Fraser

Fraser is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Fraser's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, was approximately 2,139 as of May 2026. This figure reflects an increase from the 2021 Census count of 2,126 people, indicating a rise of 13 individuals (0.6%). The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 2,139 in June 2025 and the validation of 11 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 862 persons per square kilometer, aligning with averages observed across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove Fraser's population growth, contributing about 81.7% of overall gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, also using 2022 as a base, are adopted. According to these projections, Fraser's population is expected to decrease by 355 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are projected to grow; notably, the 85 and over age group is anticipated to increase by 33 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Fraser, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Fraser has seen approximately 4 new homes approved annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling 21 homes. As of FY-26, 0 approvals have been recorded so far. Over these 5 years, an average of 1.4 people moved to the area per dwelling built. However, this figure decreased to -6.8 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $355,000, indicating a focus on premium market developments.

In FY-26, $276,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Fraser shows significantly reduced construction levels (65.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, which is also under the national average, reflecting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity consists of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% attached dwellings, a shift from the current housing mix of 96.0% houses. This trend towards denser development caters to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers in Fraser's quiet, low activity development environment with an estimated population count of 870 people per dwelling approval. Population projections indicate stability or decline, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures for potential buyers in the area.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Fraser should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Fraser has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project likely affecting the region: Ginninderry Masterplanned Community - Strathnairn & Macnamara. Other notable projects include Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+), Macnamara Residential Estate, and New Northside Hospital. The following details projects most relevant to the area.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Fraser remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Fraser has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 4.0% and it experienced a 1.5% employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, Fraser had 1,047 residents employed while its unemployment rate was 3.8%, which is 0.2% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate.

Workforce participation in Fraser is at 63.1%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 70.5%. According to Census responses, 14.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment among residents are public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training. Fraser has a notable concentration in construction, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

However, public administration & safety is under-represented, with only 26.7% of Fraser's workforce compared to 30.4% in the Australian Capital Territory. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Over the year ending December 2025, employment increased by 1.5%, while labour force increased by 0.9%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate of 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Australian Capital Territory saw employment grow by 0.9% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Fraser. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates varying significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Fraser's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023 shows Fraser SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $71,970 and an average of $79,423. This places Fraser among the highest in Australia, with the Australian Capital Territory having a median income of $72,206 and an average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year ending June 2023, current estimates for Fraser would be approximately $79,484 (median) and $87,715 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Fraser rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 92nd percentiles. Income distribution shows that 30.2% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting regional patterns where 34.3% fall within this range. Economic strength is evident with 43.6% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Fraser is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Fraser, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.8% houses and 4.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory had 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser was 41.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.7% and rented dwellings at 11.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Fraser was $2,167, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure in Fraser was $450, equal to the Australian Capital Territory figure. Nationally, Fraser's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and median weekly rents were substantially higher at $450 compared to the national figure of $375.

Fraser features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.3% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.7%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Fraser shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 35.6%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (5.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.0% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.4% and certificates at 18.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.3% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Fraser has 32 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are connected by 83 routes, offering a total of 3,851 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is high, with residents living an average of 122 meters from the nearest stop. As Fraser is mainly residential, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary transport mode at 94%. On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 14.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 550 trips daily, equating to around 120 weekly trips per stop.

Fraser's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows Fraser residents have relatively positive outcomes, matching national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health issues affect both young and old age groups similarly.

Private health cover is high at approximately 58% (~1,249 people), compared to 62.4% in Australian Capital Territory. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, impacting 9.9 and 9.8% of residents respectively. 64.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory. Working-age residents have a higher prevalence of chronic health conditions than average. Fraser has 19.9% of residents aged 65 and over (425 people), higher than the 14.3% in Australian Capital Territory. Overall, Fraser's national rankings align with general population figures.

Fraser ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser's population showed low cultural diversity, with 82.8% born in Australia and 94.8% being citizens. English was the language spoken at home by 91.3%. Christianity was the predominant religion at 44.8%, while Islam was overrepresented at 1.6%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 3.4%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (29.7%), Australian (28.3%), and Irish (9.5%). Welsh, Scottish, and Samoan groups also showed notable divergences in representation compared to regional averages.

Fraser's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Fraser is 41 years, which is considerably higher than the Australian Capital Territory's average of 35 years, modestly exceeding the national average of 38 years. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, the 65-74 cohort is notably over-represented at 11.3% in Fraser, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 9.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.6% to 7.3%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.7% to 14.3%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 14.2% to 11.3%, and the 35 to 44 group dropped from 14.5% to 12.3%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Fraser. Leading this shift, the 85+ group is expected to grow by 94% (from 26 people to 54), with residents aged 65 and older representing 100% of anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 75 to 84 and 45 to 54 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.