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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Scullin has an estimated 3,052 residents. That puts 2,134 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Scullin stands at approximately 3,052 as of May 2026. This represents a decline of 17 people (0.6%) from the 3,069 individuals recorded in the 2021 Census. This adjustment is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 3,052 alongside 15 validated new addresses registered since the Census. With this population level, the area has a density of 2,134 persons per square kilometer, a figure that exceeds the national average for locations evaluated by AreaSearch. The primary driver of population growth in the region was overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 65.3% of the total population gains in recent times.
ABS/Geoscience Australia projections from 2024, using 2022 as the base year, are utilized by AreaSearch for each SA2 area. For SA2 areas without this data, and for any years after 2032, age group growth rates are sourced from the ACT Government's SA2 projections, which also use 2022 as a base. Future projections point to a reduction in the overall population, with the number of residents expected to decrease by 241 persons by 2041 under this approach. Conversely, expansion is predicted within particular age brackets, led by the 85 and over cohort, which is expected to grow by 32 people.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
34 new dwellings have been approved in Scullin over the past five years, an average of 6 a year. That is 2.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 2, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential approvals in Scullin average approximately 6 new homes each year, with a total of 34 dwellings approved over the last 5 financial years. In the current financial year of FY-26, 2 approvals have been documented so far. With an average of only 0.6 new residents per constructed dwelling annually over the 5 financial years between FY-21 and FY-25, the incoming housing supply is keeping pace with or outstripping demand. This provides prospective buyers with diverse choices and accommodates population increases beyond current projections, while new properties are being constructed at an average value of $217,000.
Additionally, commercial approvals worth $537,000 have been registered this financial year, highlighting the predominantly residential character of the suburb. Scullin experiences minimal development activity when compared to the broader Australian Capital Territory, running 61.0% below the regional average per capita. This constrained supply pipeline typically helps reinforce demand and values for existing properties. The rate also falls below the national average, pointing to the mature state of the area and indicating potential planning constraints. The new projects are split evenly between 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% attached dwellings. This movement toward medium-density housing offers affordable points of entry and holds appeal for downsizers, investors, and first-time buyers. It marks a clear departure from the current housing mix, which consists of 80.0% houses, showing a shrinking pool of developable land alongside evolving lifestyle preferences and a requirement for varied, budget-friendly housing. Recording approximately 1695 people per dwelling approval, Scullin exhibits a highly established property market. Given that demographic projections point to either stability or decline, Scullin is anticipated to experience easing housing demand pressures, which should prove advantageous for buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Scullin
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 22 current infrastructure and development projects close to Scullin, worth an estimated $5.97 billion. 3 are already under construction and 8 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure updates, planning policies, and major construction projects can significantly influence the performance of a suburb. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects that are anticipated to affect the local area. Key regional developments include the Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment, the Belconnen Town Centre East Precinct, stages 1-7+ of the Ginninderry Estate across Strathnairn & Macnamara, and the New Northside Hospital, with the detailed list highlighting the most relevant projects.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Ethos Belconnen
Ethos is the second stage of Per Se Developments' Cirrus lakeside precinct at Belconnen. The project comprises 88 premium apartments with ground floor commercial tenancies overlooking Lake Ginninderra. Construction is well advanced with display apartments open and commercial space being marketed ahead of expected completion in 2026.
Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre Bioreactor Upgrade
Icon Water is renewing the Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre by building new bioreactors and supporting infrastructure, including membrane bioreactor technology, fine screening, membrane tanks, chemical dosing, blowers, waste-activated sludge management and non-potable water systems. The upgrade will increase wastewater treatment capacity to 97 ML per day, support Canberra's population growth, and help protect the Molonglo River. As of April 2026, earthworks and excavation for the new bioreactor foundations are in progress, with concrete foundation pours expected from July 2026.
Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment
Major redevelopment and expansion of Kippax Fair shopping centre in West Belconnen, delivering a completely new mixed-use precinct across two stages. The project will triple retail floor space, adding a new full-line Coles and expanded Woolworths alongside the existing Aldi. Plans include approximately 180 new dwellings (including 24 affordable and public housing units) built as shop-top housing, 450 underground car parks, a 6,000sqm park, a community hub, skate park, and indoor and outdoor dining. The ACT Government finalised a direct land sale agreement with owners the Christodoulou family in August 2024, with a $12 million community infrastructure commitment.A development application was expected to be publicly notified by mid-2025.
University of Canberra Sports Precinct
Major expansion of University of Canberra sports facilities, including the development of Sports Hub 2, new aquatic centre, indoor sports courts, outdoor playing fields, gymnasium upgrades, and athlete training facilities. It focuses on community access programs and elite athlete development.
West Belconnen Health Centre
Planned ACT Government community health centre for the growing West Belconnen and Ginninderry region. The facility is intended to provide integrated primary care, specialist outpatient services, allied health, mental health and community health services. As of 2026 the project remains in the planning phase with potential sites under review, land acquisition and concept design progressing ahead of future construction funding.
Belconnen Arts Centre Redevelopment
Modernization of existing arts centre with expanded performance spaces, visual arts galleries, community workshop areas, and improved accessibility. Features flexible venue spaces for theater, music, and community events with enhanced acoustics and lighting.
Belconnen Community Hub Upgrade
Comprehensive upgrade of existing community facilities including expanded library services, community meeting spaces, youth programs area, seniors center, and childcare facilities. Improved accessibility and technology integration throughout.
Belconnen Basketball Stadium Expansion
Expansion of existing basketball facilities to include additional courts, spectator seating for 2,000, improved accessibility features, and modernized amenities. Part of ACT Government's sports infrastructure investment program.
1,539 residents of Scullin are employed, from a labour force of 1,660. Unemployment sits at 7.3%, with participation at 69.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,377, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce in Scullin is highly educated, featuring a strong representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of 7.3%, and an estimated job growth rate of 1.6% over the preceding year. As of March 2026, there are 1,539 employed residents, while the unemployment rate sits 3.2% higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 4.1%, showing potential for labor market improvement. Workforce participation aligns closely with the Australian Capital Territory level of 70.8%. Census data indicates that a modest 11.7% of residents worked from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of Covid-19 lockdown restrictions.
The primary industries employing local residents are public administration & safety, education & training, and health care & social assistance. The suburb shows a particularly high concentration of workers in education & training, which stands at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, public administration & safety accounts for only 26.3% of the local workforce, trailing the Australian Capital Territory benchmark of 30.4%. This largely residential suburb appears to provide few local employment opportunities, as reflected in the discrepancy between the Census working population and the resident population. Employment levels rose by 1.6% while the labour force grew by 1.0% during the year to March 2026, according to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, which led to a 0.5 percentage point decline in unemployment. In contrast, the Australian Capital Territory experienced 0.3% employment growth and 1.1% labour force growth, accompanied by a 0.7 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide additional context regarding future demand in Scullin. These forecasts span five and ten-year horizons and have been aligned with Scullin's local employment composition to estimate growth trajectories. National employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though sectoral growth varies considerably. When these industry-specific forecasts are applied to Scullin's job mix, local employment is expected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years. This simple weighting extrapolation is for illustrative purposes only and does not incorporate localised population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Scullin is $2,025 a week (about $105,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,041 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,632 a year against an average of $75,815. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
AreaSearch analysis of the latest postcode-level ATO statistics released for the 2023 financial year indicates that taxpayers in the Scullin SA2 recorded a median income of $61,632 and an average income of $75,815. These figures are significantly above the national averages and compare to median and average incomes of $72,206 and $85,981 across the Australian Capital Territory. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 10.44% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates point to approximately $68,066 for the median and $83,730 for the average income as of March 2026.
The 2021 Census reports that household, family, and personal incomes in Scullin are situated around the 74th percentile nationally. The dominant income bracket consists of the 33.3% of earners (1,016 residents) who receive $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, matching regional trends where 34.3% of the population fall into the same bracket. High earners are also prominent, with 30.5% of residents earning more than $3,000 weekly, which points to significant purchasing capacity. Household costs absorb 15.2% of income, but solid earnings ensure disposable income remains at the 68th percentile, and the SEIFA index for income places the area in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Scullin had 1,147 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 80% detached houses and 6% apartments. 40% are owned with a mortgage, 33% rented and 27% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $390 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,950 a month. Rent absorbs 19.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing stock in Scullin, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 79.9% houses and 20.0% other dwelling types like semi-detached properties and apartments, compared to the Australian Capital Territory distribution of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. The rate of home ownership in Scullin matched the Australian Capital Territory average at 27.4%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (39.6%) or rented (33.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,950 was lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080, and the median weekly rent was $390 compared to the Territory average of $450.
On a national level, Scullin's median mortgage costs exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are higher than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Scullin counted 1,147 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 33% are couples with children, against 23% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.4 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households constitute the largest group at 69.0% of all homes, comprising couples with children at 32.6%, couples without children at 22.9%, and single-parent households at 12.0%. The remaining 31.0% consists of non-family households, made up of lone-person households at 27.2% and group households at 3.8%. The median household size of 2.6 residents exceeds the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
42.5% of adults in Scullin hold a university qualification, including 24.7% with a bachelor degree and 12.8% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 87% of areas nationally. A further 16.8% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 113 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,088 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Scullin exhibits levels of educational attainment that are well above broader averages, with 42.5% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree compared to 30.4% across Australia. This educational profile positions the suburb well to capitalize on knowledge-based employment sectors. Bachelor degrees represent the most common qualification at 24.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 12.8% and graduate diplomas at 5.0%. Vocational and technical qualifications are also common, with 26.5% of the population aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 9.7% and certificates at 16.8%. The rate of educational participation is high, with 32.5% of local residents enrolled in formal studies.
This cohort includes 10.7% attending primary school, 6.9% in secondary school, and 6.8% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Scullin reaches 15 stops on 54 routes, timetabled for about 3,000 services a week. The typical home sits about 180 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of the public transport network shows 15 active transit stops in Scullin, consisting of a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 54 distinct routes, which provide 2,965 weekly passenger journeys. Transport connectivity is rated as excellent, with residents living an average of 178 meters from their nearest transit stop. Because the suburb is primarily residential, most workers commute to other areas, with private vehicles remaining the primary transport mode at 87%, followed by bus transit at 7%. Average vehicle ownership is 1.2 cars per household. A relatively low 11.7% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data which may reflect the impact of COVID-19 conditions.
Service frequency averages 423 daily trips across the transit routes, representing approximately 197 weekly trips at each individual transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.5% of residents in Scullin report no long-term health condition. 4.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics point to below-average outcomes in Scullin, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and the prevalence of chronic illnesses. The occurrence of typical medical conditions among the general population is standard, although it is higher than the national average for older demographics. The rate of private health insurance is high, covering approximately 57% of the total population (~1,727 people), compared to 62.4% across the Australian Capital Territory. Mental health conditions and asthma were identified as the most prevalent medical issues locally, affecting 10.2 and 9.2% of residents respectively.
Meanwhile, 68.5% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, compared to 70.2% across the Australian Capital Territory. Health profiles for working-age residents are generally typical. Residents aged 65 and over make up 13.6% of the population (416 people). The health outcomes for this senior cohort present challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the population as a whole.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
27.1% of Scullin residents were born overseas and 24.1% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (23.8%) and English (23.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Scullin displays a higher level of cultural diversity than most local property markets, with 27.1% of the population born overseas and 24.1% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the most common religion, representing 37.1% of residents. The most distinct statistical overrepresentation is observed in Islam, which accounts for 4.0% of the population compared to 3.4% across the broader Australian Capital Territory. Regarding parental country of birth, the three largest ancestral groups in Scullin are Australian at 23.8%, English at 23.3%, and Other at 13.8%. There are also distinct differences in the concentration of other ethnic backgrounds: Polish heritage is represented at 1.1% in Scullin compared to 0.8% regionally, Spanish ancestry is at 0.7% compared to 0.5%, and Hungarian is at 0.4% compared to 0.3%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Scullin is 35, younger than 79% of areas nationally. 26.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Scullin is 35, matching the Australian Capital Territory figure of 35 but sitting slightly below the national median of 38 years. Relative to the Australian Capital Territory, Scullin has a higher proportion of residents aged 5 - 14 (14.6%) but fewer young adults aged 15 - 24 (11.1%). Since the 2021 Census, the 5 to 14 age bracket has expanded from 13.1% to 14.6% of the population. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has fallen from 7.8% to 6.4%, and the 45 to 54 group has decreased from 12.6% to 11.5%.
Population projections for 2041 point to major demographic changes in Scullin. The 85+ bracket is projected to experience the fastest growth at 65%, adding 36 residents to reach a total of 92. Population aging is set to continue, with residents aged 65 and older representing 86% of the projected growth. In contrast, the 55 to 64 and 45 to 54 age groups are expected to see population declines.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Scullin
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | May 2026 3 months ago all 13 measures |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 15 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,069 at the 2021 Census → 3,052 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (801011024). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.