Orange - North

Orange - North lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Orange North's population was approximately 23,965 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 1,070 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,895. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 23,857 in June 2024 and an additional 465 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 240 persons per square kilometer. Orange North's growth rate of 4.7% since the 2021 Census surpassed both its SA4 region (2.9%) and SA3 area, indicating it as a growth leader. Natural growth contributed approximately 60.7% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics suggest a significant increase in the top quartile of non-metropolitan areas nationally, with Orange North expected to increase by 6,128 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 25.1% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Orange - North among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Orange North has experienced approximately 123 dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 619 homes were approved, with an additional 28 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 2.5 people have moved to the area annually for each new home constructed over these five years.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $355,000. This year alone, $36.9 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to the rest of NSW, Orange North shows moderately higher new home approvals, with a 19.0% increase per person over the past five years.

This maintains reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. The majority of new developments consist of standalone homes (92.0%) and attached dwellings (8.0%), preserving the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes. Orange North reflects a low-density area, with around 328 people per approval. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, the area is projected to add approximately 6,019 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Orange - North has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Bingara Gardens Seniors Housing, Rosedale Gardens Estate, Orange FutureCity CBD Redevelopment, and Witton Place Candidate Area Development. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Orange - North demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Orange North has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 1.9% as of September 2025. It has 13,704 residents in work, with an unemployment rate 2.0% lower than the Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation is high at 67.5%, compared to the Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Mining is particularly significant, employing 2.8 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.7% of local workers, below the Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.1%, and employment declined by 3.7%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.7 percentage points.

In comparison, the Rest of NSW had an employment decline of 0.5% and a labour force decline of 0.1%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Orange North's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Orange - North SA2 has one of the highest incomes in Australia, with a median assessed at $61,322 and an average income of $76,986. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures, which have a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $69,055 (median) and $86,694 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Orange - North cluster around the 68th percentile nationally. Distribution data indicates that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 35.3% of residents (8,459 people), aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represents 29.9%. After housing, 86.0% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Orange - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Orange - North's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 88.7% houses and 11.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Orange - North was at 29.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.3% and rented dwellings at 30.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,777, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,700. The median weekly rent figure was $375, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $315. Nationally, Orange - North's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were comparable at $375.

Orange - North has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.6% of all households, including 35.1% couples with children, 26.9% couples without children, and 11.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.4%, with lone person households at 22.4% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Orange - North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Orange's residents aged 15+, as of the latest data, have 25.3% holding university degrees compared to NSW's 32.2%. This gap indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 17.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.6% of residents holding them – advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 28.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.9% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Orange-North has 428 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 66 different routes that together facilitate 1,174 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from a resident's location to the nearest transport stop is 136 meters.

Across all routes, there are an average of 167 trips per day, which equates to approximately two trips per week for each individual stop.

Orange - North's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Orange North's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (13,851 people), compared to 53.9% in Rest of NSW. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, impacting 9.9 and 9.1% of residents respectively. 67.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.4% in Rest of NSW. The area has 14.6% of residents aged 65 and over (3,491 people), which is lower than the 18.7% in Rest of NSW.

Orange - North ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Orange North had a cultural diversity score below average, with 88.2% of its population born in Australia, 90.7% being citizens, and 91.2% speaking English only at home. The dominant religion was Christianity, accounting for 62.5% of Orange North's population, compared to 63.1% across the Rest of NSW. Top ancestry groups were Australian (30.6%), English (29.6%), and Irish (8.8%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher at 5.3% in Orange North versus 4.9% regionally, while Russian stood at 0.3% (regional: 0.2%) and New Zealand at 0.6% (regional: 0.5%).

Orange - North hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Orange - North has a median age of 34, which is considerably lower than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and significantly lower than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of NSW average, the 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented in Orange - North at 15.1%, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.8%. Between 2021 and the present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 14.2% to 15.1% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 16.1% to 14.7%. Demographic modeling suggests that Orange - North's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to see notable expansion, increasing by 1,287 people (36%) from 3,613 to 4,901. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows by a modest 7% (212 people).