Erskine Park

Erskine Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Erskine Park's estimated population is 6,460 as of November 2025, based on AreaSearch analysis and ABS population updates. This figure reflects a decrease of 26 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,486. The change was inferred from the resident population estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 770 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed approximately 63.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Over this period, projections indicate an overall population decline in the suburb. By 2041, the area's population is expected to decrease by 224 persons according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, with the 75 to 84 age group projected to expand by 385 people.

The level of residential development activity in Erskine Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Erskine Park has seen approximately 10 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 52 homes were approved, with an additional 7 approved so far in FY-26. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has been keeping pace with demand, offering buyers good choice.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $299,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options. This financial year has seen $58.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Erskine Park records markedly lower building activity, 66.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. Nationally, Erskine Park also reflects market maturity and possible development constraints with lower building activity. New building activity shows 82.0% detached houses and 18.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

This is a considerable change from the current housing mix of 98.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The estimated count of 587 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Erskine Park should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Erskine Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified ten projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include ESR Erskine Park Logistics Estate, Erskine Park Employment Area (EPEA) Expansion, BlueScope Western Sydney Service Centre Expansion, and Mamre Road Stage 2 Upgrade. The following list details projects most relevant to the area.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Erskine Park demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Erskine Park has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 2.4% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

The area had 3,882 residents employed and a workforce participation rate of 67.6%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries were construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction had an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

The area functioned as an employment hub with 1.2 workers per resident as at the Census. Between Jun-24 and Jul-25, labour force decreased by 2.3%, while employment declined by 2.1%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Erskine Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Erskine Park had a median income among taxpayers of $56,872 with the average level standing at $63,145. These figures are just below the national average and compare to levels of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $64,044 (median) and $71,108 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 85th percentile with a weekly income of $2,349. Income analysis reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 38.6% of residents (2,493 people), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. Economic strength emerges through 33.7% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.3% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 86th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Erskine Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Erskine Park's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 98.3% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 81.7% houses and 18.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Erskine Park was 31.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.5% and rented ones at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $450, higher than Sydney metro's $390. Nationally, Erskine Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Erskine Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 87.0% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.7% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.8.

Educational outcomes in Erskine Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas comprise 10.3% and certificates make up 27.8%. Educational participation is high at 27.9%, including 9.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

James Erskine Public School and Erskine Park High School serve a total of 1,348 students. The area's ICSEA score is 978, indicating typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities. There is one primary and one secondary institution providing education in the area. School capacity exceeds residential needs, with 20.9 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 15.0, suggesting it serves as an educational hub for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Erskine Park has 50 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together facilitate 742 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 177 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 106 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Erskine Park's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows strong health metrics throughout Erskine Park, with both young and elderly experiencing low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover is at approximately 52% of the total population (~3,354 people), leading the average SA2 area rate, which stands at 49.7% across Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 7.6% and 7.3% of residents respectively. A total of 71.7% report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 69.7% in Greater Sydney. As of the latest data (2016), 13.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (891 people). Health outcomes among seniors align with those of the general population.

Erskine Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine Park's population showed high cultural diversity, with 26.5% born overseas and 23.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Erskine Park, making up 66.2%, compared to 60.9% in Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (24.1%), English (20.6%), and Other (14.5%).

Notably, Maltese representation stood at 4.1% versus the regional average of 2.6%. Filipino representation was 4.7%, close to the regional figure of 4.5%. Samoan representation was lower than the regional average, at 1.3% compared to 2.1%.

Erskine Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Erskine Park has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Sydney's figure of 37 years and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.9% of Erskine Park's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 12.9%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and the present, the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 7.8% to 9.4%, while the 75 to 84 group increased from 2.2% to 3.7%. During this period, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 14.1% to 12.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Erskine Park's age structure. The 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 151%, reaching 601 people from its current figure of 239. This growth will be driven entirely by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising all of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to experience population declines.