Flynn (ACT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flynn reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Flynn (ACT) statistical area level 2, also known as the Flynn (ACT) SA2, is estimated to be around 3,686 as of November 2025. This estimate reflects an increase since the Census in 2021, when the population was reported as 3,671 people. The increase of 15 people represents a growth rate of approximately 0.4%. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,672 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024, combined with an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. The current population density ratio is around 1,755 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Comparing Flynn's growth rate of 0.4% since census to the SA3 area's growth rate of 2.7%, indicates competitive growth fundamentals for the Flynn (ACT) SA2.

The primary driver of population growth in the area has been overseas migration, contributing approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. For future projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia's projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, using 2022 as the base year. According to these projections, over the period until 2041, the Flynn (ACT) SA2's population is expected to decline by 450 persons. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow during this time, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 27 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flynn recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Flynn shows around 6 new homes approved annually. From FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 32 homes were approved, with 2 more expected in FY-26.

This results in about 5.2 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the same period. Demand significantly outpaces supply, typically exerting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $265,000. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Flynn exhibits substantially reduced construction activity (69.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. Recently, however, construction activity has intensified. Nationally, Flynn's building activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New building activity in Flynn consists of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% medium and high-density housing. This shift from the current housing mix (96.0% houses) addresses reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 333 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. With population expected to remain stable or decline in Flynn, pressure on housing is likely to reduce, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Flynn has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a single project that is expected to impact the area. Key projects include Ginninderry Stage 3 - The Valley Release, Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), Kippax Fair Expansion & Upgrade, and Macnamara Residential Estate. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Flynn has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Flynn has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 4.9% and there was a 2.1% increase in employment over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 1,930 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.4% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation is similar to ACT's 69.6%. Major employment industries include public administration & safety, education & training, and construction. Construction has a particularly strong presence with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have limited representation at 8.6% compared to the regional average of 11.1%. The predominantly residential area may offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population numbers. In the past year, Flynn saw a 2.1% increase in employment alongside a 0.8% growth in labour force, leading to a 1.2 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. Meanwhile, ACT experienced 1.4% employment growth and 1.2% labour force growth with a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment rate. State-level data up to 25-Nov-25 shows ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years for Australia. Applying these projections to Flynn's current employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 6.2% in five years and 12.7% in ten years, though these are simplified extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Flynn's median income among taxpayers is $68,838. The average income is $77,813. Nationally, this is very high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $75,212 (median) and $85,018 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Flynn's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 94th percentiles. Distribution data shows that 31.4% of locals (1,157 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. This pattern is similar to surrounding regions where 34.3% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 45.2% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flynn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Flynn's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Australian Capital Territory had 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flynn was higher at 34.9%, with the rest being mortgaged (49.6%) or rented (15.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, above the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent was $481, compared to the Australian Capital Territory figure of $430. Nationally, Flynn's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Flynn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.1% of all households, consisting of 41.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.9%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Flynn demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Flynn trail regional benchmarks, with 37.5% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 46.8% in SA4 region by June 2021. Bachelor degrees lead at 22.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (19.8%) as of June 2021. Educational participation is notably high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education by June 2021.

This includes 11.3% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education during the same period.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 20 active stops operating within Flynn, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 64 routes, offering a total of 4,435 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 174 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 633 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 221 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Flynn are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Flynn shows below-average health outcomes, with common conditions affecting both younger and older residents.

Private health cover is high at approximately 58%, covering around 2,135 people. Mental health issues impact 9.6% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.4%. A total of 67.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 68.1% in the Australian Capital Territory. Flynn has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.0%, or 626 people, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 15.3%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges similar to those of the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Flynn records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Flynn's population showed cultural diversity with 20.4% born overseas and 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 45.1%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (27.3%), Australian (25.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Welsh (1.0% vs regional 0.6%), Polish (0.9% vs 0.8%), and Spanish (0.6% vs 0.5%) were overrepresented in Flynn.

Flynn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Flynn's median age is 37 years, slightly older than Australian Capital Territory's 35 but aligned with Australia's national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group constitutes 15.0%, higher than Australian Capital Territory, while the 25-34 cohort represents 13.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 85+ age group has increased from 0.8% to 1.6% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 13.3% to 11.4%. By 2041, Flynn's population forecast shows significant demographic shifts. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 21 people (36%), from 58 to 80. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for all total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, both the 75-84 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.