Flynn (ACT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flynn reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Flynn's population is 3,712 as of May 2026. This shows an increase from 3,671 people in the 2021 Census, a rise of 41 people (1.1%). The change is inferred from ABS estimates of 3,710 residents in June 2025 and 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 1,767 persons per square kilometer, higher than average national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.0% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, using 2022 as the base year. Future population trends indicate a decline by 2041, with the area's population expected to shrink by 442 persons according to these projections. However, specific age cohorts like the 85 and over group are anticipated to grow, projected to expand by 22 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flynn recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Flynn has seen approximately six new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 32 homes were approved, with two more approved so far in FY26.

On average, over these five years, about 5.2 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed. This high demand outpaces supply, typically increasing prices and competition among buyers. The average construction value of new dwellings was $248,000. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Flynn's construction is significantly lower, at 69.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained construction reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. However, recent construction activity has intensified. New building activity consists of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% medium and high-density housing, a considerable shift from the current housing mix of 96.0% houses.

Flynn's population density is approximately 344 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area with stable or declining population expected in the future, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

Flynn has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project likely affecting the region: Ginninderry Masterplanned Community - Strathnairn & Macnamara. Other notable projects include Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+), Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment, and Macnamara Residential Estate. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Flynn has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Flynn's workforce is well-educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.0% as of an unspecified past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.8%. As of December 2025, 1,932 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.0%, 1.2% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation was similar to the ACT's 70.5%. According to Census responses, a low 13.1% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries were public administration & safety, education & training, and construction. Construction had an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services had limited presence with 8.6% employment compared to the regional average of 11.1%. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Over a 12-month period, employment increased by 1.8%, labour force grew by 0.9%, and unemployment rate fell by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Australian Capital Territory experienced employment growth of 0.9% and labour force growth of 1.2%, with a slight rise in unemployment rate. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia projected national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flynn's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Flynn SA2 had a median income of $72,527 and an average income of $80,037. Nationally, these figures are extremely high. The Australian Capital Territory had a median income of $72,206 and an average of $85,981 in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for March 2026 would be approximately $80,099 (median) and $88,393 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Flynn rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 94th percentiles. Income distribution data shows that 31.4% of locals (1,165 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 category. This pattern is similar to the surrounding region, where 34.3% occupy this income range. Economic strength is evident with 45.2% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flynn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Flynn, as per the latest Census, 96.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 3.5% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This contrasts with the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flynn stood at 34.9%, with mortgaged properties making up 49.6% and rented dwellings comprising 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, surpassing the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure for Flynn was recorded at $481, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $450. Nationally, Flynn's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Flynn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.1% of all households, including 41.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.9%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households making up 3.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Flynn exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Flynn trail regional benchmarks, with 37.5% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 46.8% in SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 22.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (19.8%). Educational participation is high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.3% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis conducted in Flynn reveals 20 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 64 individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 4,435 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 174 meters from the nearest transport stop. Flynn, being primarily residential, sees most residents commuting outward. The car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 93%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 13.1% of residents work from home, potentially reflecting COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 633 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 221 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Flynn are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Flynn based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among the general population is somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

Mental health issues impact 9.6% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.4%. Approximately 60% of the total population (2,208 people) have private health cover, compared to 62.4% across Australian Capital Territory. 67.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.2% in Australian Capital Territory. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 17.9% of residents aged 65 and over (664 people), which is higher than the 14.3% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Flynn records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Flynn has a cultural diversity level above average, with 20.4% of its population born overseas and 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Flynn, comprising 45.1% of people. Notably, Judaism is slightly overrepresented compared to Australian Capital Territory, making up 0.2% of Flynn's population.

Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are English (27.3%), Australian (25.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences in representation: Welsh at 1.0% in Flynn compared to 0.6% regionally, Polish at 0.9% versus 0.8%, and Spanish at 0.6% versus 0.5%.

Flynn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Flynn's median age is 37 years, slightly older than Australian Capital Territory's 35 but aligned with the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group comprises 14.5%, higher than Australian Capital Territory, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 12.7%. From 2021 to present, the 75-84 age group grew from 4.8% to 6.2%, and the 85+ cohort increased from 0.8% to 2.0%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 13.3% to 11.6%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 11.1% to 10.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Flynn. The 85+ age cohort is projected to increase by 15 people (21%), from 73 to 89. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 75-84 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.