Fraser

Fraser is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated for the suburb of Fraser, the estimated population as of May 2026 is approximately 2,139. This figure reflects an increase of 13 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,126. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 11 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 862 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with averages observed across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains during recent periods for Fraser.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, with 2022 as the base year. Looking ahead, demographic trends indicate a projected decline in overall population for Fraser by 355 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 32 people during this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Fraser, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Fraser has averaged approximately 4 new dwelling approvals per year. Between financial years FY21 and FY25, around 21 homes were approved, with none yet approved in FY26. Over the past five financial years, an average of 1.4 people moved to the area for each dwelling built. However, this ratio has decreased to -6.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $213,000. This year, $276,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating limited commercial development activity. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Fraser has significantly less development activity, 65.0% below the regional average per person. New construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings due to constrained supply. Building activity consists of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% attached dwellings, a departure from the current housing pattern which is 96.0% houses. The estimated population density is 834 people per dwelling approval. With stable or declining population expected, Fraser should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially presenting buying opportunities.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Fraser should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Fraser has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

AreaSearch has identified a single project likely to impact the area: Ginninderry Masterplanned Community - Strathnairn & Macnamara. Other key projects include Ginninderry Estate - Strathnairn & Macnamara (Stages 1-7+), Macnamara Residential Estate, and New Northside Hospital. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Fraser demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Fraser has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 4.0%, and it experienced 1.5% employment growth over the past year (AreaSearch). As of December 2025, Fraser had 1,047 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, compared to Australian Capital Territory's 3.8%.

Workforce participation was at 62.8%, lower than Australian Capital Territory's 70.5%. According to Census responses, 14.1% of Fraser's residents worked from home in 2025. Key industries employing locals are public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

However, public administration & safety employs only 26.7% of local workers, below Australian Capital Territory's 30.4%. Fraser appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.5%, labour force grew by 0.9%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point decrease in unemployment (AreaSearch). In comparison, Australian Capital Territory saw employment growth of 0.9% and unemployment rise by 0.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Fraser's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% in five years and 13.3% in ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows income in Fraser is above average nationally. The median income is $68,310 and the average income is $77,216. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory has a median income of $72,206 and an average income of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Fraser are approximately $75,442 (median) and $85,277 (average) as of March 2026. Census 2021 income data ranks Fraser's household, family, and personal incomes highly nationally, between the 89th and 92nd percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 30.2% of locals (645 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the regional average of 34.3%. Economic strength is evident with 43.6% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of income, indicating strong purchasing power. Fraser's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile nationally.

Fraser is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluated Fraser's dwelling structures as 95.8% houses and 4.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser stood at 41.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.7% and rented ones at 11.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent in Fraser was recorded as $450, matching the Australian Capital Territory figure but significantly higher than the national average of $375. Nationally, Fraser's median monthly mortgage repayments were notably higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863.

Fraser features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.3% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.7%, consisting of 14.8% lone person households and 1.5% group households. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Fraser shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 35.6%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (5.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 31.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (18.6%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.6% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Fraser has 32 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 83 different routes that together facilitate 3,851 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 122 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most inhabitants commute outward, with cars being the primary mode of transportation at 94%. On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, surpassing the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 14.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 550 trips per day, equating to approximately 120 weekly trips per stop.

Fraser's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows Fraser residents have relatively positive outcomes, with AreaSearch's analysis indicating mortality rates and health conditions are largely on par with national benchmarks. Common health issues are seen across both younger and older age groups, with a high rate of private health cover at approximately 58% (~1,233 people), compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 62.4%.

Mental health issues and arthritis were the most common conditions, affecting 9.9 and 9.8% respectively, while 64.2% reported no medical ailments, compared to 70.2% in the Australian Capital Territory. Working-age residents have a higher prevalence of chronic health conditions than average. The area has 20.1% of residents aged 65 and over (429 people), higher than the Australian Capital Territory's 14.3%, with national rankings generally aligning with the general population.

Fraser ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser's population was found to be below average in cultural diversity, with 82.8% born in Australia, 94.8% being citizens, and 91.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 44.8%. Islam, however, was overrepresented at 1.6%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's average of 3.4%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (29.7%), Australian (28.3%), and Irish (9.5%). Notably, Welsh (0.8%) and Scottish (9.0%) were overrepresented, while Samoan (0.3%) was slightly above the regional average of 0.2%.

Fraser's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Fraser is 41 years, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory's average of 35 years and also exceeds the national average of 38 years. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, the cohort aged 65-74 is notably over-represented in Fraser at 11.4%, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 9.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the age group 75 to 84 has grown from 4.6% to 7.4% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 11.7% to 14.3%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 14.2% to 11.4%, and the 35 to 44 group has dropped from 14.5% to 12.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Fraser. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 91% (from 27 to 53 people), with residents aged 65 and older representing all of the anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 75 to 84 and 45 to 54 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.