Fraser

Fraser is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Fraser's population is around 2,072 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a decrease of 54 people (2.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,126 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 2,070 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 11 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 835 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 81.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. Considering the projected demographic shifts, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to shrink by 362 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to increase by 28 people. See the age section for more details.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Fraser, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Fraser has seen around 4 new homes approved per year, totalling 21 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 0 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 1.4 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, while recent data shows this has decreased to -6.8 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating more balanced supply conditions. New homes are being built at an average value of $355,000, showing that developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. Additionally, $276,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

Relative to the Australian Capital Territory, Fraser shows substantially reduced construction (65.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New building activity shows 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% attached dwellings. This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 96.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The estimated count of 870 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Fraser should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Fraser has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 19thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 1 single project has been identified by AreaSearch that is likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Ginninderry Stage 3 - The Valley Release, Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), Macnamara Residential Estate, and New Northside Hospital, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Fraser remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Fraser possesses a well-educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of 4.0%, and 1.5% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 1,047 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.2% above the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.8%, and workforce participation lags significantly (66.4% compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 72.6%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 14.1% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are public administration & safety, professional & technical, and education & training. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in construction, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average. On the other hand, public administration & safety is under-represented, with only 26.7% of Fraser's workforce compared to 30.4% in the Australian Capital Territory. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 1.5% while the labour force increased by 0.9%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.5 percentage points. This compares to the Australian Capital Territory, where employment grew by 0.9%, the labour force expanded by 1.2%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Fraser. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Fraser's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Fraser SA2's median income among taxpayers is $71,970, with an average of $79,423. This is among the highest in Australia, and compares to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $78,634 (median) and $86,778 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Fraser, between the 89th and 92nd percentiles nationally. Looking at income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 30.2% of the community (625 individuals), reflecting patterns seen in the region where 34.3% similarly occupy this range. Economic strength emerges through 43.6% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Fraser is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Fraser, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.8% houses and 4.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to the Australian Capital Territory's 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Fraser was well beyond that of the Australian Capital Territory, at 41.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (47.7%) or rented (11.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Australian Capital Territory average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $2,080 and $450. Nationally, Fraser's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 83.3% of all households, comprising 39.6% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.7%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Fraser shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (35.6%) substantially below the SA4 region average of 46.8%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (5.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 31.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (18.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 32 active transport stops operating within Fraser, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 83 individual routes, collectively providing 3,851 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 122 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 14.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 550 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 120 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Fraser residents, with AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions showing results broadly in line with national benchmarks. A fairly standard level of common health conditions is seen across both young and old age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~1,210 people), compared to 62.4% across the Australian Capital Territory.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 9.9% and 9.8% of residents, respectively, while 64.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.2% across the Australian Capital Territory. Working-age residents show an above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 19.4% of residents aged 65 and over (401 people), which is higher than the 14.3% in the Australian Capital Territory, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Fraser ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 82.8% of its population born in Australia, 94.8% being citizens, and 91.3% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Fraser is Christianity, which makes up 44.8% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Islam, which comprises 1.6% of the population, compared to 3.4% across the Australian Capital Territory.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Fraser are English, comprising 29.7% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 23.3%, Australian, comprising 28.3% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 23.0%, and Irish, comprising 9.5% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Welsh is notably overrepresented at 0.8% of Fraser (vs 0.6% regionally), Scottish at 9.0% (vs 7.3%) and Samoan at 0.3% (vs 0.2%).

Fraser's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The 41-year median age in Fraser is considerably higher than the Australian Capital Territory's average of 35, similarly modestly exceeding the 38-year national average. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, the 5 - 14 cohort is notably over-represented (15.4% locally), while 25 - 34 year-olds are under-represented (8.5%). Post-2021 Census data shows the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.6% to 7.5% of the population, while the 45 to 54 cohort increased from 13.5% to 15.2%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 14.2% to 10.8% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 11.4% to 10.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Fraser. Leading the demographic shift, the 85+ group will grow by 94% (20 people), reaching 43 from 22. Demographic aging continues as residents 65 and older represent 100% of anticipated growth. On the other hand, the 75 to 84 and 45 to 54 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.