Horsley Park - Kemps Creek

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's population was 4,344 as of the 2021 Census. As of May 2026, it is around 4,159, a decrease of 185 people (4.3%). This change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 4,147 in June 2025 and an additional 89 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 73 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration primarily drove recent population growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where not covered by ABS data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by 179 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 4.0% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has recorded approximately 16 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 81 homes. In the current financial year FY-26, 17 approvals have been recorded to date. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has been keeping pace with demand, offering buyers good choice while developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties at an average construction cost value of $564,000. This financial year has seen $1.033 billion in commercial approvals registered, indicating high levels of local commercial activity.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Horsley Park - Kemps Creek records 19.0% less building activity per person and ranks among the 38th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. New building activity comprises 90.0% standalone homes and 10.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 453 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is expected to grow by 166 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 63 projects likely affecting this region. Notable projects include Western Sydney Super Battery at Kemps Creek, the road network for Western Sydney International Airport Precinct, Mamre Road Upgrade from Erskine Park Road to Kerrs Road, and Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being notably represented. The unemployment rate was 1.7% in December 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.1%.

As of December 2025, 2,368 residents were employed. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A high proportion, 37.3%, worked from home according to Census responses. Key industries include construction, manufacturing, and retail trade.

Construction employment levels were at 2.4 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance showed lower representation at 8.0% versus the regional average of 14.1%. There were 1.3 workers for every resident in the area, indicating it functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.1%, labour force grew by 4.9%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.3% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

The Horsley Park - Kemps Creek SA2 had an extremely high national income level according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $58,340 and the average income stood at $84,709. These figures compared to those of Greater Sydney, which were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $64,361 for the median income and $93,451 for the average income as of March 2026. According to figures from the 2021 Census, household incomes ranked exceptionally at the 86th percentile with a weekly income of $2,372, though personal income ranked lower at the 44th percentile. Distribution data showed that the $4000+ bracket dominated with 26.3% of residents (1,093 people), contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket led at 30.9%. Horsley Park - Kemps Creek demonstrated considerable affluence with 39.0% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retained 88.4% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Horsley Park-Kemps Creek's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.6% houses and 4.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Horsley Park-Kemps Creek stood at 54.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.3% and rented ones at 14.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in the area was $440, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Horsley Park-Kemps Creek's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.0% of all households, including 46.8% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.0%, with lone person households at 13.7% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.7%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with 12.7% of residents holding one. Postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas follow at 3.2% and 0.8% respectively. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15+ having them.

Advanced diplomas account for 9.5%, while certificates make up 26.9%. Educational participation is high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has 131 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 64 different routes that together facilitate 752 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate; residents live an average of 419 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 92%. Five percent walk to their destinations. On average, there are 2.5 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 37.3% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions. Each route services an average of 107 trips per day, resulting in about five weekly trips per stop. The map provided displays the 100 nearest stops to the area's center point.

Health outcomes in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Horsley Park - Kemps Creek based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (2,561 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and diabetes, impacting 8.8% and 5.9% of residents respectively. Conversely, 72.3% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 23.2% of residents aged 65 and over (964 people), which is higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Horsley Park-Kemps Creek had a higher cultural diversity than most nearby areas, with 30.3% of its residents born overseas and 40.7% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Horsley Park-Kemps Creek, accounting for 80.6%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Italian (24.6%), Other (15.8%), and Australian (14.3%).

Notably, Maltese (11.2%) was significantly higher than the regional average of 1.0%, Croatian (3.4%) surpassed the regional average by 2.7%, and Serbian (1.7%) exceeded it by 1.2%.

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Horsley Park - Kemps Creek has a median age of 44, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and significantly exceeds the national norm of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.7% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 35-44 cohort makes up 8.6%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 7.1% to 9.0%, and the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 14.6% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates that Horsley Park - Kemps Creek's age profile will significantly change. The 65 to 74 group is projected to grow by 35%, reaching 602 people from the current 445. This growth is driven entirely by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising all of the projected growth. Conversely, the 55 to 64 and 25 to 34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.