Fraser

Fraser is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Fraser is around 2,072, reflecting a decrease of 54 people since the 2021 Census. The population in 2021 was reported as 2,126. This recent estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, which showed a resident population of 2,070. An additional 11 validated new addresses were identified since the Census date. The population density ratio is approximately 835 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch.

Overseas migration contributed around 82.0% of overall population gains in recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered or years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, also based on 2022. According to these projections, the suburb of Fraser's population is expected to decline by 362 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 28 people during this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Fraser, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Fraser shows an average of approximately 4 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 21 homes were approved, with none so far recorded in FY26. On average, about 1.4 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five years. However, this figure decreased to -6.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating a more balanced supply condition.

The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $213,000. This year, $276,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity compared to the Australian Capital Territory, where Fraser has significantly less development activity, 65.0% below the regional average per person. The new construction is primarily focused on standalone homes and attached dwellings, with a 50.0% split between the two types, marking a significant departure from the current housing pattern of 96.0% houses. This shift may be due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 834 people, reflecting Fraser's quiet development environment with stable or declining population expectations, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Fraser should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Fraser has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting this region. Key projects are Ginninderry Stage 3 - The Valley Release, Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), Macnamara Residential Estate, and New Northside Hospital. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Fraser remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Fraser has an educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 4.0% and there was a 1.2% increase in employment over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of September 2025, Fraser had 1,046 residents employed while its unemployment rate was 0.5% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%.

Workforce participation lagged significantly at 66.6%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 72.5%. A moderate 14.1% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key industries for employment among residents are public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training. Notably, construction employs 1.6 times the regional average.

However, public administration & safety employs only 26.7% of local workers, lower than the Australian Capital Territory's 30.4%. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and 2025, employment levels increased by 1.2%, while labour force grew by 0.9%, resulting in a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory recorded similar trends with employment growth of 1.4% and unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Fraser. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Fraser's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that income in Fraser is higher than the national average. The median assessed income is $68,310 while the average income stands at $77,216. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory has a median income of $72,206 and an average income of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Fraser would be approximately $74,636 (median) and $84,366 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that Fraser ranks highly nationally for household, family and personal incomes, between the 89th and 92nd percentiles. Income analysis reveals that the predominant cohort in Fraser spans 30.2% of locals (625 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999 per week, mirroring the regional trend where 34.3% fall into this bracket. Economic strength is evident through 43.6% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, which supports elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Fraser is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Fraser, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.8% houses and 4.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory had 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser was 41.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.7% and rented dwellings at 11.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Fraser was $2,167, above the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. Median weekly rent in Fraser was $450, matching the Australian Capital Territory figure of $450. Nationally, Fraser's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.3% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.7%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Fraser shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 35.6%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (5.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.0% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 12.4% and certificates at 18.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Fraser has 32 operational public transport stops offering mixed bus services. These stops are served by 83 unique routes, facilitating 3,851 weekly passenger trips in total. Fraser's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 122 meters from their nearest stop. Being predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 94%. On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 14.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 550 trips daily, equating to about 120 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fraser's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows Fraser residents have relatively positive outcomes, with AreaSearch's analysis indicating mortality rates and health conditions are largely comparable to national averages. Common health issues affect both younger and older age groups similarly.

Private health cover is high at approximately 58% of the total population (around 1,195 people), slightly lower than the Australian Capital Territory's 62.4%. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (9.9%) and arthritis (9.8%), while 64.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 70.2% in the Australian Capital Territory. Working-age residents have a higher than average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Fraser has 19.2% of residents aged 65 and over (397 people), higher than the Australian Capital Territory's 14.3%, but national rankings are generally in line with the overall population.

Fraser ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 82.8% of its population born in Australia. Citizenship stood at 94.8%, and English speakers were 91.3%. Christianity was the predominant religion at 44.8%.

Islam, however, was overrepresented at 1.6%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 3.4%. In terms of ancestry, English (29.7%) and Australian (28.3%) were substantially higher than regional averages of 23.3% and 23.0% respectively. Irish ancestry stood at 9.5%. Other notable divergences included Welsh at 0.8% versus 0.6%, Scottish at 9.0% versus 7.3%, and Samoan at 0.3% versus 0.2%.

Fraser's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Fraser is 41 years, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory's average of 35 years and slightly exceeds the national average of 38 years. In comparison to the Australian Capital Territory average, the 5-14 age cohort is notably over-represented at 15.4% in Fraser, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group grew from 4.6% to 7.5% of the population, and the 45 to 54 cohort increased from 13.5% to 15.2%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort declined from 14.2% to 10.7%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 11.4% to 10.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Fraser. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 103% (from 20 to 42 people), with residents aged 65 and older representing all of the anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 75 to 84 and 45 to 54 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.