Scullin

An assessment of population growth drivers in Scullin reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Scullin statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 3,090 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 21 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,069 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,039 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,160 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Scullin (SA2)'s 0.7% growth since census positions it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 2.7%, demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 56.00000000000001% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. Over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to shrink by 266 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 37 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Scullin, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Scullin has seen approximately six new homes approved annually, with 34 homes approved between Financial Year 2021 (FY-21) and FY-25. No approvals have been recorded in FY-26 to date. The average arrival of new residents per new home over the past five financial years is 0.7.

New supply meets or exceeds demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. Developers focus on the premium market with an average dwelling value of $369,000. Commercial approvals in FY-26 totalled $537,000, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Scullin records significantly lower building activity than the Australian Capital Territory and national averages, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints. Building activity comprises 57.0% detached houses and 43.0% medium to high-density housing, offering diverse price ranges from spacious family homes to compact options. This shift indicates decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring more affordable housing choices.

With around 612 people per dwelling approval, Scullin reflects a highly mature market with stable or declining population projections, reducing housing demand pressures for potential buyers.

Scullin has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

No factors impact an area's performance more than changes to local infrastructure projects and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects likely to affect this area. Key projects include Kippax Fair Expansion & Upgrade, Belconnen Town Centre East Precinct (Republic Phase 2 & Future), Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), and New Northside Hospital. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Scullin recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Scullin has an educated workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 7.1% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%. The unemployment rate is higher than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation in Scullin is lower, at 66.0% compared to ACT's 69.6%. Leading employment industries include public administration & safety, education & training, and health care & social assistance.

Education & training shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level, while public administration & safety has lower representation at 26.3% versus the regional average of 30.4%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6%, while labour force increased by 0.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 1.8 percentage points. In contrast, ACT experienced employment growth of 1.4% with a 0.2 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May-25 estimate growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years for Scullin, based on its current employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data shows Scullin had a median taxpayer income of $58,166 and an average of $72,994 in financial year 2023. Nationally, the averages were $72,206 and $85,981 respectively. By September 2025, estimates based on a 9.26% Wage Price Index growth suggest median income will be approximately $63,552 and average income $79,753. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Scullin cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. The $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominated with 33.3% of residents (1,028 people), similar to regional levels at 34.3%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 were achieved by 30.5% of households, indicating strong consumer spending. Housing costs consumed 15.2% of income, but disposable income remained at the 68th percentile and SEIFA income ranking placed Scullin in the 7th decile.

Scullin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Scullin, as per the latest Census, consisted of 79.9% houses and 20.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Scullin stood at 27.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.6% and rented ones at 33.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, below the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent was $390, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $430. Nationally, Scullin's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Scullin features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.0% of all households, including 32.6% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.0%, with lone person households at 27.2% and group households comprising 3.8%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Scullin shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Scullin is notably higher than national averages. As of the latest data, 42.5% of residents aged 15 years and above have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4%. This educational advantage is reflected in the types of qualifications held: Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (12.8%) and graduate diplomas (5.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.5% of residents aged 15 years and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 9.7% while certificates make up 16.8%.

Educational participation is high in Scullin, with 32.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 6.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates that Scullin has 15 operational public transport stops. These are served by a variety of bus routes totalling 54 individual services. Together, these routes facilitate 2,965 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in the area is considered excellent, with residents on average located just 178 meters from their nearest stop. On a daily basis, an average of 423 trips are made across all routes, which equates to around 197 weekly trips per individual stop.

Scullin's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Scullin's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, with common health conditions among its residents somewhat typical of the general population but higher than the average among older cohorts.

Approximately 56% (~1,731 people) of Scullin's total population has private health cover, which is very high compared to other areas. The most prevalent medical conditions in Scullin are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 10.2 and 9.2% of residents respectively. A total of 68.5% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to 68.1% across the Australian Capital Territory. Scullin has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.5% (417 people) than the Australian Capital Territory's 15.3%. Health outcomes among seniors in Scullin require more attention compared to the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Scullin was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Scullin, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016, showed a higher cultural diversity compared to most local markets with 27.1% of its population born overseas and 24.1% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was found to be the predominant religion in Scullin, accounting for 37.1% of the population. However, Islam showed an overrepresentation in Scullin, comprising 4.0% compared to the Australian Capital Territory's average of 3.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (23.8%), English (23.3%), and Other (13.8%). Notably, Polish (1.1%) was overrepresented in Scullin compared to the regional average of 0.8%, Hungarian at 0.4% (vs 0.3%), and Spanish at 0.7% (vs 0.5%).

Scullin's population is younger than the national pattern

Scullin's median age is 35 years, matching the Australian Capital Territory's figure but slightly lower than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Scullin has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.2%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (11.4%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the percentage of residents aged 5-14 has increased from 13.1% to 14.2%. Meanwhile, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has decreased from 12.6% to 11.2%, and the percentage of those aged 65-74 has fallen from 7.8% to 6.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Scullin. The number of residents aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 47%, adding 26 residents to reach a total of 82. This growth is part of an overall trend towards demographic aging, with residents aged 65 and older accounting for 98% of the anticipated population increase. Conversely, the 55-64 and 75-84 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.