Flynn (ACT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flynn reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Flynn's population was approximately 3,686 as of November 2025. This figure represents a rise of 15 individuals (0.4%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,671 people. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,672 in June 2024 and an additional 13 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 1,755 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Flynn's growth rate of 0.4% since the Census places it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.4%), indicating robust growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are used, also based on 2022. Future population trends indicate a decline over time. According to these projections, Flynn's population is expected to decrease by 450 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 28 people during this period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flynn recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Flynn has seen approximately six new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 32 homes were approved, with none yet approved in FY26.

On average, over these five years, around 5.2 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed annually. This significant demand outpaces supply, typically exerting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $248,000. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Flynn shows substantially reduced construction activity, with 69.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. However, recent construction activity has intensified. Nationally, this is also lower than average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New building activity consists of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% medium to high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points, suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This marks a considerable shift from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses at 96.0%. The location has approximately 344 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area with a stable or declining population expected in the future. This should reduce pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Flynn has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting this region. Key projects are Ginninderry Stage 3 - The Valley Release, Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), Kippax Fair Expansion & Upgrade, and Macnamara Residential Estate. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Flynn has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Flynn has an educated workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 4.9%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1% over the past year.

As of September 2025, 1,930 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.4% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation in Flynn is similar to ACT's 69.6%. The leading employment industries among residents include public administration & safety, education & training, and construction. Construction has a significant presence with an employment share 1.5 times higher than the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have limited representation with 8.6% employment compared to the regional average of 11.1%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, labour force grew by 0.8%, and unemployment decreased by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, ACT experienced employment growth of 1.4% and labour force growth of 1.2%, with a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment. State-level data from November 25 shows ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May-25 indicate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flynn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Flynn SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $68,838 and an average income of $77,813. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $68,678 and average of $83,634. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $78,200 (median) and $88,396 (average), based on a 13.6% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census figures rank household, family, and personal incomes in Flynn between the 89th and 94th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 31.4% of locals (1,157 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999, similar to the surrounding region where 34.3% fall into this range. Economic strength is evident with 45.2% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting increased consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flynn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census showed that Flynn's dwelling structures were 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flynn was at 34.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.6% and rented dwellings at 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $481, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $430. Nationally, Flynn's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Flynn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.1% of all households, including 41.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.9%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households making up 3.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Flynn exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Flynn trail regional benchmarks; 37.5% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to 46.8% in SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 22.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials; advanced diplomas account for 11.4% and certificates for 19.8%. Educational participation is high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education; this includes 11.3% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.3% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Flynn indicates that there are 20 active transport stops currently operating. These stops service a mix of bus routes, with three individual routes providing a total of 521 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located approximately 174 meters from the nearest stop.

The average service frequency across all routes is 74 trips per day, which equates to roughly 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Flynn are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Flynn shows below-average health outcomes, with common conditions affecting both younger and older residents.

Mental health issues impact 9.6%, while arthritis affects 8.4%. A total of 2167 people have private health cover, approximately 59% of the population. In comparison, 67.4% of Flynn residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than the Australian Capital Territory's 68.1%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.1%, or 630 people, compared to the ACT's 15.3%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges similar to those seen in the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Flynn records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Flynn's population shows cultural diversity, with 20.4% born overseas and 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Flynn, comprising 45.1%. Judaism is overrepresented compared to regional figures, making up 0.2% of Flynn's population.

The top three ancestry groups are English (27.3%), Australian (25.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences: Welsh at 1.0%, Polish at 0.9%, and Spanish at 0.6%.

Flynn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Flynn's median age is 37 years, slightly older than Australian Capital Territory's 35 but aligned with the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group comprises 15.0% of Flynn's population compared to Australian Capital Territory's percentage. The 25-34 cohort makes up 13.1% of Flynn's population. From 2021 to present, the 85+ age group has grown from 0.8% to 1.6%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 13.3% to 11.4%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Flynn. The 85+ age group is projected to increase by 20 people (33%) from 60 to 81. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 75-84 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.