Llanarth (NSW)

Population growth drivers in Llanarth are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Llanarth's population is estimated at around 2,339 people. This reflects an increase of 37 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,302 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,313 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of an additional 10 new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 954 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across areas assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Llanarth demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%, outpacing its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median growth is projected for locations outside capital cities, with Llanarth expected to expand by 518 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 23.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Llanarth according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Llanarth experiences very limited development activity, averaging less than one approval per year over the five-year period from 2015 to 2019. This resulted in a total of three dwellings being approved during this time. Such low development levels are typical in rural areas where housing needs are modest and construction activity is naturally constrained by local demand and infrastructure capacity.

It should be noted that with such low approval numbers, yearly growth figures and relativities can vary significantly based on individual projects. Compared to Rest of NSW, Llanarth has substantially lower development levels. Furthermore, its development levels are also below national averages.

Llanarth has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two projects likely impacting the area: Windradyne 1100 Subdivision and Bathurst Hospital Redevelopment. Other notable projects include Charles Sturt University Campus Master Plan and 56 Colville Street Residential Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Llanarth performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Llanarth has an educated workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.2%, as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 1,399 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.6% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation stands at 69.2%, exceeding Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. Notably, education & training has a higher share of employment than the regional average, being 1.6 times greater.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 1.5% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. The area's predominantly residential nature suggests limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population counts. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Llanarth's labour force decreased by 2.9%, with employment declining by 3.3%, resulting in a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. In comparison, Rest of NSW experienced an employment decline of 0.5% and a labour force decline of 0.1%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts, released in May-25, project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Llanarth's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes, not accounting for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, the suburb of Llanarth had a median income among taxpayers of $66,517 and an average income of $80,224. These figures are significantly higher than national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 for Rest of NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year ending June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income in Llanarth would be approximately $72,410 and average income around $87,332 by that date. Data from the 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in Llanarth rank between the 78th and 85th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 36.2% of Llanarth's population (846 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to surrounding regions where 29.9% occupy this range. Notably, 35.8% of residents earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting areas of prosperity that stimulate local economic activity. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, demonstrating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Llanarth is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Llanarth, as per the latest Census evaluation, all dwellings were houses with none being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This differs from Non-Metro NSW where 86.1% of dwellings were houses and 13.9% were other types. Home ownership in Llanarth was at 37.4%, similar to Non-Metro NSW's rate. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (43.7%) or rented (18.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Llanarth was $2,000, higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure in Llanarth was $440, significantly higher than Non-Metro NSW's average of $315 and the national figure of $375.

Llanarth features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.1 percent of all households, including 39.0 percent couples with children, 30.8 percent couples without children, and 12.5 percent single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.9 percent, with lone person households at 14.9 percent and group households comprising 1.8 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.5.

Llanarth demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Llanarth's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15 and above, 29.4% have university qualifications, compared to 19.3% in the SA4 region and 21.3% in the Rest of NSW. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 36.4% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.1% and certificates for 25.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in secondary education, 9.9% in primary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Llanarth has 18 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a mix of buses along 12 individual routes. Together, these routes provide 207 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of the transport system is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 154 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 29 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Llanarth's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Llanarth residents showed positive health outcomes with common conditions seen across age groups. Private health cover was high at approximately 59% (1,370 people), compared to 51.7% in Rest of NSW.

Asthma and mental health issues were most common, affecting 10.5 and 8.8% respectively. 67.8% reported no medical ailments, compared to 63.5% in Rest of NSW. 15.7% of residents were aged 65 and over (367 people), lower than the 19.4% in Rest of NSW. Seniors' health outcomes were strong, better than the general population's metrics.

Llanarth ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Llanarth was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 87.6% of its population born in Australia, 93.4% being citizens, and 93.0% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Llanarth is Christianity, comprising 64.0% of the population, compared to 61.6% across Rest of NSW. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (30.3%), English (27.6%), and Irish (11.2%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry is overrepresented in Llanarth at 8.7%, compared to 7.8% regionally, while Polish and New Zealand ancestry are also higher than regional averages at 0.8% each versus 0.4%.

Llanarth's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Llanarth's median age is 38, which is lower than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 but equivalent to the national norm of 38. The 15-24 age group comprises 14.5% of Llanarth's population, higher than the Rest of NSW percentage. Conversely, the 75-84 cohort makes up 4.2%, lower than the Rest of NSW figure. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group grew from 13.3% to 14.5%. The 5-14 age group declined from 15.8% to 14.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling predicts significant changes in Llanarth's age profile. Notably, the 35-44 group is projected to grow by 69%, reaching 486 people from 287. The 45-54 and 55-64 cohorts are expected to decline in population.