Macgregor (ACT)

Macgregor has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the Macgregor (ACT) statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 6,944, reflecting a decrease of 105 people since the 2021 Census. This decline represents a 1.5% reduction from the previous population count of 7,049. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses following the examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and includes an additional 31 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,626 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

Population projections indicate a decline in overall population over the period to 2041, with the area's population expected to decrease by 317 persons according to ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, led by the 45 to 54 age group which is projected to increase by 133 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Macgregor is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Macgregor recorded around 12 residential properties approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 61 homes were approved, with 3 more in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to the past period, positively impacting buyers.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $333,000, moderately above regional levels, indicating emphasis on quality construction. In FY-26, $1.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting Macgregor's residential nature. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Macgregor has significantly less development activity (70.0% below regional average per person), supporting stronger demand and values for established dwellings due to limited new supply. Recent construction consists of 54.0% standalone homes and 46.0% medium and high-density housing, offering choices across price ranges. This shift from the area's existing housing (currently 91.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles' need for more diverse housing options. Macgregor has approximately 580 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market with stable or declining population projections, reducing future housing demand pressures and benefiting potential buyers.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Macgregor should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Macgregor has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: The Valley Ponds Stage 3 and Future Stages, Macgregor Primary School Expansion and Modernisation, Ginninderry Estate Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn and future Macnamara), Kippax Fair Expansion and Upgrade.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Macgregor has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Macgregor has an educated workforce with significant representation from essential services sectors. The unemployment rate in the area was 4.8% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.1% over the preceding year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 3,820 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 1.2%, which was higher than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%. The workforce participation rate in Macgregor was 73.4%, compared to ACT's 69.6%. Key industries for employment among Macgregor residents were public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

However, the representation of public administration & safety was lower at 27.5% compared to the regional average of 30.4%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.1%, while labour force grew by 0.9%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points, according to AreaSearch's analysis of SALM and ABS data for the wider area aggregated from statistical area data. In comparison, ACT recorded employment growth of 1.4% during the same period, with labour force growth at 1.2%, and a reduction in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data up to 25-Nov-25 shows ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.5%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia for May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Macgregor's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Macgregor's median income among taxpayers is $68,780, with an average of $77,746. This is higher than the national average and compares to Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Macgregor would be approximately $75,149 (median) and $84,945 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks Macgregor's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 85th and 89th percentiles nationally. In Macgregor, 41.9% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, reflecting regional patterns where 34.3% fall into this range. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 33.2% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.6% of income in Macgregor, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 84th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Macgregor is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Macgregor, as per the latest Census, 90.7% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 9.2% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is compared to the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) figures of 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Macgregor stood at 20.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 58.3% and rented ones at 20.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with the ACT average, while the median weekly rent was $464, compared to the ACT's $2,000 and $430 respectively. Nationally, Macgregor's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Macgregor features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.0% of all households, including 39.1% couples with children, 23.8% couples without children, and 12.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 20.2% and group households at 2.7%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Macgregor shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 35.3%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 21.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 33.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (20.7%). Educational participation is high, with 32.7% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.7% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 5.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 28 operational stops within Macgregor, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 59 distinct routes, facilitating 4,011 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average situated 235 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 573 trips daily across all routes, translating to around 143 weekly trips per individual stop.

Macgregor's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Macgregor residents' health data shows a relatively positive picture with low prevalence of common conditions among the general population.

However, prevalence is higher than the national average among older and at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is very high, at approximately 58% (around 4,020 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 10.1% of residents and asthma impacting 9.7%. A total of 69.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 68.1%. The area has 10.5% (729 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than the Australian Capital Territory's 15.3%. While health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population, they present some challenges.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Macgregor was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Macgregor's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 27.1% born overseas and 25.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Macgregor, comprising 41.0%. However, the category 'Other' was notably overrepresented at 3.1%, compared to 1.3% across Australian Capital Territory.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (25.6%), English (23.0%), and Other (13.4%). There were also notable differences in representation for certain ethnic groups: Sri Lankan was overrepresented at 0.5%, Filipino at 2.2%, and Russian at 0.4%.

Macgregor hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Macgregor's median age is 35, matching the Australian Capital Territory figure but slightly lower than Australia's 38 years. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Macgregor has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (19.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (14.9%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the 45 to 54 age group has increased from 11.8% to 13.5%, while the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 9.9% to 11.3%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 16.4% to 14.9%, and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 16.0% to 14.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Macgregor. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to grow by 19%, adding 107 residents to reach 684. Meanwhile, both the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups are expected to decrease in number.