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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Fraser has an estimated 2,147 residents. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years, slower than 87% of areas nationally. That puts 866 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Demographic assessments by AreaSearch place the population of Fraser at roughly 2,147 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 21 people (1.0%) relative to the 2,126 people recorded in the 2021 Census. This adjustment stems from an ABS estimated resident population figure of 2,139 as of June 2025 alongside 13 validated new addresses confirmed after the Census. The local population density stands at 865 persons per square kilometer, tracking closely with typical benchmarks recorded across AreaSearch assessment areas. The primary driver of local demographic expansion has been overseas migration, accounting for roughly 81.7% of total recent population additions.
Projections utilised by AreaSearch incorporate ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 (benchmarked to 2022) across SA2 zones, supplemented by ACT Government SA2 projections (2022 base) for post-2032 horizons and areas not covered by the primary dataset. Under this framework, overall population in the district is projected to contract by 346 persons by 2041. In contrast to this broader contraction, select demographics will experience expansion, most notably the 85 and over age group, which is slated to gain 34 people. See the age section for more details.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Residential approvals in Fraser have tracked at approximately 3 dwellings annually, accumulating to 18 homes across the last 5 financial years. Across the 5 financial years from FY-22 to FY-26, incoming population has averaged 3.1 people per year for every home constructed, indicating that dwelling additions are trailing demographic demand and creating upwards price momentum amid heightened buyer competition. New residences average an estimated construction cost of $429,000, exceeding regional benchmarks and highlighting a premium build standard. Meanwhile, commercial construction approvals totaled $276,000 this financial year, underscoring the suburb's overwhelmingly residential profile.
Per-capita building approvals in Fraser sit 73.0% below regional average levels relative to Australian Capital Territory. This subdued pipeline of additions tends to bolster pricing and demand for established dwellings, while also lagging national averages due to the suburb's established character and local planning boundaries. Approvals are evenly split between detached houses at 50.0% and attached dwellings at 50.0%. This pivot toward medium-density housing introduces accessible options for downsizing residents, first-time purchasers, and investors, contrasting sharply with the current footprint of 96.0% houses and indicating shrinking greenfield capacity alongside changing demographic preferences. With an estimated 1414 people per dwelling approval, the locality maintains an exceptionally quiet development environment. Given that demographic modeling projects steady to shrinking resident totals, pressure on local housing demand should soften, creating favorable conditions for prospective purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Fraser
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects close to Fraser, worth an estimated $6.91 billion. 5 are already under construction and 2 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, environmental & disaster management and precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Major planning decisions, development projects, and public infrastructure upgrades play a crucial role in local performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 1 significant infrastructure development likely to influence the area. Key regional developments include Ginninderry Masterplanned Community - Strathnairn & Macnamara, Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+), Macnamara Residential Estate, and New Northside Hospital, with the most relevant schemes detailed in the following overview.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Macgregor Primary School Expansion & Modernisation
Major upgrade and expansion of Macgregor Primary School at Hirschfeld Crescent, Macgregor ACT, delivering new learning hubs, additional classrooms, and improved playground facilities. The project is driven by growing enrolments from adjacent new residential developments including The Valley Ponds and the broader Ginninderry estate. The ACT Education Directorate and Infrastructure Canberra are delivering the works, with completion targeted for 2026.
Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+)
Canberra's largest master-planned community spanning the ACT-NSW border in West Belconnen, delivering approximately 11,500 dwellings across four suburbs over 30-40 years on a 1,600-hectare site. Over 37% of land is set aside as a conservation corridor along the Murrumbidgee River and Ginninderra Creek. Two suburbs are underway: Strathnairn (909 occupied dwellings as of early 2025) and Macnamara (13 occupied, 11 under construction). A primary school opens 2026, and the first local shopping centre is targeted for 2027.Certified as a 6-Star Green Star Community.
The Valley Ponds - Stage 3 & Future Stages
Final residential stages of the established Macgregor suburb in Belconnen, delivering over 400 new homes in The Valley Ponds precinct. The estate is adjacent to Ginninderra Creek and the future Ginninderry conservation corridor and pond network, offering a mix of block sizes with connections to open space and green corridors.
Macnamara Residential Estate
Macnamara is the second residential suburb in the Ginninderry Joint Venture, a 6 Star Green Star community on the western edge of Belconnen. Delivered by Suburban Land Agency and Riverview Developments, the suburb will deliver approximately 1,800 homes on land bordering the Ginninderry Conservation Corridor, with views to the Brindabella Mountains. Multiple land stages are actively selling as of 2025-2026, with blocks from 540sqm priced from $615,000. A local retail centre is planned for 2027 (subject to approval) and Strathnairn Early Childhood and Education Centre is partially opening in 2026.
Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment
Major redevelopment and expansion of Kippax Fair shopping centre in West Belconnen, delivering a completely new mixed-use precinct across two stages. The project will triple retail floor space, adding a new full-line Coles and expanded Woolworths alongside the existing Aldi. Plans include approximately 180 new dwellings (including 24 affordable and public housing units) built as shop-top housing, 450 underground car parks, a 6,000sqm park, a community hub, skate park, and indoor and outdoor dining. The ACT Government finalised a direct land sale agreement with owners the Christodoulou family in August 2024, with a $12 million community infrastructure commitment.A development application was expected to be publicly notified by mid-2025.
Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre Bioreactor Upgrade
Icon Water is renewing the Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre by building new bioreactors and supporting infrastructure, including membrane bioreactor technology, fine screening, membrane tanks, chemical dosing, blowers, waste-activated sludge management and non-potable water systems. The upgrade will increase wastewater treatment capacity to 97 ML per day, support Canberra's population growth, and help protect the Molonglo River. As of April 2026, earthworks and excavation for the new bioreactor foundations are in progress, with concrete foundation pours expected from July 2026.
1,045 residents of Fraser are employed, from a labour force of 1,096. Unemployment sits at 4.7%, with participation at 62.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,710, about 80% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Fraser possesses an educated talent pool concentrated in key public and service sectors, recording a 4.7% unemployment rate and 0.9% employment growth over the past year. Employed residents totaled 1,045 as of March 2026. The local jobless rate tracks 0.6% above the 4.1% recorded for Australian Capital Territory, while the participation rate of 62.8% trails the regional figure of 70.6%. Census findings indicated that 14.1% of workers operated from home, though this metric was subject to Covid-19 lockdown conditions. The resident workforce is most heavily engaged across public administration & safety, professional & technical, and education & training.
Construction demonstrates the strongest local concentration, with local representation reaching 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, public administration & safety employs 26.7% of working residents compared to 30.4% across the broader region. The comparison between local Census workers and residing workers illustrates that this predominantly residential community contains relatively few internal employment hubs. AreaSearch evaluations of ABS and SALM figures show that over the year to March 2026, local employment grew by 0.9% alongside a 1.1% increase in the labor force, lifting the jobless rate by 0.2 percentage points. Over the same timeframe across Australian Capital Territory, employment expanded by 0.3%, the labor force rose by 1.1%, and unemployment ticked up by 0.7 percentage points. Long-range modeling from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 outlines national employment growth of 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, with performance varying widely by sector. Calibrating Fraser's workforce distribution against these national industry forecasts suggests local job numbers could rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years (note that this weighting extrapolation serves illustrative purposes and excludes local population changes).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Fraser is $2,618 a week (about $136,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,164 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $71,970 a year against an average of $79,423. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 show Fraser SA2 taxpayers earning a median income of $71,970 alongside an average income of $79,423. While placing the suburb among the highest-earning areas nationally, these figures sit just below the broader Australian Capital Territory medians of $72,206 and averages of $85,981. Factoring in Wage Price Index expansion of 10.44% since financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of approximately $79,484 for median earnings and $87,715 for average earnings as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, individual, family, and household earnings all place between the 89th and 92nd percentiles across Australia.
In terms of earnings brackets, 30.2% of the local population (648 individuals) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, aligning with the regional share of 34.3%. High earners generating over $3,000 weekly make up 43.6% of residents, demonstrating strong purchasing power that underpins upscale commercial demand, with households retaining 89.0% of earnings post-housing expenses and achieving a SEIFA income placement in the 8th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Fraser had 730 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 1% apartments. 48% are owned with a mortgage, 11% rented and 41% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $450 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month. Rent absorbs 17.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 19.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing stock recorded at the latest Census in Fraser consisted of 95.8% houses and 4.2% other dwellings (apartments, attached residences, and alternative formats), presenting a much heavier standalone footprint than the 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings across Australian Capital Territory. Outright homeownership in Fraser reached 41.1%, surpassing the wider territory, while 47.7% of properties were held with a mortgage and 11.2% were rented. Median monthly home loan repayments stood at $2,167 compared to $2,080 across Australian Capital Territory, while median weekly rent was $450 in both Fraser and Australian Capital Territory.
Relative to nationwide figures, Fraser's mortgage costs exceed the Australian median of $1,863, and local rents sit well above the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Fraser counted 730 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 78% of areas nationally, against 31% couples without children. 15% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local households at 83.3%, comprising couples with children (39.6%), couples without children (31.2%), and single parent families (11.6%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 16.7%, broken down into lone person residences at 14.8% and group households at 1.5%. The typical household size is 2.9 people, exceeding the Australian Capital Territory median of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
35.6% of adults in Fraser hold a university qualification, including 22.9% with a bachelor degree and 7.7% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 76% of areas nationally. A further 18.6% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 486 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,039 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment presents a distinct profile in Fraser, where 35.6% of residents hold university qualifications compared to the wider SA4 regional benchmark of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees constitute the largest share at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate credentials at 7.7% and graduate diplomas at 5.0%. In contrast, vocational and trade training is well established, with 31.0% of community members aged 15+ possessing vocational qualifications, divided between certificates (18.6%) and advanced diplomas (12.4%). Student participation is substantial across the suburb, with 30.3% of the community undertaking formal studies. Primary school attendees account for 11.6% of residents, secondary pupils represent 8.3%, and tertiary students comprise 3.9%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Fraser reaches 31 stops on 80 routes, timetabled for about 3,700 services a week. The typical home sits about 120 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local public transit infrastructure in Fraser includes 31 active transport stops served by buses. These stops connect to 80 separate routes, delivering 3,726 passenger services every week. Accessibility across the neighborhood is excellent, with commuters averaging 122 meters to reach their nearest boarding point. As an established residential community, outbound travel is standard, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel for 94% of trips. Households possess an average of 1.9 vehicles, tracking above regional norms, while 14.1% of workers conducted their duties from home based on 2021 Census figures collected during COVID-19 conditions.
Transit services provide an average of 532 trips daily across the network, generating roughly 120 weekly departures per boarding stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
64.2% of residents in Fraser report no long-term health condition. 5.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 58.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Fraser residents exhibit favorable health metrics, with AreaSearch evaluations of mortality and health conditions aligning closely with national standards across all age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is notably robust, encompassing approximately 58% of the local population (~1,253 people), compared to 62.4% across Australian Capital Territory. Mental health conditions and arthritis represent the most prevalent diagnoses locally, affecting 9.9 and 9.8% of the population respectively, while 64.2% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory. Chronic conditions show elevated rates among working-age individuals.
Seniors aged 65 and over make up 19.8% of the community (424 people), exceeding the 14.2% share seen across Australian Capital Territory, with nationwide health standings remaining consistent with broader demographic norms.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Fraser is largely Australian-born, at 82.8% of residents, with 8.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (29.7%) and Australian (28.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Fraser exhibits a lower degree of cultural diversity than broader regional averages, with 82.8% of the population born domestically in Australia, 94.8% holding Australian citizenship, and 91.3% speaking solely English at home. Christianity is the leading religious affiliation, accounting for 44.8% of residents. Islam represents 1.6% of the local populace, compared to 3.4% across Australian Capital Territory. Regarding parental lineage and ancestry, the prominent backgrounds in Fraser are English at 29.7% (exceeding the regional average of 23.3%), Australian at 28.3% (above the 23.0% regional mark), and Irish at 9.5%. Other cultural heritages with notable representations include Scottish at 9.0% (vs 7.3% regionally), Welsh at 0.8% (vs 0.6%), and Samoan at 0.3% (vs 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Fraser is 41. 25.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Fraser maintains an older age distribution, with August 2026 updates indicating that retiree and senior demographics (65+) comprise 19.8% of the populace compared to 14.2% across Australian Capital Territory, while individuals aged 25 - 44 account for 20.7% against a regional benchmark of 32.8%. The estimated median age of 41 as at August 2026 matches the 2021 Census level and stands 6 years above the Australian Capital Territory median of 35 recorded at that Census. The sharpest movement since the Census has occurred in the 25 - 44 cohort, which declined from 23.8% to an estimated 20.7%.
Concurrently, the 65 to 74 demographic decreased from 14.2% to an estimated 11.0% while the 75 to 84 bracket rose from 4.6% to 7.4%, illustrating existing residents advancing in age without sufficient inbound replacement from younger families. Projections through 2041 indicate that no broad age cohort will experience material growth, with youth, children, and middle-aged brackets all expected to decline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Fraser
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 13 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (2,126 at the 2021 Census → 2,147 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (801011010). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.