Flynn (ACT)
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flynn reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Flynn (ACT)'s population is around 3686 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 15 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3671 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3672 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1755 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Flynn's growth rate of 0.4% since census positions it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.4%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 51.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. As we examine future population trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to shrink by 450 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 28 people.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Flynn recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Flynn has seen approximately six new homes approved annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, 32 homes were approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY26.

On average, 5.2 people have moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during these five financial years. This high demand coupled with low supply typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost of new properties is $265,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Flynn has significantly reduced construction activity, at 69.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings usually strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. However, building activity has accelerated in recent years. The type of new building activity shows an equal split between detached houses (50.0%) and medium to high-density housing (50.0%).

This shift towards denser development provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This is a notable departure from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 96.0% houses. Flynn has a developed market with around 344 people per dwelling approval. With population expected to remain stable or decline, there should be reduced pressure on housing in Flynn, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Flynn has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 22ndth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major undertakings, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include New Northside Hospital, Parkwood Urban Release, Ngurra Cultural Precinct, and Deakin Private Hospital, with the following list highlighting those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The employment landscape in Flynn shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Flynn's workforce is well-educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.0% as of June 2021, with an estimated employment growth of 2.7% over the past year.

As of June 2025, 1,958 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 4.6%, 1.2 percentage points above the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.4%. Workforce participation in Flynn was similar to ACT's 69.6%. Leading employment industries among residents included public administration & safety, education & training, and construction. Construction showed strong specialization with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 8.6% compared to the regional average of 11.1%. Employment levels increased by 2.7% in Flynn during the year to June 2025, while labour force increased by 1.6%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 1 percentage point. ACT experienced employment growth of 1.9% and a 0.3 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. State-level data to Sep-25 showed ACT employment contracted by 0.33% (losing 1,480 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, compared to the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 projected a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flynn's employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 6.2% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Flynn had a median income among taxpayers of $68,838 and an average level of $77,813. Nationally, these figures are extremely high compared to the ACT's median of $68,678 and average of $83,634. As of March 2025, estimated median income is approximately $76,259 and average income is around $86,201 based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census figures from 2021 show household, family, and personal incomes in Flynn rank highly nationally, between the 90th and 94th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 31.4% of residents fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket (1,157 people), consistent with broader regional trends at 34.3%. Economic strength is evident with 45.2% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 88.2% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. Flynn's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Flynn is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Flynn, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 96.5% houses and 3.5% other dwellings. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory had 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flynn was 34.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.6% and rented dwellings at 15.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Flynn was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Flynn was $481, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $430. Nationally, Flynn's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167, while median weekly rents were substantially above the national average of $375.

Flynn features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 81.1% of all households, including 41.8% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.9%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Flynn exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Flynn Trail region, 37.5% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to the SA4 regional average of 46.8%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 19.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.3% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 5.9% in tertiary education. Educational facilities may be located outside Flynn Trail's immediate boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 20 operational stops within Flynn, offering mixed bus services. These stops are supported by three distinct routes, facilitating a total of 521 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents positioned on average 174 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 74 daily trips across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Flynn are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Flynn's health indicators suggest outcomes below average compared to general population norms.

Common health conditions are somewhat typical but higher than national averages among older cohorts. Approximately 59% of Flynn's total population (2167 people) has private health cover, a rate exceptionally high compared to other areas. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in Flynn, affecting 9.6% and 8.4% of residents respectively. A higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over reside in Flynn (17.1%, or 630 people) than in Australian Capital Territory (15.3%). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to specific challenges they face.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Flynn was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Flynn's population showed cultural diversity with 20.4% born overseas and 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 45.1%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to 0.1% regionally.

The top three ancestral groups were English (27.3%), Australian (25.8%), and Irish (10.0%). Other ethnicities showed notable differences: Welsh was 1.0% vs regional 0.6%, Spanish 0.6% vs 0.5%, Polish 0.9% vs 0.8%.

Flynn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Flynn's median age is 37 years, slightly older than Australian Capital Territory's 35 years but aligned with the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group constitutes 15.0%, higher than Australian Capital Territory, while the 25-34 cohort is at 13.1%. From 2021 to present, the 85+ age group has grown from 0.8% to 1.6%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 13.3% to 11.4%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Flynn. The 85+ age cohort is projected to increase by 20 people (33%), from 60 to 81. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both 75-84 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.