Fraser

Fraser is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the Fraser statistical area's estimated population is around 2,072 as of November 2025. This reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 2,126 people, a change inferred from an AreaSearch-estimated resident population of 2,070 and 11 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is approximately 835 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed about 82% of recent population gains in the Fraser area. Population projections for the Fraser (SA2), based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in June 2024 with a 2022 base year, indicate an overall decline by 362 persons to 2041.

However, the 85 and over age group is projected to grow by 28 people during this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Fraser, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Fraser averaged approximately 4 new dwelling approvals per year. Between financial years FY21 and FY25, around 21 homes were approved, with none yet in FY26. Over these five years, an average of 1.4 people moved to the area for each dwelling built. However, this ratio decreased to -6.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years.

The average construction cost value for new homes was $213,000. In FY26, $276,000 in commercial approvals have been registered. Fraser has significantly less development activity compared to the Australian Capital Territory, being 65.0% below the regional average per person. The current dwelling construction is split equally between standalone homes and attached dwellings, marking a shift from the existing housing pattern of predominantly houses (96.0%). With an estimated 834 people in the area per dwelling approval, Fraser's development environment is quiet and low activity. Population stability or decline is expected, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Fraser should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Fraser has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

AreaSearch has identified a single project that is likely to impact the area: Ginninderry Stage 3 - The Valley Release, commencing in October 2021. Other notable projects include Ginninderry Estate - Stages 4-7 (Strathnairn & future Macnamara), scheduled for completion by June 2025; Macnamara Residential Estate, with construction starting in July 2023; and New Northside Hospital, planned to open in December 2024.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Fraser remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Fraser has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate as of September 2025 was 4.0%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2% over the past year.

This is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) had an unemployment rate of 3.6%. Fraser's workforce participation rate was 64.1%, lower than ACT's 69.6%. Key industries employing residents in Fraser are public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Notably, employment levels in construction are at 1.6 times the regional average. However, public administration & safety employs only 26.7% of local workers compared to ACT's 30.4%. The predominantly residential area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment levels in Fraser increased by 1.2%, and labour force increased by 0.9%. This resulted in a decrease in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. Meanwhile, ACT recorded employment growth of 1.4% with a similar fall in unemployment. As of 25-November, ACT's employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs. The state unemployment rate was 4.5%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. ACT's employment growth outpaced the national average of 0.14%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a potential future demand within Fraser. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Fraser's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.3% over ten years. However, it is important to note that this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 indicates that median income in Fraser suburb is $68,310 and average income is $77,216. This compares to Australian Capital Territory's median income of $72,206 and average income of $85,981. Using Wage Price Index growth rate of 9.26% since financial year ending June 2023, estimated median income as of September 2025 is approximately $74,636 and estimated average income is around $84,366. Census data from 2021 shows Fraser's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 89th and 92nd percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 30.2% of locals (625 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, similar to the regional average of 34.3%. Economic strength is evident with 43.6% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting high consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. Fraser's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Fraser is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Fraser, as evaluated at the latest Census, 95.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 4.2% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 69.4% houses and 30.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fraser stood at 41.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.7% and rented ones at 11.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Fraser was $450, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $430. Nationally, Fraser's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Fraser features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.3% of all households, including 39.6% couples with children, 31.2% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.7%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Fraser shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 35.6%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (5.0%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (18.6%). Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.6% in primary, 8.3% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Fraser shows 32 active stops operating, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 83 individual routes, collectively providing 3,851 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 122 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 550 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 120 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Fraser is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Fraser faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is high at approximately 58%, covering around 1,195 people. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 9.9% of residents and arthritis impacting 9.8%. A total of 64.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.1% across the Australian Capital Territory. Fraser has 19.1% of residents aged 65 and over (395 people), which is higher than the 15.3% in the Australian Capital Territory.

Fraser ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Fraser had a cultural diversity level below average, with 82.8% of its population born in Australia, 94.8% being citizens, and 91.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 44.8% of Fraser's population. Islam, however, showed an overrepresentation, comprising 1.6%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 3.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (29.7%), Australian (28.3%), and Irish (9.5%). Notable divergences existed in Welsh (0.8% vs regional 0.6%), Scottish (9.0% vs 7.4%), and Samoan (0.3% vs 0.2%) ethnic groups.

Fraser's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Fraser is 41 years, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory's average of 35 years and slightly exceeds the national average of 38 years. Compared to the ACT average, the cohort aged 65-74 is notably over-represented at 11.6% locally, while those aged 25-34 are under-represented at 8.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the age group 75 to 84 has grown from 4.6% to 6.7%, and the age group 45 to 54 has increased from 13.5% to 14.9%. Conversely, the age group 65 to 74 has declined from 14.2% to 11.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Fraser. The age group 85+ is expected to grow by 153%, reaching 42 people from 16, while residents aged 65 and older will represent all of the anticipated growth. Conversely, the age groups 45-54 and 0-4 are expected to experience population declines.