Fraser

Fraser is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Fraser's population was approximately 2,072 as of November 2025. This reflected a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 2,126 people, marking a reduction of 54 individuals (2.5%). The change was inferred from an estimated resident population of 2,070 in June 2024 and an additional 11 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 835 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth, contributing approximately 81.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections were used, also based on 2022. According to these projections, Fraser's population is expected to decline overall, with a decrease of 362 persons anticipated by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are projected to grow, notably the 85 and over age group, which is forecasted to increase by 28 people during this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Fraser, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Fraser has seen approximately 4 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 21 homes. As of FY-26, 0 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply conditions. However, this decreased to -6.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting more balanced supply conditions recently. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $355,000, targeting the premium market with high-end developments.

In FY-26, $276,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Fraser shows substantially reduced construction compared to the Australian Capital Territory average (65.0% below), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity consists of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% attached dwellings, providing accessible entry options appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This marks a significant change from the current housing mix (currently 96.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The estimated population count per dwelling approval is 870 people, reflecting Fraser's quiet, low activity development environment. With stable or declining population projections, Fraser should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Fraser should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Fraser has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 19thth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project expected to affect the region: Ginninderry Stage 3 - The Valley Release. Key projects also include Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), Macnamara Residential Estate, and New Northside Hospital.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Fraser remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Fraser has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 4.0% and there was estimated employment growth of 1.2% over the past year. As of September 2025, 1,046 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 3.6% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%.

Workforce participation in Fraser is significantly lower at 66.3%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 72.5%. According to Census responses, 14.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment among residents are public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training. Fraser notably concentrates in construction with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

However, public administration & safety is under-represented, with only 26.7% of Fraser's workforce compared to 30.4% in the Australian Capital Territory. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 1.2% while labour force grew by 0.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory saw employment grow by 1.4%, labour force expand by 1.2%, and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Fraser's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The latest postcode level ATO data for Fraser SA2, released for the financial year 2023, shows a median income among taxpayers of $71,970 and an average of $79,423. This is among the highest in Australia, with the Australian Capital Territory's median being $72,206 and average being $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $78,634 (median) and $86,778 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, Fraser ranks highly in household, family, and personal incomes, between the 89th and 92nd percentiles nationally. The income distribution shows that 30.2% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, reflecting regional patterns where 34.3% fall within this range. Economic strength is evident with 43.6% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Fraser is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Fraser, as evaluated at the 2016 Census, comprised 95.8% houses and 4.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Australian Capital Territory's 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser was at 41.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.7% and rented dwellings at 11.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was $450. Nationally, Fraser's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.3% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.7%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households making up 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Fraser shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area has lower university qualification rates at 35.6%, compared to the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (5.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.0% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.4% and certificates at 18.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.3% currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.6% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Fraser has 32 operational public transport stops, serving a mix of bus routes totaling 83. These routes facilitate 3,851 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is high, with residents on average located 122 meters from the nearest stop. Fraser is predominantly residential, with most commuters traveling outward by car, which remains the primary mode at 94%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.9, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 14.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

On average, there are 550 trips daily across all routes, equating to around 120 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows Fraser residents have positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health issues are seen across all age groups, with mental health issues affecting 9.9% of residents and arthritis impacting 9.8%.

Approximately 64.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 70.2% in the Australian Capital Territory. Private health cover is high at 58%, or about 1,210 people, slightly lower than the ACT's 62.4%. Working-age residents have a higher prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 397 residents aged 65 and over, making up 19.2% of the population, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory's 14.1%. Overall, Fraser's health rankings are in line with national averages.

Fraser ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser's population was found to be predominantly Australian-born, with 82.8% having been born in the country. Citizenship was also high at 94.8%, and English was spoken exclusively at home by 91.3%. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 44.8% of Fraser's population.

Islam, however, showed an overrepresentation compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, with 1.6% in Fraser versus 3.4% regionally. In terms of ancestry, English heritage was prominent at 29.7%, higher than the regional average of 23.3%. Similarly, Australian ancestry stood at 28.3%, surpassing the regional average of 23.0%. Irish ancestry also showed a notable presence at 9.5%. Other ethnic groups with significant representation included Welsh (0.8% in Fraser versus 0.6% regionally), Scottish (9.0% versus 7.3%), and Samoan (0.3% versus 0.2%).

Fraser's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Fraser is 41 years, which is considerably higher than the Australian Capital Territory's average of 35 years. This figure modestly exceeds the national average of 38 years. Comparing Fraser's demographics with those of the Australian Capital Territory, the 65-74 cohort is notably over-represented in Fraser at 11.6%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.6% to 6.7% of the population, and the 45 to 54 cohort has increased from 13.5% to 14.9%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 14.2% to 11.6%. Population forecasts for Fraser indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 153%, reaching 43 people from 16, leading the demographic shift. This growth is part of an overall aging trend, with residents aged 65 and older representing 100% of anticipated population growth. Conversely, the 45 to 54 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.