Flynn (ACT)
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flynn reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Flynn (ACT) had a population of around 3,686 as of August 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 15 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,671. The growth is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 3,672 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,755 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Flynn's growth rate of 0.4% since the Census places it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.4%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, also using 2022 as the base year. Future population trends indicate a decline in overall population, with Flynn's population expected to shrink by 450 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, specific age cohorts like the 85 and over group are projected to grow, with an increase of 28 people anticipated.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flynn recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Flynn has seen approximately nine new homes approved annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis. From fiscal years 2020 to 2025, there have been forty-nine approvals, with none recorded so far in fiscal year 2026.

On average, five-point-two people move to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five years. This significant demand excess results in price growth and increased buyer competition. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $265,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Flynn shows substantially reduced construction activity, 70.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties but has seen building activity accelerate in recent years. New building activity consists of fifty percent detached houses and fifty percent medium and high-density housing. This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 96.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options.

With around three hundred forty-four people per dwelling approval, Flynn shows a developed market. Population stability or decline is expected, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

Flynn has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 22ndth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact the area. Notable projects include New Northside Hospital, Parkwood Urban Release, Ngurra Cultural Precinct, and Deakin Private Hospital, with the following list outlining those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The employment landscape in Flynn shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Flynn has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 5.0%, having seen a 2.7% employment growth in the past year.

As of June 2025, 1,958 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 4.0%, above ACT's rate of 3.4%. Workforce participation is similar to ACT's at 69.6%. Major industries include public administration & safety, education & training, and construction, with a strong specialization in construction at 1.5 times the regional level but lower representation in professional & technical services at 8.6% versus the regional average of 11.1%. Employment levels increased by 2.7% and labour force grew by 1.6% from June 2024 to June 2025, leading to a 1.0 percentage point decrease in unemployment rate.

ACT experienced employment growth of 1.9% and labour force growth of 1.6%, with a 0.3 percentage point drop in unemployment rate during the same period. Between Sep-24 and Sep-25, ACT employment contracted by 0.33% (losing 1,480 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flynn's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.2%% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ending 30 June 2022, Flynn had a median income among taxpayers of $68,838 and an average income of $77,813. Nationally, the median income was $68,678 and the average was $83,634 in the Australian Capital Territory during the same period. By March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $76,259 (median) and $86,201 (average), based on a 10.78% increase since financial year 2022 as per the Wage Price Index growth. The 2021 Census figures place Flynn's household, family, and personal incomes in the 90th to 94th percentiles nationally. Income analysis shows that 31.4% of residents (1,157 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, which is consistent with broader trends across regional levels at 34.3%. Economic strength in Flynn is evident through 45.2% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flynn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Flynn, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory had 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flynn was 34.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.6% and rented dwellings at 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Flynn was $2,167, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure for Flynn was $481, higher than the Australian Capital Territory's $430. Nationally, Flynn's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $481 compared to the national figure of $375.

Flynn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.1% of all households, including 41.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.9%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Flynn exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Flynn trail regional benchmarks with 37.5% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 46.8% in SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 22.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.4% and graduate diplomas at 4.6%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 19.8%. Educational participation is high with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (11.3%), secondary (8.1%), and tertiary (5.9%) levels.

Educational facilities appear to be located outside Flynn's immediate catchment boundaries.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 20 active transport stops operating within Flynn. These stops comprise a mix of buses serviced by 3 individual routes, collectively providing 521 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 174 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 74 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Flynn are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Flynn shows below-average health outcomes with common conditions similar to general population levels but higher than national averages among older cohorts.

Approximately 59% of Flynn's total population (2,167 people) has private health cover, a rate found to be exceptionally high. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.6% and 8.4% of residents respectively. 67.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 68.1% across Australian Capital Territory. The area has 17.1% of residents aged 65 and over (630 people), higher than the 15.3% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Flynn was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Flynn's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 20.4% born overseas and 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Flynn, comprising 45.1% of its population. Judaism, while small at 0.2%, is overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 0.1%.

The top three ancestral groups are English (27.3%), Australian (25.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: Welsh at 1.0% in Flynn versus 0.6% regionally, Spanish at 0.6% versus 0.5%, and Polish at 0.9% versus 0.8%.

Flynn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Flynn's median age is 37 years, slightly older than the Australian Capital Territory's 35 but aligned with the national average of 38. The 5-14 age group comprises 15.0%, higher than the Australian Capital Territory's figure, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 13.1%. Between 2021 and the present, the 85+ age group has grown from 0.8% to 1.6% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 13.3% to 11.4%. By 2041, Flynn's 85+ age cohort is projected to increase by 20 people (33%), from 60 to 81. The combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Both the 75-84 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.