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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Flynn (ACT) has an estimated 3,712 residents, up from 3,671 at the 2021 Census — a change of 41 people, or 1.1%. Growth has averaged 0.9% a year over five years, slower than 86% of areas nationally. That puts 1,768 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the population of the suburb of Flynn (ACT) is approximated at 3,712, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS regional demographic releases and newly validated local addresses since the Census. This represents an addition of 41 people (1.1%) relative to the 3,671 people recorded in the 2021 Census. This adjustment stems from an estimated resident base of 3,710 derived from the ABS ERP figures published in June 2025, alongside 13 validated new addresses confirmed after the Census. Consequently, population density stands at 1,767 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical nationwide benchmark across AreaSearch study locations.
Inward overseas migration served as the principal demographic driver, accounting for roughly 51.0% of all recent population gains. Projections for the suburb of Flynn (ACT) incorporate ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 models published in 2024 (using 2022 as their starting baseline), supplemented after 2032 or where gaps exist by ACT Government SA2 age-cohort projections with an identical 2022 baseline. Applying this framework, demographic modelling points toward a downward overall trend, projecting the local population to contract by 439 persons by 2041. In contrast to the overarching decline, certain segments will expand, most notably residents aged 85 and over, which is slated to add 19 people. More specifics are outlined in the age section.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
32 new dwellings have been approved in Flynn (ACT) over the past five years, an average of 6 a year. That is 1.6 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 2, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Examining ABS building approval figures aggregated across statistical zones, AreaSearch identifies an annual approval rate of roughly 6 residential properties in Flynn, accumulating to an estimated 32 homes sanctioned across the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 2 permitted during FY-25 to date. An intake rate of 5.2 new residents per year per dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) indicates that residential construction is trailing demand considerably, which typically intensifies purchaser competition and puts upward pressure on prices. Furthermore, new properties feature an average expected construction cost of $273,000—under regional averages—providing more economical product for incoming buyers.
Building activity across Flynn is notably subdued when set against the broader Australian Capital Territory, tracking 74.0% below regional average per person and lower than national levels, signalling both planning restrictions and an established market. Half of recent approvals (50.0%) represent standalone houses while the other 50.0% comprise medium and high-density dwellings. This move toward greater density introduces accessible entry points for first-home buyers, downsizers, and investors. It also marks a departure from the established neighborhood fabric (presently 96.0% detached houses), highlighting scarce land for subdivision alongside shifting household requirements and demand for affordable diversity. A metric of approximately 671 people per approval underscores an established, mature residential setting. With demographic forecasts pointing to a stable or diminishing headcount, reduced pressure on the housing stock could yield advantageous purchasing conditions across Flynn.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Flynn (ACT)
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Flynn (ACT), worth an estimated $4.5 billion. A further 5 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $11 billion. 5 are already under construction and 2 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local economic and property performance is heavily influenced by major infrastructure investments and urban planning initiatives. AreaSearch has pinpointed 1 key development expected to influence the district. Prominent projects in the vicinity include Ginninderry Masterplanned Community - Strathnairn & Macnamara, Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+), Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment, and Macnamara Residential Estate, with relevant specifics detailed in the project register.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Ginninderry Masterplanned Community - Strathnairn & Macnamara
Ginninderry is a cross-border masterplanned community in West Belconnen delivered by the ACT Government and Riverview Group joint venture. Planned to accommodate 30,000 residents across approximately 11,500 dwellings over a 37-year period, the project spans the ACT and NSW border. The first suburb, Strathnairn, is substantially developed with over 2,700 residents as of early 2025. The second suburb, Macnamara, is actively under development with approximately 300-400 lots released annually. Key recent milestones include the opening of Strathnairn School (programmed for the 2026 school year), multi-unit site releases in Strathnairn Village adjacent to the future retail centre, and ongoing single residential lot releases.The community is forecast to reach approximately 5,000 residents by 2028. The project incorporates a 6 Star Green Star sustainability rating, conservation corridor management along the Murrumbidgee River and Ginninderra Creek, and the SPARK employment program.
Macgregor Primary School Expansion & Modernisation
Major upgrade and expansion of Macgregor Primary School at Hirschfeld Crescent, Macgregor ACT, delivering new learning hubs, additional classrooms, and improved playground facilities. The project is driven by growing enrolments from adjacent new residential developments including The Valley Ponds and the broader Ginninderry estate. The ACT Education Directorate and Infrastructure Canberra are delivering the works, with completion targeted for 2026.
The Valley Ponds - Stage 3 & Future Stages
Final residential stages of the established Macgregor suburb in Belconnen, delivering over 400 new homes in The Valley Ponds precinct. The estate is adjacent to Ginninderra Creek and the future Ginninderry conservation corridor and pond network, offering a mix of block sizes with connections to open space and green corridors.
Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+)
Canberra's largest master-planned community spanning the ACT-NSW border in West Belconnen, delivering approximately 11,500 dwellings across four suburbs over 30-40 years on a 1,600-hectare site. Over 37% of land is set aside as a conservation corridor along the Murrumbidgee River and Ginninderra Creek. Two suburbs are underway: Strathnairn (909 occupied dwellings as of early 2025) and Macnamara (13 occupied, 11 under construction). A primary school opens 2026, and the first local shopping centre is targeted for 2027.Certified as a 6-Star Green Star Community.
Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment
Major redevelopment and expansion of Kippax Fair shopping centre in West Belconnen, delivering a completely new mixed-use precinct across two stages. The project will triple retail floor space, adding a new full-line Coles and expanded Woolworths alongside the existing Aldi. Plans include approximately 180 new dwellings (including 24 affordable and public housing units) built as shop-top housing, 450 underground car parks, a 6,000sqm park, a community hub, skate park, and indoor and outdoor dining. The ACT Government finalised a direct land sale agreement with owners the Christodoulou family in August 2024, with a $12 million community infrastructure commitment.A development application was expected to be publicly notified by mid-2025.
Macnamara Residential Estate
Macnamara is the second residential suburb in the Ginninderry Joint Venture, a 6 Star Green Star community on the western edge of Belconnen. Delivered by Suburban Land Agency and Riverview Developments, the suburb will deliver approximately 1,800 homes on land bordering the Ginninderry Conservation Corridor, with views to the Brindabella Mountains. Multiple land stages are actively selling as of 2025-2026, with blocks from 540sqm priced from $615,000. A local retail centre is planned for 2027 (subject to approval) and Strathnairn Early Childhood and Education Centre is partially opening in 2026.
1,935 residents of Flynn (ACT) are employed, from a labour force of 2,041. Unemployment sits at 5.2%, with participation at 68.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,825, about 76% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Flynn features an educated local labour pool concentrated in essential services, accompanied by an unemployment rate of 5.2% and annual employment growth of 0.9%, based on AreaSearch statistical aggregations. By March 2026, employed residents totaled 1,935. The area's jobless rate exceeds the 4.1% recorded for the Australian Capital Territory by 1.1%, while local labour participation stands at 68.3%, slightly trailing the wider territory benchmark of 70.6%. Census findings indicate that 13.1% of workers carried out their duties from home, though pandemic-related movement restrictions during that period should be noted. Public administration & safety, education & training, and construction constitute the leading fields of employment for local residents.
The workforce exhibits pronounced specialization in construction, employing 1.5 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 8.6% of local jobs compared to 11.1% throughout the Australian Capital Territory. As demonstrated by the disparity between the working population tally and resident totals in the Census, this residential community provides comparatively few jobs within its own borders. According to AreaSearch analysis of combined ABS and SALM regional figures, the 12-month period saw employment expand by 0.9% alongside a 1.0% expansion in the labour pool, preserving a steady unemployment level. Over the same timeframe across the Australian Capital Territory, employment rose by 0.3%, the labour force expanded by 1.1%, and unemployment climbed by 0.7 percentage points. Looking forward, national forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 give indication of future employment trends. Although nationwide employment is modeled to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trajectories vary by industry. Projecting these sector-level expectations onto Flynn's workforce indicates potential local job expansion of 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years (a weighted structural extrapolation that excludes local demographic projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Flynn (ACT) is $2,728 a week (about $142,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,173 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $68,838 a year against an average of $77,813. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Data from the ATO for financial year 2023 at the postcode level confirms that Flynn maintains very strong income levels nationally, recording a median of $68,838 and an average of $77,813, compared to the Australian Capital Territory figures of $72,206 (median) and $85,981 (average). Factoring in a 10.44% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 elevates current March 2026 estimates to roughly $76,025 for the median and $85,937 for the average. The 2021 Census placed local individual, family, and household earnings between the 89th and 94th percentiles nationally.
The largest income bracket contains 31.4% of residents (1,165 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the 34.3% regional benchmark. Furthermore, 45.2% of households generate weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, underscoring solid spending capacity, while households retain 88.2% of income after servicing housing costs, placing the area in the 8th decile for SEIFA income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Flynn (ACT) had 1,214 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 97% detached houses and 0% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 35% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $481 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month. Rent absorbs 17.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the local housing landscape was made up of 96.5% separate houses and 3.5% other dwellings (incorporating apartments, attached homes, and other dwelling forms), contrasting with the Australian Capital Territory distribution of 63.3% houses and 36.7% alternative dwellings. Outright home ownership reached 34.9%, substantially higher than territory levels, with remaining properties divided between mortgaged properties (49.6%) and rental accommodation (15.5%). The typical monthly mortgage cost was $2,167 against the Australian Capital Territory figure of $2,080, while median weekly rent was $481 against $450 regionally. Across Australia, Flynn's mortgage payments distinctly outpace the national average of $1,863, with rents also running well above the $375 national benchmark.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Flynn (ACT) counted 1,214 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 42% are couples with children, more than in 83% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 16% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 81.1% of households in the area, including couples with children at 41.8%, couples without children at 27.9%, and single parent arrangements at 10.1%. The remaining 18.9% are non-family residences, consisting of single-person households at 15.9% and group arrangements at 3.0%. The median household size stands at 2.9 people, exceeding the Australian Capital Territory median of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
37.5% of adults in Flynn (ACT) hold a university qualification, including 22.5% with a bachelor degree and 10.4% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 99% of areas nationally. A further 19.8% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Higher education attainment in Flynn sits below regional figures, as 37.5% of people aged 15+ hold tertiary degrees compared with 46.8% across the broader SA4 region, indicating opportunities for additional skills development. Bachelor degrees make up the largest share at 22.5%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 10.4% and graduate diplomas at 4.6%. In addition, technical and vocational training is widely held, with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, including 19.8% with certificates and 11.4% holding advanced diplomas. Active participation in study is strong, with 31.0% of the population attending an educational institution.
Specifically, 11.3% attend primary school, 8.1% are in secondary school, and 5.9% are engaged in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Flynn (ACT) reaches 20 stops on 61 routes, timetabled for about 4,400 services a week. The typical home sits about 170 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Flynn consists of 20 active transport stops catering to bus networks. Across 61 distinct routes, the network delivers 4,427 passenger trips per week. Commuter access is rated as excellent, with homes situated an average of 174 meters from their closest transit point. Because the community is largely residential, outward commuting is standard, with private vehicles dominating travel at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 cars per home, surpassing the regional norm, while 13.1% of workers worked from home in the 2021 Census, subject to potential COVID-19 pandemic effects.
Transit schedules provide an average of 632 journeys each day across all active routes, delivering around 221 trips per week for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.4% of residents in Flynn (ACT) report no long-term health condition. 5.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 57.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality and illness data point to below-average overall health metrics for Flynn; incidence rates of common conditions align with general trends among the broader population but rise above national norms in older demographics. Meanwhile, private health insurance coverage is extensive, taken up by approximately 58% of residents (~2,150 people), compared to 62.4% throughout the Australian Capital Territory. Mental health conditions and arthritis represent the most prevalent diagnoses locally, affecting 9.6% and 8.4% of the population respectively, while 67.4% reported having no long-term medical conditions, compared to 70.2% across the Australian Capital Territory.
Chronic ailments show elevated prevalence among working-age individuals. Residents aged 65 and over make up 18.1% of the community (671 people), outpacing the territory mark of 14.2%, and health outcomes among older cohorts present notable challenges despite tracking below national illness rates for the general public.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Flynn (ACT) is largely Australian-born, at 79.6% of residents, with 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.3%) and Australian (25.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Flynn tracks higher than average benchmarks, with 20.4% of residents born abroad and 13.9% speaking a language other than English in their households. Christianity is the primary faith, accounting for 45.1% of the populace. Judaism shows the clearest relative overrepresentation, representing 0.2% of the local population matching the 0.2% proportion observed across the Australian Capital Territory. Regarding ancestral backgrounds based on parental birthplaces, the largest cohorts in Flynn identify as English (27.3%), Australian (25.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Several other ancestries also register above-average shares relative to regional benchmarks, including Welsh at 1.0% (vs 0.6% regionally), Polish at 0.9% (vs 0.8%), and Spanish at 0.6% (vs 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Flynn (ACT) is 37. 25.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age breakdown in the suburb of Flynn (ACT) aligns closely with broader Australian Capital Territory benchmarks, showing a maximum divergence of 6.5 percentage points. The median age is estimated at 37 years, unchanged from the 2021 Census and 2 years higher than the Australian Capital Territory median of 35 recorded in that Census. Since then, seniors and retirees aged 65+ have increased their share from 15.4% to an estimated 18.1%. By 2041, no major age group is forecast to see substantial gains, whereas younger to middle-aged adult brackets, as well as children and young adults, are projected to decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Flynn (ACT)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Apr 2026 6 months ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Apr 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 13 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,671 at the 2021 Census → 3,712 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL80055). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.