Horsley Park - Kemps Creek
Statistical Area - sa2

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Aug 2025, Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's population is approximately 4,326, a decrease of 18 people from the 2021 Census figure of 4,344. This decline reflects an estimated resident population of 4,194 in June 2024 and an additional 73 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is around 76 persons per square kilometer. While Horsley Park - Kemps Creek saw a 0.4% decrease since the census, the SA3 area as a whole experienced a 2.0% growth, indicating differing trends within the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, based on latest population numbers, Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is expected to grow by approximately 223 persons, representing a total increase of 2.1% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has recorded approximately 16 residential properties granted approval per year. Development approval data is provided by the ABS on a financial year basis, totalling 81 approvals across the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, with an additional 2 approved in FY-26 so far. The population has declined recently, suggesting new supply has kept pace with demand, offering good choice for buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $1,304,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $1032.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park - Kemps Creek records about three-quarters of the building activity per person and ranks among the 38th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. New building activity shows 90% standalone homes and 10% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

The estimated count of 453 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Looking ahead, Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is expected to grow by 90 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 80 projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include M12 Motorway, Western Sydney International Airport Business Precinct Stage One, Western Sydney Infrastructure Plan, and Western Sydney International Airport Precinct Road Network. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market strength in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has a skilled labour force with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate is 1.7% and it saw an estimated employment growth of 4.7% in the past year.

As of June 2025, there are 2,384 residents employed with an unemployment rate of 2.5%, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in the area is at 52.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents include construction, manufacturing, and retail trade. The area has a notable concentration in construction with employment levels at 2.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 8.0% versus the regional average of 14.1%. There are 1.3 workers for every resident, indicating that the area functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. In the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.7% while unemployment remained essentially unchanged at a rate of 2.5%. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising to 4.2%. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs) with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%, which compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's local employment growth could approximate an increase of approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the area's current employment mix.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has an extremely high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers is $53,513 and the average income stands at $85,381, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $59,185 (median) and $94,431 (average) as of March 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 87th percentile ($2,372 weekly), though personal income ranks lower at the 45th percentile. Distribution data shows the $4000+ bracket dominates with 26.3% of residents (1,137 people), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Horsley Park - Kemps Creek demonstrates considerable affluence with 39.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 88.4% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Horsley Park-Kemps Creek dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.6% houses and 4.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 73.3% houses and 26.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Horsley Park-Kemps Creek stood at 54.8%, with mortgaged properties at 30.3% and rented ones at 14.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,000, while the median weekly rent was $440 compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Horsley Park-Kemps Creek's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 85.0% of all households, including 46.8% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 15.0%, with lone person households at 13.7% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.2.

Educational outcomes in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The university qualification rate in the area is 16.7%, significantly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (26.9%). Educational participation is high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (9.7%), secondary (8.6%), and tertiary education (4.9%).

There are 9 schools operating within Horsley Park - Kemps Creek, educating approximately 2,955 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 999) and balanced educational opportunities. The schools include 4 primary, 3 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools. The area functions as an education hub with 68.3 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 17.4, attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 118 active stops operating in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 64 individual routes. They facilitate 664 weekly passenger trips collectively.

Transport accessibility is moderate, with residents usually located 419 metres from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 94 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 5 weekly trips per stop.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows that Horsley Park - Kemps Creek residents have relatively positive health outcomes. The prevalence of common health conditions among them is quite low compared to the general population, but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Approximately 63% of the total population (2,738 people) has private health cover, which is exceptionally high compared to 47.7% in Greater Sydney and the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and diabetes, affecting 8.8 and 5.9% of residents respectively. However, 72.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 22.9% of residents aged 65 and over (991 people), which is higher than the 19.0% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges that require more attention than those for the broader population.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Horsley Park-Kemps Creek has a high level of cultural diversity, with 30.3% of its population born overseas and 40.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Horsley Park-Kemps Creek, accounting for 80.6% of people, compared to 55.7% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Italian (24.6%), Other (15.8%), and Australian (14.3%).

Notably, Maltese is overrepresented at 11.2%, Croatian at 3.4%, and Serbian at 1.7%.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has a median age of 44, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and significantly exceeds the national norm of 38. The age group of 55-64 years old makes up 15.0% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 35-44 cohort represents 8.3%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 7.1% to 9.2%, and the 55 to 64 age group has risen from 13.9% to 15.0%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 14.6% to 12.7%, and the 35 to 44 cohort has dropped from 9.5% to 8.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's age profile. The 65 to 74 group is projected to grow by 36%, reaching 606 people from 446. This aging population trend indicates that those aged 65 and above will account for all the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 25 to 34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.