Llanarth (NSW)

Population growth drivers in Llanarth are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, Llanarth's population is estimated at around 2,339. This reflects an increase of 37 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,302. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population as 2,313 in June 2024, based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 10 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 954 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Llanarth has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.1%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. An above median population growth is projected for locations outside capital cities, with the suburb expected to expand by 510 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 23.8% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Llanarth according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Llanarth experienced limited development activity with an average of less than one approval per year between 2015 and 2019. This period saw only three dwellings approved for construction. Such low development levels are typical in rural areas where housing needs are modest, and construction activity is naturally constrained by local demand and infrastructure capacity.

It should be noted that with such low approval numbers, yearly growth figures and relativities can fluctuate significantly based on individual projects. Llanarth's development levels were substantially lower than those of the Rest of NSW during this period. These levels were also below national averages for property development activity.

Llanarth has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

In total two projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to impact the area: Windradyne 1100 Substation (2023), Bathurst Hospital Redevelopment (2025-2027), Charles Sturt University Campus Master Plan (2024), and 56 Colville Street Residential Development (2026).

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Llanarth performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Llanarth has a well-educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 1.2%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 1,408 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.6% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation is high at 76.7%, compared to Rest of NSW's 61.5%. Based on Census responses, 15.0% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. The area has a strong specialization in education & training with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 1.5% versus the regional average of 5.3%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities. During the year to September 2025, the labour force decreased by 2.8%, alongside a 3.1% employment decline, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of NSW recorded an employment decline of 0.5%, labour force decline of 0.1%, with unemployment rising 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Llanarth. These projections estimate local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific growth rates against Llanarth's employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released on 30 June 2023, Llanarth had a median income among taxpayers of $66,517 and an average income of $80,224. These figures are significantly higher than the national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively for Rest of NSW. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $72,410 and average income around $87,332 based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census data ranks Llanarth's household, family, and personal incomes between the 78th and 85th percentiles nationally. Income brackets show that 36.2% of residents (846 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to the surrounding region where 29.9% fall into this bracket. Notably, 35.8% of Llanarth's population earns above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Llanarth is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Llanarth, as per the latest Census evaluation, all dwellings were houses (100.0%), with none being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro NSW's dwelling composition of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Llanarth stood at 37.4%, lower than Non-Metro NSW's level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (43.7%) or rented (18.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Llanarth was $2,000, higher than the Non-Metro NSW average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure for Llanarth was $440, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Llanarth's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Llanarth features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.1% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.9%, consisting of 14.9% lone person households and 1.8% group households. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Llanarth demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Llanarth is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Specifically, 29.4% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 19.3% in the SA4 region and 21.3% in the Rest of NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 36.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (25.3%).

Educational participation is high in Llanarth, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in secondary education, 9.9% in primary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Llanarth has 18 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 12 different routes, offering a total of 207 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated highly, with residents typically living 154 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 97%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.9, above the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 15% of residents work from home, which might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 29 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Llanarth's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows relatively positive outcomes for Llanarth residents. AreaSearch's analysis found mortality rates and health conditions broadly in line with national benchmarks.

The prevalence of common health conditions was quite low across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 59% of the total population (1,370 people), compared to 51.9% across Rest of NSW. The most common medical conditions were asthma and mental health issues, impacting 10.5 and 8.8% of residents respectively. A total of 67.8% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Rest of NSW. Working-age residents showed above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area had 16.1% of residents aged 65 and over (376 people), lower than the 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Llanarth ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Llanarth, as per the census data from June 2016, exhibited lower cultural diversity with 87.6% of its population born in Australia, 93.4% being citizens, and 93.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Llanarth, comprising 64.0%, compared to 55.9% across the Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.3%), English (27.6%), and Irish (11.2%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry was higher at 8.7% in Llanarth than regionally at 8.0%. Polish and New Zealand ancestries also showed higher representation at 0.8% each compared to regional averages of 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively.

Llanarth's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Llanarth has a median age of 38, which is lower than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 but equivalent to the national norm of 38. The 15-24 age group makes up 14.5% of Llanarth's population compared to Rest of NSW, while the 75-84 cohort represents only 4.3%. According to the 2021 Census, Llanarth's 15 to 24 age group grew from 13.3% to 14.5%, and the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 11.5% to 12.6%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 15.8% to 14.5%, and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 15.4% to 14.3%. Demographic modeling indicates that Llanarth's age profile will significantly change by 2041. Leading this shift, the 35 to 44 group is projected to grow by 65%, reaching 487 people from the current 294. Meanwhile, population declines are forecast for the 45 to 54 and 55 to 64 cohorts.