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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Scullin has an estimated 3,057 residents. That puts 2,138 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Scullin's resident count stands at approximately 3,057 as of Aug 2026 according to AreaSearch evaluations. Compared to the 3,069 individuals recorded in the 2021 Census, this represents a reduction of 12 people (0.4%). This demographic shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population figure of 3,052 alongside 15 validated new addresses established following the Census. The local population density reaches 2,137 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical level across national locations evaluated by AreaSearch. In recent times, population expansion was predominantly propelled by overseas migration, which made up roughly 65.3% of total demographic additions.
Projections compiled by the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 (anchored to a 2022 baseline) are utilized by AreaSearch across SA2 locations, supplemented by ACT Government SA2 age-specific growth models (also with a 2022 base) for post-2032 horizons or uncovered regions. Looking ahead through this framework, aggregate headcount is expected to drop by 238 persons by 2041. In contrast to the general downward trajectory, certain age brackets are slated to grow, most prominently the 85 and over age group with an estimated expansion of 30 people.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
32 new dwellings have been approved in Scullin over the past five years, an average of 6 a year. That is 2.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals in Scullin have averaged roughly 6 new homes each year, amounting to 32 homes across the last 5 financial years. With an inflow rate averaging only 0.6 new residents per year per authorized dwelling across the last 5 financial years (from FY-22 through FY-26), additions to local supply are keeping pace with or exceeding demand, thereby providing house hunters broader choices and laying the groundwork for population increases above current projections. Concurrently, average construction costs for new dwellings sit at $285,000—below regional benchmarks—offering more attainable entry pricing.
In addition, $537,000 in commercial approvals was registered during the current financial year, underscoring a distinctly residential orientation. Compared against the Australian Capital Territory baseline, residential construction activity in Scullin is substantially muted (lagging the regional per-person benchmark by 67.0%). This constrained flow of new building tends to bolster buyer interest and pricing across established housing stock. Development levels also trail national benchmarks, pointing toward market maturity and potential land availability limitations. Recent building approvals are split evenly between detached houses (50.0%) and medium-to-high-density options such as townhouses or apartments (50.0%). This pivot toward medium-density development provides more accessible entry price points suitable for downsizers, first-home purchasers, and investors. It marks a clear departure from the existing profile of 80.0% houses, reflecting a scarcity of greenfield sites, evolving lifestyle preferences, and heightened demand for varied, budget-friendly dwelling types. There are roughly 1901 people per dwelling approval, reinforcing the established nature of the area. Given that demographic forecasts point toward steady or declining resident numbers, housing demand pressures across Scullin are likely to soften, creating favorable conditions for prospective buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Scullin
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 22 current infrastructure and development projects close to Scullin, worth an estimated $5.96 billion. 3 are already under construction and 8 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects and planning programs exert a substantial impact on community performance, though AreaSearch has identified no active major initiatives likely to affect the area. Significant regional developments include the Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment, Belconnen Town Centre East Precinct, Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+), and New Northside Hospital, with the most relevant schemes detailed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Ethos Belconnen
Ethos is the second stage of Per Se Developments' Cirrus lakeside precinct at Belconnen. The project comprises 88 premium apartments with ground floor commercial tenancies overlooking Lake Ginninderra. Construction is well advanced with display apartments open and commercial space being marketed ahead of expected completion in 2026.
Belconnen Basketball Stadium Expansion
The ACT Government is progressing planning for the expansion and modernisation of the Belconnen Basketball Stadium. The project encompasses additional indoor multi-sport courts, upgraded spectator seating, enhanced accessibility features, and improved administrative and changeroom amenities to meet rising regional community demand. Works are managed under the ACT Government's community sports infrastructure investment program.
Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre Bioreactor Upgrade
Icon Water is renewing the Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre by building new bioreactors and supporting infrastructure, including membrane bioreactor technology, fine screening, membrane tanks, chemical dosing, blowers, waste-activated sludge management and non-potable water systems. The upgrade will increase wastewater treatment capacity to 97 ML per day, support Canberra's population growth, and help protect the Molonglo River. As of April 2026, earthworks and excavation for the new bioreactor foundations are in progress, with concrete foundation pours expected from July 2026.
Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment
Major redevelopment and expansion of Kippax Fair shopping centre in West Belconnen, delivering a completely new mixed-use precinct across two stages. The project will triple retail floor space, adding a new full-line Coles and expanded Woolworths alongside the existing Aldi. Plans include approximately 180 new dwellings (including 24 affordable and public housing units) built as shop-top housing, 450 underground car parks, a 6,000sqm park, a community hub, skate park, and indoor and outdoor dining. The ACT Government finalised a direct land sale agreement with owners the Christodoulou family in August 2024, with a $12 million community infrastructure commitment.A development application was expected to be publicly notified by mid-2025.
University of Canberra Sports Precinct
Major expansion of University of Canberra sports facilities, including the development of Sports Hub 2, new aquatic centre, indoor sports courts, outdoor playing fields, gymnasium upgrades, and athlete training facilities. It focuses on community access programs and elite athlete development.
West Belconnen Health Centre
Planned ACT Government community health centre for the growing West Belconnen and Ginninderry region. The facility is intended to provide integrated primary care, specialist outpatient services, allied health, mental health and community health services. As of 2026 the project remains in the planning phase with potential sites under review, land acquisition and concept design progressing ahead of future construction funding.
Belconnen Community Hub Upgrade
Comprehensive upgrade of existing community facilities including expanded library services, community meeting spaces, youth programs area, seniors center, and childcare facilities. Improved accessibility and technology integration throughout.
JWLand Belconnen Lathlain Street Development
Mixed-use precinct at Belconnen Town Centre comprising 435 apartments across buildings of 12 to 18 storeys, a 144-room hotel, ground-floor retail, cafes, restaurants, and commercial office suites. The project sits within the Lathlain Eat Street precinct opposite Westfield Belconnen and adjoins an ACT Government urban park. A podium park and rooftop terrace gardens are planned, with 583 basement car spaces across four levels. A development application was lodged in early 2025.
1,539 residents of Scullin are employed, from a labour force of 1,660. Unemployment sits at 7.3%, with participation at 68.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,382, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Scullin is characterized by a well-educated labor pool with significant representation across key service sectors, alongside an unemployment rate of 7.3% and 1.6% employment growth over the previous year. As of March 2026, employed locals number 1,539 residents. The local jobless rate exceeds the Australian Capital Territory benchmark of 4.1% by 3.2%, indicating potential for improvement, while labor force participation trails standard levels at 68.4% compared to 70.6% across the Australian Capital Territory. According to Census records, a modest 11.7% of employed individuals worked from home, though this figure was likely influenced by Covid-19 restrictions.
Residents are predominantly employed within public administration & safety, education & training, and health care & social assistance. Education & training represents a prominent local specialization, capturing an employment share 1.3 times the territory benchmark. Conversely, public administration & safety is less prevalent locally, accounting for 26.3% of employed residents versus 30.4% across the Australian Capital Territory. Given the comparison between Census working population and resident headcount, this largely residential suburb generates relatively few jobs within its own boundaries. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM metrics indicates that in the year leading to March 2026, resident employment rose by 1.6% while the local labor force expanded by 1.0%, bringing the unemployment rate down by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, across the Australian Capital Territory, employment increased by 0.3%, the labor force grew by 1.1%, and joblessness rose by 0.7 percentage points. Looking forward, national industry projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide context on potential local workforce trajectory. Nationally, employment is projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying widely across industries. Applying these sectoral trajectories to Scullin's industry composition suggests potential local employment increases of 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (calculated via simple industry weighting for indicative purposes, excluding local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Scullin is $2,025 a week (about $105,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,041 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,632 a year against an average of $75,815. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's evaluation of ATO postcode data for financial year 2023, personal earnings in the Scullin SA2 comfortably exceed national benchmarks, recording a median of $61,632 and an average of $75,815. These amounts trail broader Australian Capital Territory statistics, where the median is $72,206 and the average reaches $85,981. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2023, updated estimates sit near $68,066 for median earnings and $83,730 for average earnings as of March 2026. At the 2021 Census, individual, family, and household earnings centered around the 74th percentile nationally.
Income distribution shows the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly band being the most common, encompassing 33.3% of residents (1,017 people), consistent with the wider region's 34.3%. Meanwhile, high-income earners generating over $3,000 per week comprise 30.5%, highlighting considerable local buying power. Housing costs absorb 15.2% of income, yet robust earnings sustain disposable income at the 68th percentile and place the suburb in the 7th decile of the SEIFA income scale.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Scullin had 1,147 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 80% detached houses and 6% apartments. 40% are owned with a mortgage, 33% rented and 27% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $390 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,950 a month. Rent absorbs 19.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, housing stock in Scullin was composed of 79.9% separate houses and 20.0% semi-detached, apartment, or other dwelling types, whereas the wider Australian Capital Territory recorded 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Outright property ownership matched the territory-wide rate at 27.4%, while mortgaged homes accounted for 39.6% and rented properties represented 33.1%. Median monthly mortgage costs of $1,950 and median weekly rents of $390 sat below the respective Australian Capital Territory benchmarks of $2,080 and $450. Across Australia as a whole, however, Scullin's mortgage commitments and rental payments exceed the nationwide medians of $1,863 per month and $375 per week.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Scullin counted 1,147 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 33% are couples with children, against 23% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.4 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 69.0% of local households, comprising couples with children at 32.6%, couples without children at 22.9%, and single parent households at 12.0%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 31.0%, divided between single-person dwellings at 27.2% and group shared arrangements at 3.8%. The average household size stands at 2.6 people, slightly above the Australian Capital Territory figure of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
42.5% of adults in Scullin hold a university qualification, including 24.7% with a bachelor degree and 12.8% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 87% of areas nationally. A further 16.8% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 113 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,088 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher education qualifications among Scullin residents exceed broader standards, with 42.5% of people aged 15+ possessing university degrees compared to 30.4% nationwide. Bachelor degrees constitute the largest share at 24.7%, alongside postgraduate degrees at 12.8% and graduate diplomas at 5.0%. Technical and vocational credentials are also well represented, held by 26.5% of residents aged 15+, consisting of certificates (16.8%) and advanced diplomas (9.7%). Participation in formal learning is substantial across the suburb, with 32.5% of the local population actively studying. This cohort includes 10.7% attending primary school, 6.9% in secondary education, and 6.8% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Scullin reaches 13 stops on 49 routes, timetabled for about 2,100 services a week. The typical home sits about 180 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport connectivity in Scullin is supported by 13 active bus stops across the suburb. These locations are connected by 49 individual routes that provide 2,143 weekly passenger trips in total. Transit access is rated as excellent, with typical walking distances to the nearest stop averaging 181 meters. As a mostly residential district, outward commuting prevails, with private vehicles accounting for 87% of trips and buses serving 7%. Vehicle ownership sits at an average of 1.2 per dwelling, while 11.7% of workers worked from home according to 2021 Census records (potentially influenced by COVID-19).
Transit service frequency across the network averages 306 trips daily, delivering approximately 164 weekly trips for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.5% of residents in Scullin report no long-term health condition. 4.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch based on mortality statistics and chronic condition prevalence point to below-average overall outcomes in Scullin, with general ailment rates being relatively typical among the broader populace but elevated within older demographics. Private health insurance take-up is elevated, covering roughly 57% of residents (~1,730 people), compared to 62.4% across the Australian Capital Territory. Mental health conditions and asthma represent the most widely reported medical issues, affecting 10.2% and 9.2% of residents respectively, while 68.5% of locals reported no long-term illnesses compared to 70.2% across the Australian Capital Territory.
Health metrics for working-age locals remain mostly standard. Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 13.7% of the community (419 people), and this older cohort faces certain chronic health challenges, although their health outcomes rank lower on a national scale than those of the wider population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
27.1% of Scullin residents were born overseas and 24.1% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (23.8%) and English (23.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Scullin sits well above standard local benchmarks, with 27.1% of community members born overseas and 24.1% using a non-English language at home. Christianity is the most commonly practiced religion, claimed by 37.1% of residents. Islam shows a notable relative concentration, accounting for 4.0% of local residents compared to 3.4% across the Australian Capital Territory. Regarding ancestral backgrounds based on parents' country of birth, the primary reported ancestries are Australian at 23.8%, English at 23.3%, and Other backgrounds at 13.8%. Specific European heritages also show higher local representation than territory averages, including Polish at 1.1% (compared to 0.8% regionally), Spanish at 0.7% (compared to 0.5%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (compared to 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Scullin is 35, younger than 79% of areas nationally. 27.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Scullin closely tracks the Australian Capital Territory benchmark, with the largest divergence across the four main age tiers being only 0.7 percentage points. Median age is estimated at 35, matching both its 2021 Census reading and the territory-wide median of 35 from that same Census. By 2041, demographic additions will be concentrated among seniors aged 65+, who are projected to increase by 18 residents (4%) to reach 438, while cohorts spanning children, young adults, and young to middle aged adults are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Scullin
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 15 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,069 at the 2021 Census → 3,057 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (801011024). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.