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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Dunlop has an estimated 7,282 residents. That puts 2,017 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Dunlop has an estimated population of approximately 7,282, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of broader ABS demographic releases alongside post-Census validated addresses. Compared to the 2021 Census count of 7,265 people, this indicates a modest rise of 17 people (0.2%). This updated figure stems from AreaSearch's analysis of the latest ABS ERP release from June 2025 combined with ongoing address validations following the Census. Dunlop's population density currently stands at 2,017 persons per square kilometer, positioning it above the national benchmark across assessed areas.
In recent times, natural increase has served as the primary demographic driver, accounting for roughly 69.0% of total population additions. Projections for the suburb of Dunlop utilize 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 modeling with a 2022 baseline, supplemented by ACT Government SA2 age cohort growth trajectories (also 2022-based) for non-covered areas and periods beyond 2032. Under these projections, the suburb of Dunlop is anticipated to see an overall demographic contraction, losing 985 persons by 2041. Conversely, certain age brackets will experience expansion, most notably the 55 to 64 age group, which is slated to gain 105 people. Additional information is presented in the age analysis.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Property development in Dunlop has remained remarkably quiet, recording just 1 approval over five years. This pattern indicates that the suburb is virtually fully built out with scarce undeveloped residential land. In such established markets, steady buyer interest typically gravitates toward existing stock due to the scarcity of new construction opportunities. Dunlop records significantly lower levels of development activity when measured against Australian Capital Territory benchmarks. While construction activity has intensified recently, the prevailing lack of new residential supply tends to reinforce demand and property values across established stock. The area also tracks below the national average for development, reflecting its mature urban footprint and potential planning limitations.
With demographic models indicating a stable or declining population, Dunlop may see reduced housing pressure, potentially fostering more favorable market conditions for prospective property purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Dunlop
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Dunlop, worth an estimated $950 million. A further 5 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $11 billion. 5 are already under construction and 2 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure additions, major planning projects, and urban initiatives exert significant influence on local community performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed a total of 3 major undertakings relevant to the area, featuring Wallaroo Solar Farm, Macnamara Residential Estate, Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+), and Kestral Rise - Macnamara.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Macnamara Residential Estate
Macnamara is the second residential suburb in the Ginninderry Joint Venture, a 6 Star Green Star community on the western edge of Belconnen. Delivered by Suburban Land Agency and Riverview Developments, the suburb will deliver approximately 1,800 homes on land bordering the Ginninderry Conservation Corridor, with views to the Brindabella Mountains. Multiple land stages are actively selling as of 2025-2026, with blocks from 540sqm priced from $615,000. A local retail centre is planned for 2027 (subject to approval) and Strathnairn Early Childhood and Education Centre is partially opening in 2026.
Macgregor Primary School Expansion & Modernisation
Major upgrade and expansion of Macgregor Primary School at Hirschfeld Crescent, Macgregor ACT, delivering new learning hubs, additional classrooms, and improved playground facilities. The project is driven by growing enrolments from adjacent new residential developments including The Valley Ponds and the broader Ginninderry estate. The ACT Education Directorate and Infrastructure Canberra are delivering the works, with completion targeted for 2026.
The Valley Ponds - Stage 3 & Future Stages
Final residential stages of the established Macgregor suburb in Belconnen, delivering over 400 new homes in The Valley Ponds precinct. The estate is adjacent to Ginninderra Creek and the future Ginninderry conservation corridor and pond network, offering a mix of block sizes with connections to open space and green corridors.
Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+)
Canberra's largest master-planned community spanning the ACT-NSW border in West Belconnen, delivering approximately 11,500 dwellings across four suburbs over 30-40 years on a 1,600-hectare site. Over 37% of land is set aside as a conservation corridor along the Murrumbidgee River and Ginninderra Creek. Two suburbs are underway: Strathnairn (909 occupied dwellings as of early 2025) and Macnamara (13 occupied, 11 under construction). A primary school opens 2026, and the first local shopping centre is targeted for 2027.Certified as a 6-Star Green Star Community.
Kippax Fair Expansion and Redevelopment
Major redevelopment and expansion of Kippax Fair shopping centre in West Belconnen, delivering a completely new mixed-use precinct across two stages. The project will triple retail floor space, adding a new full-line Coles and expanded Woolworths alongside the existing Aldi. Plans include approximately 180 new dwellings (including 24 affordable and public housing units) built as shop-top housing, 450 underground car parks, a 6,000sqm park, a community hub, skate park, and indoor and outdoor dining. The ACT Government finalised a direct land sale agreement with owners the Christodoulou family in August 2024, with a $12 million community infrastructure commitment.A development application was expected to be publicly notified by mid-2025.
Ginninderry Masterplanned Community - Strathnairn & Macnamara
Ginninderry is a cross-border masterplanned community in West Belconnen delivered by the ACT Government and Riverview Group joint venture. Planned to accommodate 30,000 residents across approximately 11,500 dwellings over a 37-year period, the project spans the ACT and NSW border. The first suburb, Strathnairn, is substantially developed with over 2,700 residents as of early 2025. The second suburb, Macnamara, is actively under development with approximately 300-400 lots released annually. Key recent milestones include the opening of Strathnairn School (programmed for the 2026 school year), multi-unit site releases in Strathnairn Village adjacent to the future retail centre, and ongoing single residential lot releases.The community is forecast to reach approximately 5,000 residents by 2028. The project incorporates a 6 Star Green Star sustainability rating, conservation corridor management along the Murrumbidgee River and Ginninderra Creek, and the SPARK employment program.
4,178 residents of Dunlop are employed, from a labour force of 4,391. Unemployment sits at 4.9%, with participation at 75.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,216, about 72% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Statistical area aggregations by AreaSearch show that Dunlop possesses a highly qualified workforce, solid representation across essential services, an unemployment rate of 4.9%, and steady employment conditions over the preceding year. As of March 2026, employed residents total 4,178, while the local jobless rate sits 0.8% above the wider Australian Capital Territory figure of 4.1%. Labor force participation is exceptionally high at 75.8% compared to 70.6% across Australian Capital Territory. Meanwhile, Census data indicated that a modest 10.6% of workers worked from home, a metric potentially shaped by Covid-19 lockdown restrictions.
Local workers are predominantly engaged in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction represents a notable workforce specialization, with local representation reaching 1.3 times the regional standard. Conversely, professional & technical roles are comparatively under-represented, accounting for 8.6% of the workforce in Dunlop versus 11.1% across Australian Capital Territory. A comparison between the Census working population and resident counts highlights that this primarily residential suburb generates limited local employment opportunities. Analysis of SALM and ABS data, compiled from wider statistical regions, indicates that the labour force expanded by 1.0% while employment fell by 0.4% during the twelve-month period, resulting in a 1.4 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. In contrast, the Australian Capital Territory experienced a 0.3% rise in employment and a 1.1% growth in the labour force, accompanied by a 0.7 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts for Mar-26 provide additional context for anticipated future demand in Dunlop. These forecasts span five and ten-year intervals and have been compared with the local employment composition to project growth trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, sector-specific growth varies considerably. When these industry-level projections are applied to Dunlop's current employment structure, local employment is estimated to grow by 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this figure represents a basic weighted extrapolation for illustrative use and does not incorporate local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Dunlop is $2,503 a week (about $130,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,176 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $69,014 a year against an average of $78,012. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Postcode-level ATO records for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch indicate that taxpayers in the suburb of Dunlop achieved a median income of $69,014 and an average income of $78,012. These figures exceed national benchmarks, compared to $72,206 (median) and $85,981 (average) across Australian Capital Territory. Adjusting for a 10.44% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 brings current estimated levels to approximately $76,219 for median income and $86,156 for average income as of March 2026. According to Census findings, Dunlop's household, family, and individual incomes place between the 89th and 90th percentiles nationally.
Regarding distribution, 37.9% of the local population (2,759 individuals) earn in the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to the broader metropolitan proportion of 34.3%. A notable 38.5% earn above $3,000 weekly, underscoring high local purchasing power for services and retail. Housing costs claim 14.7% of income, strong local earnings position residents in the 90th percentile for disposable income, and the SEIFA income score places Dunlop in the 8th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Dunlop had 2,424 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 1% apartments. 61% are owned with a mortgage, 18% rented and 20% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $465 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month, a total housing cost higher than 86% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 18.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census findings reveal that Dunlop's residential landscape is heavily oriented toward standalone dwellings, with separate houses making up 91.9% and attached dwellings, flats, or other housing forms accounting for 8.1%, compared with 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings across Australian Capital Territory. Outright home ownership stands at 20.3%, trailing the territory benchmark, while mortgaged properties represent 61.4% and rental accommodation accounts for 18.3%. The median monthly mortgage payment in Dunlop is $2,000 (below the Australian Capital Territory median of $2,080), and the median weekly rent is $465 (above the territory benchmark of $450).
Relative to national figures, Dunlop's mortgage commitments exceed the Australian benchmark of $1,863, and weekly rents sit significantly higher than the national standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Dunlop counted 2,424 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 45% are couples with children, more than in 89% of areas nationally, against 23% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute the vast majority of local households at 81.1%, consisting of couples with children (44.8%), couples without children (22.5%), and single parent families (12.9%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 18.9%, which includes lone person households at 16.7% and group households at 2.0%. The typical household size sits at 2.9 people, exceeding the Australian Capital Territory standard of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
29.3% of adults in Dunlop hold a university qualification, including 18.1% with a bachelor degree and 7.4% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 100% of areas nationally. A further 22.0% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Educational attainment in the area shows a lower proportion of university degree holders, with tertiary qualifications held by 29.3% of residents compared to the wider SA4 regional benchmark of 46.8%. Among higher education achievements, bachelor degrees account for 18.1%, postgraduate degrees comprise 7.4%, and graduate diplomas represent 3.8%. In contrast, technical and trade credentials are widespread, with 34.1% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational qualifications, including 12.1% with advanced diplomas and 22.0% holding certificates. Active learning participation is strong across the community, with 33.6% of residents currently attending an educational institution.
This proportion comprises 12.7% enrolled in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 4.4% undertaking tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Dunlop reaches 22 stops on 113 routes, timetabled for about 8,500 services a week. The typical home sits about 230 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Dunlop's public transport network features 22 operational stops primarily serving bus commuters. These transit points are connected by 113 individual routes, delivering 8,451 weekly passenger trips in total. Transit access is favorable, with residents living an average of 230 meters from their closest stop. Because the suburb is predominantly residential, most workers travel outward, with private vehicles serving as the dominant commute choice at 94%. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, outpacing the regional figure. Working from home accounted for a relatively low 10.6% of residents according to the 2021 Census, a figure that may reflect prevailing COVID-19 conditions.
Across the entire network, service frequency stands at an average of 1,207 trips per day, which translates to roughly 384 weekly trips for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
67.6% of residents in Dunlop report no long-term health condition. 4.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 58.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch indicate notable health challenges in Dunlop regarding chronic condition incidence and mortality measures, with conditions prevalent across age groups and slightly more pronounced among older cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is extensive, encompassing roughly 58% of all residents (~4,224 people), compared to 62.4% across Australian Capital Territory. Asthma and mental health issues represent the two most common diagnosed medical conditions locally, affecting 10.3 and 9.5% of the population respectively, while 67.6% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory.
Among working-age individuals, chronic condition rates sit above average. Residents aged 65 and over total 793 people (10.9% of the population), below the Australian Capital Territory proportion of 14.2%, and health outcomes in this senior demographic face challenges while ranking lower nationally than the wider populace.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Dunlop is largely Australian-born, at 78.5% of residents, with 20.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (27.9%) and English (24.6%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Dunlop tracks above average, with 21.5% of residents born abroad and 20.4% using a non-English language at home. Christianity represents the most common faith, accounting for 48.8% of residents. Islam shows the clearest local overrepresentation, comprising 3.8% of the community compared to 3.4% across Australian Capital Territory. Regarding ancestral backgrounds based on parental country of birth, the three most common ancestries in Dunlop are Australian (27.9%), English (24.6%), and Other (11.6%). Specific European backgrounds also show distinct local representation: Hungarian ancestry accounts for 0.4% in Dunlop (versus 0.3% regionally), Croatian ancestry sits at 0.9% (versus 0.9%), and Polish ancestry represents 0.9% (versus 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Dunlop is 37. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 26.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic profile of the suburb of Dunlop reflects a mature family community. As at August 2026, middle-aged residents and young retirees (45 - 64) make up 27.4% of the population compared to 21.5% across Australian Capital Territory, while young to middle-aged adults (25 - 44) account for 25.7% versus a regional share of 32.8%. AreaSearch calculates the median age at 37 as at August 2026, increasing from 36 at the 2021 Census and sitting 2 years higher than the Australian Capital Territory figure of 35 from that Census. The most noticeable post-Census demographic shift has occurred among young to middle-aged adults, dropping from 28.7% to an estimated 25.7%.
This reflects age cohort aging rather than new arrivals, as the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 16.9% to an estimated 14.2% while the 15 to 24 group increased from 13.0% to 15.5%. By 2041, senior and retiree groups (65+) are projected to see the largest increase, adding 136 (17%) to reach 930, whereas child, youth, and young-to-middle adult cohorts are expected to decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Dunlop
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Apr 2026 6 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Apr 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (7,265 at the 2021 Census → 7,282 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL80049). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.