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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Flynn (ACT) has an estimated 3,712 residents, up from 3,671 at the 2021 Census — a change of 41 people, or 1.1%. Growth has averaged 0.9% a year over five years, slower than 86% of areas nationally. That puts 1,768 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research by AreaSearch, Flynn accommodates approximately 3,712 residents as of Aug 2026. Compared to the 2021 Census tally of 3,671 people, this marks a net addition of 41 residents (1.1%). This estimate incorporates the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 3,710 alongside 13 validated new addresses registered following the Census. Consequently, local population density stands at 1,767 persons per square kilometer, outpacing the national benchmark evaluated by AreaSearch. Inflow from overseas migration served as the primary growth driver, accounting for roughly 54.0% of recent population gains. Projections utilize ABS and Geoscience Australia modelling released in 2024 (taking 2022 as baseline), supplemented by ACT Government SA2 age cohort projections based on 2022 for periods beyond 2032 or areas without coverage.
Based on this framework, Flynn is projected to see a demographic contraction, dropping by 437 persons by 2041. In contrast to this broader downturn, older age groups are set to expand, headlined by an increase of 20 people among residents aged 85 and over. <i>See the age section for more details.</i>
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
30 new dwellings have been approved in Flynn (ACT) over the past five years, an average of 6 a year. That is 1.6 approvals per 1,000 residents. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals in Flynn have averaged roughly 6 per year, totaling 30 approved dwellings across the last 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). With approximately 5.2 new residents added annually per home built during the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26), additions to local housing stock are falling well short of population needs, fueling competitive buying conditions and upward price momentum. Concurrently, average construction values for new dwellings sit at $282,000, undercutting broader regional figures and offering relatively budget-friendly housing opportunities. Per capita residential development in Flynn lags the broader Australian Capital Territory considerably, sitting 74.0% below the regional average and beneath national levels due to neighborhood maturity and planning boundaries.
Restrained construction activity has supported valuation levels for existing properties. Recent approvals split evenly between 50.0% standalone houses and 50.0% medium to high-density dwellings. This shift toward denser housing formats accommodates first-home buyers, investors, and downsizers seeking attainable price points. Considering that established stock is 96.0% houses, this trend highlights a shrinking pool of vacant residential land as well as evolving lifestyle preferences. With roughly 1132 residents for every approved dwelling, Flynn exhibits the hallmarks of a fully established community. With projections pointing toward a stable or slightly shrinking population base, demand pressures on Flynn's housing market may ease, generating advantageous buying opportunities.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Flynn (ACT)
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects close to Flynn (ACT), worth an estimated $6.91 billion. 5 are already under construction and 2 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, environmental & disaster management and precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure works and strategic development projects exert a fundamental influence over local community performance. AreaSearch has registered 1 significant initiative with potential local relevance. Surrounding projects of note include the Ginninderry Masterplanned Community - Strathnairn & Macnamara, Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+), Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment, and the Macnamara Residential Estate, which are detailed in the accompanying overview.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Macgregor Primary School Expansion & Modernisation
Major upgrade and expansion of Macgregor Primary School at Hirschfeld Crescent, Macgregor ACT, delivering new learning hubs, additional classrooms, and improved playground facilities. The project is driven by growing enrolments from adjacent new residential developments including The Valley Ponds and the broader Ginninderry estate. The ACT Education Directorate and Infrastructure Canberra are delivering the works, with completion targeted for 2026.
The Valley Ponds - Stage 3 & Future Stages
Final residential stages of the established Macgregor suburb in Belconnen, delivering over 400 new homes in The Valley Ponds precinct. The estate is adjacent to Ginninderra Creek and the future Ginninderry conservation corridor and pond network, offering a mix of block sizes with connections to open space and green corridors.
Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+)
Canberra's largest master-planned community spanning the ACT-NSW border in West Belconnen, delivering approximately 11,500 dwellings across four suburbs over 30-40 years on a 1,600-hectare site. Over 37% of land is set aside as a conservation corridor along the Murrumbidgee River and Ginninderra Creek. Two suburbs are underway: Strathnairn (909 occupied dwellings as of early 2025) and Macnamara (13 occupied, 11 under construction). A primary school opens 2026, and the first local shopping centre is targeted for 2027.Certified as a 6-Star Green Star Community.
Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment
Major redevelopment and expansion of Kippax Fair shopping centre in West Belconnen, delivering a completely new mixed-use precinct across two stages. The project will triple retail floor space, adding a new full-line Coles and expanded Woolworths alongside the existing Aldi. Plans include approximately 180 new dwellings (including 24 affordable and public housing units) built as shop-top housing, 450 underground car parks, a 6,000sqm park, a community hub, skate park, and indoor and outdoor dining. The ACT Government finalised a direct land sale agreement with owners the Christodoulou family in August 2024, with a $12 million community infrastructure commitment.A development application was expected to be publicly notified by mid-2025.
Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre Bioreactor Upgrade
Icon Water is renewing the Lower Molonglo Water Quality Control Centre by building new bioreactors and supporting infrastructure, including membrane bioreactor technology, fine screening, membrane tanks, chemical dosing, blowers, waste-activated sludge management and non-potable water systems. The upgrade will increase wastewater treatment capacity to 97 ML per day, support Canberra's population growth, and help protect the Molonglo River. As of April 2026, earthworks and excavation for the new bioreactor foundations are in progress, with concrete foundation pours expected from July 2026.
Macnamara Residential Estate
Macnamara is the second residential suburb in the Ginninderry Joint Venture, a 6 Star Green Star community on the western edge of Belconnen. Delivered by Suburban Land Agency and Riverview Developments, the suburb will deliver approximately 1,800 homes on land bordering the Ginninderry Conservation Corridor, with views to the Brindabella Mountains. Multiple land stages are actively selling as of 2025-2026, with blocks from 540sqm priced from $615,000. A local retail centre is planned for 2027 (subject to approval) and Strathnairn Early Childhood and Education Centre is partially opening in 2026.
1,935 residents of Flynn (ACT) are employed, from a labour force of 2,041. Unemployment sits at 5.2%, with participation at 68.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,826, about 76% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Flynn features an educated local labor pool with strong representation in public and community services, alongside an unemployment rate of 5.2% and annual employment growth estimated at 0.9%. Figures for March 2026 indicate 1,935 employed residents, an unemployment figure 1.1% higher than the Australian Capital Territory mark of 4.1%, and a labor participation rate of 68.6%, slightly beneath the territory-wide 70.6%. In addition, Census records show that only 13.1% of workers operated from home, though pandemic-related movement restrictions during that period should be noted. Public administration & safety, education & training, and construction constitute the primary fields of employment for residents.
Notably, local participation in construction is particularly pronounced, registering at 1.5 times the regional norm. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for only 8.6% of local workers, trailing the 11.1% figure recorded across Australian Capital Territory. Flynn functions largely as a dormitory suburb, providing few on-site jobs relative to its resident workforce according to Census workplace location tallies. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM metrics indicates that local employment expanded by 0.9% over the 12-month span while the total labor force grew by 1.0%, keeping joblessness steady. Across Australian Capital Territory, employment rose 0.3%, the labor force increased 1.1%, and unemployment expanded by 0.7 percentage points. Looking forward, Jobs and Skills Australia's Mar-26 nationwide forecasts indicate potential employment shifts for Flynn. While national job figures are anticipated to increase by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, trajectories vary by sector. Weighting these sectoral forecasts against Flynn's resident industry composition suggests local employment could grow by 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years (representing an unadjusted industry extrapolation excluding localized population changes).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Flynn (ACT) is $2,728 a week (about $142,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,173 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $72,527 a year against an average of $80,037. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's review of ATO data for financial year 2023, Flynn SA2 demonstrates notable financial affluence nationally, featuring a median income of $72,527 and an average income of $80,037, compared to the Australian Capital Territory benchmarks of $72,206 (median) and $85,981 (average). Adjusting for a 10.44% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, March 2026 levels are estimated at $80,099 for median income and $88,393 for average income. The 2021 Census placed personal, family, and household earnings in the 89th to 94th national percentiles. Around 31.4% of residents (1,165 people) earned between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the regional share of 34.3%.
Furthermore, 45.2% of households receive more than $3,000 weekly, bolstering local purchasing capacity. Households keep 88.2% of their income after meeting shelter costs, and the suburb sits in the 8th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Flynn (ACT) had 1,214 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 97% detached houses and 0% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 35% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $481 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month. Rent absorbs 17.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census findings show that Flynn's housing stock is overwhelmingly detached, with 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (apartments, attached, and other types), contrasting sharply with the Australian Capital Territory distribution of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Outright home ownership reached 34.9%, well above territory norms, while 49.6% of properties were mortgaged and 15.5% were rented. The median monthly mortgage payment reached $2,167 against the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080, and median weekly rent was $481 versus the regional $450. Across Australia, typical monthly mortgage costs are $1,863 and weekly rents sit at $375, placing Flynn well above national averages on both measures.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Flynn (ACT) counted 1,214 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 42% are couples with children, more than in 83% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 16% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 81.1% of households in Flynn, led by couples with children (41.8%), couples without children (27.9%), and single parent households (10.1%). Non-family living arrangements account for 18.9% of homes, including 15.9% single-person dwellings and 3.0% shared group arrangements. The typical household consists of 2.9 people, exceeding the Australian Capital Territory benchmark of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
37.5% of adults in Flynn (ACT) hold a university qualification, including 22.5% with a bachelor degree and 10.4% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 19.8% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Educational attainment among Flynn residents sits below territory-wide figures, with 37.5% of individuals aged 15+ holding tertiary degrees compared to 46.8% across the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are held by 22.5% of the adult population, postgraduate qualifications by 10.4%, and graduate diplomas by 4.6%. Meanwhile, vocational education is widely held, with 31.2% of adults holding trade or technical credentials, including certificates (19.8%) and advanced diplomas (11.4%). A substantial 31.0% of Flynn residents are currently engaged in study. This group comprises 11.3% in primary schooling, 8.1% attending secondary schools, and 5.9% enrolled in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Flynn (ACT) reaches 20 stops on 61 routes, timetabled for about 4,400 services a week. The typical home sits about 170 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Commuter transit in Flynn is supported by 20 operational bus stops connected to 61 distinct bus routes, delivering 4,427 passenger services each week. Local access is strong, with an average distance of 174 meters to the closest stop. Given the suburb's residential focus, the vast majority of workers travel out of the area, with private vehicles accounting for 93% of journeys. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 cars per household, surpassing regional levels, while 13.1% of workers operated from home during the 2021 Census under prevailing pandemic circumstances. Local public transit routes run an average of 632 services daily, which translates to roughly 221 weekly departures at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.4% of residents in Flynn (ACT) report no long-term health condition. 5.2% need daily assistance with core activities, and 59.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Mortality and chronic illness figures compiled by AreaSearch point to below-average overall health metrics in Flynn. Chronic condition rates among the general public are fairly standard, though older demographics experience higher rates than the national norm. Private health insurance coverage is elevated, encompassing approximately 60% of residents (2,208 people), compared to 62.4% territory-wide across Australian Capital Territory. Mental health conditions and arthritis represent the most widespread health concerns locally, reported by 9.6 and 8.4% of residents, respectively, while 67.4% reported having no long-term health issues compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory.
Working-age adults demonstrate higher-than-average chronic illness rates. Residents aged 65 and over constitute 18.0% of the population (669 people), exceeding the territory proportion of 14.2%, and health outcomes within this senior cohort present specific vulnerabilities despite sitting beneath broader national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Flynn (ACT) is largely Australian-born, at 79.6% of residents, with 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.3%) and Australian (25.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Flynn sits above typical benchmarks, with 20.4% of community members born abroad and 13.9% utilizing a non-English language at home. Christianity represents the most common religious affiliation, encompassing 45.1% of the populace. Judaism shows the clearest relative concentration, accounting for 0.2% of residents, matching the 0.2% share recorded across Australian Capital Territory. Looking at parental lineage, the primary ancestries reported in Flynn are English (27.3%), Australian (25.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Several other backgrounds exhibit higher local presence than seen regionally: Welsh accounts for 1.0% of the population (vs 0.6% regionally), Polish represents 0.9% (vs 0.8%), and Spanish comprises 0.6% (vs 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Flynn (ACT) is 37. 25.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographic age distributions in Flynn largely mirror territory patterns, showing a maximum divergence of 6.6 percentage points from the Australian Capital Territory profile. The estimated median age remains at 37, matching the 2021 Census result and sitting 2 years above the territory median of 35 recorded at that Census. Since then, residents aged 65+ have expanded from 15.4% to an estimated 18.0% of the population. Long-term projections to 2041 anticipate no significant growth across major age brackets, with numbers of young to middle-aged adults, children, and young adults expected to decline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Flynn (ACT)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jun 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 last month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 13 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,671 at the 2021 Census → 3,712 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (801011009). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.