Fraser

Fraser is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Fraser's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 2,072 people. This figure represents a decrease from the 2021 Census count of 2,126 people, a drop of 54 individuals (2.5%). The estimated resident population in June 2024 was 2,070, with an additional 11 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this change. This results in a population density ratio of 835 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 81.6% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, also based on 2022. According to these projections, Fraser's population is expected to decline by 362 persons by 2041, with an increase of 28 people anticipated in the 85 and over age group specifically.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Fraser, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Fraser has seen approximately four new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 21 homes. As of FY-26, zero approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 people moved to the area per dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand conditions. However, this figure decreased to -6.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting more balanced supply conditions. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $355,000, targeting the premium market with high-end developments.

In FY-26, $276,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Fraser shows significantly reduced construction levels, 65.0% below the regional average per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity consists of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% attached dwellings, providing accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This trend reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, marking a significant change from the current housing mix of 96.0% houses. The estimated population count of 870 people per dwelling approval reflects Fraser's quiet, low activity development environment. With stable or declining population projections, Fraser is expected to experience reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Fraser should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Fraser has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project that may affect this region: Ginninderry Stage 3 - The Valley Release, Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), Macnamara Residential Estate, and New Northside Hospital are key projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Fraser remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Fraser has an educated workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 4.0% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 1.2%.

As of September 2025, Fraser had 1,046 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.1%, compared to Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation in Fraser was 64.1%, lower than ACT's 69.6%. Key industries for employment among Fraser residents are public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, construction employment is concentrated at 1.6 times the regional average.

However, public administration & safety employment is under-represented, with only 26.7% of Fraser's workforce compared to ACT's 30.4%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment in Fraser increased by 1.2%, while labour force grew by 0.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In ACT during this period, employment grew by 1.4% and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from November 25 shows ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Fraser's employment mix suggests local employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Fraser SA2's median income among taxpayers is $68,310, with an average of $77,216. This ranks among the highest in Australia, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $68,678 and average of $83,634. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $77,600 (median) and $87,717 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes all rank highly in Fraser, between the 89th and 92nd percentiles nationally. The income distribution shows that 30.2% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting regional patterns where 34.3% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 43.6% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Fraser is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Fraser, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.8% houses and 4.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory had 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser was 41.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.7% and rented dwellings at 11.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Fraser was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Fraser was $450, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $430. Nationally, Fraser's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher at $450 compared to the national figure of $375.

Fraser features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.3% of all households, including 39.6% that are couples with children, 31.2% that are couples without children, and 11.6% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.7%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Fraser shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 35.6%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (5.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.0% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (18.6%). Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Fraser has 33 active public transport stops in operation. These stops are served by a mix of buses operating along six individual routes. The total number of weekly passenger trips provided by these routes is 1,542.

Residents have excellent accessibility to public transport, with an average distance of 122 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency across all routes averages 220 trips per day, which translates to approximately 46 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Fraser is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Fraser faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is very high at approximately 58%, covering about 1,197 people. Mental health issues impact 9.9% of residents, while arthritis affects 9.8%. About 64.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 68.1% in the Australian Capital Territory. Fraser has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 19.2%, with about 397 people, compared to 15.3% in the Australian Capital Territory.

Fraser ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser's population was found to be below average in cultural diversity, with 82.8% born in Australia, 94.8% being citizens, and 91.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Fraser, comprising 44.8% of its population. However, Islam is overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, making up 1.6% of Fraser's population versus 3.3%.

The top three ancestry groups in Fraser are English (29.7%), Australian (28.3%), and Irish (9.5%). Notably, Welsh (0.8%) and Scottish (9.0%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.6% and 7.4%, respectively. Samoan ethnicity is also slightly overrepresented at 0.3%.

Fraser's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Fraser is 41 years, which is considerably higher than the Australian Capital Territory's average of 35 years. It also modestly exceeds the national average of 38 years. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, the 65-74 age group is notably over-represented in Fraser at 11.6%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.6% to 6.7% of the population, and the 45 to 54 age group has increased from 13.5% to 14.9%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group has declined from 14.2% to 11.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Fraser. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 153%, reaching 43 people from 16, with residents aged 65 and older representing all of the anticipated growth. Conversely, the 45 to 54 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.