Emerton

Emerton is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Feb 2026 the estimated population of Emerton is around 2,366. This reflects an increase of 71 people (3.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,295 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,302 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 6 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,033 persons per square kilometer, placing Emerton in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Emerton's 3.1% growth since census positions it within 2.1 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 55.00000000000001% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation is anticipated, with Emerton expected to expand by 93 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 3.0% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Emerton is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Emerton has seen approximately 6 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 32 homes were approved, with an additional 2 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 0.3 new residents have arrived per new home over these five years, suggesting that new construction is keeping pace with demand and offering buyers more options while enabling population growth.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $206,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing choices for buyers. This financial year has seen $4.1 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Comparatively, Emerton shows similar construction activity per person to Greater Sydney, maintaining market balance with the broader area. However, recent construction activity has eased and is below the national average, which could reflect the area's maturity or potential planning constraints.

Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving Emerton's traditional suburban character and focus on family homes. With around 666 people per approval, Emerton demonstrates a mature, established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Emerton is projected to add 71 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Emerton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A single project has been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting this area. Key projects include Richmond Road Upgrade - M7 to Townson Road, Tallawong to St Marys (T2SM) Passenger Rail Corridor, First Nations Cultural Hub Mount Druitt, and M12 Motorway (Western Sydney Airport Motorway). The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Emerton lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Emerton's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs across diverse sectors. The unemployment rate was 20.3% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 8.4% in the preceding year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of that date, 776 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 16.1%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was lower at 56.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Home workership in Emerton was moderate at 16.5% based on Census responses, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors included retail trade, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Manufacturing showed strong specialization with an employment share twice the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services employed only 2.3% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the Census working population count versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, Emerton saw employment increase by 8.4%, accompanied by a labour force growth of 3.9%, leading to a 3.3 percentage point decrease in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, and an unemployment rise of 0.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Emerton. Applying these projections to Emerton's employment mix indicates a local employment increase of 5.6% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, though these are simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Emerton's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2023 was $46,267. The average income stood at $50,987 during the same period. These figures are lower than Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated median and average incomes for Emerton as of September 2025 would be approximately $50,366 and $55,504 respectively. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Emerton all fall between the 7th and 16th percentiles nationally. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 30.6% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, which is consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Emerton, with only 78.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 12th percentile nationally.

Emerton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Emerton's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.2% houses and 21.8% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Emerton was at 20.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.2% and rented ones at 55.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,618, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $320, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Emerton's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Emerton features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.9% of all households, including 28.8% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 25.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.1%, with lone person households at 23.7% and group households at 3.9%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Emerton faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 32.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 7.5% and certificates at 25.4%. Educational participation is high, with 34.7% currently enrolled in formal education: 14.0% in primary, 11.2% in secondary, and 3.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.0% in primary education, 11.2% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Emerton has 13 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 18 different routes that together facilitate 1,716 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located just 180 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential region, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 83% of residents, while trains are used by 10%. On average, there is one vehicle per dwelling, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 16.5% of Emerton's residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 245 trips per day, equating to approximately 132 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Emerton is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Emerton faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and prevalence of chronic conditions. Multiple health issues affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% (around 1,115 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (10.5%) and mental health issues (8.7%). Conversely, 63.9% reported having no medical ailments, lower than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents encounter notable health challenges with higher chronic condition rates. Emerton has 15.4% of residents aged 65 and over (364 people). Health outcomes among seniors generally align with national rankings.

Emerton was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Emerton's population shows high cultural diversity, with 35.4% born overseas and 33.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Emerton, accounting for 62.7%, compared to 49.2% in Greater Sydney. The top three ancestral groups are Other (21.2%), English (20.4%), and Australian (17.9%).

Notably, Samoan ancestry is overrepresented at 6.2% in Emerton versus 0.5% regionally, Filipino at 5.6% versus 2.0%, and Maori at 1.7% versus 0.4%.

Emerton hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Emerton's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Emerton has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.1%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.3%). Post-2021 Census data shows that the age group 15 to 24 grew from 14.2% to 15.3%, while the age group 75 to 84 increased from 5.1% to 6.2%. Conversely, the age groups 25 to 34 declined from 14.5% to 12.8% and 45 to 54 dropped from 11.6% to 10.4%. Demographic modeling suggests that Emerton's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 85+ cohort (156%), adding 62 residents to reach 103. The demographic aging trend continues as residents aged 65 and older represent 97% of anticipated population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the age groups 15 to 24 and 55 to 64.