an additional 6 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 0.2 new residents per year have arrived for each new home over this period.

This indicates that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more housing options and potentially enabling population growth beyond current projections. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings was $206,000 during these years, which is lower than regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing choices for buyers. In FY-26, Emerton has seen $3.0 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Emerton exhibits moderately higher construction activity, with 37.0% above the regional average per person over the past 5 years.

This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. However, this level is lower than national averages, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints. The majority of new building activity in Emerton consists of detached houses (89.0%), with medium and high-density housing making up the remaining 11.0%. This maintains the area's traditional suburban character, focusing on family homes that appeal to those seeking space. The location has approximately 245 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Looking ahead, Emerton is projected to grow by 42 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling population growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Emerton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can be significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A single project has been identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact this particular area. Key projects include Richmond Road Upgrade - M7 to Townson Road, Tallawong to St Marys (T2SM) Passenger Rail Corridor, M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway), and First Nations Cultural Hub Mount Druitt. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Emerton are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Emerton's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs with varied sector representation. The unemployment rate in Emerton was 21.3% as of June 2025.

This is 17.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Emerton stands at 43.7%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment sectors include retail trade, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Manufacturing dominates with an employment share twice the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have low representation at 2.3% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, Emerton's employment increased by 6.4%, while labour force grew by 6.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (September 2022) project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Emerton's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

Emerton's median income among taxpayers was $46,267 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $50,987 during the same period. For Greater Sydney, these figures were $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. By September 2025, current estimates suggest median income would be approximately $52,101 and average income around $57,416, accounting for a 12.61% growth in wages since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Emerton fall between the 7th and 16th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. The largest income bracket comprises 30.6% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (733 residents), similar to the broader area where this cohort also represents 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Emerton, with only 78.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 12th percentile nationally.

Emerton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Emerton's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.2% houses and 21.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 80.7% houses and 19.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Emerton was at 20.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.2% and rented ones at 55.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,618, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Emerton was $320, compared to Sydney metro's $350. Nationally, Emerton's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower than the national figure of $375.

Emerton features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.9% of all households, including 28.8% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 25.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.1%, with lone person households at 23.7% and group households comprising 3.9%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Emerton faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 32.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.5%) and certificates (25.4%). Educational participation is high at 34.7%, with 14.0% in primary, 11.2% in secondary, and 3.3% in tertiary education.

Emerton Public School and Holy Family Primary School serve a total of 429 students and have an ICSEA score of 900. Both schools focus on primary education with secondary options available nearby.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Emerton has 12 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 18 different routes that together facilitate 1,621 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents generally located just 180 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 231 daily trips across all routes, which amounts to approximately 135 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Emerton is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Emerton faces significant health challenges with a notably higher prevalence of common conditions compared to averages. Among older age cohorts, this prevalence is even higher.

Only approximately 47% of Emerton's total population (~1,130 people) has private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 10.5 and 8.7% of residents respectively. Conversely, 63.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 71.2% across Greater Sydney. Emerton has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.8% (354 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 13.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

Emerton is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Emerton's population shows high cultural diversity, with 35.4% born overseas and 33.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Emerton, accounting for 62.7%, compared to 56.6% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.2%), English (20.4%), and Australian (17.9%).

Notably, Samoan ancestry is higher at 6.2% in Emerton than the regional average of 3.6%. Filipino ancestry is lower at 5.6%, compared to the regional figure of 10.3%. Maori ancestry is also slightly higher at 1.7% in Emerton versus the regional average of 1.2%.

Emerton hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Emerton's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Emerton has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.2%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.2%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, Emerton's population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 14.2% to 15.1%, while the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 14.5% to 13.1%. Additionally, the 45 to 54 age group has dropped from 11.6% to 10.5%. Demographic modeling suggests that Emerton's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 174%, adding 66 residents, reaching a total of 105 residents. This growth is primarily due to demographic aging, with residents aged 65 and older representing 99% of anticipated population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 55 to 64 age group and the 15 to 24 age group.