Horsley Park - Kemps Creek
Statistical Area - sa2

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's population was approximately 4,326 as of Aug 2025, a decrease of 18 people from the 4,344 reported in the 2021 Census. This decline reflects an estimated resident population of 4,194 in June 2024 and an additional 73 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is around 76 persons per square kilometer. While Horsley Park - Kemps Creek experienced a 0.4% decrease since the census, the SA3 area had a 2.0% growth, indicating contrasting trends. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, the area is expected to grow by 223 persons to 2041, representing a 2.1% increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Horsley Park-Kemps Creek has recorded approximately 18 residential property approvals per year. Development approval data is provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, totalling 93 approvals from FY20 to FY25, with 2 approved so far in FY26. The population decline in recent years suggests new supply has kept pace with demand, offering good buying choices while maintaining an average dwelling construction cost value of $1,304,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. Commercial approvals this financial year amount to $1032.6 million, reflecting strong local business investment.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park-Kemps Creek records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks at the 38th percentile nationally, suggesting relatively constrained buyer choice and interest in existing dwellings. This is below average nationally, likely due to the area's maturity and potential planning constraints. New building activity comprises 90.0% standalone homes and 10.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 453 people, reflecting a quiet development environment.

Population forecasts indicate Horsley Park-Kemps Creek will gain 90 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond projections.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure and major projects. AreaSearch has identified 80 such projects that could impact this area. Notable ones include the M12 Motorway, Western Sydney International Airport Business Precinct Stage One, Western Sydney Infrastructure Plan, and Western Sydney International Airport Precinct Road Network. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market strength in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 1.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 4.7% over the past year.

By June 2025, 2,384 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.5 percentage points lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. The workforce participation rate in the area is 52.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents are construction, manufacturing, and retail trade, with construction levels at 2.4 times the regional average. Health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 8.0% versus the regional average of 14.1%.

There are 1.3 workers for every resident in the area, indicating it functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. During the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.7%, labour force increased by 4.8%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% during this period. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%, comparing favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.3% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has a high national income level according to AreaSearch data from the ATO for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is $53,513, and the average income stands at $85,381. This compares with figures for Greater Sydney of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on a 10.6% growth in wages since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $59,185 (median) and $94,431 (average) as of March 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 87th percentile ($2,372 weekly), though personal income ranks lower at the 45th percentile. Distribution data shows that 26.3% of residents (1,137 people) fall into the $4,000+ bracket, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Horsley Park - Kemps Creek demonstrates considerable affluence with 39.0% earning over $3,000 per week. After housing costs, residents retain 88.4% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Horsley Park - Kemps Creek, as of the latest Census, 95.6% of dwellings were houses while 4.3% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments, compared to Sydney's metropolitan area where 73.3% were houses and 26.7% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek stood at 54.8%, with mortgaged properties making up 30.3% and rented ones accounting for 14.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,000, exceeding Sydney's metropolitan average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek was $440, higher than Sydney's metropolitan figure of $400. Nationally, mortgage repayments in the area were significantly higher at $3,000 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.0% of all households, including 46.8% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.0%, with lone person households at 13.7% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.2 people.

Educational outcomes in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.7%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (26.9%). Educational participation is high at 28.3%, comprising primary (9.7%), secondary (8.6%), and tertiary education (4.9%).

There are nine schools in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek educating approximately 2,955 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 999) and balanced educational opportunities. The schools include four primary, three secondary, and two K-12 institutions. The area serves as an education hub with 68.5 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 17.4, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis indicates 118 active transport stops within Horsley Park - Kemps Creek, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 64 individual routes that collectively facilitate 664 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to public transport is rated as moderate, with residents typically residing 419 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 94 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately five weekly trips per stop.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows positive health outcomes for Horsley Park - Kemps Creek residents. The prevalence of common health conditions is low compared to the general population but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts. Approximately 63% of the total population (2,738 people) has private health cover, which is high compared to Greater Sydney's 47.7% and the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and diabetes, affecting 8.8% and 5.9% of residents respectively. 72.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.6% across Greater Sydney. There is a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over in the area at 22.9% (991 people), compared to 19.0% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Horsley Park-Kemps Creek has a high level of cultural diversity, with 30.3% of its population born overseas and 40.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Horsley Park-Kemps Creek, accounting for 80.6% of people, compared to 55.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Italian (24.6%), Other (15.8%), and Australian (14.3%).

These figures differ significantly from regional averages: Italian is substantially higher (24.6% vs 5.1%), Other is notably lower (15.8% vs 32.7%), and Australian is substantially higher (14.3% vs 8.0%). Notable divergences also exist in the representation of Maltese (11.2% vs 1.2%), Croatian (3.4% vs 1.7%), and Serbian (1.7% vs 1.8%) ethnic groups.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has a median age of 44, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and the national norm of 38. The age group of 55-64 years shows strong representation at 15.0% compared to Greater Sydney, while the 35-44 cohort is less prevalent at 8.3%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 7.1% to 9.2%, and the 55 to 64 group increased from 13.9% to 15.0%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 14.6% to 12.7%, and the 35 to 44 group dropped from 9.5% to 8.3%. Demographic modeling indicates that Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 65 to 74 group is projected to grow by 36%, reaching 606 people from the current 446, with those aged 65 and above comprising all of the projected population growth. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 25 to 34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.