Flynn (ACT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flynn reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As per ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation for the suburb of Flynn (ACT), the estimated population as of May 2026 is approximately 3,712. This figure represents an increase of 41 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,671. The current resident population estimate of 3,710 by AreaSearch, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and validation of 13 new addresses since the Census date, indicates this increase. This results in a population density ratio of 1,767 persons per square kilometer, higher than average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods for the suburb.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, also based on 2022, are used. Future population trends indicate an overall decline in the suburb's population. According to these projections, the population is expected to decrease by 446 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 22 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flynn recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Flynn has seen approximately six new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, around 32 homes were approved, with two more approved in FY26 to date.

This results in an average of 5.2 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed yearly over these five years. Consequently, demand significantly outpaces supply, typically exerting upward pressure on prices and intensifying competition among buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average construction cost value of $265,000. Comparatively, Flynn shows substantially reduced construction activity, 69.0% below the regional average per person in Australian Capital Territory. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. However, recent construction activity has intensified. Nationally, this reflects market maturity and possible development constraints.

New building activity in Flynn comprises 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% medium and high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points, appealing to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This marks a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 96.0% houses. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Flynn has approximately 333 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Flynn should see reduced pressure on housing in the future, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Flynn has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one project likely affecting the region: Ginninderry Masterplanned Community - Strathnairn & Macnamara. Key projects include Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+), Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment, and Macnamara Residential Estate. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Flynn has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Flynn's workforce is highly educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.8%. As of December 2025, 1,932 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.0%, slightly higher than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation was similar to ACT's at 70.5%. According to Census responses, 13.1% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The leading employment industries were public administration & safety, education & training, and construction. Flynn had a particular specialization in construction with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services had limited presence at 8.6%, compared to the regional average of 11.1%. The predominantly residential area offered limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the working population vs resident population count. In the 12-month period ending in May-25, Flynn saw employment increase by 1.8% and labour force grow by 0.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, ACT experienced employment growth of 0.9% and labour force growth of 1.2%, with a slight rise in unemployment to 4.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Flynn's local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Flynn's current employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Flynn's median income among taxpayers is $68,838. The average income in Flynn is $77,813. Nationally, this is very high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Flynn would be approximately $76,025 (median) and $85,937 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Flynn rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 94th percentiles. Distribution data shows that 31.4% of locals (1,165 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income category, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 34.3% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 45.2% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flynn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Flynn, as assessed in the latest Census, 96.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 3.5% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with the Australian Capital Territory's composition of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flynn stood at 34.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.6% and rented ones at 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent in Flynn was $481, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $450. Nationally, Flynn's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Flynn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 81.1% of all households, including 41.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.9%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Flynn demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Flynn trail regional benchmarks; 37.5% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to 46.8% in SA4 region. Bachelor degrees lead at 22.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (19.8%). Educational participation is notably high; 31.0% of residents are currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.3% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Flynn has 20 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are serviced by 64 different routes that collectively facilitate 4,435 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport in Flynn is rated as excellent; residents typically live within 174 meters of the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 93% of residents. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 13.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 633 trips per day, equating to approximately 221 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Flynn are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Flynn's health indicators show below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat typical for the general population but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.6% and 8.4% of residents respectively. Approximately 67.4% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population, which consists of around 2,150 people. This compares to a national average of 62.4%. Working-age residents in Flynn have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.0% of residents aged 65 and over, comprising 668 people, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory's 14.3%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Flynn records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Flynn's population shows cultural diversity, with 20.4% born overseas and 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Flynn, practiced by 45.1%. Judaism is slightly overrepresented compared to Australian Capital Territory figures, comprising 0.2% of Flynn's population.

The top three ancestry groups are English (27.3%), Australian (25.8%), and Irish (10%). Notably, Welsh (1.0%) Polish (0.9%) and Spanish (0.6%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Flynn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Flynn's median age is 37 years, slightly older than the Australian Capital Territory's 35 but closely aligned with the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group makes up 14.6% of Flynn's population compared to the Australian Capital Territory, while the 25-34 age group comprises 12.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 4.8% to 6.2%, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 0.8% to 2.0%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 13.3% to 11.7%, and the 55-64 group has fallen from 11.1% to 10.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Flynn. The 85+ age cohort is projected to increase by 13 people (19%), growing from 74 to 88. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting Flynn's aging demographic trend. Conversely, both the 75-84 and 15-24 age groups are expected to decrease in number.