Horsley Park - Kemps Creek
Statistical Area - sa2

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's population was 4,326 as of Nov 2025, a decrease of 18 people from the 2021 Census figure of 4,344. This change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 4,194 in June 2024 and an additional 73 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 76 persons per square kilometer. While Horsley Park - Kemps Creek experienced a 0.4% decline since census, the SA3 area achieved 2.2% growth, indicating divergent trends. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth in the area during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by 223 persons based on latest population numbers, indicating a total increase of 2.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Horsley Park-Kemps Creek has recorded approximately 16 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 81 homes. As of FY2025-26, six approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice while developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties at an average construction cost value of $564,000. This financial year, commercial approvals amount to $1032.6 million, indicating high local commercial activity.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park-Kemps Creek records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks in the 38th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice that supports interest in existing dwellings. New building activity comprises 90% standalone homes and 10% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 453 people.

Looking ahead, Horsley Park-Kemps Creek is expected to grow by 90 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of 65 infrastructure projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include the Western Sydney International Airport Business Precinct Stage One, the Western Sydney International Airport Precinct Road Network, the Oakdale East Industrial Estate, and the Horsley Logistics Park Stage Two. The following list details those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has a skilled labour force with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 1.7% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.7%. As of June 2025, 2,384 residents were employed while workforce participation was 52.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents are construction, manufacturing, and retail trade. Construction stands out with employment levels at 2.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 8.0% versus the regional average of 14.1%. The area functions as an employment hub with 1.3 workers per resident, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.7%, labour force increased by 4.8%, while unemployment remained essentially unchanged. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising to 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.3% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has an exceptionally high income level nationally, according to AreaSearch data aggregated from the latest ATO figures for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is $53,513, with an average income of $85,381. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on a 12.61% increase in wages since financial year 2022, as indicated by the Wage Price Index, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $60,261 (median) and $96,148 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 87th percentile ($2,372 weekly), while personal income ranks at the 45th percentile. Distribution data shows that 26.3% of residents (1,137 people) earn over $4,000 per week, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket is dominant at 30.9%. Horsley Park - Kemps Creek exhibits significant affluence, with 39.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 88.4% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Horsley Park-Kemps Creek's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 95.6% houses and 4.3% other dwellings. This compares to Sydney metro's 73.3% houses and 26.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Horsley Park-Kemps Creek stood at 54.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.3% and rented ones at 14.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $440, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 85.0% of all households, including 46.8% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 15.0%, with lone person households at 13.7% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.2.

Educational outcomes in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.7%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (26.9%). Educational participation is high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: primary (9.7%), secondary (8.6%), and tertiary (4.9%).

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has a robust network of 9 schools educating approximately 2,955 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 999) and balanced educational opportunities. The area functions as an education hub with 68.3 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 17.4, attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek shows that there are 118 active transport stops operating in the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 64 individual routes providing service to the region. The combined weekly passenger trips across all these routes amount to 664.

The accessibility of public transport is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 419 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 94 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately five weekly trips per individual stop.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek residents had a relatively low prevalence of common health conditions compared to the general population, although it was higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts. Approximately 63% of the total population (2,738 people) had private health cover, which is higher than Greater Sydney's 47.7% and the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions were arthritis, affecting 8.8% of residents, and diabetes, impacting 5.9%.

A total of 72.3% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 75.6%. The area had a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 22.9% (991 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 19.0%. Health outcomes among seniors required more attention than the broader population.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Horsley Park-Kemps Creek has a high cultural diversity, with 30.3% of its population born overseas and 40.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion here, comprising 80.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 55.7%. The top three ancestry groups are Italian (24.6%), Other (15.8%), and Australian (14.3%).

Notably, Maltese (11.2%) Croatian (3.4%) and Serbian (1.7%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.2%, 1.7% and 1.8% respectively.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Horsley Park-Kemps Creek has a median age of 44, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and significantly exceeds the national average of 38. The age group of 55-64 years old makes up 15.0% of the population, compared to the Greater Sydney figure. However, the 35-44 age cohort represents only 8.3%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group has grown from 7.1% to 9.2%, while the 55-64 cohort increased from 13.9% to 15.0%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 14.6% to 12.7%, and the 35-44 age group dropped from 9.5% to 8.3%. Demographic projections suggest significant changes in Horsley Park-Kemps Creek's age profile by 2041. The 65-74 age group is expected to grow by 36%, reaching 606 people from the current 446, with all projected growth coming from those aged 65 and above. Meanwhile, the 55-64 and 25-34 age cohorts are predicted to experience population declines.