Erskine Park

Erskine Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, the population of Erskine Park is estimated at around 6462 people, reflecting a decrease of 24 individuals since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 6486. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 6459 following examination of the latest ABS data release in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is approximately 770 persons per square kilometer, aligning with averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed around 63% of overall population gains during recent periods. Population projections for Erskine Park are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former.

For years 2032 to 2041, growth rates by age group are applied across all areas. According to these projections, Erskine Park's population is expected to decline by 224 persons by 2041, with an anticipated increase of 390 people in the 75 to 84 age group during this period.

The level of residential development activity in Erskine Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Erskine Park has seen approximately 10 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between financial years FY-21 to FY-25, around 53 homes were approved, with an additional 15 approved so far in FY-26. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely been meeting demand, providing good options for buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $299,000, aligning with regional trends. This financial year has seen $58.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Erskine Park records significantly lower building activity, 66.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. Nationally, Erskine Park's building activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New building activity comprises 83.0% detached houses and 17.0% medium to high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 587 people, indicating a quiet, low-activity development environment. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Erskine Park should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Erskine Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Ten projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. Key projects include ESR Erskine Park Logistics Estate, Erskine Park Employment Area (EPEA) Expansion, BlueScope Western Sydney Service Centre Expansion, and Mamre Road Stage 2 Upgrade. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Erskine Park demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Erskine Park has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 2.6% as of AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. By December 2025, 3726 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.6% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stood at 72.7%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 30.6% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries were construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The area showed strong specialization in construction with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level, while professional & technical services had lower representation at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

There was a ratio of 1.2 workers per resident as at the Census, indicating Erskine Park functioned as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force decreased by 4.8% while employment declined by 4.4%, resulting in a fall of 0.4 percentage points in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Erskine Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, Erskine Park suburb had median income among taxpayers of $56,872 and average income of $63,145. These figures are below national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% from financial year ended June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $61,911 and average income around $68,740 as of September 2025. As per 2021 Census data, Erskine Park's household incomes rank at the 85th percentile with weekly earnings of $2,349. Income analysis shows that majority of residents (38.6%, or 2,494 people) fall within the income bracket of $1,500 to $2,999, which is consistent with broader regional trends. Economic strength is evident with 33.7% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, indicating robust consumer spending. Housing expenses account for 14.3% of income. Erskine Park residents rank within the 86th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Erskine Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Erskine Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.3% houses and 1.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Erskine Park was higher at 31.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.5% and rented ones at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Erskine Park's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Erskine Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 87.0% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.0%, consisting of 11.7% lone person households and 1.5% group households. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Erskine Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (27.8%). Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.5% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Erskine Park has 68 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together facilitate 1,047 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from a resident's home to the nearest transport stop is 177 meters, indicating excellent accessibility. Most residents commute outwards due to Erskine Park being primarily residential. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation, used by 93% of residents. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 30.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, an average of 149 trips are made daily, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Erskine Park's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Erskine Park residents show positive health outcomes according to AreaSearch's analysis. Mortality rates and health conditions align with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are low across age cohorts. Private health cover is 52% (3,355 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Asthma affects 7.6%, arthritis 7.3%; 71.7% report no medical ailments, versus Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age population health outcomes are typical. Seniors (15.0%, 969 people) have above-average health outcomes, matching national rankings.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Erskine Park was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine Park's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 26.5% born overseas and 23.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Erskine Park, comprising 66.2% of its population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Erskine Park are Australian (24.1%), English (20.6%), and Other (14.5%).

Notably, Maltese representation is higher at 4.1%, Filipino at 4.7%, and Samoan at 1.3%, compared to regional averages of 1.0%, 2.0%, and 0.5% respectively.

Erskine Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Erskine Park's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.8% of Erskine Park's population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 12.3%. Between 2021 and now, the 65-74 age group has risen from 7.8% to 10.0%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 2.2% to 4.2%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 14.1% to 12.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Erskine Park's age structure. The 75-84 group is projected to grow by 124%, reaching 609 people from 271. This growth is driven entirely by those aged 65 and above. Meanwhile, the 45-54 and 25-34 cohorts are expected to decrease in population.