Flynn (ACT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flynn reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Flynn's population is around 3,686 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 15 people (0.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,671 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,672 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,755 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Flynn's 0.4% growth since the census positions it within 2.3 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.7%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. As we examine future population trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to shrink by 450 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 28 people. See the age section for more details.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flynn recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Flynn has seen around 6 new homes approved each year, with 32 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 2 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 5.2 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new dwellings are developed at an average construction cost of $248,000.

Relative to the Australian Capital Territory, Flynn shows substantially reduced construction (69.0% below the regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, though construction activity has intensified recently. This is likewise lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New building activity shows 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% medium and high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 96.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 344 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area.

With the population expected to remain stable or decline, Flynn should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Flynn has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 19thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 1 single project has been identified by AreaSearch that is likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Ginninderry Stage 3 - The Valley Release, Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), Kippax Fair Expansion & Upgrade, and Macnamara Residential Estate, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Flynn has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Flynn possesses a well-educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of 5.0%, and 1.8% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 1,932 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.2% above the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.8%, and workforce participation is somewhat below standard (70.4% compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 72.6%). Based on Census responses, a low 13.1% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise public administration & safety, education & training, and construction. The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 8.6% employment compared to 11.1% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 1.8% alongside the labour force increasing by 0.9%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, the Australian Capital Territory experienced employment growth of 0.9% and labour force growth of 1.2%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Flynn. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Flynn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Flynn SA2's median income among taxpayers is $72,527, with an average of $80,037. This is extremely high nationally, and compares to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $79,243 (median) and $87,448 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Flynn, between the 89th and 94th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows the predominant cohort spans 31.4% of locals (1,157 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 34.3% similarly occupy this range. Economic strength emerges through 45.2% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flynn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Flynn, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to the Australian Capital Territory's 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Flynn was well beyond that of the Australian Capital Territory, at 34.9%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (49.6%) or rented (15.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Australian Capital Territory average at $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $481, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $2,080 and $450. Nationally, Flynn's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Flynn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 81.1% of all households, comprising 41.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.9%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households comprising 3.0% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Flynn exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Flynn trail regional benchmarks, with 37.5% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 46.8% in the SA4 region. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 22.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (19.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.3% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 20 active transport stops operating within Flynn, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 64 individual routes, collectively providing 4,435 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 174 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 13.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 633 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 221 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Flynn are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Flynn, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among the general population is somewhat typical, though higher than the national average among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (2,193 people), compared to 62.4% across the Australian Capital Territory.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 9.6% and 8.4% of residents, respectively, while 67.4% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.2% across the Australian Capital Territory. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 17.5% of residents aged 65 and over (646 people), which is higher than the 14.3% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Flynn records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Flynn was found to be above average in terms of cultural diversity, with 20.4% of its population born overseas and 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Flynn is Christianity, which makes up 45.1% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.2% of the population, compared to 0.2% across the Australian Capital Territory.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Flynn are English, comprising 27.3% of the population, Australian, comprising 25.8% of the population, and Irish, comprising 10.0% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Welsh is notably overrepresented at 1.0% of Flynn (vs 0.6% regionally), Polish at 0.9% (vs 0.8%) and Spanish at 0.6% (vs 0.5%).

Flynn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Flynn's median age of 37 years stands slightly older than the Australian Capital Territory's 35, though essentially aligned with the 38-year national average. The 5 - 14 age group shows strong representation at 14.8% compared to the Australian Capital Territory, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 12.8%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.8% to 5.9% of the population, while the 85+ cohort increased from 0.8% to 1.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.3% to 11.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Flynn. The 85+ age cohort is projected to increase solidly, expanding by 13 people (21%) from 67 to 81. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 75 to 84 and 0 to 4 age groups will see reduced numbers.