Flynn (ACT)
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flynn reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Flynn (ACT) had a population of approximately 3,686 people. This figure represents an increase of 15 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,671 people. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 3,672 in June 2024 and the addition of 13 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a population density ratio of 1,755 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Flynn's growth rate of 0.4% since the census places it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.4%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, using 2022 as the base year. Future population trends indicate a decline in overall population, with Flynn's population projected to decrease by 450 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to increase by 28 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flynn recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Flynn has seen approximately 6 new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 32 homes were approved, with none yet approved in FY26.

On average, around 5.2 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed annually over these five years. This significant demand outpaces supply, typically exerting upward pressure on prices and intensifying competition among buyers. The average construction cost value for new dwellings is $248,000. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Flynn shows substantially reduced construction activity, with 69.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. However, recent construction activity has intensified. Nationally, this level is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New building activity in Flynn consists of 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% medium to high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points, suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix, which is currently 96.0% houses. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Flynn has approximately 344 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Flynn should see reduced pressure on housing in the future, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Flynn has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 22ndth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project likely affecting this region: Ginninderry Stage 3 - The Valley Release. Other key projects include Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), Kippax Fair Expansion & Upgrade, and Macnamara Residential Estate. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Flynn has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Flynn's workforce is well-educated with strong representation in essential services. The unemployment rate was 5.0% as of an unspecified date, with estimated employment growth of 2.7% over the past year.

As of June 2025, Flynn had 1,958 residents employed, an unemployment rate of 4.6%, and workforce participation similar to the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) 69.6%. Leading industries for residents include public administration & safety, education & training, and construction. Construction employment is particularly high at 1.5 times the regional level, while professional & technical services have limited presence with 8.6% employment compared to the ACT's 11.1%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparisons.

Between June 2024 and May 2025, Flynn saw employment increase by 2.7% and labour force grow by 1.6%, leading to a 1.0 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, the ACT experienced 1.9% employment growth and 1.6% labour force growth with a 0.3 percentage point drop in unemployment rate over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but specific industry growth rates vary significantly. Applying these projections to Flynn's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Flynn's median income among taxpayers was $68,838 with an average of $77,813. Nationally, this is extremely high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $68,678 and average of $83,634. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, current estimates for Flynn would be approximately $78,200 (median) and $88,396 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Flynn rank highly nationally, between the 90th and 94th percentiles for households, families, and individuals. Distribution data shows that 31.4% of locals (1,157 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income category, reflecting patterns seen in surrounding regions where 34.3% occupy this range. Economic strength is evident with 45.2% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flynn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Flynn's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Australian Capital Territory's 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flynn stood at 34.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.6% and rented dwellings at 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $481, compared to Australian Capital Territory's $430. Nationally, Flynn's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Flynn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.1% of all households, including 41.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.9%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households making up 3.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Flynn exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications among Flynn Trail residents aged 15 and above are lower than regional benchmarks. Specifically, 37.5% hold university degrees compared to the SA4 region's 46.8%. This disparity indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%).

Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 31.2% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 19.8%. Educational participation is high, with 31.0% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.3% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education. However, educational facilities appear to be located outside Flynn Trail's immediate boundaries, requiring residents to access schools in neighboring areas for education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 20 operational transport stops within Flynn, consisting of a mix of buses. These stops are served by 3 distinct routes, collectively facilitating 521 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically situated 174 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 74 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Flynn are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Flynn's health indicators show below-average results with common health conditions comparable to general population levels but higher than national averages for older age groups.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at 59%, covering approximately 2,167 people. Mental health issues and arthritis are most prevalent, affecting 9.6% and 8.4% of residents respectively. 67.4% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of 68.1%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.1%, or 630 people, compared to the ACT's 15.3%. Health outcomes for seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Flynn was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Flynn's population showed above-average cultural diversity, with 20.4% born overseas and 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 45.1%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (27.3%), Australian (25.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Welsh (1.0%) Spanish (0.6%) and Polish (0.9%) were notably overrepresented in Flynn compared to regional averages of 0.6%, 0.5% and 0.8% respectively.

Flynn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Flynn's median age is 37 years, slightly older than Australian Capital Territory's 35 but aligned with the national average of 38 years. The age group of 5-14 represents 15.0% of Flynn's population compared to Australian Capital Territory, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 13.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 85+ age group has grown from 0.8% to 1.6% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.3% to 11.4%. By 2041, Flynn's population is projected to see substantial demographic changes. The 85+ age group is expected to increase by 20 people (33%) from 60 to 81. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 75-84 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.