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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Dunlop has an estimated 7,282 residents. That puts 2,017 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the resident count of Dunlop stands at approximately 7,282 as of Aug 2026. Relative to the 7,265 people recorded during the 2021 Census, this represents a modest addition of 17 people (0.2%). This demographic update incorporates the ABS estimated resident population benchmark of 7,282 from June 2025 alongside post-Census address verification data. In terms of spatial distribution, the local density reaches 2,017 persons per square kilometer, positioning it above the national benchmark tracked across AreaSearch study areas. Natural increase served as the primary demographic driver, delivering roughly 63.9% of all net resident additions in recent times.
Projections utilised by AreaSearch incorporate SA2 modelling from ABS/Geoscience Australia released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year, supplemented post-2032 or across unmodelled SA2s by ACT Government projections benchmarked to 2022. Looking at long-term trajectory patterns through this analytical framework, the area is projected to experience a demographic contraction of 983 persons by 2041. In contrast to the overarching downward trend, specific age brackets will expand, headed by an increase of 104 people in the 55 to 64 age group. <i>See the age section for more details.</i>
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Residential construction in Dunlop has remained subdued, registering only 2 approvals across a five-year span. This minimal building activity points toward a fully consolidated suburb with virtually no remaining vacant parcels for development. In mature environments of this nature, purchasers encounter limited options for brand-new housing, which tends to sustain consistent interest in established stock. Development volume in Dunlop tracks substantially below broader activity levels across Australian Capital Territory. This tight constraint on new dwelling additions typically reinforces buyer interest and asset pricing for existing homes. Building volumes also trail national benchmarks, underscoring both the mature lifecycle of the suburb and the presence of potential planning restrictions.
Given that demographic forecasts point toward stability or contractions, Dunlop is likely to experience easing demand pressure on its housing stock, creating more favourable conditions for prospective buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Dunlop
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Dunlop, worth an estimated $950 million. A further 6 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $11.4 billion. 6 are already under construction and 2 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, environmental & disaster management and precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local economic and spatial trajectories are strongly shaped by planning decisions, major civic investments, and surrounding infrastructure developments. AreaSearch has pinpointed 3 key initiatives likely to influence the area, including Kestral Rise - Macnamara, Macnamara Residential Estate, Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+), and Wallaroo Solar Farm, with significant details outlined below.
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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Macnamara Residential Estate
Macnamara is the second residential suburb in the Ginninderry Joint Venture, a 6 Star Green Star community on the western edge of Belconnen. Delivered by Suburban Land Agency and Riverview Developments, the suburb will deliver approximately 1,800 homes on land bordering the Ginninderry Conservation Corridor, with views to the Brindabella Mountains. Multiple land stages are actively selling as of 2025-2026, with blocks from 540sqm priced from $615,000. A local retail centre is planned for 2027 (subject to approval) and Strathnairn Early Childhood and Education Centre is partially opening in 2026.
Macgregor Primary School Expansion & Modernisation
Major upgrade and expansion of Macgregor Primary School at Hirschfeld Crescent, Macgregor ACT, delivering new learning hubs, additional classrooms, and improved playground facilities. The project is driven by growing enrolments from adjacent new residential developments including The Valley Ponds and the broader Ginninderry estate. The ACT Education Directorate and Infrastructure Canberra are delivering the works, with completion targeted for 2026.
The Valley Ponds - Stage 3 & Future Stages
Final residential stages of the established Macgregor suburb in Belconnen, delivering over 400 new homes in The Valley Ponds precinct. The estate is adjacent to Ginninderra Creek and the future Ginninderry conservation corridor and pond network, offering a mix of block sizes with connections to open space and green corridors.
Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+)
Canberra's largest master-planned community spanning the ACT-NSW border in West Belconnen, delivering approximately 11,500 dwellings across four suburbs over 30-40 years on a 1,600-hectare site. Over 37% of land is set aside as a conservation corridor along the Murrumbidgee River and Ginninderra Creek. Two suburbs are underway: Strathnairn (909 occupied dwellings as of early 2025) and Macnamara (13 occupied, 11 under construction). A primary school opens 2026, and the first local shopping centre is targeted for 2027.Certified as a 6-Star Green Star Community.
Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre Bioreactor Upgrade
Icon Water is renewing the Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre by building new bioreactors and supporting infrastructure, including membrane bioreactor technology, fine screening, membrane tanks, chemical dosing, blowers, waste-activated sludge management and non-potable water systems. The upgrade will increase wastewater treatment capacity to 97 ML per day, support Canberra's population growth, and help protect the Molonglo River. As of April 2026, earthworks and excavation for the new bioreactor foundations are in progress, with concrete foundation pours expected from July 2026.
Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment
Major redevelopment and expansion of Kippax Fair shopping centre in West Belconnen, delivering a completely new mixed-use precinct across two stages. The project will triple retail floor space, adding a new full-line Coles and expanded Woolworths alongside the existing Aldi. Plans include approximately 180 new dwellings (including 24 affordable and public housing units) built as shop-top housing, 450 underground car parks, a 6,000sqm park, a community hub, skate park, and indoor and outdoor dining. The ACT Government finalised a direct land sale agreement with owners the Christodoulou family in August 2024, with a $12 million community infrastructure commitment.A development application was expected to be publicly notified by mid-2025.
Ginninderry Masterplanned Community - Strathnairn & Macnamara
Ginninderry is a cross-border masterplanned community in West Belconnen delivered by the ACT Government and Riverview Group joint venture. Planned to accommodate 30,000 residents across approximately 11,500 dwellings over a 37-year period, the project spans the ACT and NSW border. The first suburb, Strathnairn, is substantially developed with over 2,700 residents as of early 2025. The second suburb, Macnamara, is actively under development with approximately 300-400 lots released annually. Key recent milestones include the opening of Strathnairn School (programmed for the 2026 school year), multi-unit site releases in Strathnairn Village adjacent to the future retail centre, and ongoing single residential lot releases.The community is forecast to reach approximately 5,000 residents by 2028. The project incorporates a 6 Star Green Star sustainability rating, conservation corridor management along the Murrumbidgee River and Ginninderra Creek, and the SPARK employment program.
4,178 residents of Dunlop are employed, from a labour force of 4,391. Unemployment sits at 4.9%, with participation at 75.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,217, about 72% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Dunlop is characterised by a qualified resident workforce, considerable participation in essential services, a jobless rate of 4.9%, and generally stable labour metrics over the preceding twelve months. As of March 2026, employed residents total 4,178, while local unemployment sits 0.8% above the 4.1% recorded for Australian Capital Territory, alongside a participation rate of 75.6% compared to 70.6% across Australian Capital Territory. Remote work was reported by a modest 10.6% of workers in Census returns, though this reflects conditions influenced by Covid-19 restrictions. The primary employment sectors for local residents consist of public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training.
Construction represents a major area of local concentration, capturing a workforce share 1.3 times the regional level. On the other hand, professional & technical roles account for a smaller proportion at 8.6%, compared to the regional figure of 11.1%. Comparing the Census count of local jobs against the resident workforce highlights that this largely residential community provides limited employment opportunities within its own boundaries. AreaSearch assessment of data from ABS and SALM indicates that over the twelve months to March 2026, the local labour force grew by 1.0% while total employment fell by 0.4%, lifting the unemployment rate by 1.4 percentage points. Across Australian Capital Territory over the same timeframe, jobs increased by 0.3%, the labour pool expanded by 1.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.7 percentage points. Sectoral outlooks published by Jobs and Skills Australia in Mar-26 provide forward-looking context regarding structural labour demand. Applying these five and ten-year national growth projections (forecast at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally) across Dunlop's current industry distribution indicates an implied local job expansion of 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years (note that this weighting extrapolation serves illustrative purposes and excludes local population trends).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Dunlop is $2,503 a week (about $130,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,176 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $72,712 a year against an average of $80,242. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicate a median taxpayer income of $72,712 in the Dunlop SA2, alongside an average of $80,242. These figures are exceptionally high on a national scale, comparing to Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Accounting for a Wage Price Index rise of 10.44% since financial year 2023, updated estimates reach roughly $80,303 (median) and $88,619 (average) as of March 2026. In the 2021 Census, local household, family, and individual incomes placed strongly between the 89th and 90th percentiles nationally.
Income distribution shows 37.9% of residents (2,759 individuals) falling within the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket, aligned with the wider regional proportion of 34.3%. Furthermore, 38.5% earn above $3,000/week, highlighting substantial financial capacity. Housing expenses absorb 14.7% of income, while affluent earnings place the locality in the 90th percentile for disposable funds and the 8th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Dunlop had 2,424 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 1% apartments. 61% are owned with a mortgage, 18% rented and 20% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $465 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month, a total housing cost higher than 86% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 18.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The residential landscape recorded at the latest Census was composed of 91.9% houses alongside 8.1% other dwellings (encompassing apartments, semi-detached, and 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Australian Capital Territory where houses represented 63.3% and other dwellings made up 36.7%. Outright ownership stood at 20.3%, trailing the wider territory rate, with the bulk of properties held under a mortgage (61.4%) or occupied by tenants (18.3%). Typical monthly mortgage commitments averaged $2,000, slightly below the Australian Capital Territory benchmark of $2,080, while median weekly rent was $465, exceeding the territory figure of $450.
Across Australia as a whole, Dunlop's mortgage repayments surpass the national norm of $1,863, and rents remain substantially higher than the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Dunlop counted 2,424 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 45% are couples with children, more than in 89% of areas nationally, against 23% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute the overwhelming majority of local households at 81.1%, broken down into couples with children (44.8%), couples without children (22.5%), and single parent families (12.9%). Non-family arrangements account for the remaining 18.9%, consisting of single-person dwellings at 16.7% and group households making up 2.0%. The typical household size in Dunlop is 2.9 people, exceeding the Australian Capital Territory standard of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
29.3% of adults in Dunlop hold a university qualification, including 18.1% with a bachelor degree and 7.4% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 79% of areas nationally. A further 22.0% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Tertiary attainment presents a distinct profile locally, as the proportion of university qualification holders (29.3%) sits well below the 46.8% recorded across the broader SA4 region, highlighting a target area for future educational pathways. Bachelor degrees form the largest segment at 18.1%, with postgraduate qualifications representing 7.4% and graduate diplomas at 3.8%. Meanwhile, vocational qualifications are widely held, with 34.1% of residents aged 15+ holding trade or technical credentials, including certificates (22.0%) and advanced diplomas (12.1%). Current educational engagement is substantial throughout the community, with 33.6% of residents undertaking formal study.
This cohort comprises 12.7% attending primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 4.4% enrolled in tertiary education courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Dunlop reaches 22 stops on 113 routes, timetabled for about 8,500 services a week. The typical home sits about 230 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Transit network reviews show 22 active stops operating in Dunlop, offering regular bus services. Across 113 discrete routes, these stops generate 8,451 weekly passenger trips. Network connectivity is favourable, with residents situated an average of 230 meters from the nearest stop. Given the suburb's residential focus, outward travel is standard, with private vehicles serving as the dominant mode for 94% of trips. Households maintain an average of 1.7 motor vehicles, above regional figures, while a comparatively low 10.6% worked remotely during the 2021 Census under prevailing pandemic conditions. Daily bus frequency across all services averages 1,207 trips, translating to an average of roughly 384 weekly trips per stop across the network.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.6% of residents in Dunlop report no long-term health condition. 4.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 59.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch based on chronic illness and mortality metrics identify notable challenges in Dunlop, with general health conditions evident locally, particularly within older cohorts, alongside an exceptionally high private health insurance rate encompassing roughly 60% of residents (4,332 people). This level of coverage aligns closely with the 62.4% rate observed across Australian Capital Territory. Asthma and mental health issues represent the primary chronic diagnoses in the suburb, affecting 10.3 and 9.5% of the population, respectively. Concurrently, 67.6% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory.
Working-age cohorts display elevated rates of chronic illness. Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 11.0% of the population (798 people), below the territory-wide share of 14.2%, with elder health outcomes facing challenges despite ranking more favourably on national measures than other cohorts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Dunlop is largely Australian-born, at 78.5% of residents, with 20.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (27.9%) and English (24.6%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Dunlop displays higher-than-average cultural diversity metrics, with 21.5% of its community born overseas and 20.4% using a non-English language at home. Christianity represents the leading religious affiliation, claimed by 48.8% of residents. The most noticeable deviation from broader patterns occurs with Islam, which accounts for 3.8% of the local population versus 3.4% across Australian Capital Territory. Examining parental heritage, the three most common ancestral backgrounds identified in Dunlop are Australian (27.9%), English (24.6%), and Other (11.6%). Specific European backgrounds also show above-average concentration relative to the territory: Croatian residents account for 0.9% (vs 0.9% regionally), Hungarian ancestry represents 0.4% (vs 0.3%), and Polish heritage stands at 0.9% (vs 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Dunlop is 37. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 26.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Dunlop functions primarily as an established family neighbourhood. Mature adults and pre-retirees aged 45 - 64 make up 27.4% of the population as at August 2026, relative to 21.5% across Australian Capital Territory, while the 25 - 44 age bracket represents 25.9%, below the regional figure of 32.8%. The estimated median age in Dunlop is 37 as at August 2026, rising from 36 at the 2021 Census and exceeding the territory benchmark of 35 from that Census by 2 years. The sharpest movement since the Census occurred in the 25 - 44 band, which fell from 28.7% to 25.9%.
This largely reflects aging in place, as the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 16.9% to 14.2% while the 15 to 24 group expanded from 13.0% to 15.5%. By 2041, senior brackets (65+) are projected to experience the highest numeric growth, rising by 132 (17%) to 931, while younger cohorts and working-age groups are forecast to shrink.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Dunlop
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Apr 2026 6 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Apr 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (7,265 at the 2021 Census → 7,282 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (801011006). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.