Flynn (ACT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flynn reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Flynn's (ACT) population is estimated at around 3,686 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 15 people (0.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,671 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,672 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest Estimated Resident Population data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,755 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Flynn's 0.4% growth since census positions it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.4%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. As we examine future population trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb's population expected to shrink by 450 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 27 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flynn recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Flynn has seen around 6 new homes approved each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY21 and FY25, approximately 32 homes have been approved, with none so far in FY26.

On average, 5.2 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed over these years, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average value of $265,000, under regional levels, suggesting more accessible housing choices for buyers. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Flynn records markedly lower building activity, 69.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties, though development activity has picked up in recent periods. Nationally, this activity is also below average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity shows an equal split between detached houses (50.0%) and medium to high-density housing (50.0%), creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This marks a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (96.0%).

The location has approximately 333 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. With population projections showing stability or decline, Flynn should see reduced housing demand pressures in the future, benefiting potential buyers.

Flynn has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting this region. Key projects are Ginninderry Stage 3 - The Valley Release, Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), Kippax Fair Expansion & Upgrade, and Macnamara Residential Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Flynn has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Flynn's workforce is highly educated with significant representation in essential services. The unemployment rate was 5.0% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.7%.

As of June 2025, 1,958 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.6% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.4%. Workforce participation in Flynn is similar to that of the Australian Capital Territory at 69.6%. The leading employment industries among residents are public administration & safety, education & training, and construction. Construction is particularly specialized with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have limited presence at 8.6% compared to the regional average of 11.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in Sep-22, employment increased by 2.7% while labour force grew by 1.6%, leading to a 1.0 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, Australian Capital Territory experienced employment growth of 1.9% and labour force growth of 1.6%, with a 0.3 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Flynn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, although these are simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Flynn's median income among taxpayers is $68,838, with an average of $77,813. This is notably high compared to national figures and the Australian Capital Territory's median of $68,678 and average of $83,634. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.6% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $78,200 (median) and $88,396 (average). The 2021 Census figures indicate that household, family, and personal incomes in Flynn rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 94th percentiles. Income distribution data shows that 31.4% of locals (1,157 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 34.3% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 45.2% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flynn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Flynn, according to the latest Census evaluation, 96.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 3.5% being other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This differs from the Australian Capital Territory's distribution of 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flynn stood at 34.9%, with mortgaged properties making up 49.6% and rented dwellings accounting for 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Flynn was recorded at $481, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $430. Nationally, Flynn's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Flynn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.1% of all households, including 41.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.9%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households making up 3.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Flynn demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Flynn trail regional benchmarks, with 37.5% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 46.8% in SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 22.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Trade and technical skills are also prevalent, with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (19.8%). Educational participation is high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (11.3%), secondary education (8.1%), and tertiary education (5.9%). Educational facilities may be located outside Flynn's immediate boundaries, requiring residents to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Flynn indicates that there are 20 active transport stops currently operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with three individual routes providing service. In total, these routes facilitate 521 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Flynn is rated as excellent, with residents typically located approximately 174 meters from their nearest transport stop. The average service frequency across all routes is 74 trips per day, which translates to roughly 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Flynn are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Flynn shows below-average health indicators, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 58%, covering 2,135 people. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.6%) and arthritis (8.4%). A total of 67.4% of residents declare themselves clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.1% in the Australian Capital Territory. Flynn has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.0% (626 people), compared to 15.3% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Flynn was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Flynn's population shows cultural diversity with 20.4% born overseas and 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 45.1%. Judaism is slightly overrepresented in Flynn at 0.2%, compared to 0.1% across Australian Capital Territory.

The top three ancestral groups are English (27.3%), Australian (25.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Notably, Welsh (1.0%) Polish (0.9%) and Spanish (0.6%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Flynn compared to regional averages of 0.6%, 0.8%, and 0.5% respectively.

Flynn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Flynn's median age is 37 years, slightly older than Australian Capital Territory's 35 but aligned with Australia's national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group comprises 15.0% of Flynn's population compared to the Australian Capital Territory figure. The 25-34 age cohort makes up 13.1% of Flynn's population, which is lower than the Australian Capital Territory percentage. Between 2021 and present day, the 85+ age group has grown from 0.8% to 1.6% of Flynn's population. Conversely, the 45-54 age cohort has decreased from 13.3% to 11.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Flynn. The 85+ age group is projected to increase by 21 people (36%) from 58 to 80. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for all of Flynn's population growth between now and 2041, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Both the 75-84 and 0-4 age groups are forecasted to decrease in number by 2041.