Erskine Park

Erskine Park has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Erskine Park is around 6462, a decrease of 24 people since the 2021 Census figure of 6486. This change reflects an estimated resident population of 6459 in Jun 2024, with 15 new addresses validated since the Census date. The population density is approximately 770 persons per square kilometer, aligning with averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed about 63% to overall population gains during recent periods. Population projections for Erskine Park are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former.

By 2041, Erskine Park's population is projected to decline by 224 persons overall, while specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75-84 age group which is projected to expand by 385 people.

The level of residential development activity in Erskine Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Erskine Park has seen approximately 10 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 52 homes were approved, with a further 11 approved in FY-26 to date. The average construction cost value for new properties is $299,000, aligning with regional trends.

Commercial approvals this financial year totalled $58.4 million, indicating robust commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Erskine Park has significantly lower building activity, 66.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. Nationally, Erskine Park's building activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and potential development constraints. New building activity comprises 82.0% detached houses and 18.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. This represents a shift from the current housing mix of 98.0% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 615 people, reflecting Erskine Park's quiet, low activity development environment. With population expected to remain stable or decline, the area should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially presenting opportunities for buyers.

Erskine Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Ten projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact the area, significantly influencing its performance due to changes in local infrastructure. These key projects include ESR Erskine Park Logistics Estate, Erskine Park Employment Area (EPEA) Expansion, BlueScope Western Sydney Service Centre Expansion, and Mamre Road Stage 2 Upgrade. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Erskine Park ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Erskine Park has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate is 2.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 3780 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 74.0%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census data shows that 30.6% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The area has a strong specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level, but professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

There are 1.2 workers for every resident, indicating that Erskine Park functions as an employment hub hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force decreased by 4.2% while employment declined by 3.5%, resulting in a fall of 0.7 percentage points in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Erskine Park's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation using the local employment profile.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Erskine Park had a median taxpayer income of $56,872 and an average income of $63,145. These figures are below the national average and compare to $60,817 and $83,003 for Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $61,911 (median) and $68,740 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Erskine Park's household incomes rank at the 85th percentile ($2,349 weekly). The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 is dominant with 38.6% of residents, consistent with broader regional trends showing 30.9% in the same category. High consumer spending is supported by 33.7% of households earning over $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 14.3% of income, and residents rank at the 86th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Erskine Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Erskine Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.3% houses and 1.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Erskine Park stood at 31%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.5% and rented ones at 19.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in the area was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Erskine Park's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Erskine Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.0% of all households, including 49.3% couples with children, 24.2% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 11.7% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Erskine Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 27.8%. Educational participation is high, with 27.9% currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.5% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Erskine Park has 68 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes, offering a total of 1,047 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 177 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Erskine Park's primarily residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 93%. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 30.6% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 149 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per individual stop.

Erskine Park's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Erskine Park's health data shows positive results, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. The prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~3,355 people), slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 7.6 and 7.3% of residents respectively, with 71.7% reporting no medical ailments compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents are typical. The area has 14.8% of residents aged 65 and over (956 people), with health outcomes among seniors above average and in line with national rankings.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Erskine Park was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Erskine Park has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 26.5% of its population born overseas and 23.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Erskine Park, making up 66.2% of its population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Erskine Park are Australian (24.1%), English (20.6%), and Other (14.5%).

Notably, Maltese (4.1%) and Filipino (4.7%) populations are higher than the regional averages of 1.0% and 2.0%, respectively. Samoan population is also higher at 1.3%.

Erskine Park's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Erskine Park has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group is strongly represented at 14.7%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 12.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 65 to 74 age group grew from 7.8% to 9.9%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 2.2% to 4.2%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort decreased from 14.1% to 12.3%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Erskine Park's age structure. The 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 121%, reaching 601 people from 271. This growth is led by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising all of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.